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Financial Markets Gripped By Geopolitics

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In this write-up, Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, comments on the ongoing geopolitical risks affecting markets.

Financial markets were firmly gripped by geopolitical risks on Tuesday, as brewing tensions between the United States and North Korea weighed heavily on global sentiment.

Risk aversion is becoming a dominant theme amid escalating North Korean tensions, and the jitters punished Asian stocks during early trading on Wednesday.

In Europe, shares ended mostly lower yesterday and have extended losses today, as the cautious mood from Asia encouraged investors to avoid riskier assets.

The lack of appetite for risk sent U.S stocks to their lowest level in almost three weeks on Tuesday, with further downsides on the cards as the mixture of geopolitical tension and political uncertainty sours risk appetite.

The movements observed in stock markets and safe-haven assets suggest that markets have become increasingly sensitive to geopolitical influence. Recent comments from a North Korean diplomat threatening that the country was prepared to deliver ‘gift packages’ to the U.S is likely to fuel further risk aversion.

Dollar Punished By Fed Doves
King Dollar struggled to hold ground against a basket of major currencies during Wednesday’s trading session, after dovish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard prompted investors to re-evaluate the likelihood of another rate hike this year.

Brainard stated that inflation was “well short” of targets and the central bank should be cautious about tightening policy until policy makers are confident that inflation will rebound. These dovish remarks have effectively trimmed market expectations of a December rate hike, exposing the Greenback to further pain.

As the trading month of September gets underway, Dollar weakness is likely to remain a dominant theme; political instability in Washington and fading rate hike expectations will weigh heavily on the currency. From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index is under intense selling pressure on the daily charts. Repeated weakness below 92.00 should encourage a further depreciation towards 90.00.

Commodity Spotlight – Gold
The heightened geopolitical risks over North Korea and ongoing concerns about stubbornly low inflation in the United States have supported Gold, with prices trading around $1340 as of writing.

The yellow metal has found itself back in fashion, with further upside expected as geopolitical tensions and political uncertainty in Washington accelerate the flight to safety. From a technical standpoint, Gold is bullish on the daily charts as there have been consistently higher highs and higher lows. A solid breakout and daily close above $1340 should open a path higher towards $1350.

Currency Spotlight – EURUSD
Thursday’s main risk event for the Euro will be the highly anticipated European Central Bank meeting, which is expected to conclude with interest rates left unchanged.

The prospects of the European Central Bank tapering QE have heavily supported the Euro and, with the current QE program due to end in September, tomorrow’s ECB meeting will be in sharp focus.

While markets were widely expecting the central bank to announce the winding down of its QE program this week, the resurgent Euro and the impact it may have on the inflation target may prompt the central bank to wait until October.

From a technical standpoint, the EURUSD remains bullish on the daily charts. The breakout above 1.1900 should encourage a further appreciation towards 1.1970 and 1.2000, respectively. In an alternative scenario, repeated weakness below 1.1900 is likely to trigger a selloff towards 1.1770.


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E-Financial

Sterling Bank, Water.org, Sterling One Foundation Partner on WASH Loan for Millions

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Sterling Bank, in partnership with nonprofit Water.org and Sterling One Foundation, has launched the Sterling WASH Business Loan to empower WASH businesses and scale sustainable access to safe water and sanitation for millions of Nigerians.

Sterling Bank, Water.org, Sterling One Foundation Partner on WASH Loan for Millions

L-R: Gilbert Okpono, Snr. Partnership Account Manager, Water.org; Engr. Mukhtaar Temitope Tijani, Managing Director, Lagos State Water Corporation; Mrs. Olapeju Ibekwe, CEO, Sterling One Foundation; Akporee Idenedo, Divisional Head Commercial Banking, Sterling Bank, at the Sterling Bank Water Credit Proposition held in Lagos recently.

The catalytic financing solution addresses daily struggles with clean water and safe sanitation, which impact health, livelihoods, and well-being, while strengthening delivery systems for WASH solutions.

Launched on Monday, November 24, 2025, at The Wheatbaker Hotel, Ikoyi, Lagos, the initiative signals a shared commitment to tackling one of Nigeria’s most pressing development challenges.

Abubakar Suleiman, Managing Director of Sterling Bank, said sustainable development hinges on collaboration and targeted investment in frontline businesses and people.

“By providing accessible financing to entrepreneurs in this critical social sector, we ensure progress reaches communities that need it most. This product aligns with our HEART strategy and commitment to improving quality of life through impact-driven initiatives,” Suleiman stated.

Gilbert Okpono, Nigeria Senior Partnership Account Manager at Water.org, stressed the transformative power of financing WASH businesses.

“Financial inclusion is critical to solving the global water and sanitation crisis. By expanding access to affordable financing, we enable households and WASH entrepreneurs to improve services, reach more communities, and transform lives,” Okpono said.

He added that the partnership reflects a belief in rippling benefits across health, education, and economic opportunity, marking a major step toward sustainable scaling.

The loan supports WASH entrepreneurs, small business owners, and community service providers with flexible financing to expand operations, boost health, livelihoods, and educational outcomes.

Olapeju Ibekwe, CEO of Sterling One Foundation, linked the initiative to the foundation’s mission of catalysing lasting social impact across Africa.

“Our Foundation catalyses initiatives that deliver real, lasting change. Access to safe water and sanitation is one of the most powerful investments in community well-being. We are proud to partner with Water.org and Sterling Bank for inclusive, scalable, and sustainable solutions,” Ibekwe affirmed.

The launch event gathered development partners, WASH entrepreneurs, media, policymakers, and community organisations to discuss coordinated financing, supportive policies, and market-driven solutions to close Nigeria’s WASH access gap.

Interested beneficiaries can visit the initiative’s website for more details.


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Access Holdings Shareholders Approved to Raise N40bn Capital Through Private Placement

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Access Holdings Plc has received the approval of its shareholders to raise additional capital of up to N40 billion or such other amount or their equivalent in foreign currencies, via private placement.

The shareholders gave the approval as part of the special resolutions at Access Holdings Plc Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held on Thursday December 18.

In a notice to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), Access Holdings said the new ordinary shares created in connection with the private placement, will be allotted at a price of N20.25 to one or more investors in such tranches and on such terms and conditions as shall be determined by the Board.

Access Holdings Plc Board of Directors is authorised to consider, negotiate, approve, and finalise the list of potential private placement investors; determine the structure, valuation, modalities, and timeline for the private placement.

The Board was also authorised to consider, negotiate, approve and finalise the list of potential private placement investors; determine the structure, valuation, modalities and timeline for the private placement.

The shareholders also approved for the issued share capital of Access Holdings Plc to be increased from N26 658 billion to N27.646 billion by the creation and addition of 1,975,308,641 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each ranking pari-passu with the existing ordinary shares of the Company.


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Customs Slam 3 Percent Surcharge on Banks over Delayed Revenue Remittance

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Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) has imposed a three per cent surcharge on Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) over delays in the remittance of Customs revenue by designated banks.

Customs Slam 3 Percent Surcharge on Banks over Delayed Revenue Remittance

The development was disclosed by Abdullahi Maiwada, national public relations officer of the Service,  in a statement titled “Nigeria Customs Service Commences Enforcement of Penalties Against Designated Banks for Delayed Remittance of Customs Revenue.”

The agency stated that delays in remitting collected Customs revenue constitute a breach of remittance obligations and negatively impact the efficiency, transparency and integrity of government revenue administration.

Maiwada explained that any Designated Bank that fails to remit collected Customs revenue within the prescribed period will be liable to penalty interest, adding that affected banks will receive formal notifications detailing the delayed amount, applicable penalty and the timeline for settlement.

“The NCS has noted instances of delayed remittance of Customs revenue by some Designated Banks following reconciliation of collections processed through the B’Odogwu platform. Such delays constitute a breach of remittance obligations and negatively impact the efficiency, transparency and integrity of government revenue administration.

“In line with the provisions of the Service Level Agreement (SLA) executed between the Nigeria Customs Service and Designated Banks, the Service hereby notifies stakeholders of the commencement of enforcement actions against banks found to be in default of agreed remittance timelines.

“Accordingly, any Designated Bank that fails to remit collected Customs revenue within the prescribed period shall be liable to penalty interest calculated at three per cent above the prevailing Nigerian Interbank Offered Rate for the duration of the delay. Affected banks will receive formal notifications indicating the delayed amount, applicable penalty and the timeline for settlement.”

Maiwada further advised Designated Banks to strengthen their internal controls, ensure strict adherence to remittance timelines and comply fully with the provisions of the SLA.

He reiterated that the Service remains committed to enforcing accountability, safeguarding government revenue and promoting a transparent and predictable financial system in support of national economic development.

“The Service further notes that persistent or repeated non-compliance with the terms of the SLA may attract additional sanctions, including regulatory and administrative measures, as provided under the Agreement and relevant laws guiding Customs revenue collection.

“The NCS reiterates that prompt, accurate and complete remittance of Customs revenue is a fundamental obligation of Designated Banks. Any payment of collected revenue into unauthorised accounts, whether deliberate or erroneous, will be treated as a serious violation and addressed in accordance with the SLA and applicable legal frameworks.

“Designated Banks are therefore advised to strengthen internal controls, ensure strict adherence to remittance timelines and comply fully with the provisions of the SLA. The Service remains committed to enforcing accountability, safeguarding government revenue and promoting a transparent and predictable financial system in support of national economic development,” he added.


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