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Investors Shun Nigeria, Prefer SA & Egypt

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Nigeria is behind South Africa and Egypt as the leading destination in Africa for foreign direct investment (FDI) according to the FDI report released by Global Greenfield Investment Trends.

The World Bank said that “FDI is net inflows of investment to acquire a lasting management interest (10 percent or more of voting stock) in an enterprise operating in an economy other than that of the investor. It is the sum of equity capital, reinvestment of earnings, other long-term capital, and short-term capital as shown in the balance of payments.”

Earlier this year, Mallam Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) governor had stated that Nigeria recorded appreciable marginal growth in the FDI growth in Q4 2012 to about $6.07 Billion.

Nigeria also stood at sixth position among leading FDI inflow economies in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region with 54 projects. The report lists leading countries in the region as: UAE (291), South Africa (147), Saudi Arabia (107), Oman (73), Egypt (54), Nigeria (54), Qatar (54), Kenya (50), Morocco (48) and Bahrain (37).

Nigeria and Egypt also recorded 20 per cent increase in FDI inflow, whereas other leading African countries suffered declines like South Africa five per cent, Kenya nine per cent and Morocco 34 per cent.

“The number of FDI projects attracted by Oman increased by 48.98per cent and its market share of inward FDI in the region increased from 3.16per cent in 2011 to 5.33per cent in 2012. Egypt and Nigeria also experienced an increase in project numbers by 20per cent in 2012.”

Dr. Egwaikhide Christian Imoudu, of the department of Economics and Management Sciences at the Nigerian Defence Academy (NDA) – Nigeria’s leading military academic institution – noted that FDI inflow into the economy is natural, considering its population, size and resource base. But he regretted that despite the huge inflow recorded annually over the past decade, not much impact is evidenced in the lives of the citizens.

“Nigeria as a country, given her natural resource base and large market size, qualifies to be a major recipient of FDI in Africa and indeed is one of the top three leading African countries that consistently received FDI in the past decade,” said Dr. Imoudu.

Writing in the International Journal of Business and Social Sciences (vol.3 No.6), D. Imoudu stated theFDI flow trend in the country has several implications for the economy.

“First, even though the volume of FDI to Nigeria has increased substantially since the 1990s, Nigeria remains largely marginalised in the context of financial globalisation. Second, spillover effects of FDI in oil exploration and other mining activities are minimal as the technology employed is capital rather than labour intensive. This means that the effect of FDI in Nigeria to date has been dependent on what the revenues are used for. Third, the flow of FDI to the extractive sector is not growth enhancing as much as other productive sectors, because oil sector is often an enclave sector with little backward and inward linkages with other sectors.

“Fourth, secondary and tertiary activities like manufacturing and services are not playing leading roles in the determination of national output, employment generation and income, and this partly explains why the majority of Nigerian citizens are living in poverty, the country’s huge petroleum resources notwithstanding.”

Consequently, he noted that “the solution to these problems is to attract FDI into diversified and higher value-added activities. In this regard, one important policy objective to reduce the barriers to FDI effectiveness is to build diversified economy through investment in human capital, infrastructure and productive capacity. Clearly then, the challenge for Nigeria is how to attract FDI in more dynamic products and sectors with income elasticity of demand.”

Mallam Sanusi, also expressed concerns over the nation’s dependence on earnings from the oil sector for economic sustenance.

Rising from last week’s CBN monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, the apex financial body expressed “concerned about the threat posed by developments in the oil sector arising from uncertain oil market environment high output leakages arising from oil theft which has negatively affected the oil sector’s contribution to GDP and the prospects for declining output if the state of affairs continues.

“The Committee observed that the accretion to reserves resulted principally from increased portfolio capital inflows. The Committee noted the potential effect of this development on exchange rates, reserves and the capital account in the event of capital flow reversal, and thus stressed the need to maintain stability and retain confidence of investors in the consistency of monetary policy.”

The FDI report 2013 noted that “while all regions of the world experienced a decline in FDI, the decline in FDI into Africa was less than the world average and
Africa increased its market share of global FDI projects from 5.56 per cent in 2011 to 6.01 per cent in 2012.

In contrast, the global market share of Western Europe fell 1.5 per cent in 2012, due to the European debt crisis and stagnating economic growth.”

It gave reasons for the poor growth in the developed economies to “lacklustre economic growth in Europe, Japan and Brazil, much slower growth in China, political instability in the Middle East, and policy uncertainty in the US all negatively impacted the global FDI market. The extreme case was in Syria, with a decline of more than 90 per cent in FDI projects in 2012.”


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E-Financial

CBN to Deploy AI in Fight Against Payment Fraud

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has unveiled plans to deploy Artificial Intelligence (AI) to strengthen fraud prevention and enhance the efficiency of the country’s digital payments ecosystem as part of its Nigeria Payments System Vision (PSV) 2028.

CBN to Deploy AI in Fight Against Payment Fraud

Payment fraud is the illegal, unauthorized use or manipulation of payment instruments—like credit cards, wire transfers, or digital wallets—to obtain financial gain.

The initiative, contained in the apex bank’s newly released PSV 2028 document, positions AI as a key technology in Nigeria’s efforts to build a more secure, inclusive and globally competitive payments landscape.

According to the CBN, the adoption of AI forms part of its guiding principle of “Innovation with Purpose,” which seeks to leverage emerging technologies to improve convenience, efficiency and competitiveness across the financial system.

The bank noted that while digital payments have grown significantly in recent years, fraud and cyber threats continue to pose serious challenges to consumer confidence and financial inclusion.

The document highlighted persistent exposure to fraud, cyber-attacks, identity theft, phishing schemes and unauthorised transactions as major risks facing the payments ecosystem. These threats, it said, have undermined trust in digital financial services and constrained efforts to expand access to formal financial systems.

To address these concerns, the CBN said PSV 2028 would place greater emphasis on cybersecurity, fraud management, and the deployment of advanced technologies to detect and prevent financial crimes.

Under the vision’s innovation and emerging technologies pillar, the apex bank disclosed plans to explore AI, blockchain and programmable payment solutions as part of broader efforts to modernise Nigeria’s payments infrastructure.

The CBN also revealed plans to establish stronger fraud monitoring mechanisms, including an industry-wide Security Operations Centre and a national fraud intelligence-sharing platform designed to improve threat detection and response across the financial sector.

According to the document, authorities will facilitate the development of shared infrastructure for fraud detection, risk intelligence and regulatory compliance while introducing industry-wide cyber performance monitoring frameworks.

The bank noted that AI is already transforming payment systems globally and is increasingly being deployed through chatbots, self-service platforms, robotic process automation and other digital tools that enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.

Beyond fraud prevention, the CBN said AI-driven technologies are expected to improve transaction monitoring, strengthen compliance processes and support more efficient service delivery across payment platforms.

The apex bank further stated that Nigeria aims to become a leader in technology-driven regulation by 2028, with ambitions to advance RegTech, SupTech and AI-powered compliance systems while exporting locally developed digital payment frameworks and solutions to international markets.

The broader objective of PSV 2028, according to the CBN, is to build a secure, innovative and resilient payments ecosystem that supports economic growth, deepens financial inclusion, strengthens consumer protection and improves cross-border payment capabilities.

With electronic payment transactions already surpassing N1.2 quadrillion in 2025, the CBN’s decision to integrate AI into its payments strategy underscores a growing commitment to technology-driven fraud management and the long-term development of Nigeria’s digital economy.


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Report Faults Banks over N91.1 Trillion Sterilised at CBN 

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A report by the Alliance for Economic Research and Ethics (AERE), has criticised commercial banks for abandoning their core intermediation role to support economic growth as N91.1 trillion remained sterilised at the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) standing deposit window.

Report Faults Banks over N91.1 Trillion Sterilised at CBN 

The report lamented the scale of idle liquidity parked at the CBN, noting that this represented not financial strength, but a structural failure of credit allocation, adding that the country’s real sector was being systematically starved of capital.

Separately, Alliance also raised concerns over the sustainability of the country’s fiscal position, warning that despite improvements in government revenue, persistent leakages, rising debt obligations and weak capital spending continued to undermine budgetary effectiveness.

The policy advocacy group said recent fiscal indicators suggested that government revenues are improving and budget deficits are narrowing, but stressed that the gains remained insufficient to offset mounting spending pressures and the growing burden of debt servicing.

Nonethless, it said, “The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure — a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.”

AERE is a policy think tank chaired by Dele Oye, a former national president, Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA).

Oye is the immediate past chairman of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria (OPSN) and Chairman of the Nigeria-Türkiye Business Council (NTBC).

The report said, “The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving.”

It highlighted what it described as a “cosmetic drop” in CBN standing deposit facility placements from N92.32 trillion in April 2026 to N91.1 trillion in May, arguing that the marginal decline obscures a far more troubling structural reality.

It noted that deposits surged to N128.9 trillion in March 2026, before moderating slightly in subsequent months, but still reflected an extraordinary liquidity concentration at the apex bank.

The report estimated that banks cumulatively placed N425.86 trillion with the CBN in the first five months of 2026 alone — a figure described as “an almost 700 per cent year-on-year increase” compared to the same period in 2025.

“This is not banking. This is financial mercantilism — the capture of state-derived liquidity for private gain, with minimal productive intermediation,” the report said.

At the same time, borrowing from the CBN’s Standing Lending Facility (SLF) reportedly collapsed by 94.9 per cent, to N2.2 trillion from N43.42 trillion, reinforcing what it called a system where banks no longer need to lend to survive.

The report maintained that much of what is recorded as banking strength is, in reality, illusory, and identified three categories of “contingent assets” that distort balance sheet realities.

First are performance bonds and guarantees tied to government contracts, which are largely risk-free fiscal obligations repackaged as banking assets.

The other are delayed government payments and forbearance arrangements, which the report described as “deferred public liabilities masquerading as productive credit.”

The third category involved thecollapse of import credit demand, as firms shift away from letters of credit due to stabilising exchange rates.

According to the report, these dynamics had left banks “flush with liquidity but allergic to lending,” with treasury managers rationally opting to park funds at the CBN’s risk-free window.

The report situated the behaviour of banks within the country’s high interest rate environment, noting that the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) stands at 26.5 percent, while the CBN Standing Deposit Facility offers 22.5 percent risk-free returns.

This, it said, creates a structural incentive problem.

The report said, “A bank treasurer faces a simple arithmetic: lend to a manufacturer at 30–35 percent over several years with multiple risks, or park funds at 22.5 percent overnight with zero risk.”

It further cites the asymmetric policy corridor designed by the CBN, which was intended to stabilise liquidity but had instead encouraged what it called “systemic sterilisation.

While acknowledging regulatory intent, the report argued that the policy has inadvertently prioritised financial stability over productive credit creation, stressing that the absence of credit to the real sector was “not a bug in the system. It is becoming a feature”.

Among other things, it referenced constrained lending to manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, alongside persistently high interest rates and limited access to long-term credit.

AERE warned that liquidity sterilisation at the CBN was undermining monetary policy effectiveness and inflation control.

The report also referenced recent CBN data indicating that credit to the private sector contracted by N14.02 trillion between February and April 2026, falling to N80.59 trillion.

At the same time, banks recorded record profits, with top-tier institutions reportedly posting a combined N5.54 trillion profit-after-tax in 2024 alone, a 53 per cent increase year-on-year.

It added that the “paradox is stark: banks are thriving while the economy they are meant to finance is starved of credit.”

However, it urged banks to take voluntary reform or risk facing regulatory intervention.

AERE proposed a mandatory sectoral lending quotas for manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, and a possible reduction or cap on returns from the CBN standing deposit facility.

It also recommended recalibration of the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to penalise non-productive deposits, alongside differential treatment for funds directed into real-sector lending.

It further suggested mandatory disclosure of “contingent assets” to expose the true composition of bank balance sheets, arguing that current reporting standards obscure the extent of non-productive holdings.

A windfall tax on excess earnings from CBN placements was also proposed, with proceeds redirected into a Real Sector Credit Fund among other recommendations.

The report stated, “Nigerian banks have forgotten that their source is the real economy the farmer, the manufacturer, the trader, the entrepreneur. They have become dams, not rivers. They capture N91.1 trillion of national liquidity, earn 22.5 per cent risk-free, and report record profits while the economy they are meant to serve gasps for credit.

“The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.

“The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving. The clock is ticking.”

However, speaking in its latest podcast titled, “Nigeria’s Budget: Glass Half Full or Quietly Leaking?”, the group noted that while headline figures portray a stronger fiscal outlook, underlying structural weaknesses continued to threaten the country’s economic transformation agenda.

It stated that a significant portion of government earnings is increasingly being channelled towards servicing debt rather than financing critical development projects capable of stimulating growth and improving productivity.

It warned that debt service commitments had become a dominant feature of the budget, limiting the fiscal space available for investments in infrastructure, education and other productive sectors of the economy.

The group argued that the challenge facing the country extended beyond revenue generation, adding that concerns persist over how public resources are deployed and managed.

It identified leakages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances within the fiscal system as major obstacles preventing government spending from delivering its intended economic impact.

The alliance further observed that capital expenditure remained inadequate to drive meaningful transformation in the real economy, stressing that current spending levels are insufficient to support the scale of infrastructure development and industrial expansion required to accelerate growth.

According to the group,”On paper, Nigeria’s budget looks stronger, revenues are improving, deficits narrowing.

“For look closer and something is leaking. Yes, revenues are growing, but not fast enough to match spending pressures or debt obligations. Government earnings still struggle to carry the weight of the system.

“A growing share of revenue isn’t building roads or funding industries. It’s servicing debt. Debt service dominates, bending our budget to the breaking point.

“The issue isn’t just how much Nigeria earns. It’s how effectively those funds are used. Likages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances continue to drain impact.

“Capital expenditure remains too weak to transform the real economy. No meaningful scale in infrastructure, no serious push for productivity. The path forward is clear.”

It said, “Strengthen revenue systems, cut in efficiencies, prioritize productive investment. This is where evidence-based policy matters. Our budget is leaking funds to outdated programs.

“We must fix the leak and fund the future. Investing in education and infrastructure now is essential. A budget is not just numbers. It’s a reflection of national priority. Fix the leak, fund the future. This is our call to action.”

 


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NRS Accredits Afri Invoice as Access Point Provider to Drive Nigeria’s Mandatory e-invoicing

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Ahead of the July deadline, the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) has accredited Afri Invoice as an official Access Point Provider (APP) in a major move for digital tax compliance across Nigeria.

This sovereign endorsement thrusts the emerging fintech leader into an elite tier of technology firms trusted to handle the nation’s fiscal data infrastructure.

With the July deadline looming, this offers an opportunity for Nigerian Businesses to get adequate onboarding support.

Crucially, this landmark certification comes on the heels of Afri Invoice also recently being licensed as an official Systems Integrator by the NRS—granting the company rare dual-licensed status within the national ecosystem.

BAs Nigeria rapidly transitions to a transparent, real-time fiscal economy, Afri Invoice now serves as a fully unified, secure gateway.

With this double mandate, the platform is uniquely positioned to both seamlessly integrate legacy corporate networks and directly validate, digitally sign, and transmit automated electronic invoices straight into the central NRS Merchant Buyer Solution (MBS) infrastructure.

The NRS launched the MBS platform to combat tax evasion, boost state revenues, and mandate transaction transparency across Africas largest economy.

Operating as a centralised real-time ledger, the platform intercepts and logs B2B and B2G transactions right at the point of sale.

Speaking on this milestone, Mark Odenore, Founder of Afri Invoice, said: “This accreditation represents one of the most significant moments in Afri Invoice’s journey.

“For years, we have believed that compliance should not be a financial burden that only large corporations can afford.

“The NRS has handed us the opportunity to be the bridge connecting Nigeria’s entire business community to this new era. We view e-invoicing as a launchpad for modern corporate efficiency, transparency, and growth.”

Large taxpayers transitioned during the initial rollout phase, and the NRS is actively expanding the mandate to medium and small enterprises. Because direct connection to government servers demands rigid compliance, APPs serve as the vital intermediaries.

To earn this license from NITDA, Afri Invoice underwent extensive evaluation, proving its technical resilience, software architecture quality, OAuth 2.0 security protocols, and strict alignment with the international PEPPOL interoperability framework.

A Sovereign Endorsement for Afri Invoice is not merely a commercial credential; it is a profound operational responsibility. Inclusion in the official NRS Solutions Provider Directory means businesses can confidently deploy Afri Invoice to shield themselves from compliance risks.

For Nigerian enterprises navigating these shifting tax laws, Afri Invoice eliminates technical friction by automating the full invoice lifecycle.

The platform seamlessly handles Native ERP Integration, synchronises data across international standard formats like JSON, manages real-time data submission, digital signing, and certificate lifecycles, and provides clear audit trails and dashboards for CFOs to eliminate manual human error and speed up close cycles.

Crucially, the platform supports all NRS-mandated tax categories, quantity codes, and payment statuses, future-proofing businesses as global cross-border invoice interoperability rolls out.

Ms. Fatimata Niang, the Director of Strategy &Operations, noted: “Our architecture was engineered to the highest global standards for security, interoperability, and scale.

“Every invoice running through our system is cryptographically secured and fully traceable from the millisecond it is generated. As the mandate expands to millions of taxpayers, our infrastructure is primed to handle massive volume without compromising on speed or security.”

Afri Invoice is a premier Nigerian financial technology company building modern digital invoicing and fiscal infrastructure.

Through robust API-driven solutions aligned with NRS, NITDA, and international PEPPOL protocols, the company empowers enterprises and SMEs to achieve effortless compliance with minimal technical overhead.

 


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