E-Financial
Reasons Naira May Hit N500 to $1 Before Year End- Otunuga

Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM a keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, has once again predicted that certain external and internal factors may push the Nigeria’s currency vulnerability to dollar exchange rates even before the end of the year.
Well versed in the various factors affecting the currency and commodity markets, Otunuga, who was speaking Nigeria CommunicationsWeek recently in Lagos, said that depreciate in international oil price is principal among factors affecting the naira due to the mono-economic nature of the country.
He provides in-depth analysis on the global currency and commodity markets and isoften quoted by leading international media outlets such as: MarketWatch, CNBC, NASDAQ, Reuters, AFP, The Guardian and Yahoo.
Prior to joining FXTM, Otunuga spent two years as a research analyst with international currency broker FXCM, where he focused on technical and fundamental analysis of the global currency, commodity and stock markets.
Otunuga was also responsible for leading educational seminars for international and local high net worth individuals, and has published a series of educational articles on forex trading with City A.M.
Otunuga holds a BSc (hons) degree in Economics from the University of Essex, UK and an MSc in Finance from London School of Business and Finance, where he studied corporate finance, mergers & acquisitions and the role of international financial institutions.
Enjoy the chat:
When you heard, National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slide to recession, what first came to your mind?
“When I heard that the National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slip to recession, what first came to my mind was for extended period that oil price was down punished major oil-export dependent nations with Nigeria been a no exception.
“If we consider the fact that about 95% of export revenues and 70% of government revenue in Nigeria come from oil revenue, then you can understand why the nation has been under pressure. So, what has happened to Nigeria is both external and internal.
“Looking at the external factors, Nigeria is heavily oil export dependent. At the same time, even though dollar is not the legal tender in Nigeria, it has strong grip on the economy. Therefore, when you consider the global oil market and the dollar issues, they combined to put Nigeria under pressure.
With Nigeria’s mid-term policies, how quick can we come from the present recession?
“Well, we have to look at this from the short term and long term. Just last week, the even the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to maintain the interest rate at 14%, despite the Finance Minister was saying that higher interest rates can actually act as barrier to the growth in future. Now, the CBN, on the short term is looking at price stability. In the month of August, inflation has climbed to 17.6%.
“So, I think the CBN is trying to see how the economy will fare in the Months of September and October before taking action. So, referring to the question, I think, on the short term, what the CBN can do is stay on the fence and watch how the Nigerian economy performs.
“On the long term, we have to fix our minds that a step has been taking towards diversification to agriculture and building of infrastructure. If these things are put in place, Nigeria could be back within the next two to three years.
You predicted that if CBN continued its policy direction with regards dollar restrictions, Naira will suffer in the market. That prediction has come to pass, Now, what in your view should CBN do differently?
“Yes, I remember that prediction. When I made that prediction I said that if the CBN was to delay de-peg of the Naira it will become deplorable over the natural forces of the demand and supply where equilibrium forces.
“That is what has happened. If you look at the Naira the official rate today naira is trading around N360 to $1 while the black market is around N420. So, I think even now, the Naira could be open to further losses, due to stronger dollar and weaker oil prices.
“There are still talks at the CBN which is why there is still gap between the official price and the black market. On what CBN should be doing, we have to keep in mind that the Naira is still affected by external factors- oil price. This entails that Naira could still be open to some losses in 2016.
Can you estimate how long (months, years) it will take Nigeria’s economy to flourish again BEYOND oil; that is, owing to Government’s decision to focus on Agriculture, technology?
“The way to diversification is best for Nigeria, but will take a very long time. Remember, Nigeria is made up over 160 million populations with youth the population quite high. One aspect of the diversification is agriculture, which is a better option to reducing food importation and export the surplus.
“When you look at agriculture, manufacturing, technology and building of infrastructure will help Nigeria live beyond oil exportation. For instance, in the West they produce oil and refine it instead of exporting crude only to import as oil later. So, this is something that can take years to achieve; I think four year minimum.
What Should CBN do with regards managing Bureau De Change (who are principal managers of dollar-naira exchange rates outside the banks)?
“I think the CBN could attempt that funds in this area be transferred through the CBN channels which will be used to manage the dollar-naira exchange.
The Federal Government of Nigeria has declared it intends to submit 2017 budget proposal to NASS as soon as possible, which sector, in your view, should have the lion’s share with regards to economic recovery?
“It goes back to what we have been saying. I feel the share should go to agriculture. No doubt, this is the time for Nigeria to diversify; and it takes time and money to get agriculture to a stable state. And when you have surplus, you export to boost your nation’s self reliance and foreign reserves.
“Another area of investment should be on infrastructure. We know that Nigeria’s infrastructure is weak and it takes a nation with strong infrastructure to easily galvanise all sectors for economic growth, especially manufacturing.
“Tourism could also be a huge industry to help in diversifying the economy. Let the government invest on roads to boost transportation of those agricultural produce and power. Power will enable SMEs heave sign of relief too and spring up surprises in technological advancements.
What is you prediction with regards how much Naira will exchange to Dollar by year end? What informed your view?
“For now, the main driver between the naira-dollar exchange rates as at today the dollar is domineering. The dollar may continue to strengthen against the Naira, because the U.S is working to strengthen its currency too. If this continues by year end naira may exchange for N500 to a dollar at the black market and N400 official rate.
In the face of the economic recession in the country, what is FXTM doing to help Nigerians (traders) on financial mastery/management?
“Good financial management is extremely important and this comes down to a person’s ability to successfully balance opportunities and risk with regard to their investments. When talking about forex trading, this means having in place a robust risk management strategy and acquiring an in-depth knowledge of the markets so that you can react accordingly to changing market conditions.
“These skills can be learnt and improved, which is why at FXTM we’ve really invested in trader education to ensure that Nigerians can achieve the most from their trading experience. We’ve recently held a number of highly successful educational events in Abuja, including a seminar on ‘The Ultimate Trading Formula’ and a 3-day afternoon trading workshop, and we’ll be holding similar events in Lagos in November. In addition, our local office also offers regular free educational training sessions.
Each week we hold a range of programs including: Basic, Applied and Advanced level financial market trading courses, a MetaTrader 4 Class and an investment seminar on how to trade with the FXTM Invest Program.
“FXTM was one of the first brokers to introduce the updated MetaTrader5 platform that offers hedging and we are seeing a lot of interest in that, so we will look to develop classes on that in the near future as well.
E-Financial
After 12 Years at the Helm, Tony Elumelu Bows Out of UBA

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc has announced that its Group Chairman, Mr Tony O. Elumelu, will retire from the Board of Directors on Aug. 21, 2026, upon completing the 12-year tenure limit for non-executive directors prescribed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The bank disclosed this in a statement issued following a meeting of its Board of Directors held on July 6.
According to the statement, the board accepted Elumelu’s retirement and elected Mr Emmanuel N. Nnorom, a Non-Executive Director of the bank, as his successor with effect from Aug. 21, 2026.
The board expressed appreciation to Elumelu for what it described as his visionary leadership and immense contributions to the growth and institutional development of the UBA Group.
It noted that under his leadership, UBA expanded into a leading pan-African financial institution with operations in 20 African countries and four global financial centres, serving more than 50 million customers.
The board described Elumelu’s tenure as a defining period in the bank’s history.
Nnorom, who will assume office as chairman upon Elumelu’s retirement, is a chartered accountant with more than 40 years of experience in banking, finance and auditing.
The statement said he brings extensive leadership experience and deep institutional knowledge of the bank to his new role.
Speaking on his retirement, Elumelu described serving UBA as one of the greatest privileges of his professional career.
“Serving United Bank for Africa has been one of the great privileges of my career.
“UBA has established a unique competitive position across Africa and globally, and I leave the Board with great confidence in UBA’s future.
“Emmanuel Nnorom is a leader of integrity, experience and sound judgement, and I am confident that the bank will continue to thrive under his leadership,” he said.
Responding to his appointment, Nnorom expressed gratitude to the board for the confidence reposed in him.
“I am honoured by the trust the Board has placed in me and deeply conscious of the legacy I inherit.
“I look forward to working with my colleagues on the Board, Management and our staff across all our markets to sustain UBA’s momentum and continue delivering long-term value to our shareholders, customers and stakeholders,” he said.
UBA operates in 20 African countries as well as the United Kingdom, the United States, France and the United Arab Emirates.
The bank provides retail, commercial and institutional banking services and serves more than 50 million customers globally, with a workforce of about 25,000 employees across its operations.
E-Financial
Zedvance appoints Prof. Olanrewaju as board chairman

Zedvance Finance Limited has appointed Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju as Chairman of its Board of Directors, effective July 1, subject to the approval of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju
The company disclosed this in a statement, describing the appointment as a significant step in strengthening its corporate governance structure and positioning the organisation for its next phase of growth.
According to Zedvance, the appointment reflects its commitment to building a robust governance framework capable of driving innovation, sustainable growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.
The company said Olanrewaju brings extensive boardroom experience, leadership credentials and expertise in governance, strategy and organisational transformation to the role.
It noted that the strengthened board structure would enhance oversight and support the company’s strategic growth ambitions.
Speaking on his appointment, Olanrewaju expressed appreciation for the confidence reposed in him.
“I am honoured to assume the role of Chairman of the Board of Zedvance Finance.
“The company has established a strong reputation as a trusted financial partner, leveraging innovation and technology to create meaningful impact.
“I look forward to working with the board and management to support the company’s strategic aspirations and deliver sustainable value for our stakeholders,” he said.
Olanrewaju is a legal scholar, banking expert and corporate leader with more than four decades of experience spanning banking, finance, academia and institutional governance.
He holds degrees in Law, Arts and Social Sciences, including a Bachelor of Laws (LL.B), Bachelor of Laws (B.L.), Bachelor of Arts (B.A.), Master of Science (M.Sc.), Master of Laws (LL.M.) and a Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.).
He is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (FCIB), Fellow of the Institute of Capital Market Registrars (FIMA), Fellow of the Institute of Management and Administrative Technology (FCMR), and Fellow of the Enterprise Risk Management Professionals (FERP).
Olanrewaju is also a member of several professional bodies and served as the immediate past President and Chairman of the Council of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN).
During his more than 35 years of service to the institute, he held several strategic positions, including Chairman of its Capacity Building and Certification Committee.
He is currently a Professor of Banking Law at Babcock University, where he previously served as Provost and Dean of the School of Law and Security Studies.
He has authored and co-authored several academic publications and serves on the boards of a number of organisations, including Babcock University Microfinance Bank.
The company expressed confidence that his experience in strategic leadership, corporate governance and financial services oversight would support its long-term growth and institutional development.
E-Financial
FG Denies N8 Trillion ‘Shadow Budget’, Says IMF Quoted out of Context

Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy, has said there are no secret expenditures or shadow budgets as insinuated.

Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy
This followed comments by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that discrepancies amounting to about two per cent of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exist between reported and actual budget deficits.
In a statement on Sunday, Oyedele said claims that the Federal Government spent over N8 trillion outside the approved budget misrepresented both the IMF’s position and Nigeria’s fiscal framework.
The minister stressed that the federal government does not operate a “shadow budget” or spend public funds outside constitutional and statutory provisions.
“The Federal Government has noted recent public commentary alleging that approximately two per cent of GDP amounting to over N8 trillion was spent outside the approved budget based on references to the IMF Representative in Nigeria and the Fund’s 2026 Article IV Consultation Report. These claims are incorrect and risk misleading the public regarding the government’s financial management,” he said.
According to him, “For the avoidance of doubt, the Federal Government does not operate a ‘shadow budget’ or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance.”
Oyedele explained that under Sections 80 to 83 and 162 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), public funds can only be withdrawn and spent in accordance with the Constitution and laws enacted by the National Assembly.
He noted that government spending is undertaken through duly enacted Appropriation Acts, Supplementary Appropriation Acts and other statutory authorities approved by the National Assembly, while multi-year capital projects are implemented under existing laws that permit capital rollovers.
“It is inaccurate to suggest that trillions of naira have been secretly spent outside legislative approval. Such allegations should have identified the specific projects purportedly executed without appropriation or legal authority and present credible evidence in support of the claim,” the minister stated.
Oyedele further clarified that several categories of government expenditure, including statutory transfers, first-line charges, debt service obligations, interventions for national security and infrastructure, and allocations to agencies established by law, are authorised under various Acts of the National Assembly.
“These expenditures are neither secret nor illegal. They are established by law, disclosed in various fiscal reports, and subject to applicable oversight, audit and accountability mechanisms,” he said.
The minister added that differences between Nigeria’s budget presentation and international fiscal reporting standards should not be interpreted as evidence of unlawful spending.
He also rejected suggestions that the reported amount translated into a higher fiscal deficit. “It is equally incorrect to suggest that the reported amount represents an increase in budget deficit.
A fiscal deficit is determined by the relationship between total government revenues and total government expenditures.
“Whether a capital project is financed through annual appropriations, supplementary appropriations, statutory transfers, approved intervention mechanisms, or other lawful financing arrangements does not, by itself, increase the fiscal deficit,” he explained.
According to Oyedele, the IMF’s observations relate mainly to “the comprehensiveness, timing and presentation of fiscal reporting rather than the legality of expenditure.”
He noted that the Tinubu administration was already taking steps to harmonise Nigeria’s budgeting process, recalling that President Bola Tinubu had requested the National Assembly during the presentation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill to end the practice of multiple and overlapping budgets in favour of a single, unified budget framework.
The minister maintained that the administration remained committed to prudent fiscal management, transparency and accountability, adding that reforms in revenue administration, treasury management, budget credibility and digitalisation of government financial processes had received recognition from the IMF, other multilateral institutions, international credit rating agencies and investors.
“Public debate is both welcome and essential in a democratic society. However, it should be based on facts and an accurate understanding of Nigeria’s constitutional and fiscal framework. Mischaracterising technical observations as evidence of unlawful expenditure neither advances informed public discourse nor strengthens democratic accountability,” Oyedele added.a
He reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to transparency in the management of public resources and pledged continued collaboration with the National Assembly, oversight institutions, development partners and Nigerians to strengthen fiscal governance in line with international best practices.
News3 days agoFG Clears N39Bn Pension Arrears for NITEL, PHCN, Other Retirees
Broadcasting3 days agoWhy We’re Partnering With NIHOTOUR To Bring Nigerians In South Africa Home – Steve Babaeko
News3 days agoHow Fraudsters Emptied a Judge’s Account of N7.2 Million in Midnight Attack
Telecom3 days agoMTN Nigeria Celebrates Volunteers at Y’ello Care Impact Showcase
E-Financial3 days agoSEC Grants Approval to Luno, Other Crypto Firms under Regulatory Sandbox
Telecom3 days agoXenophobia: MTN Nigeria Belongs to Nigerians, Not Only South Africans — Toriola
Telecom3 days agoGoogle Play launches $1m fund to support African game developers
Telecom3 days agoMTN Takes ‘The Gathering on 100’ Youth Empowerment Initiative to Kano













