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Nigerian Stock Markets Shrug Political Risk, Naira Steady

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By Lukman Otunuga, FXTM Research Analyst

The Nigerian equities market has repeatedly displayed resilience against both external and domestic risks since the start of 2019.

Global growth concerns, U.S.-China trade tensions, and other geopolitical risk factors remain a drag on global risk sentiment. However, the Nigerian stock markets have recorded an impressive YTD growth of roughly 3.31% despite global headwinds and mounting political risk ahead of the presidential elections. With domestic investors seen bargain hunting as the elections loom, the All Share Index (ASI) is seen pushing higher.

While the Naira continues to witness stability against the Dollar, volatility could be in the cards depending on the election outcome. A perceived market-friendly result will be positive for the local currency.

Investors on the sidelines

Investors in Asia are sitting on the sidelines as they cautiously await the outcome of high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China. With the earnings season almost coming to an end, asset prices will begin to fluctuate on daily news headlines. So far, it seems we have more positive than negative news which may continue to support equities.

President Donald Trump is willing to extend the trade deal deadline if the two parties seem to be coming closer to a resolution. A good outcome from the expected meeting on Friday between China’s President Xi Jinping and his counterparts U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and trade representative Robert Lighthizer may further prolong the rally in global equities.

Mr. Trump also intends to sign a U.S.-Mexico border security deal despite the fact he’s not happy with it. Any news on avoiding another shutdown is welcomed by the markets.

On the data front, U.S. consumer prices remained steady for a third straight month in January. Stable prices have led y-o-y CPI to grow at its slowest pace in one and a half years suggesting that the Fed may keep interest rates on hold for some time if the economic outlook deteriorates further. However, the Dollar reacted positively to the data, given that when excluding the volatile components such as food and energy, the core-CPI stood at 2.2%. Such information may be conflicting in a sense that headline inflation doesn’t require further tightening in monetary policy, while core inflation indicates that we cannot rule out further hikes later this year.

Commodity currencies were the main beneficiaries of stronger than expected Chinese data earlier today. Chinese exports rebounded sharply in January rising 9.1% y-o-y beating consensus of a 3.2% decline by a wide margin.  Imports, while dropping by 1.5%, also showed much better than the expected 10% decline. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar were up 0.5% at the time of writing.

The Euro continued to struggle despite the improved appetite to risk. The single currency tested 1.1249 earlier today on the back of a series of disappointing data releases and political uncertainty. The latest political drama comes from Spain, which is heading into a snap election following a budget defeat. If a right-wing coalition takes over, expect to see more troubles ahead in the Eurozone. Other factors that contributed to Euro weakness include the continued plummeting of German Bond Yields. All maturities below 10-years are currently in negative territory, while 10-year yields are just 12 basis points above the zero line, compared to 2.7% in the U.S. All eyes are going to be on German GDP today to see if the country manages to escape a technical recession. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy is expected to have grown 0.2% in Q4.


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E-Financial

Kuda Microfinance Bank Releases ‘My Year on Kuda’ 2025 Financial Recap

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Kuda Microfinance Bank has unveiled the 2025 edition of “My Year on Kuda,” its annual recap providing customers with personalised insights into their spending, saving, and money management habits from the previous year.

Kuda Microfinance Bank Releases 'My Year on Kuda' 2025 Financial Recap

Kuda Microfinance Bank

The tool analyses transaction data across categories like transfers, card payments, online purchases, and bills, revealing patterns such as highest-spending months, biggest payments, saving frequency, and savings from Kuda’s 25 free monthly transfers. Customers can compare 2025 activity against 2024, including income versus expenditure.

In an era of inflation and economic uncertainty, the recap promotes financial literacy by highlighting responsible borrowing via Kuda Overdraft usage, including access frequency, amounts borrowed, and repayment patterns.

Customer-shared screenshots on X reflect national trends: Nigeria recorded over 2.2 billion electronic transactions worth ₦285 trillion in Q1 2025, up 20 percent year-on-year, with POS terminals driving the shift to cashless commerce.

Kuda Group CEO Babs Ogundeyi, in the recap’s opening video, urged users: “Before you carry on with January, this is the perfect time to see everything you did with your money on Kuda last year and learn something.”

The feature underscores Kuda’s focus on actionable insights to help Nigerians navigate evolving personal finance amid shifting earning and spending behaviours.


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Wema Bank Launches SAW AI Voice Assistant for Seamless Banking on ALAT 2.0

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Wema Bank has introduced SAW, a new AI voice assistant integrated into the ALAT 2.0 app, allowing customers to manage finances through natural voice commands similar to Siri, Bixby, or Alexa.

Wema Bank Launches SAW AI Voice Assistant for Seamless Banking on ALAT 2.0

Wema Bank

SAW understands everyday language and delivers instant responses tailored to banking needs, such as checking account balances, transferring money, reviewing transactions, and accessing support.

This feature brings conversational banking to Nigerian users, eliminating complexity and enhancing accessibility.

The bank positions SAW as a pioneer in AI-powered financial services, aligning with global trends where millions interact daily with voice assistants for tasks like setting reminders or playing music.

ALAT 2.0 represents the next evolution in digital banking, making services more efficient, personal, and human-like for everyday Nigerians.


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Ecobank Offsets Repayment of $300m Eurobond Notes

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Ecobank Nigeria Limited has fully repaid bondholders who validly tendered their notes ahead of the February 2026 maturity date.

Ecobank Offsets Repayment of $300m Eurobond Notes

The bank announced the successful completion of its tender offer, under which it prepaid approximately $245 million of its $300 million Eurobond, representing more than 80 per cent of the total issuance.

According to a statement, the transaction relates to the 7.125 per cent Senior Note Participation Notes due February 2026.

Ecobank Nigeria Limited said it launched a tender offer to eligible noteholders in respect of the outstanding $150 million on the bond on November 27, 2025, providing them with an opportunity to redeem their holdings ahead of the original maturity date of 16 February 2026.

It stated that the early and late tender participation deadlines were 11 December 2025 and 29 December 2025, respectively.

According to the bank, holders of notes validly tendered and accepted received a cash consideration of $1,000 per $1,000 in principal amount, in addition to accrued interest from the last interest payment date up to, but excluding, the final settlement date of 31 December 2025.

Following completion of the offer, the bank said the outstanding principal amount of the notes has been reduced to approximately $55.092 million.

The bank also stated that the initiative reflects Ecobank Nigeria’s proactive approach to liability management and prudent balance sheet optimisation.

The tender offer was conducted with Renaissance Capital Africa (Renaissance Securities Nigeria Limited) acting as financial adviser and dealer manager, while Sodali & Co Limited served as tender agent.

The notes were originally issued by EBN Finance Company B.V., with limited recourse to the issuer, for the sole purpose of financing the purchase of the $300 million 7.125 per cent Senior Note due 2026 issued by Ecobank Nigeria Limited.


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