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Markets Brace Ahead of Jackson Hole

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Global stocks traded lackluster this week with most major markets oscillating between losses and gains as anxiety ahead of Friday’s Jackson Hole gathering forced investors to remain on the fence.

Asian stocks displayed signs of weakness on Friday led by a decline in Japanese shares as investors avoided risk before the Yellen speech. European markets were heavily pressured by slumping healthcare stocks on Thursday with further declines expected if Asia’s bearish contagion entices sellers to attack.

The ongoing uncertainty over US rate hike timings and depressed oil prices have already left Wall Street vulnerable to steep losses. Asia, Europe, and America could be painted in red on Friday if the horrible cocktail of falling oil, ongoing concerns over the global economy and pre Jackson Hole jitters encourages investors to scatter from riskier assets.

The stock market rally may be running out of steam with the events of today potentially providing a foundation for bears to install repeated rounds of selling. Oil prices remain heavily pressured by the oversupply concerns while the Fed divide has somewhat weighed heavily on global sentiment.

The ingredients for a bear market are visible and it could take an unexpected catalyst for stocks to start sliding down lower. Today’s Jackson Hole gathering could be quite critical, with expectations heightened over if Yellen will provide clarity on when the Fed may break the trend of central bank caution. If there is a further disconnect between markets and the Fed then jitter and risk aversion could leave stocks vulnerable to heavy losses.

Dollar on standby as Yellen speech looms
The Dollar remains on standby ahead of today’s heavily anticipated Jackson Hole gathering where Federal Reserve Janet Chair Yellen will deliver her keynote speech which could provide investors some clarity on US rate hike timings. A divided Fed this month has created a cloud of uncertainty over when the US rates will be hiked while the growing disconnect between the markets and central bank continues to weigh heavily on sentiment.

There is a strong possibility that Yellen attempts to heighten hopes over the Fed raising US rates at least once this year but the question is if market participants are prepared to listen.

Although inflation remains a dilemma in the US, overall domestic data still points to stability which could provide a compelling reason for there to be a live meeting to raise US rates in December.

A clear concise hawkish speech from Yellen could be the catalyst needed to dispel this extended period of uncertainty consequently strengthening the Dollar.

UK Q2 GDP in focus
Sterling traded lower on Thursday with the GBPUSD sinking towards 1.3170 as the persistent post-Brexit uncertainty haunted investor attraction towards the currency. Pound sensitivity could be a new theme moving forward with any positive data post-Brexit encouraging bullish investors to install heavy rounds of buying.

Although Sterling bulls were offered a lifeline from last week’s string of positive data which questioned the Brexit scare, more time may be needed to truly gauge the ramifications of Brexit to the UK. Investors may direct their attention towards the revised second quarter GDP release for the UK economy which could offer some clarity on how the nation is faring in a period of global uncertainty.

While most expect Q2 GDP to be 0.6%, a result which fails to meet expectations could spark speculations of the Bank of England cutting UK rates to near zero consequently leaving the Sterling open to losses.

WTI Oil Remains Pressured
WTI Oil was pressured further on Friday with prices trading towards $47 after comments from Saudi energy minister quelled expectations of a production freeze which rekindled concerns over the ongoing oversupply.

Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih stated that any significant intervention in the market may not be necessary other than to allow the forces of supply and demand to find an equilibrium price and such questioned the relevance of the informal meeting in September.

The visible battle of words has elevated WTI to shocking levels with inflated expectations over a production freeze creating speculative boosts in oil prices. With crude oil stockpiles on the rise and rig counts rising incessantly, questions must be asked about the sustainability of the current oil rally.

OPEC has repeatedly exploited the oil prices sensitivity to prop up oil prices and although this is commendable such may come at a heavy price. If the informal meeting in September concludes without a production freeze deal, not only will the cartel’s credibility take a blow but oil could be vulnerable to heavy losses. From a technical standpoint, a breakdown below $46 could open a path towards $44.

Commodity Spotlight – Gold
Gold declined further on Thursday hitting fresh four-week lows at $1318 following the positive US Core durable goods report which dispelled some concerns over the health of the US economy consequently strengthening the Dollar.

This yellow metal has been under pressure this week with prices edging lower as the cloud of uncertainty over the Fed raising US rates in 2016 forces anxious investors to offload their bullish bets. With price sensitivity set to intensify today ahead of Yellen’s speech, Gold could be in store for another chaotic roller coaster ride.

A hawkish Yellen who provides the clarity investors have long sought over the future of a US rate hike could leave Gold open to heavy losses. On the other hand, if investors are left empty handed with the disconnect growing between the markets and Fed then Gold could be provided a lifeline. From a technical standpoint, bulls are pressured and need to keep above $1315 to remain in control.

 

 

    


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E-Financial

After 12 Years at the Helm, Tony Elumelu Bows Out of UBA

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc has announced that its Group Chairman, Mr Tony O. Elumelu, will retire from the Board of Directors on Aug. 21, 2026, upon completing the 12-year tenure limit for non-executive directors prescribed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

After 12 Years at the Helm, Tony Elumelu Bows Out of UBA

The bank disclosed this in a statement issued following a meeting of its Board of Directors held on July 6.

According to the statement, the board accepted Elumelu’s retirement and elected Mr Emmanuel N. Nnorom, a Non-Executive Director of the bank, as his successor with effect from Aug. 21, 2026.

The board expressed appreciation to Elumelu for what it described as his visionary leadership and immense contributions to the growth and institutional development of the UBA Group.

It noted that under his leadership, UBA expanded into a leading pan-African financial institution with operations in 20 African countries and four global financial centres, serving more than 50 million customers.

The board described Elumelu’s tenure as a defining period in the bank’s history.

Nnorom, who will assume office as chairman upon Elumelu’s retirement, is a chartered accountant with more than 40 years of experience in banking, finance and auditing.

The statement said he brings extensive leadership experience and deep institutional knowledge of the bank to his new role.

Speaking on his retirement, Elumelu described serving UBA as one of the greatest privileges of his professional career.

“Serving United Bank for Africa has been one of the great privileges of my career.

“UBA has established a unique competitive position across Africa and globally, and I leave the Board with great confidence in UBA’s future.

“Emmanuel Nnorom is a leader of integrity, experience and sound judgement, and I am confident that the bank will continue to thrive under his leadership,” he said.

Responding to his appointment, Nnorom expressed gratitude to the board for the confidence reposed in him.

“I am honoured by the trust the Board has placed in me and deeply conscious of the legacy I inherit.

“I look forward to working with my colleagues on the Board, Management and our staff across all our markets to sustain UBA’s momentum and continue delivering long-term value to our shareholders, customers and stakeholders,” he said.

UBA operates in 20 African countries as well as the United Kingdom, the United States, France and the United Arab Emirates.

The bank provides retail, commercial and institutional banking services and serves more than 50 million customers globally, with a workforce of about 25,000 employees across its operations.


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Zedvance appoints Prof. Olanrewaju as board chairman

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Zedvance Finance Limited has appointed Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju as Chairman of its Board of Directors, effective July 1, subject to the approval of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Zedvance appoints Prof. Olanrewaju as board chairman

Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju

The company disclosed this in a statement, describing the appointment as a significant step in strengthening its corporate governance structure and positioning the organisation for its next phase of growth.

According to Zedvance, the appointment reflects its commitment to building a robust governance framework capable of driving innovation, sustainable growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The company said Olanrewaju brings extensive boardroom experience, leadership credentials and expertise in governance, strategy and organisational transformation to the role.

It noted that the strengthened board structure would enhance oversight and support the company’s strategic growth ambitions.

Speaking on his appointment, Olanrewaju expressed appreciation for the confidence reposed in him.

“I am honoured to assume the role of Chairman of the Board of Zedvance Finance.

“The company has established a strong reputation as a trusted financial partner, leveraging innovation and technology to create meaningful impact.

“I look forward to working with the board and management to support the company’s strategic aspirations and deliver sustainable value for our stakeholders,” he said.

Olanrewaju is a legal scholar, banking expert and corporate leader with more than four decades of experience spanning banking, finance, academia and institutional governance.

He holds degrees in Law, Arts and Social Sciences, including a Bachelor of Laws (LL.B), Bachelor of Laws (B.L.), Bachelor of Arts (B.A.), Master of Science (M.Sc.), Master of Laws (LL.M.) and a Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.).

He is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (FCIB), Fellow of the Institute of Capital Market Registrars (FIMA), Fellow of the Institute of Management and Administrative Technology (FCMR), and Fellow of the Enterprise Risk Management Professionals (FERP).

Olanrewaju is also a member of several professional bodies and served as the immediate past President and Chairman of the Council of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN).

During his more than 35 years of service to the institute, he held several strategic positions, including Chairman of its Capacity Building and Certification Committee.

He is currently a Professor of Banking Law at Babcock University, where he previously served as Provost and Dean of the School of Law and Security Studies.

He has authored and co-authored several academic publications and serves on the boards of a number of organisations, including Babcock University Microfinance Bank.

The company expressed confidence that his experience in strategic leadership, corporate governance and financial services oversight would support its long-term growth and institutional development.


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FG Denies N8 Trillion ‘Shadow Budget’, Says IMF Quoted out of Context

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Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy, has said there are no secret expenditures or shadow budgets as insinuated.

FG Denies N8 Trillion ‘Shadow Budget’, Says IMF Quoted out of Context

Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy

This followed comments by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that discrepancies amounting to about two per cent of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exist between reported and actual budget deficits.

In a statement on Sunday, Oyedele said claims that the Federal Government spent over N8 trillion outside the approved budget misrepresented both the IMF’s position and Nigeria’s fiscal framework.

The minister stressed that the federal government does not operate a “shadow budget” or spend public funds outside constitutional and statutory provisions.

“The Federal Government has noted recent public commentary alleging that approximately two per cent of GDP amounting to over N8 trillion was spent outside the approved budget based on references to the IMF Representative in Nigeria and the Fund’s 2026 Article IV Consultation Report. These claims are incorrect and risk misleading the public regarding the government’s financial management,” he said.

According to him, “For the avoidance of doubt, the Federal Government does not operate a ‘shadow budget’ or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance.”

Oyedele explained that under Sections 80 to 83 and 162 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), public funds can only be withdrawn and spent in accordance with the Constitution and laws enacted by the National Assembly.

He noted that government spending is undertaken through duly enacted Appropriation Acts, Supplementary Appropriation Acts and other statutory authorities approved by the National Assembly, while multi-year capital projects are implemented under existing laws that permit capital rollovers.

“It is inaccurate to suggest that trillions of naira have been secretly spent outside legislative approval. Such allegations should have identified the specific projects purportedly executed without appropriation or legal authority and present credible evidence in support of the claim,” the minister stated.

Oyedele further clarified that several categories of government expenditure, including statutory transfers, first-line charges, debt service obligations, interventions for national security and infrastructure, and allocations to agencies established by law, are authorised under various Acts of the National Assembly.

“These expenditures are neither secret nor illegal. They are established by law, disclosed in various fiscal reports, and subject to applicable oversight, audit and accountability mechanisms,” he said.

The minister added that differences between Nigeria’s budget presentation and international fiscal reporting standards should not be interpreted as evidence of unlawful spending.

He also rejected suggestions that the reported amount translated into a higher fiscal deficit. “It is equally incorrect to suggest that the reported amount represents an increase in budget deficit.

A fiscal deficit is determined by the relationship between total government revenues and total government expenditures.

“Whether a capital project is financed through annual appropriations, supplementary appropriations, statutory transfers, approved intervention mechanisms, or other lawful financing arrangements does not, by itself, increase the fiscal deficit,” he explained.

According to Oyedele, the IMF’s observations relate mainly to “the comprehensiveness, timing and presentation of fiscal reporting rather than the legality of expenditure.”

He noted that the Tinubu administration was already taking steps to harmonise Nigeria’s budgeting process, recalling that President Bola Tinubu had requested the National Assembly during the presentation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill to end the practice of multiple and overlapping budgets in favour of a single, unified budget framework.

The minister maintained that the administration remained committed to prudent fiscal management, transparency and accountability, adding that reforms in revenue administration, treasury management, budget credibility and digitalisation of government financial processes had received recognition from the IMF, other multilateral institutions, international credit rating agencies and investors.

“Public debate is both welcome and essential in a democratic society. However, it should be based on facts and an accurate understanding of Nigeria’s constitutional and fiscal framework. Mischaracterising technical observations as evidence of unlawful expenditure neither advances informed public discourse nor strengthens democratic accountability,” Oyedele added.a

He reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to transparency in the management of public resources and pledged continued collaboration with the National Assembly, oversight institutions, development partners and Nigerians to strengthen fiscal governance in line with international best practices.

 

 

 

 


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