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Week Ahead: U.S. Earnings, ECB Meeting, UK’s PMI- FXTM

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U.S. equities finally managed to break above last year’s record highs, supported by solid economic data and prospects of a new round of monetary easing by major central banks.

The S&P 500 ended Friday up 5.76% year-to-date, but when looking deeper into the sectors, financials which contributes 15.21% to the index market cap is down 1.46% YTD and the largest constituent “technology sector” is only up 2.85% YTD.

The two sectors which gained the most were telecoms and utilities, up 22.07% and 20.03% respectively, which clearly indicates that a key aspect of the rally was driven by search for yields as top rated bonds arenot satisfying investors.

Bulls argue that current conditions could still push markets higher, while bears see price-to-earnings ratio and other valuation metrics are hard to justify. I believe U.S. equities will be under a real test next week with about one-fifth of S&P 500 companies due to report earnings. Among the big companies to announce are IBM, Johnson & Johnson, AT&T, GE, Microsoft, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley, just to mention a few.

Earning growth is expected to remain in recession and fall by another 4.7% in second quarter according to Thomson Reuters. However, this isn’t the markets main concern, it’s the forward outlook thatmatters the most as central banks’ policies can’t push stocks forever.

ECB to hold fire
The key macro event will be the European Central Bank Meeting on Thursday and as with the BoE last week, the central bank will keep its powder dry for now and remain in wait-and-see mode.

We might see an adjustment on the public sector purchase programme (PSPP) as big chunk of the German bonds’ yield curve fell below the -0.4% deposit facility rate at which the bank can buy bonds. However, investors key focus will be on Mario Draghi’s press conference on whether he will pave the way for more easing in September. Brexit and Italian banking system will be on the top of ECB’s agenda.  

UK’s one-off flash PMI
The British pound outperformed its major peers past week to end 1.9% higher against the U.S. dollar. Most of the gains were derived from the BoE’s surprise decision to keep monetary policy unchanged on Thursday, sending GBPUSD close to 1.35.

The relief rally provided an opportunity to sell the pound again as traders realized that easing is not a matter of if, but by how much and when.

This week investors will focus on the one-off release of Markit’s flash purchasing managers index on Friday. It will be the first leading indicator to provide a valuable assessment on the immediate impact post-referendum vote.

Hussein Sayed is Chief Market Strategist at FXTM


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E-Financial

Transfers Fail as Banks Suffer USSD Glitches

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Nationwide Unstructured Supplementary Service Data (USSD) glitches are occurring because the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) transitioned to an “End-User Billing” (EUB) framework.

Transfers Fail as Banks Suffer USSD Glitches

USSD is a real-time messaging protocol that allows you to communicate directly with your mobile network provider’s computers. It operates without needing an internet connection and is typically triggered by dialing a code starting with \(\ast \) and ending with \(\#\) (e.g., $\ast$123\(\#\)).

Instead of deducting fees from bank accounts, the ₦6.98 per-session charge is now deducted directly from mobile airtime.

The disruptions, which have affected customers of several leading banks including First Bank of Nigeria, Access Bank, United Bank for Africa, First City Monument Bank and Stanbic IBTC Bank, have sparked confusion among retail customers, traders and Point of Sale operators who rely heavily on USSD banking for daily transactions.

Previously, banks deducted USSD charges directly from customers’ bank balances before settling telecom operators separately.

That framework has now been replaced with an End-User Billing system.

Under the new model, customers are charged N6.98 for every 120-second USSD session, with the fee deducted directly from mobile airtime.

This means customers with little or no airtime on their SIM cards may be unable to complete transfers, regardless of how much money they have in their bank accounts.


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E-Financial

Court Affirms CBN’s Exclusive Ownership of eNaira Trademark

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A Federal High Court in Abuja has affirmed the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) exclusive ownership of the “eNaira” digital currency platform and trademark.

Court Affirms CBN’s Exclusive Ownership of eNaira Trademark

eNaira

Justice James Omotosho, in a judgment delivered on Friday, restrained eNaira Payment Solutions Limited from presenting itself as the owner of the “eNaira” trademark.

The court also ordered the company to immediately adopt a new name that does not contain the word “Naira”.

The suit, marked FHC/ABJ/CS/113/2021, was dismissed, while the court awarded N10 million costs in favour of the CBN following its successful counterclaim.

Justice Omotosho held that although the company had been registered with the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) since 2004, its name was misleading because of its close association with Nigeria’s sovereign currency.

“The name chosen by the plaintiff on its incorporation is in the circumstances unregistrable due to the misleading nature of the name, which suggests government patronage,” the judge ruled.

The court further noted that the Trademark Registry had, through a letter dated Nov. 15, 2021, withdrawn approvals earlier granted to the company for applications related to the “eNaira” trademark under classes 36 and 42.

According to the judgment, the company was informed that “eNaira is a national intellectual property and constitutes a symbol and national asset of Nigeria.”

Justice Omotosho ruled that the plaintiff had no superior legal claim to the trademark and therefore could not seek injunctive relief against the CBN.

“A party that has no legal right cannot be entitled to an injunction. The purport of this is that, prima facie, the plaintiff has no valid trademark to the exclusive use of the eNaira trademark,” he held.

The judge also emphasised that under Section 852(2) of the Companies and Allied Matters Act, the CAC has powers to reject or direct changes to company names that suggest government affiliation.

“The ‘eNaira’ name is so closely linked to the legal tender of Nigeria, which is exclusively controlled by the CBN.

“An average person on the street is most likely to think that the plaintiff is an agent of the Federal Government or the CBN,” the court stated.

Justice Omotosho added that the company’s proposed activities involving digital currency operations created the impression that it had official authority to issue or manage a digital version of the naira.

“The proposed business of the plaintiff… no doubt creates the impression that the plaintiff has the authority of the Federal Government of Nigeria to issue and control a digital form of the Naira,” he said.

The judge warned that allowing a private entity to control the “eNaira” name could undermine public confidence and create confusion within the country’s financial system.

“Any digital currency with the name ‘eNaira’ will no doubt create the impression that it is an official digital form of the Naira.

“This would be disastrous for the Nigerian economy and will create skepticism among users, as it is not guaranteed by the Central Bank of Nigeria,” he added.

The court also observed that the CAC had lawfully directed the company to change its name within six weeks of its Dec. 9, 2021 directive, but the company failed to comply.

During proceedings, counsel to the plaintiff, Mr David Ityonyman, argued that the word “Naira” was not exclusive to Nigeria and should not be monopolised.

“Nothing stops India from having a Naira. Also, countries like the U.S. and Canada make use of dollars. None of them has laid claim to the name,” he submitted.

He further argued that the company had used the “Naira” branding internationally for more than two decades before the CBN launched the eNaira platform in 2021.


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CBN to Simplify Bank Alerts over Rising Customer Complaints

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and commercial banks are reviewing the large number of transaction alerts sent to customers and the complaints about bank charges.

CBN to Simplify Bank Alerts over Rising Customer Complaints

So called bank alert refers to real-time SMS or email notifications from your financial institution about transactions, balances, or security updates.

Olayemi Cardoso, governor, CBN, said this in Abuja after the 305th Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

He explained that many bank customers are confused because they receive too many debit alerts for a single transaction.

To address this, the CBN has created a quarterly meeting system involving its consumer protection team, commercial banks, and the top 10 microfinance banks. The goal is to resolve customer complaints faster and improve banking services.

Cardoso said one major issue being studied is how banks send multiple notifications for one transaction.African Politics Analysis

He said this often confuses customers and suggested that alerts should be simplified and combined so people can clearly understand what each debit is for.

He added that the issue is still being worked on and solutions will be proposed soon.

On the N50 stamp duty charge, the CBN governor explained that it is not a bank charge.

He said the charge comes from tax authorities, while banks only collect it and send it to the government.

He advised customers who notice wrong charges to first complain to their bank. If the issue is not resolved, they can escalate it to the CBN’s consumer protection department.

Cardoso also said the CBN has strengthened its monitoring system to ensure banks handle complaints properly, compensate customers when needed, and improve customer service.

The CBN is also reviewing how banks apply rules on charges and customer complaints, with the aim of improving transparency and reducing repeated issues in the banking system.

 


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