E-Financial
Reasons Naira May Hit N500 to $1 Before Year End- Otunuga

Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM a keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, has once again predicted that certain external and internal factors may push the Nigeria’s currency vulnerability to dollar exchange rates even before the end of the year.
Well versed in the various factors affecting the currency and commodity markets, Otunuga, who was speaking Nigeria CommunicationsWeek recently in Lagos, said that depreciate in international oil price is principal among factors affecting the naira due to the mono-economic nature of the country.
He provides in-depth analysis on the global currency and commodity markets and isoften quoted by leading international media outlets such as: MarketWatch, CNBC, NASDAQ, Reuters, AFP, The Guardian and Yahoo.
Prior to joining FXTM, Otunuga spent two years as a research analyst with international currency broker FXCM, where he focused on technical and fundamental analysis of the global currency, commodity and stock markets.
Otunuga was also responsible for leading educational seminars for international and local high net worth individuals, and has published a series of educational articles on forex trading with City A.M.
Otunuga holds a BSc (hons) degree in Economics from the University of Essex, UK and an MSc in Finance from London School of Business and Finance, where he studied corporate finance, mergers & acquisitions and the role of international financial institutions.
Enjoy the chat:
When you heard, National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slide to recession, what first came to your mind?
“When I heard that the National Bureau of Statistics report that Nigeria’s economy has slip to recession, what first came to my mind was for extended period that oil price was down punished major oil-export dependent nations with Nigeria been a no exception.
“If we consider the fact that about 95% of export revenues and 70% of government revenue in Nigeria come from oil revenue, then you can understand why the nation has been under pressure. So, what has happened to Nigeria is both external and internal.
“Looking at the external factors, Nigeria is heavily oil export dependent. At the same time, even though dollar is not the legal tender in Nigeria, it has strong grip on the economy. Therefore, when you consider the global oil market and the dollar issues, they combined to put Nigeria under pressure.
With Nigeria’s mid-term policies, how quick can we come from the present recession?
“Well, we have to look at this from the short term and long term. Just last week, the even the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to maintain the interest rate at 14%, despite the Finance Minister was saying that higher interest rates can actually act as barrier to the growth in future. Now, the CBN, on the short term is looking at price stability. In the month of August, inflation has climbed to 17.6%.
“So, I think the CBN is trying to see how the economy will fare in the Months of September and October before taking action. So, referring to the question, I think, on the short term, what the CBN can do is stay on the fence and watch how the Nigerian economy performs.
“On the long term, we have to fix our minds that a step has been taking towards diversification to agriculture and building of infrastructure. If these things are put in place, Nigeria could be back within the next two to three years.
You predicted that if CBN continued its policy direction with regards dollar restrictions, Naira will suffer in the market. That prediction has come to pass, Now, what in your view should CBN do differently?
“Yes, I remember that prediction. When I made that prediction I said that if the CBN was to delay de-peg of the Naira it will become deplorable over the natural forces of the demand and supply where equilibrium forces.
“That is what has happened. If you look at the Naira the official rate today naira is trading around N360 to $1 while the black market is around N420. So, I think even now, the Naira could be open to further losses, due to stronger dollar and weaker oil prices.
“There are still talks at the CBN which is why there is still gap between the official price and the black market. On what CBN should be doing, we have to keep in mind that the Naira is still affected by external factors- oil price. This entails that Naira could still be open to some losses in 2016.
Can you estimate how long (months, years) it will take Nigeria’s economy to flourish again BEYOND oil; that is, owing to Government’s decision to focus on Agriculture, technology?
“The way to diversification is best for Nigeria, but will take a very long time. Remember, Nigeria is made up over 160 million populations with youth the population quite high. One aspect of the diversification is agriculture, which is a better option to reducing food importation and export the surplus.
“When you look at agriculture, manufacturing, technology and building of infrastructure will help Nigeria live beyond oil exportation. For instance, in the West they produce oil and refine it instead of exporting crude only to import as oil later. So, this is something that can take years to achieve; I think four year minimum.
What Should CBN do with regards managing Bureau De Change (who are principal managers of dollar-naira exchange rates outside the banks)?
“I think the CBN could attempt that funds in this area be transferred through the CBN channels which will be used to manage the dollar-naira exchange.
The Federal Government of Nigeria has declared it intends to submit 2017 budget proposal to NASS as soon as possible, which sector, in your view, should have the lion’s share with regards to economic recovery?
“It goes back to what we have been saying. I feel the share should go to agriculture. No doubt, this is the time for Nigeria to diversify; and it takes time and money to get agriculture to a stable state. And when you have surplus, you export to boost your nation’s self reliance and foreign reserves.
“Another area of investment should be on infrastructure. We know that Nigeria’s infrastructure is weak and it takes a nation with strong infrastructure to easily galvanise all sectors for economic growth, especially manufacturing.
“Tourism could also be a huge industry to help in diversifying the economy. Let the government invest on roads to boost transportation of those agricultural produce and power. Power will enable SMEs heave sign of relief too and spring up surprises in technological advancements.
What is you prediction with regards how much Naira will exchange to Dollar by year end? What informed your view?
“For now, the main driver between the naira-dollar exchange rates as at today the dollar is domineering. The dollar may continue to strengthen against the Naira, because the U.S is working to strengthen its currency too. If this continues by year end naira may exchange for N500 to a dollar at the black market and N400 official rate.
In the face of the economic recession in the country, what is FXTM doing to help Nigerians (traders) on financial mastery/management?
“Good financial management is extremely important and this comes down to a person’s ability to successfully balance opportunities and risk with regard to their investments. When talking about forex trading, this means having in place a robust risk management strategy and acquiring an in-depth knowledge of the markets so that you can react accordingly to changing market conditions.
“These skills can be learnt and improved, which is why at FXTM we’ve really invested in trader education to ensure that Nigerians can achieve the most from their trading experience. We’ve recently held a number of highly successful educational events in Abuja, including a seminar on ‘The Ultimate Trading Formula’ and a 3-day afternoon trading workshop, and we’ll be holding similar events in Lagos in November. In addition, our local office also offers regular free educational training sessions.
Each week we hold a range of programs including: Basic, Applied and Advanced level financial market trading courses, a MetaTrader 4 Class and an investment seminar on how to trade with the FXTM Invest Program.
“FXTM was one of the first brokers to introduce the updated MetaTrader5 platform that offers hedging and we are seeing a lot of interest in that, so we will look to develop classes on that in the near future as well.
E-Financial
SEC Issues Six-Week Ultimatum to Market Operators to Submit Recapitalisation Plan

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said it has handed a six-week deadline to capital market operators to submit board-approved recapitalisation or license downgrade plans.

The directive was disclosed in the revised minimum capital guidelines issued by the Commission on March 18, 2026.
The Commission stated that all capital market operators must submit their board-approved and comprehensive implementation plans within six weeks of the June 30, 2027, compliance deadline.
“All CMOs are required to submit their recapitalization or downgrade plans within six weeks, with clear timelines and execution strategies.”
“Each plan must detail current capital position, minimum requirements, funding strategy, risk considerations, and governance structure.”
“Operators that fail to provide credible plans risk sanctions, including licence restrictions and regulatory delays under the ISA 2025 framework.”
“Pending applicants are not exempt, and applications older than 12 months will lapse and require fresh filings.”
The Commission added that this directive applies across all categories, including brokers, dealers, fund managers, custodians, exchanges, and digital asset operators, reinforcing the urgency of compliance.
The latest development followed its recent announcement on a sharp increase in minimum capital requirements across the capital market ecosystem, signaling one of the most significant regulatory adjustments in recent years.
Broker-dealers are now required to hold N2 billion, up from N300 million, while dealers must meet N1 billion, compared to the previous N100 million threshold.
On the other hand, Registrars face a new requirement of N2.5 billion, rising from N150 million, and Underwriters and clearing firms are benchmarked at N5 billion, while composite exchanges must now have N10 billion.
The Commission emphasised that the recapitalisation is not a one-time exercise but a long-term structural reform aimed at strengthening market resilience and aligning Nigeria with global standards.
A key feature of the new guidelines is the tightening of what qualifies as regulatory capital, which could significantly impact operators’ effective capital base.
The SEC has narrowed the definition to ensure only high-quality, loss-absorbing capital is recognised.
Recognized capital includes fully paid-up ordinary shares, qualifying irredeemable preference shares, share premium, and retained earnings from audited profits.
Unrealised gains are excluded, ensuring capital reflects actual financial strength.
Disallowed items include revaluation reserves, borrowed funds, shareholder loans, client funds, deferred tax assets, and encumbered capital, while Non-cash capital injections are permitted but must meet strict valuation criteria, including quoted equities, CIS units, government bonds, and eligible OTC-traded securities.
The Commission added that exclusion of debt and quasi-debt instruments underscores the regulator’s focus on enforcing genuine capital adequacy rather than leveraged compliance.
E-Financial
DLM SPV PLC Lists ₦9.00bn AAA-Rated Medium-Term Notes on FMDQ Exchange, Sets Benchmark in Corporate Bond Market

FMDQ Securities Exchange Limited (“FMDQ Exchange” or “the Exchange”) has approved the listing of DLM SPV PLC’s ₦7.30 billion Series 1 (Tranche A) and ₦1.70 billion Series 3 (Tranche B) Plain Vanilla Returns Sovereign Bond-Backed Composite Notes under its ₦30.00 billion Medium-Term Notes Programme.

This approval by the Exchange’s Board Listings and Markets Committee reinforces FMDQ Exchange’s position as the preferred platform for innovative debt structures that serve both investor requirements and issuer funding needs.
DLM SPV PLC (“DLM SPV” or “the Issuer”), a special purpose vehicle established to facilitate structured financing arrangements, represents an innovative approach to capital mobilisation within Nigeria’s evolving financial landscape. The dual-tranche issuance structure provides investors with differentiated risk-return profiles while enabling efficient capital deployment. The net proceeds from this Notes issuance, sponsored by DLM Advisory Services Limited, a Registration Member (Listings) of FMDQ Exchange, will be utilised in accordance with the terms of the underlying transaction structure to support productive economic activities aligned with the Issuer’s strategic objectives.
Commenting on this listing, Dr. Sonnie Ayere, Group Chief Executive Officer, DLM Capital Group, stated, “The listing and premium pricing of the DLM Series 1 Tranche A Bond at ₦112.14 making it the most valuable AAA corporate bond in Nigeria is a defining milestone, not just for DLM Capital Group, but for the evolution of Nigeria’s fixed income market.
Achieving AAA/AAA credit ratings from Global Credit Rating and DataPro Limited, and commanding benchmark pricing, underscores the market’s recognition of its robust credit structure, disciplined risk framework, and sovereign-level credit protection underpinning the instrument.
This transaction validates our strategy of engineering high-quality, de-risk investment products that attract deep domestic capital. It also sets a new reference point for how structured corporate issuances can be priced when backed by strong credit fundamentals and investor confidence. Building on this momentum, DLM is strategically positioned to expand its issuance, deepen liquidity across future Series and continue delivering innovative, high-quality instruments that strengthen the Nigerian capital markets while creating sustainable value for investors.”
Also commenting, Mr. Nwabu Okonkwo, Managing Director, Investment Banking, DLM Advisory Limited, stated, “DLM Advisory Limited is delighted to have acted as Financial Adviser, Transaction Structurer and Joint Issuing House on the ₦7.30billion Series 1 Tranche A 40.62% Hold-To-Maturity Returns and ₦1.70billion Tranche B 19.07% Plain Vanilla Returns Sovereign Bond-Backed Composite Notes issued by DLM Funding SPV PLC and promoted by DLM Capital Group. The promoter’s solid corporate profile and strong credit rating of the bond were evident in the pricing and subscription of the Series 1 issuance.”
FMDQ Exchange continues to play a leading role in fostering a dynamic and inclusive capital market that accommodates both conventional and structured financing instruments. By maintaining a robust regulatory framework, promoting operational excellence, and ensuring market transparency, the Exchange remains committed to facilitating capital formation that supports infrastructure development, sectoral diversification, and sustainable economic growth across Nigeria.
FMDQ Group PLC (“FMDQ Group”) is Africa’s first vertically integrated financial market infrastructure (“FMI”) group, strategically positioned to provide registration, listing, quotation and noting services for financial markets securities; an integrated trading platform, clearing & central counterparty, and settlement services for financial markets transactions; depository of securities, as well as data and information services, across the debt capital, derivatives and equity markets, among others, through its wholly owned subsidiaries – FMDQ Exchange, FMDQ Clear Limited, FMDQ Depository Limited and FMDQ Private Markets Limited. As a sustainability-focused FMI group, FMDQ Group, through FMDQ Exchange, operates Africa’s premier Green Exchange – FMDQ Green Exchange – positioned to lead the transition towards a sustainable future.
E-Financial
CBN Wins Central Bank of the Year Title @13th Global Awards

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been named Central Bank of the Year 2026 by an awards committee in London.

The award recognises the bank’s major reforms that helped stabilise Nigeria’s economy and improve investor confidence.
The award is part of the 13th annual Central Banking Awards. It highlights how the CBN helped turn around Nigeria’s economy, which was close to crisis in 2023.
At that time, Nigeria faced serious problems such as high inflation, a weak currency, low foreign reserves, and about $7 billion in unpaid foreign exchange obligations.
There was also a big gap between official and black-market exchange rates.
After Olayemi Cardoso was appointed governor in October 2023 by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the CBN introduced strong reforms. These reforms focused on proper monetary policies, transparency, and market-based systems.
One major change was in the foreign exchange system.
The CBN removed multiple exchange rates and introduced a “willing-buyer, willing-seller” system. This made the market more transparent and reduced manipulation.
The bank also cleared old foreign exchange debts owed to sectors like aviation and manufacturing.
This helped restore trust in the economy. By late 2025, the gap between official and black-market exchange rates dropped to less than 2%.
Nigeria’s foreign reserves also improved, rising to $46.7 billion by November 2025 the highest level in almost seven years.
This was due to better foreign exchange inflows, stronger exports, and renewed investor confidence.
The International Monetary Fund praised these reforms, saying they improved the foreign exchange market and made pricing more reliable.
Inflation, which peaked at 34.8% in December 2024, dropped to 15.1% by January 2026. The CBN achieved this by raising interest rates and carefully managing the economy.
The bank also improved its internal operations. It stopped some programmes that were increasing money supply and causing inflation.
It strengthened its systems, improved compliance, and introduced digital tools, including artificial intelligence.
In the banking sector, the CBN introduced new rules requiring banks to increase their capital. This is expected to make the financial system stronger.
Nigeria also improved its fight against financial crimes. In 2025, the country was removed from a global watchlist for money laundering after improving its monitoring systems.
These reforms boosted Nigeria’s global image. Credit rating agencies upgraded the country’s outlook, and investor interest increased. Nigeria’s 2025 Eurobond attracted more than five times the expected subscriptions.
Although progress has been made, the CBN says challenges still remain, such as maintaining low inflation and completing banking reforms.
Overall, the award shows that Nigeria is regaining its position in the global financial system, thanks to strong policies and reforms by the CBN.
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