E-Financial
Move Towards Exchange Rate Unification Positive – Report

A report by the FSDH Research has described recent move by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to achieve exchange convergence is positive, saying it would ensure clarity and improve market confidence in the economy.

The report also stated that the move would enable Nigeria to unlock funding from several multilateral organisations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank and ease the pressure on the exchange rate in the medium term.
It further stated that the central bank’s current move towards unified exchange rate was expected to ensure flexibility and market- determined rate, which it stated to a large extent would, reduce arbitrage, round-tripping and could move the naira towards its fair value.
“The CBN’s move is expected to instill confidence in the market as foreign investors are more likely to participate in a less fragmented market that can be fairly predictable.
“Given this framework, the options available for the CBN include raising the interest rates to incentivise inflow of capital into the economy that may hurt economic recovery in subsequent quarters or relax capital control rules/restrictions and simultaneously increase market interventions to prevent significant depreciation of the naira that may result in external reserves depletion,” the report stated.
It, however urged the CBN to follow up the move to unify the exchange rate with a set of consistent forex policies that would seek to improve market liquidity and prevent every form of foreign exchange arbitrage and unnecessary subsidies.
It also urged the CBN to clear forex backlogs, which the IMF estimated to be $2 billion in February 2021, to further instill confidence in the market.
The report, which was titled: ‘Nigeria’s Foreign Exchange Policy Note- Navigating through the Tides of Uncertainty’.
It added that: “As much as Nigeria needs effective management of foreign exchange and unification of exchange rate to boost confidence, the supply shortage of foreign exchange is still a major problem.
“Increasing foreign exchange supply from non-CBN sources is vital in maintaining exchange rate stability in the I&E window and reducing speculative activities.”
The report predicted that the CBN would be faced with, “policy trilemma” to explain Nigeria’s foreign exchange and monetary choices.
The ‘trilemma’ refers to the trade-offs a government faces when making crucial monetary policy decisions because only two out of the three objectives could be achieved at a time.
It added: “With COVID-19, Nigeria maintained the two objectives of having a fixed/managed official exchange rate and monetary autonomy at the expense of free movement of capital. This was evident in the capital controls and forex backlogs.
“The recent move by the CBN to adopt the I&E market rate as the official rate will enable the CBN to control interest rate while capital controls can be relaxed, but exchange rate will have to be flexible.
“Whether the naira appreciates or depreciates will depend on the level of capital inflows and outflows, CBN’s involvement in the market and the external reserves position.
“This means only way to maintain a stable exchange rate is to attract even more capital into the economy or intervene heavily in the forex market using the external reserves.”
It added that the planned issuance of Eurobond by the government would provide some relief in the market and boost external reserves in the short term.
However, from the fiscal and trade perspective, “Nigeria will need to leverage on the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement to boost non-oil exports and increase foreign exchange inflows.”
The FSDH also recommended that, “providing direct incentives for businesses to produce for exports by implementing port reforms as well as developing a comprehensive industrial and trade strategies would be important steps that the government must take.
“Our 2021 forecasts for key indicators include real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 1.3 per cent, an average exchange rate of N430/$ and an inflation rate of 16.6 per cent.”
E-Financial
Senate Moves to Regulate Crypto Sector, Seeks Investor Protection

Senate has passed the Virtual Asset Service Providers Regulation Bill, 2026 for its second reading, marking a major legislative step toward establishing a comprehensive legal framework for the country’s cryptocurrency and digital asset sector.

Barau Jibrin, deputy Senate president, said the bill seeks to bring order, confidence and accountability to Nigeria’s growing virtual asset ecosystem without stifling innovation.
The move comes at a time when Nigeria remains one of the world’s largest markets for cryptocurrency adoption, with millions of young Nigerians using digital assets for investment, payments and business transactions.
If passed into law, the bill would require operators of cryptocurrency exchanges, blockchain-based investment platforms and other virtual asset service providers to obtain licences and comply with regulatory standards aimed at protecting consumers and the financial system.
Speaking on the intendment of the bill, Tahir Monguno, Senate Whip, who spoke on behalf of Barau, said the lack of regulation has created loopholes that allow fraud and financial crimes to flourish.
“Yet, while innovation has surged, regulation has lagged behind. This has created loopholes that allow misuse, fraud, and financial crimes to flourish; loopholes that expose honest citizens to loss and exploitation; and loopholes that threaten the stability of our financial system,” he said.
The deputy Senate president argued that establishing a legal framework would provide greater protection for Nigerians who participate in the digital economy and create a safer environment for investment.
Barau stressed that the bill was not intended to discourage innovation but to ensure that operators function under clear and transparent rules.
“The intent of this Bill is simple: to bring order, confidence, and accountability into the virtual asset ecosystem. It does not seek to stifle innovation or punish creativity. On the contrary, it aims to create a fair and predictable environment where innovation can thrive under clear rules and responsible oversight,” he said.
He added that the proposed law would strengthen Nigeria’s ability to combat money laundering, terrorism financing and other illicit financial activities linked to the digital asset sector.
“This bill will ensure that those who operate as virtual asset service providers are properly licensed, transparent, and compliant with laws designed to protect the public and the financial system,” he stated.
Barau also argued that a regulated virtual asset market could boost investor confidence, attract responsible investment into Nigeria’s fintech and blockchain industries and support the Federal Government’s economic diversification agenda.
According to him, countries such as Kenya, South Africa and Ghana are already developing legal frameworks for the regulation of virtual assets.
“With the passage of this Bill, we will provide the legal clarity and confidence that innovators, entrepreneurs, and investors have long awaited,” he said.
Contributing to the debate on the bill, lawmakers argued that the legislation could offer crypto users stronger safeguards against fraudulent schemes that have proliferated in recent years, while also giving legitimate operators the legal certainty needed to attract investment and expand their businesses.
The bill was subsequently referred to the relevant Senate committee for further legislative scrutiny and a report back to the chamber.
E-Financial
CBN to Deploy AI in Fight Against Payment Fraud

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has unveiled plans to deploy Artificial Intelligence (AI) to strengthen fraud prevention and enhance the efficiency of the country’s digital payments ecosystem as part of its Nigeria Payments System Vision (PSV) 2028.

Payment fraud is the illegal, unauthorized use or manipulation of payment instruments—like credit cards, wire transfers, or digital wallets—to obtain financial gain.
The initiative, contained in the apex bank’s newly released PSV 2028 document, positions AI as a key technology in Nigeria’s efforts to build a more secure, inclusive and globally competitive payments landscape.
According to the CBN, the adoption of AI forms part of its guiding principle of “Innovation with Purpose,” which seeks to leverage emerging technologies to improve convenience, efficiency and competitiveness across the financial system.
The bank noted that while digital payments have grown significantly in recent years, fraud and cyber threats continue to pose serious challenges to consumer confidence and financial inclusion.
The document highlighted persistent exposure to fraud, cyber-attacks, identity theft, phishing schemes and unauthorised transactions as major risks facing the payments ecosystem. These threats, it said, have undermined trust in digital financial services and constrained efforts to expand access to formal financial systems.
To address these concerns, the CBN said PSV 2028 would place greater emphasis on cybersecurity, fraud management, and the deployment of advanced technologies to detect and prevent financial crimes.
Under the vision’s innovation and emerging technologies pillar, the apex bank disclosed plans to explore AI, blockchain and programmable payment solutions as part of broader efforts to modernise Nigeria’s payments infrastructure.
The CBN also revealed plans to establish stronger fraud monitoring mechanisms, including an industry-wide Security Operations Centre and a national fraud intelligence-sharing platform designed to improve threat detection and response across the financial sector.
According to the document, authorities will facilitate the development of shared infrastructure for fraud detection, risk intelligence and regulatory compliance while introducing industry-wide cyber performance monitoring frameworks.
The bank noted that AI is already transforming payment systems globally and is increasingly being deployed through chatbots, self-service platforms, robotic process automation and other digital tools that enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
Beyond fraud prevention, the CBN said AI-driven technologies are expected to improve transaction monitoring, strengthen compliance processes and support more efficient service delivery across payment platforms.
The apex bank further stated that Nigeria aims to become a leader in technology-driven regulation by 2028, with ambitions to advance RegTech, SupTech and AI-powered compliance systems while exporting locally developed digital payment frameworks and solutions to international markets.
The broader objective of PSV 2028, according to the CBN, is to build a secure, innovative and resilient payments ecosystem that supports economic growth, deepens financial inclusion, strengthens consumer protection and improves cross-border payment capabilities.
With electronic payment transactions already surpassing N1.2 quadrillion in 2025, the CBN’s decision to integrate AI into its payments strategy underscores a growing commitment to technology-driven fraud management and the long-term development of Nigeria’s digital economy.
E-Financial
Report Faults Banks over N91.1 Trillion Sterilised at CBN

A report by the Alliance for Economic Research and Ethics (AERE), has criticised commercial banks for abandoning their core intermediation role to support economic growth as N91.1 trillion remained sterilised at the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) standing deposit window.

The report lamented the scale of idle liquidity parked at the CBN, noting that this represented not financial strength, but a structural failure of credit allocation, adding that the country’s real sector was being systematically starved of capital.
Separately, Alliance also raised concerns over the sustainability of the country’s fiscal position, warning that despite improvements in government revenue, persistent leakages, rising debt obligations and weak capital spending continued to undermine budgetary effectiveness.
The policy advocacy group said recent fiscal indicators suggested that government revenues are improving and budget deficits are narrowing, but stressed that the gains remained insufficient to offset mounting spending pressures and the growing burden of debt servicing.
Nonethless, it said, “The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure — a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.”
AERE is a policy think tank chaired by Dele Oye, a former national president, Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA).
Oye is the immediate past chairman of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria (OPSN) and Chairman of the Nigeria-Türkiye Business Council (NTBC).
The report said, “The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving.”
It highlighted what it described as a “cosmetic drop” in CBN standing deposit facility placements from N92.32 trillion in April 2026 to N91.1 trillion in May, arguing that the marginal decline obscures a far more troubling structural reality.
It noted that deposits surged to N128.9 trillion in March 2026, before moderating slightly in subsequent months, but still reflected an extraordinary liquidity concentration at the apex bank.
The report estimated that banks cumulatively placed N425.86 trillion with the CBN in the first five months of 2026 alone — a figure described as “an almost 700 per cent year-on-year increase” compared to the same period in 2025.
“This is not banking. This is financial mercantilism — the capture of state-derived liquidity for private gain, with minimal productive intermediation,” the report said.
At the same time, borrowing from the CBN’s Standing Lending Facility (SLF) reportedly collapsed by 94.9 per cent, to N2.2 trillion from N43.42 trillion, reinforcing what it called a system where banks no longer need to lend to survive.
The report maintained that much of what is recorded as banking strength is, in reality, illusory, and identified three categories of “contingent assets” that distort balance sheet realities.
First are performance bonds and guarantees tied to government contracts, which are largely risk-free fiscal obligations repackaged as banking assets.
The other are delayed government payments and forbearance arrangements, which the report described as “deferred public liabilities masquerading as productive credit.”
The third category involved thecollapse of import credit demand, as firms shift away from letters of credit due to stabilising exchange rates.
According to the report, these dynamics had left banks “flush with liquidity but allergic to lending,” with treasury managers rationally opting to park funds at the CBN’s risk-free window.
The report situated the behaviour of banks within the country’s high interest rate environment, noting that the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) stands at 26.5 percent, while the CBN Standing Deposit Facility offers 22.5 percent risk-free returns.
This, it said, creates a structural incentive problem.
The report said, “A bank treasurer faces a simple arithmetic: lend to a manufacturer at 30–35 percent over several years with multiple risks, or park funds at 22.5 percent overnight with zero risk.”
It further cites the asymmetric policy corridor designed by the CBN, which was intended to stabilise liquidity but had instead encouraged what it called “systemic sterilisation.
While acknowledging regulatory intent, the report argued that the policy has inadvertently prioritised financial stability over productive credit creation, stressing that the absence of credit to the real sector was “not a bug in the system. It is becoming a feature”.
Among other things, it referenced constrained lending to manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, alongside persistently high interest rates and limited access to long-term credit.
AERE warned that liquidity sterilisation at the CBN was undermining monetary policy effectiveness and inflation control.
The report also referenced recent CBN data indicating that credit to the private sector contracted by N14.02 trillion between February and April 2026, falling to N80.59 trillion.
At the same time, banks recorded record profits, with top-tier institutions reportedly posting a combined N5.54 trillion profit-after-tax in 2024 alone, a 53 per cent increase year-on-year.
It added that the “paradox is stark: banks are thriving while the economy they are meant to finance is starved of credit.”
However, it urged banks to take voluntary reform or risk facing regulatory intervention.
AERE proposed a mandatory sectoral lending quotas for manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, and a possible reduction or cap on returns from the CBN standing deposit facility.
It also recommended recalibration of the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to penalise non-productive deposits, alongside differential treatment for funds directed into real-sector lending.
It further suggested mandatory disclosure of “contingent assets” to expose the true composition of bank balance sheets, arguing that current reporting standards obscure the extent of non-productive holdings.
A windfall tax on excess earnings from CBN placements was also proposed, with proceeds redirected into a Real Sector Credit Fund among other recommendations.
The report stated, “Nigerian banks have forgotten that their source is the real economy the farmer, the manufacturer, the trader, the entrepreneur. They have become dams, not rivers. They capture N91.1 trillion of national liquidity, earn 22.5 per cent risk-free, and report record profits while the economy they are meant to serve gasps for credit.
“The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.
“The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving. The clock is ticking.”
However, speaking in its latest podcast titled, “Nigeria’s Budget: Glass Half Full or Quietly Leaking?”, the group noted that while headline figures portray a stronger fiscal outlook, underlying structural weaknesses continued to threaten the country’s economic transformation agenda.
It stated that a significant portion of government earnings is increasingly being channelled towards servicing debt rather than financing critical development projects capable of stimulating growth and improving productivity.
It warned that debt service commitments had become a dominant feature of the budget, limiting the fiscal space available for investments in infrastructure, education and other productive sectors of the economy.
The group argued that the challenge facing the country extended beyond revenue generation, adding that concerns persist over how public resources are deployed and managed.
It identified leakages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances within the fiscal system as major obstacles preventing government spending from delivering its intended economic impact.
The alliance further observed that capital expenditure remained inadequate to drive meaningful transformation in the real economy, stressing that current spending levels are insufficient to support the scale of infrastructure development and industrial expansion required to accelerate growth.
According to the group,”On paper, Nigeria’s budget looks stronger, revenues are improving, deficits narrowing.
“For look closer and something is leaking. Yes, revenues are growing, but not fast enough to match spending pressures or debt obligations. Government earnings still struggle to carry the weight of the system.
“A growing share of revenue isn’t building roads or funding industries. It’s servicing debt. Debt service dominates, bending our budget to the breaking point.
“The issue isn’t just how much Nigeria earns. It’s how effectively those funds are used. Likages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances continue to drain impact.
“Capital expenditure remains too weak to transform the real economy. No meaningful scale in infrastructure, no serious push for productivity. The path forward is clear.”
It said, “Strengthen revenue systems, cut in efficiencies, prioritize productive investment. This is where evidence-based policy matters. Our budget is leaking funds to outdated programs.
“We must fix the leak and fund the future. Investing in education and infrastructure now is essential. A budget is not just numbers. It’s a reflection of national priority. Fix the leak, fund the future. This is our call to action.”
E-Financial3 days agoBOI Wins Dual Honours @ EMEA Finance Awards for Sustainability and Social Impact Leadership
E-Financial3 days agoCBN Imposes N100m Penalty on Dealing Bank Inadequate Processing of Forex Documents
E-Business3 days agoNITDA Okays NiRA’s Annual, Business Report
Telecom3 days agoPrice of Data in Nigerian Mobile among Top Four Cheapest Globally – MTN CEO
Telecom3 days agoNAIFF Returns for 2026, Expands Focus on AI-Powered Storytelling in Africa
Telecom2 days agoFCCPC Refutes Airtime Market Takeover Claims
General News2 days agoSSDC Warns Businesses against Cyber, Election-Related Risks
E-Financial2 days agoReps Committee Recovers N521m Unremitted VAT from CBN


















