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FXTM: Geopolitical Risks Leave Markets On Edge

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on the explosive combination of Dollar strength and risk aversion & its effect on Gold.

Global stocks were mixed during trading on Monday, with participants adopting a defensive stance after the heightened geopolitical risks weighed heavily on sentiment.

Asian shares simply struggled for direction amid the cautious trading mood and the noticeable anxiety has limited gains in Europe.

With the lingering sense of caution creating a lacklustre trading atmosphere, Wall Street may struggle to find the momentum needed to venture higher this afternoon. Stock markets could come under renewed selling pressure, as geopolitical risks are compounded with the messy mixture of political uncertainty, Brexit woes and Trump developments.

Dollar Index Breaks Above 101.00
The Dollar Index breached above the 101.00 resistance level on Friday, after markets received March’s mixed US jobs report positively.

Although the dismal NFP figure of 98k initially sparked some jitters, this was swiftly countered by the unexpected decline in unemployment rates that dropped to their lowest levels in almost 10 years at 4.5%.

The upside seen in the Dollar was complimented by hawkish comments from the Fed’s Dudley, which bolstered speculation of more rate hikes this year. Whilst the geopolitical risks and renewed expectations of further rate hikes may support the Dollar bulls, the ongoing concerns over Trump’s ability to move forward with tax reforms could create some headwinds and limit gains down the line.

Sterling Slides Below 1.2400
Sterling was exposed to steep losses last week, following the unexpected drop in the British manufacturing output which reignited concerns over the health of the UK economy as it prepares to depart from the EU.

A resurgent Dollar from the mixed NFP report fuelled the downside and provided a foundation for bears to drag prices below the 1.2400 level.

With the bias towards Sterling firmly bearish amid the ongoing Brexit uncertainty, further downside may be expected with any technical bounces seen an opportunity for sellers to attack prices lower. From a technical standpoint, bears need a solid daily close below 1.2370 which could open a path lower towards 1.2300. 

Currency Spotlight – EURUSD
The growing uncertainty ahead of the upcoming French presidential elections has haunted investor attraction towards the Euro. Markets are still weighing the possibility of Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen winning the elections and the jitters have translated to downside further shocks for the Euro.

With the Dollar back in fashion amid the speculations of higher US rates, the EURUSD remains under intense selling pressure. From a technical viewpoint, the EURUSD fulfils the prerequisites of a bearish trend on the daily charts as there have been consistently lower highs and lower lows. The solid breakdown below 1.0600 could encourage a further decline back towards 1.0500.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
The explosive combination of Dollar strength and risk aversion left Gold chaotic on Friday, with prices eventually concluding the week below $1260.

While the metal remains supported in the medium to longer-term amid the geopolitical tensions and political risks across the globe, the renewed rate hike expectations could enforce downside pressures in the short term. Gold’s trajectory on the daily charts remains tilted to the upside, with bulls in firm control above the $1240 higher low.

From a technical standpoint, a solid daily close above $1260 is needed for any further upside. In an alternative scenario, a breakdown below $1240 may open a path back towards the $1225 support.


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E-Financial

FBNQuest Merchant Bank Rebrands as Quest Merchant Bank

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FBNQuest Merchant Bank Limited has completed a change of name and will now operate as Quest Merchant Bank Limited, following the receipt of all required corporate and regulatory approvals.

The name change does not affect the Bank’s legal or going-concern status, management, or the nature of its business. Quest Merchant Bank Limited remains a duly licensed merchant bank, regulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and continues to deliver its full suite of merchant banking, advisory, and capital markets services to clients.

Commenting on the development, the Ag. Managing Director/CEO, Afolabi Olorode, stated: “This name change represents a pivotal milestone in the rich history of the Bank and a deliberate strategic repositioning that reflects our resilience, strong track record, and long-term growth ambitions. While our name has evolved, our commitment to our clients, stakeholders, and regulators remains unwavering.”

As part of the transition, the Bank is updating its branding, communications, and digital platforms to reflect the new name. During this period, some legacy references may remain visible across select touchpoints as updates are progressively completed.

All existing contracts, client relationships, and obligations of the Bank remain valid, binding, and fully enforceable following the name change.


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UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Africa’s leading financial institution, on Tuesday unveiled a groundbreaking instant account opening platform, revolutionising banking access for millions across the continent and diaspora communities worldwide.

UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

UBA

The fully digital innovation, accessible at ubagroup.com, empowers prospective customers to complete account onboarding online in minutes, bypassing paperwork, branch visits, and lengthy processes that have long hindered financial inclusion. Supporting Naira and Diaspora accounts with multi-language options, the platform operates seamlessly on computers, tablets, and smartphones, catering to UBA’s diverse pan-African footprint spanning 20 countries, the UK, US, France, and UAE.

Shamsideen Fashola, Group Head of Retail and Digital Banking, described the launch as a pivotal step in democratising finance. “At UBA, we are committed to redefining the customer experience through innovation and simplicity,” Fashola said. “This fully digital solution underscores our belief that banking should be accessible, secure, and truly borderless.”

The seven-step process is intuitive: customers select “Open a Savings Account,” input their Bank Verification Number (BVN), undergo facial verification, confirm an OTP, update details, upload documents, add a digital signature, and receive an instant account number. This bridges traditional banking rigour with fintech speed, incorporating digital KYC while upholding stringent security.

Built with compliance at its core, the platform adheres to Nigeria’s Data Protection Act (NDPA) and Europe’s GDPR, safeguarding user privacy amid cross-border operations. Unlike conventional methods requiring physical biometrics, it enables immediate enrolment in UBA’s digital channels, blending convenience with regulatory depth.

Alero Ladipo, Group Head of Brand, Marketing, and Corporate Communications, highlighted customer-centric design. “Today’s customers expect speed, convenience, and compliance without compromise,” Ladipo stated. “We have blended industry-leading digital onboarding with robust standards for a seamless experience matching global best practices.”

The move reinforces UBA’s dominance in technology-driven inclusion, serving over 50 million customers with 30,000 employees and pioneering retail, commercial, and institutional services. Analysts view it as a strategic edge over fintech rivals, accelerating Africa’s digital economy amid rising diaspora remittances and intra-continental trade.

As Nigeria and Africa push financial digitisation, UBA’s platform positions the bank to capture untapped markets, fostering economic growth through barrier-free banking


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Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

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Kuda Microfinance Bank (Kuda MFB) has received a license from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to operate as a National Microfinance Bank, which means that it can now have a physical presence across Nigeria.

Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB

With the Unit Microfinance Bank licence it held until December 2025, Kuda MFB’s physical operations were limited to a specific location. The national licence removes those geographic restrictions, allowing the bank to open customer experience centres in multiple parts of the country. It also regularises Kuda MFB’s licensing status in line with the Central Bank’s framework for microfinance banks.

According to the bank, the national licence is about regulatory alignment and operational flexibility rather than a shift away from its digital-first model, so it will continue to lead with digital banking services, offering Nigerians the convenience of making transfers and payments, saving, and accessing instant credit through the Kuda app.

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB, said, “Securing a national microfinance banking licence is an important step for us as a regulated institution. It strengthens our relationship with the Central Bank and affirms our commitment to operating at the highest standards of compliance as we scale. While we remain digital at our core, this licence gives us the flexibility to create more physical touchpoints where customers want in-person support or engagement, allowing us to serve Nigerians across the country in whichever ways are most convenient for them.”

Subject to regulatory approval, Kuda MFB plans to open more experience centres designed for customer support and community engagement, in the style of its existing experience centre in Yaba, Lagos, where customers and the general public can speak directly with the Kuda team to get help and learn about the microfinance bank’s products and services.

Kuda MFB’s national licence does not change its existing product offerings or transaction capabilities, but it provides the regulatory backing for a nationwide presence.


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