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FXTM: Nigeria’s Economic Recovery Could Become Reality By Year End

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Nigeria’s ongoing mission to diversify away from oil reliance, and a sharp drop in oil which triggered a currency crisis, have encouraged the Central Bank of Nigeria to maintain its key interest rates at 14% in July, Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at ForexTime (FXTM) acknowledged on Wednesday

True to prediction, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Tuesday retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 14 per cent due to uncertainties in the global market.

Mr. Godwin Emefiele, Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), disclosed this while briefing journalists on the outcome of the 257th meeting of the MPC in Abuja.

He said: “MPC decided to retain MPR at 14 per cent, retain CRR at 22.5 per cent, retain the liquidity ratio at 30 per cent, retain assymetric corridor at +200 and -500 bases point around the monetary policy rate.’’

He said the MPR was not eased at this time because it would signal the committees’ sensitivity to growth and employment concern by encouraging the flow of credit to the real economy.

Emefiele added: “The MPC noted the liquidity suffering in the banking system and continuous weakness in financial intermediation.

“It agreed on the need to support growth without jeopardising price stability or offsetting other recovering macroeconomic indicators, particularly the relative stability in the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market

“The MPC thinks that easing at this point would signal the committee’s sensitivity to growth and employment concern by encouraging the flow of credit to the real economy.

“It observed that easing at this time would reduce the cost of debt service which is actually crowding out government’s expenditure.

“Also, the risk to easing would further pull the real interest rate down into negative territory.”

Emefiele said the argument for holding was to ensure workability of the past policies in the economy.

He said the MPC factored that the high banking system liquidity level, the need to continue to attract foreign investment inflow to support the forex market and economic activity would cause a jump in the system liquidity.

According to him, the expansive outlook for fiscal policy in the rest of the year and the prospective election related spending will also cause a jump in the system liquidity among other things.

He said the committee expressed concern over the increasing fiscal deficit estimated at N2.51 trillion in the first half of 2017 and the crowding out effect of high government borrowing.

Analyzing the MPC’s decision, Otunuga said, “although the nation still remains exposed to external risks, there has been optimism over the economic landscape stabilizing, with the improving macro fundamentals fueling speculations of a potential economic rebound by the end of 2017.

“Inflation has cooled for the fifth consecutive month in June at 16.1%, further illustrating signs of price stability, while manufacturing and non-manufacturing activities have both moved in a positive trajectory. Although CBN’s repeated intervention has played a significant role in the Naira’s recovery against the Dollar on the parallel exchange, confidence over Nigeria’s economic recovery continues to play a leading role.

“As we head deeper into the third quarter of 2017, there is likely to be an increasing focus on domestic data in order to measure the nation’s health and assess if an economic recovery could become a reality by the end of the year. A potential economic rebound by year end and further signs of stability at home may prompt the Central Bank of Nigeria to cut interest rates in the medium to longer term”.


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E-Financial

Banks Lose N10Bn to Cyber Fraud in 2023’

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Stakeholders in the banking and financial ecosystem, yesterday, decried the surge in cyber fraud as Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) lost N10 billion in the second quarter of 2023, representing almost 300 per cent year-on-year compared to the previous year.

Banks Lose N10Bn to Cyber Fraud in 2023’

At a Mastercard forum convened to tackle fraud and cybersecurity threats in the financial sector, Kari Tukur, vice president, Customer Solutions Centre, East and West Africa at Mastercard, said despite the massive awareness and innovations aimed at combating cybersecurity, the amount lost last year by DBMs was “staggering”.

She said, “With Nigeria’s rapidly growing economic expansion, we are starting to see an increase in the adoption of digital financial services, and the financial landscape is also evolving at an astronomical speed.

“What was staggering for me was in spite of the huge investment around innovation, funding in the cyber space, DBMs lost almost N10bn in Q2 last year, and that was almost 300 per cent growth year-on-year when compared to the previous year.”

She noted that there was the need for collaboration among stakeholders “to combat this rising sophistication of cyber security threat.”

Tukur further stated that Mastercard was deeply committed to cyber security and fraud prevention within the payment industry, disclosing that the company invested $250m “to assist small businesses in addressing their cyber security needs.”

She disclosed that Mastercard payment portals incorporated multiple layers of security such as tokenisation technology, encryption and biometrical to stay ahead of cyber attackers.

She added that, “The sector continues to struggle with the aforementioned challenges, necessitating vigilance, proactive action and comprehensive security strategy, and Mastercard remains committed to providing safe, secure and seamless payment services and experiences for our partners and customers in Nigeria and beyond.”

Celestina Appeal, chairman, Committee of e-Business Industry Heads (CeBIH), stated that the total loss to the banking industry in the last couple of years totalled hundreds of billions of naira while Nigeria’s Consumer Awareness and Financial Enlightenment Initiative had projected a $6trn loss by 2030 to cybercrime within and outside Nigeria.

Represented by Mr Temitope Onibaniyi, secretary of the committee, she stated that the committee was ever-willing to collaborate with industry stakeholders to fight against the perpetrators who “constantly rob banks and other stakeholders in the payments industry of their hard-earned money.”

She said the need for collaboration could not be overemphasised as no individual organisation was immune to cyber security attacks.

 

 


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Tinubu Rejigs SEC Board, Makes New Appointments

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President Bola Tinubu has approved the appointment of some Nigerian professionals to the Board of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Tinubu Rejigs SEC Board, Makes New Appointments

This is contained in a statement issued by Ajuri Ngelale, special adviser to the President on Media and Publicity.

Tinubu appointed Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka  as the Chairman of the board of SEC, while Mr. Emomotimi Agama has been appointed as the  Director-General of the board.

The president also appointed Frana Chukwuogor  as Executive Commissioner (Legal and Enforcement) of the board.

Tinubu further appointed Mr. Bola Ajomale as the Executive Commissioner (Operations) of the board, while Mrs. Samiya Hassan Usman is the Executive Commissioner (Corporate Services) of the board.

Also appointed into the board are Mr. Lekan Belo as Non-Executive Commissioner and Mr. Kasimu Garba Kurfi as Non-Executive Commissioner.

According to Ngelale, the president anticipated that “all members of the Board of this critical commission will bring to bear their wealth of experience and competence in advancing the commission’s core mandate of developing and regulating a capital market that is dynamic, fair, transparent, and efficient, to bolster investor confidence and contribute immeasurably to the nation’s economic development.”


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Ecobank Repays $500m Eurobond

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Ecobank has announced the successful repayment of its $500 million five-year Eurobond issued in 2019. According to a statement filed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the Eurobond garnered considerable interest from a diverse range of global investors, including long-term development partners such as FMO and Proparco, who served as anchor investors.

Commenting on this achievement, Ecobank Group Financial Officer, Ayo Adepoju, said: “The bond was listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange with a coupon rate of 9.5 per cent. The principal and interest repayment, totalling $524 million, was distributed to bondholders through the transaction agent on the bond maturity date of April 18, 2024.

“This inaugural bond we are retiring today was critical in introducing our firm to a wider array of global investors and contributed to the increased visibility of our brand in the capital markets.”

Against the backdrop of challenges posed by the global operating environment, including disruptions in the world supply chain and financial markets, Adepoju highlighted the Group’s resilience. He cited strong liquidity, a robust balance sheet, and a solid leadership team as key factors enabling Ecobank’s success.

He added that the successful repayment of the Eurobond underscores Ecobank’s commitment to financial stability and investor confidence, positioning the firm for continued growth and success in the global market.

 


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