Connect with us

E-Financial

Nigeria’s economic recovery poised to build momentum in Q2

Published

on

Kindly share this post

by Lukman Otunuga

Market optimism over the recovery of Africa’s largest economy has increased steadily throughout the first trading quarter of 2018.

 

The combination of appreciating oil prices, foreign exchange stability and easing inflationary pressure has boosted confidence in Nigeria’s economy. With the nation’s GDP hitting 0.82% in 2017 and predicted to register a positive trajectory amid strengthening domestic demand, the outlook continues to look highly encouraging. The improving macroeconomic conditions and ongoing efforts to diversify away from oil reliance are likely to attract foreign investors, further fueling economic growth.

 

It is fair to suggest that Nigeria’s stabilizing fundamentals may encourage the Central Bank of Nigeria to cut interest rates sooner than anticipated. With oil prices appreciating, domestic production improving and foreign exchange reserves rising to $46 billion, most of the ingredients are in place for the CBN to act. There is a strong suspicion that inflationary pressures need to ease further into the realm of single digits before the central bank loosens its monetary policy. An interest rate cut has the ability to stimulate the current recovery because it encourages consumer borrowing and businesses to increase investments. While an interest rate cut in April may be slightly premature, the CBN could surprise markets near at the end of Q3 if inflation continues to decline.

 

Although domestic economic conditions continue to improve, investors must not overlook external risks that may impact Nigeria’s current recovery. Oil price volatility remains a key risk for Nigeria despite the nation’s ongoing efforts to diversifying to other sustainable sources of growth. With Oil accounting for roughly 90% of exports and 80% of public revenues, a sharp depreciation in prices could easily spell trouble for Nigeria. While WTI Crude has followed a positive trajectory in recent months amid expectations of demand increasing and optimism over OPEC’s production cuts, the upside may face headwinds. It must be kept in mind that soaring production from U.S Shale remains a threat to higher oil prices and is likely to result in a selloff medium to longer term. While Nigeria could continue enjoying the benefits of oil trading around $64, the clock is ticking as oversupply remains a market theme.

 

In addition to oil prices, attention should also be focused towards the Dollar’s performance and US rate hike expectations. Higher US interest rates have the ability to trigger capital outflows from Emerging markets and weaken EM currencies with the Naira falling into the category. While the Naira may be slightly bruised by capital flight in the event of higher US interest rates, Nigeria’s rising foreign exchange reserves and rising oil prices could cushion the impact. The Naira witnessed stability against the Dollar in March with prices trading around 360N on the parallel markets and 304N on the official market. While the local currency’s appreciation may be attributed to intervention by the CBN, the improving sentiment towards Nigeria has also played a leading role.

 

The ongoing trade drama between the United States and China is unlikely to have a direct impact on Nigeria’s economy. Indirectly, the uncertainty and anxiety over a potential global trade war could spark risk aversion consequently impacting Emerging markets like Nigeria. A scenario where foreign investors remain guarded and maintain a safe distance from risk, could weigh on Nigeria in the recovery stages.

 

As we enter the second quarter of 2018, much focus will be directed towards domestic monetary policy, inflation and external risks that could impact Nigeria’s positive momentum. Easing inflationary pressures remain one of the most encouraging aspects for Nigeria as consumer prices hit $14.33 in February. Not only will falling inflation boost the rate of return for savers and increase disposable income in Nigeria, it creates an opportunity for the CBN to cut interest rates- ultimately stimulating economic growth.


Kindly share this post

Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

E-Financial

FG Investigates ‘Sharp Sharp’ Loan Operators over Alleged Privacy Violations

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Nigeria Data Protection Commission (NDPC) has launched investigation into the activities of so-called ‘sharp sharp’ loan operators over alleged violations of customers’ data privacy.

FG Investigates ‘Sharp Sharp’ Loan Operators over Alleged Privacy Violations

‘Sharp sharp’ loan operators, also known as loan sharks are illegal, unlicensed moneylenders who operate outside of government regulation.

They typically target individuals who cannot access traditional bank loans due to low income or poor credit history.

Vincent Olatunji, national commissioner of the Nigeria Data Protection Commission, told the News Agency of Nigeria, that some of the violations include accessing borrowers’ phone contact lists and using them to reach their family members and friends, as well as sharing images without consent and sending defamatory or threatening messages.

Olatunji, who spoke on the sidelines of a training for Data Protection Officers in Abuja, said the federal government was aware of some lenders breaching customers’ data privacy in their desperate bid to recover loans.

He emphasised the need for increased public awareness, urging Nigerians to understand their rights and carefully review loan agreements before accepting offers.

Olatunji, however, said unethical data practices by loan operators remained a global concern.

“Many borrowers unknowingly expose their personal data due to failure to read loan agreements. This is not peculiar to Nigeria; it is common in every part of the world.

“Unfortunately, most of the information are from those who obtained loans without going through the agreement they signed before accessing the loans.

“Many operators function solely online, without physical offices. This makes regulations more complex. However, compliance with data protection laws remains mandatory.

“Before any digital loan giver operates in Nigeria, it is mandatory to look at the areas of privacy,” he said.

Olatunji said that Nigeria had several consumer protection entities such as the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission, which takes the lead on consumer protection.

The NDPC boss listed other key agencies involved in regulating the space to include the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), and the Nigeria Police.

He said that any digital lender must obtain approval and licensing from the FCCPC, with strict requirements to uphold user privacy.

“Part of the requirements is to ensure provisions around privacy are complied with so that they do not infringe on the rights of their customers.

“Any unauthorised access to people’s contacts is an offence and we will come after them,” he warned.

 


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Ecobank Delivers Strong Results, Posts $801m  in Pre-Tax Profit for 2025

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Ecobank Transnational Incorporated delivered one of its strongest performances in years in 2025, posting $801 million in pre-tax profit, up 21% from a year earlier, alongside net revenue of $2.45 billion, a 17% increase.

Ecobank Delivers Strong Results, Posts $801m  in Pre-Tax Profit for 2025

The results mark a high point since Jeremy Awori, CEO took over in 2022 and offer early validation of the group’s long-criticized Growth, Transformation and Returns strategy.

The improvement is especially clear in operating efficiency.

The cost-to-income ratio dropped to 48.3%, from 52.8% a year earlier and above 70% in the group’s more difficult years before 2018. For a bank operating across more than 33 markets with uneven macroeconomic conditions, the shift is significant: Ecobank now spends less than 49 cents to generate one dollar of revenue.

It also marks a structural change, with revenue growth now outpacing expenses at the group level.

Performance was led by the Corporate and Investment Banking division, which posted $697 million in pre-tax profit, up 40%, driven by trade finance, cash management, and capital markets activity.

The Consumer and Commercial Banking segment followed with $480 million, up 27%, supported by stronger deposit mobilization and a 33% increase in lending.

Customer deposits rose by $4.9 billion to reach $25.3 billion, while total loans stood at $12.8 billion.

Return on tangible equity reached 27.8%, signaling a renewed capacity to generate value.

The board’s recommendation to pay $40 million in dividends, or $0.0016 per share, carries more symbolic weight than financial impact.

Over the nine years leading up to 2022, Ecobank paid dividends only twice, the last time in 2016.

From 2017 to 2021, shareholders saw no payouts as the group focused on repairing its balance sheet, transitioning to Basel III standards, and navigating the pandemic.

 

 


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

EFCC Warns Banks against Loans without Credible Collateral

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Ola Olukoyede, executive chairman, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has cautioned Nigerian banks against granting loans without credible collateral, warning that such practices often lead to insider abuse and non-performing loans.

EFCC Warns Banks against Loans without Credible Collateral

Olukoyede issued the warning recently when he received Mufutau Olawale Abiola, chief audit executive, First Bank Plc, who led a delegation on a courtesy visit to the Lagos Zonal Directorate 2 of the Commission in Ikoyi.

Speaking through  Bawa Usman Kaltungo, acting zonal director, Lagos Zonal Directorate 2, Ikoyi,  Olukoyede expressed grave concerns over how banks in the country grant loans, noting that loans backed only by personal guarantees, including those of top executives, are inadequate and put depositors’ funds at risk.

He said: “We have issues with banks’ mode of giving loans. The process often shows insider abuse.”

While emphasizing that banks should desist from issuing loans without visible or credible collateral, he added that “Top-down loans are not secured. You cannot give a loan based solely on the personal guarantee of the Chief Executive.

This is not security. Banks must not issue loans without verifiable collateral. If there is proper collateral for loans obtained by bank customers, this will reduce the rate of non-performing loans.”

He further warned that a bank is only a custodian, and that giving loans without adequate collateral “amounts to tampering with depositors’ funds.”

He also urged banks to implement measures, including thorough due diligence on its customers, to prevent loan defaults.

According to him, “Even in situations where you outsource due diligence, there must be a clause of liability,” he said.

Reaffirming the Commission’s commitment to continued cooperation with the bank in tackling financial crimes, he urged the bank to release its staff promptly when invited during investigations of alleged financial crimes.

“When we invite your staff, especially where insider connivance is suspected, you must release them so we can jointly fight economic and financial crimes. We must work together to stay ahead of criminals. Let me add that where money is, that is where people’s hearts are. Most of the time, we escalate issues to foreign security agencies as may be necessary,” he added.

Earlier, Abiola expressed gratitude to the EFCC leadership for the engagement, noting that the visit was intended to strengthen the existing collaboration between the bank and the Commission.

While urging the EFCC to expedite investigations into cases involving its staff and others, Abiola also disclosed that a designated team in his bank handles requests from the EFCC.

 


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

Trending