E-Financial
MasterCard Says Nigeria, 3 Others on Digital Evolution Threshold

A new Digital Evolution Index from MasterCard shows that South Africa, Egypt, Kenya and Nigeria are quickly moving towards digital evolution.
However, South Africa’s digital economy is the most developed in Africa, and one of the fastest growing in the world, according to the new Digital Evolution Index developed by MasterCard and The Fletcher School at Tufts University that tracks a country’s movement toward digital evolution, gauges progress and assesses challenges in 50 countries comprising the Index.
South Africa ranks 33 out of the countries measured by the index in digital readiness, which is defined by the markets’ ability to support and encourage digital commerce and payments. In Africa, it ranks ahead of Egypt (48), Kenya (49), and Nigeria (50).
South Africa also emerged as the fourth fastest growing digital economy behind China, Malaysia and Thailand.
“South Africa’s speed of growth can be attributed to the rapidly increasing proportion of the population with Internet access, an 86 percent adult mobile phone penetration rate, and a highly developed telecommunications network. However, what is significant is that all four of the African countries measured share a common trait of moving at a high rate of speed toward digital evolution, demonstrating huge growth potential for e-commerce,” said Ted Iacobuzio, Vice president, Global Insights, MasterCard.
The Index analyses four key underlying drivers and barriers that govern a country’s evolution into a digital economy, Demand (consumer demographics, income and internet access); Supply (technology and infrastructure); Institutional Environment (governmental policy), and Innovation (environment for creating startups and the overall competitive landscape).
Each country is given an overall digital readiness score between 0 (low digital readiness) and 100 (digitally saturated), which is derived from an average score of these four interdependent drivers.
The index also provides an indication, by country, where the next billion Internet users will come from globally.
According to McKinsey, Africa’s Internet penetration stood at 16 percent (167 million people) in 2013, and is forecasted to reach 50 percent (600 million people) by 2025, indicating the online consumer market will quadruple over this time.
“There are currently 2.9 billion Internet users in the world, a feat that took over 20 years to achieve. The next billion users will enter the market much faster than this. A significant proportion of these will come from Africa, where the four countries studied – Egypt, Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria – all represent exceptional growth potential coupled with short-term opportunity,” said Iacobuzio.
The study analysed each market’s evolution from 2008 to 2013 and grouped each country into one of four trajectory zones:
‘Stand Out’ countries have historically moved at a high rate of digital readiness and maintain high levels of digital transactions;
‘Break Out’ countries are typically developing countries that currently have low readiness scores, but are rapidly evolving;
‘Watch Out’ countries face various challenges, but have significant opportunities for investment; and
‘Stall Out’ countries, while possessing a history of strong growth, are highly evolved and offer little potential for change.
The Index positions South Africa as a ‘Break Out’ country with an overall score of 30 out of 100 in 2013. Its score jumped from 24 to 34 between 2008 and 2012, a substantial increase compared to other countries.
While infrastructure investments in South Africa will drive e-commerce to achieve a likely 30 percent growth rate in 2014, the Index indicates that demand for e-commerce currently lags the global average.
“South Africa may have a relatively average Index score overall, but its digital landscape is evolving rapidly. If this evolution continues at its current rate, South Africa has the potential to grow into a strong digital economy. It is a prime candidate for becoming a ‘Stand Out’ nation in the future,” he says.
The three other African countries ranked in the index are classified as “Watch Out” countries. Egypt scored 17.3, Kenya scored 16.9 and Nigeria scored 13.7 out of 100. These countries are just starting out on their journeys towards digital readiness, each facing different challenges.
“Encouragingly, Egypt, Kenya and Nigeria fared well in their speed of digital growth. This points to their potential to develop into evolved digital economies that further encourage digital payments, and enable future e-commerce opportunities,” he said.
Key African Insights:
Egypt’s Innovation score of 29.5 and its Demand and Supply drivers both above 15 helped place it second in the African rankings.
According to the Index, Egypt has the potential to be one of the top 10 fastest evolving countries globally in the next five years.
Mobile payments are in place for an impressive run due to the the first ever interoperable Arabic mobile money implementation in Egypt. While the e-commerce penetration rate among Egyptians is still low at 3.4 percent, Egypt’s online purchases are expected to triple by 2016, according to Euromonitor.
Kenya’s Innovation score of 32.9 was its highest driver score followed by its Institution score of 14.
This is due to a combination of factors including the country’s mobile payment capabilities, led by the M-Pesa platform, which shows an evolved mobile market where 25 percent of Kenya’s GDP travels through M-Pesa.
In 2013, Kenya’s mobile penetration rate was 72.5 percent growing by 5.6 percent to 32.3 million subscribers during the second quarter of 2014. Kenya faces challenges with its Supply and Demand drivers, which if focussed on over time will lead to an improved overall Index score.
Nigeria’s Innovation and Institution drivers fared relatively well largely owing to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Cashless Policy that is expected to drive growth in electronic payments and e-commerce, the country’s increasingly urban population that will have better access to the Internet over the coming years, and the fact that Nigeria has 94 percent mobile penetration.
Its Supply and Demand drivers have much potential for improvement, with scores of 6.8 and 7.3 respectively, pointing to a need for improved technology and infrastructure.
However, Nigeria showed the greatest potential for digital growth.
Globally, Singapore, Sweden and Hong Kong are the top three countries on the Index with the most active and advanced digital economies with scores of 56, 55 and 53.5 respectively.
The United Kingdom and Switzerland round out the top five, while the United States ranks sixth among the 50 countries measured.
The Digital Evolution Index is an output of the study conducted by researchers at The Fletcher School with the support of MasterCard.
Analyzing datasets from public sources, such as The World Bank, and private sources such as EMPEA and Dow Jones VentureSource, the research team created an analytical framework for recognizing patterns and making sense of the global digital landscape, discerning country trends and evaluating their relative strengths and weaknesses.
The methodology for the Digital Evolution Index measures the current ability of countries to deliver on consumer demand and business supply capabilities, in combination with governmental policy and climate for innovation – four drivers defining digital readiness that were identified in the research hypothesis.
In addition to the current state, the study measured each country’s trajectory across the four drivers from 2008 through 2013.
The index then layers a quadrant matrix to visualize the trajectory of a particular country.
E-Financial
Banks to Impose N50 Stamp Duty on Transfers of N10,000 and Above from January 1

Commercial banks in Nigeria will begin charging a N50 stamp duty on electronic transfers of N10,000 and above starting January 1, 2026, in line with the newly enacted Tax Act.

CBN
The Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL), now rebranded as stamp duty, applies as a one-off fee on any electronic receipt or transfer into accounts at commercial banks or financial institutions for amounts reaching or exceeding N10,000—or its equivalent in other currencies.
United Bank for Africa (UBA) notified customers via email on Tuesday, confirming the shift where senders, rather than recipients, will now bear the charge. Salary payments and intra-bank self-transfers remain exempt.
“Stamp Duty applies to transactions of N10,000 and above,” the email stated, emphasising transparency in the change from previous deductions borne by beneficiaries.
This levy forms part of broader tax reforms pushed by President Bola Tinubu’s administration, aimed at fiscal restructuring despite public pushback.
UBA reaffirmed its commitment to keeping customers informed amid evolving banking regulations.
E-Financial
How Nigeria’s New Tax Law Could Redefine Risk in the Banking Sector

By Blaise Udunze
Nigeria’s new tax identification portal goes live nationwide tomorrow, Monday, January 1, 2026, marking a pivotal moment in the country’s fiscal and financial governance. Designed to modernise tax administration and strengthen taxpayer identification, the reform reflects a decisive shift in economic strategy by a government grappling with shrinking oil revenues, rising public debt, and widening fiscal deficits.

New Tax Law
At the centre of this shift is a deeper integration of identity systems, banking data, and tax administration, most notably the adoption of the National Identification Number (NIN) as a tax identification mechanism for operating bank accounts. In parallel, banks will also begin charging a N50 stamp duty on electronic transfers of N10,000 and above, following the implementation of the Tax Act.
Individually, these measures may appear modest, even reasonable. Collectively, however, they signal a fundamental reordering of the relationship between the state, banks, and citizens with far-reaching implications for banking business, customer trust, financial inclusion, and credit creation.
Banks at the Centre of Fiscal Enforcement
Under the new tax framework, Nigerian banks are no longer merely financial intermediaries or corporate taxpayers. They are increasingly positioned as collection agents, reporting hubs, and frontline enforcement points for government revenue policy.
The linkage of NIN to tax compliance, combined with transaction-based stamp duties, reinforces a stark reality that the banking system has become the most visible and accessible channel through which the state now extracts revenue from citizens.
This expanded role exposes banks to a new layer of risk not just financial or operational, but social, reputational, and political risks that extend far beyond balance sheets.
A Structural Shift in the Banking, Tax Relationship
Historically, banks played a facilitative role in tax compliance, primarily through payment processing and remittance support. The use of NIN as a tax identifier marks a structural departure from this model.
Bank accounts are no longer merely financial tools; they are becoming gateways to tax visibility.
This shift fundamentally alters the risk profile of the banking business. Banks are now exposed not only to credit, market, and operational risks, but also to heightened social backlash, reputational damage, and political sensitivity, arising from their expanded enforcement role.
Account Friction and Slower Customer Onboarding
One of the earliest and most visible consequences of NIN-based tax identification is increased friction in account opening and maintenance.
Consequently, in a real sense, millions of Nigerians will continue to face challenges with the NIN system, including delays in enrolment and correction, biometric mismatches as well as inconsistencies between NIN, BVN, and bank records.
For banks, this translates into slower onboarding processes, higher rates of account restriction or rejection, and increased congestion across branches and digital platforms.
What should be a growth engine for deposit mobilisation instead becomes a bottleneck, resulting in lost customers, fewer transactions, and weakened scale advantages in an increasingly competitive banking environment.
Banks as the Face of an Unpopular Tax Regime
Perhaps the most underappreciated consequence of the new tax regime is the escalation of customer hostility toward banks.
When accounts are flagged, restricted, or subjected to enhanced scrutiny, customers rarely direct their frustration at tax authorities or policymakers. Instead, they confront the most visible institution in the chain, their bank.
Banks are increasingly blamed for account freezes, accused of colluding with government, and perceived as punitive rather than service-oriented institutions. This hostility is particularly pronounced among informal sector operators, small traders, artisans, and self-employed professionals with irregular income streams.
In a low-trust economy such as Nigeria’s, perception often outweighs regulation. Banks risk becoming the public face of coercive taxation, absorbing reputational damage for policies they neither designed nor control.
Erosion of Trust in the Banking Relationship
Banking fundamentally depends on trust that deposits are safe, transactions are private, and institutions act in customers’ best interests.
When NIN becomes a tax enforcement gateway, that trust begins to fray. Banks are no longer seen primarily as custodians of savings, enablers of enterprise, or neutral financial intermediaries. Instead, they are increasingly perceived as extensions of tax authorities, surveillance nodes, and compliance police.
Once trust erodes, customer behaviour adjust often in ways that undermine the formal financial system itself.
The Hidden Impact of the N50 Stamp Duty
The introduction of a N50 stamp duty on electronic transfers of N10,000 and above may appear trivial. In practice, it carries outsized implications.
For many Nigerians, especially low- and middle-income earners, electronic transfers are not discretionary transactions. They are salary payments, family support remittances, SME operating expenses, and routine commercial settlements.
Customers rarely distinguish between government levies and bank charges. The stamp duty will therefore be perceived as yet another bank fee, deepening resentment toward institutions already accused of excessive charges.
Behaviourally, customers may respond by breaking transactions into smaller amounts, increasing cash usage, or migrating to informal transfer channels, distorting transaction patterns and weakening the efficiency of the digital payments ecosystem.
Although banks merely collect the duty on behalf of the government, they will once again bear the reputational cost.
Threat to Deposit Mobilisation and Liquidity
Fear of tax exposure is a powerful behavioural driver. As NIN becomes closely associated with tax scrutiny and transaction charges mount, many customers are likely to reduce account balances, avoid lump-sum deposits, split transactions to stay below thresholds, or move funds outside the banking system entirely.
For banks, the consequences are clear, as these will result in slower deposit growth, volatile liquidity positions, and reduced capacity to fund loans.
Deposit mobilisation is the lifeblood of banking. Any policy that discourages formal savings weakens banks’ intermediation role and, by extension, the broader economy.
Reversal of Financial Inclusion Gains
Nigeria has invested more than a decade in expanding financial inclusion through agent banking, digital wallets, and tiered KYC frameworks. The use of NIN as a tax trigger threatens to reverse these gains.
Many newly banked individuals, particularly those at the base of the economic pyramid, may abandon formal accounts, revert to cash-based transactions, or rely on informal savings mechanisms.
The irony is stark as an identifier designed to formalise the economy may inadvertently push activity back into informality.
Rising Compliance, Legal, and Technology Costs
Operationally, integrating NIN as a tax identifier significantly increases banks’ compliance burden. However, institutions are expected to synchronise multiple databases, resolve inconsistencies at scale, implement continuous monitoring systems while also managing customer disputes arising from mismatches or wrongful flags.
The challenges inherent in these demands require heavy investment in IT infrastructure, expanded compliance teams and enhanced cybersecurity. The costs either erode profitability or are passed on to customers, further fuelling public resentment.
Credit Creation and Economic Growth at Risk
Reduced deposits, higher compliance costs, reputational strain, and customer attrition converge on a single outcome that mainly constrained lending capacity.
There is no two ways about this, banks under sustained pressure will tighten credit standards, reduce SME and consumer lending, and favour low-risk government securities. The ripple effects include slower job creation, constrained entrepreneurship, and, on a dangerous level, it leads to weaker economic growth, ultimately undermining the very revenue base the tax reform seeks to expand.
Revenue Without Ruin
No doubt, linking NIN to tax identification and expanding transaction-based levies may enhance government visibility over economic activity, but in reality they carry significant unintended consequences for banking business.
They risk weakening customer trust, undermining deposit mobilisation, reversing financial inclusion gains, increasing operational and reputational risks, and constraining credit growth.
Banks do not oppose taxation. What they caution against is turning financial inclusion infrastructure into a blunt instrument of tax enforcement without adequate safeguards.
For the policy to succeed without damaging the banking system, regulators must ensure clear thresholds and exemptions, strong data protection guarantees, phased implementation and ensure sustained public education to redirect hostility away from banks.
Ultimately, the critical question is not legislative readiness but execution, especially coordination across institutions, technological preparedness and the capacity to prevent unintended disruption to businesses and citizens alike. The authorities must understand that when revenue meets risk, wisdom lies in balance.
Blaise, a journalist and PR professional, writes from Lagos and can be reached via: [email protected]
E-Financial
GTCO Secures Regulatory Approvals to Raise N10bn in Private Placement

Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc (“GTCO) has obtained the approvals of both the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to undertake a private placement of its ordinary shares, subject to the fulfilment of the applicable conditions precedent and regulatory requirements.

The Financial Holding Company had earlier on August 29, 2025 announced that its banking subsidiary (Guaranty Trust Bank Limited) had satisfied and surpassed the new CBN minimum capital requirement for commercial banks with international authorisation, having already increased its capital to N504.037 billion.
The Company has entered into an arrangement, in connection with a best efforts private placement for gross proceeds of up to N10 billion from the sale of up to 125,000,000 of the ordinary shares of the Company at N80 per share”.
This private placement in the sum of N10billion is being raised pursuant to Section 7.1 of the Guidelines for Licensing and Regulation of Financial Holding Companies (FHCs) in Nigeria regarding the computation of the capital of FHCs.
According to a statement signed by the company’s Group General Counsel/Company Secretary, Erhi Obebeduo, the proposed private placement is being undertaken pursuant to the company’s shareholders’ resolution passed at its Annual General Meeting held on 9 May 2024 which authorised the Board to establish a capital raising programme of up to $750,000,000 or its equivalent through the issuance of ordinary shares, preference shares, convertible and/or non-convertible bonds or any other instruments, whether by way of a public offering, private placement, rights issue, book building process or any other method or combination of methods in such tranches, and at such dates and upon terms and conditions as may be determined by the Board.
The statement further read that, “As a result of this, the Board has authorised the Company to embark on a private placement to raise N10,000,000,000.00 (Ten Billion Naira only), by the allotment of 125,000,000 (one hundred and twenty-five million) ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each (the “Private Placement”).
The Offering is scheduled to close on December 31, 2025 (the Closing Date) and is subject to certain conditions, including, but not limited to, receipt of all necessary approvals.
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