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FXTM Analysis: The Dollar Sinks while Euro Remains Supported

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on the IMF’s US growth forecast and the Euro.

The last remnants of the once phenomenal Trump rally were thoroughly crushed on Tuesday after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) trimmed its growth forecast for the US economy amid uncertainty over White House policies.

Although US President Donald Trump has, on multiple occasions, stated that he will “make America great again” the IMF seems unconvinced as it cut growth forecast for the US economy to 2.1% in 2017 and 2018, against April’s projections of 2.3% in 2017 and 2.5% in 2018.

With the world’s largest economy struggling to hit Trump’s 3% GDP target as it confronts issues ranging from an ageing population to low productivity, sentiment is likely to take a hit with the Dollar finding itself under renewed selling pressure.

Bearing in mind that the IMF’s growth projection for the US economy was revised due to flailing assumptions of Donald Trump moving forward with market shaking pro-growth policies, this is a big deal and it will be interesting to see how Fed policymakers react.

Dollar bullish investors who were in desperate need of inspiration to support the Greenback were left empty handed on Tuesday evening after Yellen maintained a safe distance from monetary policy at an event in London. Although she reiterated that “it will be appropriate to raise interest rates very gradually,” this was old news with nothing fresh brought to the table.

An interesting statement on Yellen’s part was how the banking reforms have currently made the financial system safe, with the next type of crisis that rattled the global markets in 2008 “hopefully not in our lifetimes.” While the comment continues to echo her overall optimism over the US and global economy, Dollar bears were unfazed with the Dollar Index sinking towards 96.20 as of writing.

GBPUSD pops above 1.2775
Sterling bulls were gifted an unexpected lifeline on Tuesday in the form of Nicola Surgeon putting the Scottish independence referendum bill on hold. With the delay of the proposed referendum reducing some political risk at home, the Pound was given room breath.
A weak Dollar played a role in the GBPUSD’s rebound as prices sprung towards 1.2850. While short-term technical bulls may have won the battle this week, the war still rages on with Brexit woes likely to limit gains in the medium to longer term.

Draghi inspires Euro bulls
Euro bulls were unstoppable during Tuesday’s trading session following the firmly hawkish comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi which boosted confidence over the health of the European Economy. With “deflationary forces being replaced by reflationary ones,” speculation has mounted over the central bank potentially tapering QE in the future.
Although the central bank president still highlighted that the inflation dynamics remain muted, there is optimism that the current factors hindering inflation are transitory and as such the Euro found further support.
A vulnerable US Dollar complimented the EURUSD’s upside with prices bursting above 1.1300. Technical traders could exploit the decisive break above 1.1300 to target 1.1450.

WTI Crude edges above $44
The fundamental reason why oil has remained depressed for such a prolonged period lies in the high global crude inventories. As long as the oversupply woes remain a dominant theme, the bearish sentiment towards oil should ensure sellers maintain control.
Although WTI Crude edged higher during Wednesday’s trading session, this technical bounce may provide a platform for bears to install renewed rounds of selling.
This remains a critical period for the oil markets especially when factoring in how the extended periods of low prices and US Shales resurgence could cause OPEC’s output cut deal to fall apart. A technical bounce on oil may be on the cards with traders observing how prices react to the daily 20 SMA which is coincidentally at $45.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold bulls were unrestrained during Wednesday’s trading session with prices clipping $1252 as the combination of Dollar weakness and risk aversion boosted the metal’s safe-haven allure. The sharp losses observed at the start of the week have almost been clawed back with bulls eyeing $1260.
With the ongoing uncertainty of Brexit, political risk in Washington and jitters from depressed oil accelerating the flight to safety, Gold is likely to remain supported moving forward. Technical traders will be paying attention to how the metal behaves above $1250. A daily close above $1250 could encourage a further incline towards $1260.


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E-Financial

NDIC Intensifies Failed Banks Debt Recovery to Accelerate Depositors Payout

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The Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has intensified debt recovery efforts involving failed banks and mobile money operators in a move aimed at accelerating payments to depositors. The Corporation is engaging its debt recovery agents to familiarise them with the enhanced tools and enforcement mechanisms contained in the NDIC Act 2023.

In recognition of the critical role of debt recovery, the NDIC Act 2023 significantly strengthened and expanded the powers of the Corporation. The objective, according to Thompson Oludare, managing director/chief executive, NDIC, is to enable quicker and more effective recoveries, thereby accelerating the reimbursement of depositors.

Represented by Olufemi Oladepo Kushimo, director of the Legal Department at NDIC, he welcomed participants to the sensitisation seminar for NDIC Debt Recovery Agents in Lagos, saying prompt reimbursement of depositors reinforces public confidence in the banking system and encourages continued savings within formal financial institutions.

“Your role is central to this objective. The success of liquidation dividend payments and depositor protection depends heavily on the efficiency and effectiveness of your recovery efforts. The enhanced provisions of the NDIC Act are designed to support you in this task, and this seminar aims to familiarise you with these expanded powers,” he said.

He explained that the Act now provides strengthened tools for recovering debts, including measures to address recalcitrant debtors and, where necessary, issues involving criminal infractions. Participants at the seminar are being guided on how to identify such infractions and how they may be referred to the appropriate agencies for prosecution, as well as the practical steps required for efficient debt recovery to support the payment of liquidation dividends.

“We currently have a number of banks in liquidation, including some that have been in that status for some time. In several instances, challenges such as protracted litigation, repeated adjournments and an entrenched culture of loan default have hindered effective recovery. These realities informed the strengthening of the Act and highlight the need for all stakeholders to be fully aligned and equipped to utilise these powers properly and responsibly in pursuit of the Corporation’s mandate,” Oludare said.

He added that the NDIC Act 2023 provides a comprehensive bouquet of tools for debt recovery, which the Corporation is prepared to deploy fully. “We intend to utilise every section, provision and enforcement mechanism available under the law. This includes pursuing parties at fault, not only to enhance recoveries, but also to serve as a deterrent and to sanitise the banking industry.

“Those responsible for bank failures must be held accountable. We are prepared to apply every relevant provision of the Act to ensure effective recovery and to bring culpable parties to justice,” he said.

Patricia Okosun, director of the Asset Management Department, said the revised Act has strengthened the overall framework for debt recovery and enhanced the mechanisms through which outstanding obligations are pursued.

“We are engaging debt recovery agents to familiarise them with the additional tools now available under the revised Act, beyond what they previously relied on. The essence of this engagement is to sensitise them to the new provisions that will support and improve their work. We are confident that these enhanced powers will enable us to recover more debts, and more efficiently, so that we can reimburse depositors,” she said.

She added that the Corporation remains optimistic about recovery prospects. “That optimism is precisely why we are equipping recovery agents with strengthened legal tools. Our objective is to recover as much as possible.

“Naturally, the earlier the recovery, the better, as it enables quicker reimbursement of depositors. However, given the realities of litigation and related processes, it is not possible to fix a definite timeline. What remains clear is that speed and efficiency are priorities,” Okosun said.

 


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OAU, UNN Graduates Top Unity Bank Corpreneurship Challenge Across 10 States

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Unity Bank Plc has announced winners in the 27th edition of its flagship Entrepreneurship Development Initiative, also known as Corpreneurship Challenge, following the conclusion of Business Pitch at the Batch C, Stream 2 edition of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) orientation programme held across 10 states of the federation.

OAU, UNN, Other Fresh Graduates Win Big in Unity Bank Corpreneurship Challenge

Unity Bank

Notably, Corps Members who graduated from Obafemi Awolowo University (OAU), University of Nigeria, Nsukka (UNN), The Polytechnic, Ibadan, amongst several tertiary institutions, emerged from the latest round of the Corpreneurship Challenge business pitch. Participants pitched business ideas across diverse sectors such as fashion, agribusiness, footwear production, and services.

At the Lagos State NYSC Orientation Camp, Awolumate Fawaz Babatunde, a Civil Engineering graduate of The Polytechnic, Ibadan, emerged the overall winner after pitching a fashion design business, clinching the N800,000 grand prize. Ugwoke Daniel Ifechukwu, a graduate of the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, emerged first runner-up to receive N500,000.

In Rivers State, Abdur-Razaq Sayfullah Adebola, a graduate of Obafemi Awolowo University, topped the competition at the Nonwa Gbam Tai NYSC Orientation Camp with a footwear-making business plan. Meanwhile, Olatunde Esther Funmilayo of Olabisi Onabanjo University emerged as the winner at the Kwara State NYSC Orientation Camp after impressing judges with her deodorant production and services pitch.

More winners emerged from Abuja, Niger, Adamawa, Jigawa, Plateau, Kaduna, and Delta States, further expanding the geographical reach and impact of the initiative.

Speaking on the latest edition of the programme, Mrs. Adenike Abimbola, Divisional Head, Retail, SME & E-Business at Unity Bank Plc, said the Corpreneurship Challenge continues to reflect the Bank’s commitment to youth empowerment and enterprise development.

“The Corpreneurship Challenge has been driven by our commitment to boosting entrepreneurship among young people, especially fresh graduates. At Unity Bank, we recognise that many young Nigerians possess viable business ideas but lack the initial capital and support to bring them to life. The Corpreneurship Challenge was designed to bridge that gap by providing financial backing, mentorship, and confidence to fresh graduates at a critical stage of their lives,” she said.

She added that the quality of ideas presented by corps members across states underscores the growing entrepreneurial appetite among Nigerian youths.

“What we see every edition is innovation, resilience, and a strong desire among young graduates to create value and jobs. By supporting them early, we are not only helping individuals, but also contributing to the growth of the SME ecosystem and the broader economy,” Abimbola noted.

Over the years, the Unity Bank Corpreneurship Challenge has become a key feature of the NYSC orientation programme, delivered in partnership with the NYSC Skill Acquisition and Entrepreneurship Development (SAED) initiative. Since its inception, the programme has produced 638 young entrepreneurs nationwide, offering grants of up to N300 million to help corps members kick-start or scale their businesses.

The initiative aligns with the Federal Government’s drive to promote entrepreneurship and self-employment among graduates, particularly amid the shrinking availability of white-collar jobs.

Unity Bank said it remains committed to expanding the reach of the Corpreneurship Challenge and deepening its support for young entrepreneurs as part of its broader strategy to drive financial inclusion, job creation, and sustainable economic growth.


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NDIC Says No Customer Loses Deposits in Failed Banks

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Nigeria Insurance Deposit Corporation (NDIC) has guaranteed customers of insured commercial banks prompt recovery of their deposits in the event of risk liability or liquidation.

NDIC Says No Customer Loses Deposits in Failed Banks

In addition, the corporation assured depositors of its statutory mandate, which includes supervising banks for risk assessment, ensuring ethical standards, and enhancing financial stability in the country.

Mrs Emily Osuji, executive director, Corporate Services, NDIC,  gave the assurance during a Stakeholders Town Hall Meeting on customer protection regarding bank charges and deposits in Kano.

Mrs Osuji posited that the NDIC has, in recent times, demonstrated a strong commitment to protecting the hard-earned savings of Nigerians and sustaining confidence in the banking system.

She cited the cases of defunct Heritage Bank Limited, Union Homes Plc and Aso Savings and Loans Plc, where depositors received their deposits promptly after meeting the relevant requirements.

The NDIC boss, however, reminded customers to link their Bank Verification Number (BVN) as a unique identifier to locate their alternate accounts, where their claims will be transferred.

The executive director affirmed that NDIC has expanded coverage to protect about 99 per cent of depositors in Nigeria, a deliberate policy aimed at protecting small savers, promoting financial inclusion, and enhancing trust in the banking sector.

She said, “The corporation fulfils its role through its core mandates of deposit guarantee, bank supervision, distress resolution and bank liquidation, all of which are geared towards protecting the hard-earned savings of Nigerians and sustaining confidence in the banking system.

“Our strapline, ‘Protecting your bank deposits!’, is more than mere words for us. We stand by this statement as a firm commitment to our mandate of ensuring that depositors have access to their hard-earned savings in the event of bank failure.

“This is a critical responsibility that we do not take lightly. This is especially so in times of financial uncertainty and distress, with the NDIC standing as a pillar of safety and reassurance for depositors, particularly the most vulnerable.”

Speaking on the concept of stakeholder engagement, Hawwau Gambo, head of Communication and Public Affairs,  said the corporation was compelled to provide clarity, build trust and strengthen depositor confidence amid misconceptions.

Gambo noted that the recent revocation of the operating licences of some banks by the Central Bank of Nigeria, (CBN) and the current public discourse on banks’ recapitalisation efforts have reinforced the need for sustained stakeholder engagement.

She reminded that sustained awareness is pertinent to dust, given already heightened public interest and featured public confidence in the financial institutions.

“NDIC’s last Public Awareness Survey highlighted the need to enhance interpersonal communication channels to improve public understanding of deposit insurance. It is against this backdrop that the Stakeholders’ Town Hall Meetings were conceived as a structured, interactive platform for dialogue, education and feedback,” Gambo noted.


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