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Reasons Naira May Hit N500 to $1 Before Year End- Otunuga

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM a keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, has once again predicted that certain external and internal factors may push the Nigeria’s currency vulnerability to dollar exchange rates even before the end of the year.

Well versed in the various factors affecting the currency and commodity markets, Otunuga, who was speaking Nigeria CommunicationsWeek recently in Lagos, said that depreciate in international oil price is principal among factors affecting the naira due to the mono-economic nature of the country.

He provides in-depth analysis on the global currency and commodity markets and isoften quoted by leading international media outlets such as: MarketWatch, CNBC, NASDAQ, Reuters, AFP, The Guardian and Yahoo.

Prior to joining FXTM, Otunuga spent two years as a research analyst with international currency broker FXCM, where he focused on technical and fundamental analysis of the global currency, commodity and stock markets.

Otunuga was also responsible for leading educational seminars for international and local high net worth individuals, and has published a series of educational articles on forex trading with City A.M.

Otunuga holds a BSc (hons) degree in Economics from the University of Essex, UK and an MSc in Finance from London School of Business and Finance, where he studied corporate finance, mergers & acquisitions and the role of international financial institutions.

Enjoy the chat:

When you heard, National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slide to recession, what first came to your mind?

“When I heard that the National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slip to recession, what first came to my mind was for extended period that oil price was down punished major oil-export dependent nations with Nigeria been a no exception.

“If we consider the fact that about 95% of export revenues and 70% of government revenue in Nigeria come from oil revenue, then you can understand why the nation has been under pressure.  So, what has happened to Nigeria is both external and internal.

“Looking at the external factors, Nigeria is heavily oil export dependent. At the same time, even though dollar is not the legal tender in Nigeria, it has strong grip on the economy. Therefore, when you consider the global oil market and the dollar issues, they combined to put Nigeria under pressure.

With Nigeria’s mid-term policies, how quick can we come from the present recession?

“Well, we have to look at this from the short term and long term. Just last week, the even the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to maintain the interest rate at 14%, despite the Finance Minister was saying that higher interest rates can actually act as barrier to the growth in future. Now, the CBN, on the short term is looking at price stability. In the month of August, inflation has climbed to 17.6%.

“So, I think the CBN is trying to see how the economy will fare in the Months of September and October before taking action. So, referring to the question, I think, on the short term, what the CBN can do is stay on the fence and watch how the Nigerian economy performs.

“On the long term, we have to fix our minds that a step has been taking towards diversification to agriculture and building of infrastructure. If these things are put in place, Nigeria could be back within the next two to three years.

You predicted that if CBN continued its policy direction with regards dollar restrictions, Naira will suffer in the market. That prediction has come to pass, Now, what in your view should CBN do differently?

“Yes, I remember that prediction. When I made that prediction I said that if the CBN was to delay de-peg of the Naira it will become deplorable over the natural forces of the demand and supply where equilibrium forces.

“That is what has happened.  If you look at the Naira the official rate today naira is trading around N360 to $1 while the black market is around N420. So, I think even now, the Naira could be open to further losses, due to stronger dollar and weaker oil prices.

“There are still talks at the CBN which is why there is still gap between the official price and the black market. On what CBN should be doing, we have to keep in mind that the Naira is still affected by external factors- oil price. This entails that Naira could still be open to some losses in 2016.

Can you estimate how long (months, years) it will take Nigeria’s economy to flourish again BEYOND oil; that is, owing to Government’s decision to focus on Agriculture, technology?

“The way to diversification is best for Nigeria, but will take a very long time. Remember, Nigeria is made up over 160 million populations with youth the population quite high. One aspect of the diversification is agriculture, which is a better option to reducing food importation and export the surplus.

“When you look at agriculture, manufacturing, technology and building of infrastructure will help Nigeria live beyond oil exportation.  For instance, in the West they produce oil and refine it instead of exporting crude only to import as oil later. So, this is something that can take years to achieve; I think four year minimum.

What Should CBN do with regards managing Bureau De Change (who are principal managers of dollar-naira exchange rates outside the banks)?

“I think the CBN could attempt that funds in this area be transferred through the CBN channels which will be used to manage the dollar-naira exchange.

The Federal Government of Nigeria has declared it intends to submit 2017 budget proposal to NASS as soon as possible, which sector, in your view, should have the lion’s share with regards to economic recovery?

“It goes back to what we have been saying. I feel the share should go to agriculture. No doubt, this is the time for Nigeria to diversify; and it takes time and money to get agriculture to a stable state. And when you have surplus, you export to boost your nation’s self reliance and foreign reserves.

“Another area of investment should be on infrastructure. We know that Nigeria’s infrastructure is weak and it takes a nation with strong infrastructure to easily galvanise all sectors for economic growth, especially manufacturing.

“Tourism could also be a huge industry to help in diversifying the economy.  Let the government invest on roads to boost transportation of those agricultural produce and power. Power will enable SMEs heave sign of relief too and spring up surprises in technological advancements.

What is you prediction with regards how much Naira will exchange to Dollar by year end? What informed your view?

“For now, the main driver between the naira-dollar exchange rates as at today the dollar is domineering. The dollar may continue to strengthen against the Naira, because the U.S is working to strengthen its currency too. If this continues by year end naira may exchange for N500 to a dollar at the black market and N400 official rate.

In the face of the economic recession in the country, what is FXTM doing to help Nigerians (traders) on financial mastery/management?

“Good financial management is extremely important and this comes down to a person’s ability to successfully balance opportunities and risk with regard to their investments. When talking about forex trading, this means having in place a robust risk management strategy and acquiring an in-depth knowledge of the markets so that you can react accordingly to changing market conditions.

“These skills can be learnt and improved, which is why at FXTM we’ve really invested in trader education to ensure that Nigerians can achieve the most from their trading experience. We’ve recently held a number of highly successful educational events in Abuja, including a seminar on ‘The Ultimate Trading Formula’ and a 3-day afternoon trading workshop, and we’ll be holding similar events in Lagos in November. In addition, our local office also offers regular free educational training sessions.

Each week we hold a range of programs including: Basic, Applied and Advanced level financial market trading courses, a MetaTrader 4 Class and an investment seminar on how to trade with the FXTM Invest Program.

“FXTM was one of the first brokers to introduce the updated MetaTrader5 platform that offers hedging and we are seeing a lot of interest in that, so we will look to develop classes on that in the near future as well. 


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Mastercard, BMONI Launch Multi-Currency Payment Cards in Nigeria

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Mastercard, global technology company in the payments industry and BMONI, smart digital wallet designed as a modern alternative to traditional banks have partnered to launch a new suite of virtual and physical payment cards in Nigeria, marking a significant step in the country’s expanding digital payments ecosystem.

Mastercard, BMONI Launch Multi-Currency Payment Cards in Nigeria

The new cards, available in both Naira and US dollars, are designed to support seamless domestic and international transactions.

The partnership combines Mastercard’s global payments infrastructure with BMONI’s AI-powered financial platform to deliver one of Nigeria’s first locally issued international card programmes focused on multi-currency functionality and instant digital access.

The launch comes as Nigeria’s e-commerce market continues to grow rapidly, with increasing demand for globally accepted digital payment solutions.

Through the BMONI mobile app, users can instantly create multiple virtual cards tailored for different spending needs, including travel, subscriptions, online shopping, and daily expenses.

The platform aims to give users greater visibility and control over spending through real-time tracking and customizable card management features.

Folasade Femi-Lawal, country manager for West Africa at Mastercard, said the collaboration aligns with the country’s accelerating digital transformation.

“This collaboration brings together a trusted global network with an innovative platform to deliver real value—instant card access, multi-currency flexibility, and seamless cross-border transaction capabilities,” she said.

Ashwin Ravichandran, head of Product at BMONI, said the partnership is focused on improving financial accessibility and user control.

“Our goal is to remove friction between people and their money. Partnering with Mastercard allows us to provide global access and financial control at a level previously unavailable to Nigerian consumers,” Ravichandran said.

The launch reflects a broader FinTech trend across Africa, where digital-first financial services providers are increasingly partnering with global payment networks to expand access to cross-border commerce, embedded finance, and multi-currency payment solutions.

The service is now live, with users able to access the offering directly through the BMONI app.

 

 


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Mirroring Fidelity Bank’s Giant Footprints in Aviation Financing in Nigeria

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Aviation business, not only in Nigeria, is generally known to be a capital intensive one and strictly guided by international regulations as prescribed by the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO).

Mirroring Fidelity Bank's Giant Footprints in Aviation Financing in Nigeria

Fidelity Bank

The ICAO recommended standards and Practices are to be referred to when dealing in aviation business, therefore, Nigeria being a signatory to ICAO should uphold international civil aviation standards and fulfill its obligations under the Convention on International Civil Aviation.

Numerous challenges, including high operating cost; fluctuating exchange rates; difficulties in aircraft repossession; perceived high-risk environment for international financiers and lessors, leading to stringent financing terms or reluctance to engage with Nigerian airlines, have really overwhelmed the sector.

Experts say international lessors often perceive Nigeria as a high-risk country due to factors like currency fluctuations and difficulties in aircraft repossession, making it harder for airlines to secure leases on favourable terms and encountering difficulties in securing financing for aircraft acquisition and maintenance.

“Despite its strategic location, burgeoning population, and role as West Africa’s gateway, Nigeria’s aviation sector struggles to attract investment and secure newer, fuel-efficient aircraft under favorable leasing terms.

According to analysts, domestic airlines continue to shrink in size ‘due to lack of adequate financing and sometimes lack of sincerity among many operators who are not disciplined enough to differentiate between operating funds from personal monies and in the mix they encroach into their capital. This is why many airlines find it difficult to offset their loans, and because of frivolous spending by many operator and other factors, the banks had it as a policy not to give credit facility to airlines’.

Fidelity Bank’s Midas Touch

Not many people were aware that while banks stayed away from the sector, Fidelity Bank placed a bet on Barrister Allen Onyema’s Air Peace brand over 10 years ago.

Air Peace began operations with seven aircraft consisting of three Dornier 328s and four Boeing 737-500. This initial fleet was notably larger than what some other airlines started with. The airline launched on October 24, 2014.

Despite their size and smallness, Fidelity Bank chose to stick with the airline. It provided fund to buy new aircraft from Boeing. In 2018, Dr. Allen Onyema signed an agreement with Boeing for 10 new aircraft, this was financed by Fidelity Bank.

Fidelity Bank provided the funds required for Air Peace’s growth and expansion. Air Peace has scaled up and is now the largest airline in West Africa by fleet and size.

The airline has also kept faith with Fidelity Bank by choosing to bank with it even in the face of multiple choices, currently.

No airline in Nigeria today comes close to Air Peace in terms of daily turnover and liquidity.

Onyema, who disclosed recently at a press conference to announce commencement of Abuja-London Heathrow flights, that the airline currently has 49 aircraft, 36 on outright purchase and four on wet lease, spoke of the financial integrity of the airline, adding that it has contributed to the feat of securing the coveted slot in Heathrow.

Speaking on maintenance and financial integrity of the airline, Onyema described its fleet maintenance as top notch, revealing that its partnership with Israeli Aerospace Service and OEM has also earned it international accolades. He added that Air Peace’s financial integrity has grown the confidence of other financial institutions in investment in aviation.

“The banking industry confidence has grown due to our financial integrity. Fidelity bank celebrated us recently, our financial integrity is the reason for our expansion, every Nigerian banks now wants to partner with us because we see borrowed money as other people’s money, they are depositors’ money, so we are prudent with it, banks don’t look over their shoulders when they are dealing with us”, he added.

On Sunday, April 21, 2024, Fidelity Bank hosted an evening in honour of Air Peace for achieving a historic milestone of being the first Nigerian airline in recent times to commence direct flights from Nigeria to London.

The dinner, which also coincided with the 10th year anniversary of the airline, was to be an opportunity to get together to celebrate Nigerian aviation giant and Chairman of the Air Peace Group, Dr. Allen Onyema, who had broken the jinx of Nigerian airlines in the international aviation space with its commencement of flights to London.

Making its debut flight to London on March 30, 2024, with a ticket price of N1.2 million while players in the space prior to March 30 had charged as much as N3 million, foreign airlines plying the route has since continued to drop their prices in order to remain competitive in the market.

Air Peace’ involvement in the international flight terrain has received lots of accolades from Nigerians at home and abroad and its strategic pricing is also a big win for Nigeria’s flying public as reduced flight cost gives Nigerians more liquidity to enjoy other pleasures they may wish.

Following on this, Fidelity bank’s evening in honour of Air Peace is a loud cheer in support of the airline.

According to Onyema, when the airline started operating in 2014, of all the financial institution within the country, only Fidelity bank was willing to support it through its teething period.

Onyema noted that the support gotten from the bank has been consistent through the years enabling him to fulfill his lifelong dream of job creation and empowerment of the average Nigerian.

“This bank (Fidelity) is the only bank that responded to us in the early days. They believed in us. People that earn hundred thousand a month, they give them loans. I call it our journey with Fidelity Bank”.

“Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe has just spoken about us, how we were there for them. But I also remember how she was there for us while she was an Executive Director with Fidelity. The team was always there when the road was very rough. Words have failed me because I didn’t know this day will come when an indigenous institution will be celebrating another indigenous institution. It is very encouraging.”

In her remarks at the event, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Fidelity bank, Dr. Onyeka Onyeali-Ikpe, stated that the celebration is well deserved as Air Peace has through financial discipline expanded its operational fleet and is going the extra mile to put Nigeria on the world stage.

“Today, we are celebrating one of ours. They started operations with a few aircrafts and today they have 24 aircrafts. My experience with them underscores what you call financial discipline. When you go through their accounts, you will not see personal spend.

“That is a lesson for everybody. We are here to celebrate them. This is a major milestone. We have supported them, no doubt, but they have also been very loyal to us. Because they have been a big fan for a very long time and all the big boys wanted them but Allen and his team said no.

Ibom Air

Fidelity Bank is also a part of the success story of Ibom Air as it was recently revealed by the erstwhile managing Director of the airline, Captain Mfon Udom that it was the lead financier for the acquisition of its Airbus A220-300 Series.

Speaking at the ceremony to officially receive the aircraft at the Victor Attah International Airport Uyo, Udom stated that “there are several Banks that are supporting Ibom Air, but this Aircraft in particular has been made possible by Fidelity Bank and Union Bank.’

“The significance of this ceremony today cannot be over-emphasized. I must thank Fidelity Bank because they have come in full force to support us. By 2026 we are going to be operating 18 aircraft and adding two new destinations to the routes of Ibom Air later this year, the aircraft will boost services on existing routes.

“My speech would be incomplete without acknowledging the role played by Fidelity Bank as the lead financier of the acquisition of Ibom’s Air’s Airbus A220-300 aircraft”, he stated.

Also speaking at the event, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Fidelity Bank Plc, Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe, represented by Mr. Charles Nwoke, Executive Director, Risk Management, Fidelity Bank noted that “As the market leader in airline financing in Nigeria, Fidelity Bank is proud to support Ibom Air in this venture.

His words “The partnership reflects our commitment to being the bank of choice for the people of Akwa Ibom State. And we pledge to do more for our valued customers as we continue to pursue our corporate mandate of helping individuals to grow, businesses to thrive and economies to prosper.’’

Enugu Air

And the recently launched Enugu Air was also made possible with a strong financial support of Fidelity Bank.

Its Managing Director, Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe, described the launch of Enugu Air as a powerful affirmation that the nation’s aviation sector is major driver of Nigeria’s economic growth.

Speaking at the official launch of the Enugu Air held at the Akanu Ibiam International Airport, Enugu, she stated that ‘Fidelity Bank is proud to finance tomorrow’s opportunities today, noting that the bank’s support for Enugu Air aligns with its belief in aviation as a catalyst for growth’.

“It is an honour to join you today as we celebrate the official launch of Enugu Air. As the lead financier of this visionary project, our support for Enugu Air reflects our long-standing belief in aviation as a driver of economic growth, regional connectivity, and national transformation.

“At Fidelity Bank, we stand firmly behind its potential to unlock new corridors of opportunity by boosting tourism, accelerating commerce, and creating thousands of jobs across the Southeast. We are proud to finance tomorrow’s opportunities today, a powerful affirmation that ‘Tomorrow Is Here’ in Enugu State and across Nigeria’s aviation sector.” she stated.

CTC signing by Nigeria

Led by the Vice President, Kashim Shettima and Aviation and Aerospace Development Minister, Festus Keyamo, Nigeria recently signed the Cape Town Convention (CTC) Practice Direction in the aviation sector, aimed at reducing the cost of airline operations. This move is expected to facilitate aircraft leasing and financing, potentially leading to lower flight costs for passengers.

CTC is a treaty designed to facilitate asset-based financing and leasing of aviation equipment, expand financing opportunities, and reduce costs – thereby providing substantial economic benefits. It is believed that this move by government will continue to encourage Fidelity Bank to support more domestic airlines that have hitherto found it difficult to access funds for fleet and route expansion.


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Africa Prudential Launches Sabivest to Boost Digital Investment Access

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Africa Prudential Plc has launched Sabivest, a digital shareholder and investment management application, as part of efforts to deepen access to investment opportunities and enhance transparency in Nigeria’s capital market.

Unveiled in Lagos, the platform is designed to provide investors with a centralised system for managing shareholdings and tracking portfolio performance across multiple investment products.

At the launch, the Chairperson of Africa Prudential Plc, Christabel Onyejekwe, said the initiative reflects the company’s commitment to leveraging innovation to improve investor experience and participation.

“Sabivest provides a unified ecosystem that enables individuals and institutions to seamlessly access, monitor and grow diversified financial assets through a single interface,” she said, describing the platform as a significant step in advancing digital transformation within the capital market.

The Managing Director, Catherine Nwosu, noted that the application, which is available for download on both iOS and Android platforms, was developed to address structural challenges that have continued to limit investor efficiency, including fragmented investment accounts, restricted access to diverse financial instruments, and inadequate visibility into portfolio performance.

According to her, the platform aggregates multiple investment services, offering users real-time insights and control through a centralised dashboard.

She added that Sabivest features consolidated portfolio views, performance tracking, asset allocation insights, and electronic dividend management, alongside tools for monitoring, documenting, and recovering unclaimed dividends.

The launch also featured a roundtable session themed, “Building Trust and Driving Innovation in Nigeria’s Capital Market,” where stakeholders emphasised the importance of technology-driven solutions in strengthening investor confidence and expanding market participation.


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