E-Financial
Naira May Hit N200 to $1 By 1Q14-Analysts

Nigerians are sharing bitter experiences over the slipping trend of the naira. Newspapers had reported that the Naira weakened to N171 to the United States dollar at the BDCs by the close of activities Thursday.
In a short survey conducted by the Nigeria CommunicationsWeek, respondents waxed worriedly at the trend warning that the Naira may continue its downward movement.
According to reports during the week banks have not been selling forex exchange to the public, thus forcing customers to rely on the BDC and the parallel market for their supplies.
Sharing his regrets over the trend, Mr. Peter Asolo, said: “I bought dollar for 172.7 Thursday for the first time in my life”.
Analysts heap the blames on the door-steps of the CBN, lamenting that the apex bank has been causing unnecessary panic in the industry by removing management and ownership of banks.
Commenting on this, Asolo said: “CBN brought appointed people, some of whom also reigned in those banks with impunity; displayed over 10000 people from their jobs. At the end of the day were those banks better than they were before take over? There is no single viable window for lending to small business which forms over 80% of the economic activities. Everything we are hearing is nothing but hype.
“Those who are lending are collecting about 28% interest rate the highest anywhere in the world. What a pity. Even in a state of war Nigeria naira should not suffer this great fall. As at last year December it was 149 to a dollar less than one year we are talking of about 22 naira depreciation. Madam Ngozi, the supervisor will come to tell us “there is no inflation” and every purchasing power in the country has decreased”.
“Olutayo Ogunyemi, a public analyst lending his voice to the cause said: “We import virtually everything to Nigeria which requires high demand for major currencies such as $. We need to go back to the basic and put every infrastructure in place (power, road, etc) and diversify the economy from being crude oil dependent to agric, solid minerals, etc. All these require visionary leaders and not POLlTICAL DEALERS to achieve them. A Dollar exchanged for Naira at the rate of #116 in 2008, and now #172!”
However, Asolo added that, “The prices of goods have gone up by as much as 150% including food stuff. I wonder what economic indices they use to deceive the innocent I see a situation the naira will hit 200 naira to a dollar before the end of first quarter of 2014. If anybody will be honest, that is the actual beginning of the end for the country’s economy. Need I say that this economy is import dependent? The only thing manufactured in Nigeria is sachet water even at that it’s only the water we source locally.
“Government has decided to ban everything knowing that we do not have the productive capacity and we cannot, even if we have stable electricity in the next 5 years. Least I forget to add the fact that no Industry in Nigeria has the capacity to produce the daily consumption of up to 5% of its product for the country’s population which should now stand at about 220million people, if the previous figure of 160million is true. I am just sitting here asking one question when smart and intelligent people will start to manage our institutions.
“The sad part is that most Nigerians are suffering from ignorance and they have all turned to religion for help. The big question is how do we salvage the Naira? Let us forget about politics and parties for once, this is our common language. How do we save the soul of the economy?
Also, they believe that another silent time bomb in population explosion as the mortality rate world over is reducing due to technology advancement. Now people are now giving birth to kids at earlier age than before. Things are happening faster than we can imagine, which the analysts think Nigeria either does something fast to save the naira or we face the music.
E-Financial
CBN to Monitor Every Dollar with FXBT, Forex Tracker

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has launched a new digital platform to track every foreign exchange transaction involving Bureaux De Change (BDC) operators, marking a major step in its efforts to improve transparency and strengthen oversight of the country’s retail forex market.

In an operational guidance issued on July 15 to authorised dealer banks and licensed BDCs, the apex bank introduced the FX BDC Purchase Tracker (FXBT), a centralised electronic portal designed to monitor foreign exchange purchases by BDCs from the point of request through approval, settlement and eventual sale.
The CBN said the portal will require BDCs to upload real-time or same-day data on all FX purchases made through the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), giving the regulator transaction-level visibility across the retail FX market.
According to the bank, the platform is designed to prevent abuse by making it easier to detect operators attempting to exceed the weekly purchase limit of $150,000, obtain allocations from multiple banks or divert foreign exchange outside approved channels.
The launch of the tracker builds on the CBN’s February policy that restored direct access for licensed BDCs to purchase foreign exchange from authorised dealer banks through the NFEM. While that policy improved access to official FX, the new platform provides the digital infrastructure to monitor how the funds are used.
Under the new framework, authorised dealer banks must conduct comprehensive Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and customer due diligence checks before selling foreign exchange to any BDC.
The new guideline also says banks must verify beneficial ownership information, retain incorporation documents and carry out enhanced due diligence for higher-risk operators.
Any BDC that fails these checks will not be allowed to access official foreign exchange.
The guidance also requires banks to acknowledge BDC purchase requests submitted through the FXBT portal within two business hours and immediately notify operators whether their requests have been approved or rejected.
To discourage speculation, the CBN directed that any forex purchased through the NFEM but left unused must be sold back into the market within 24 hours after the expiration of the utilisation period.
BDCs are also required to disclose any previously unused balances when submitting fresh requests.
In addition, all foreign exchange transactions between banks, BDCs and customers must be settled through registered accounts with licensed financial institutions.
Third-party transactions are prohibited, and any transfer outside a BDC’s registered settlement account will be treated as a regulatory violation.
The apex bank also said all authorised dealer banks and licensed BDCs are expected to comply with the new regulatory guidance and operational procedures with immediate effect.
E-Financial
FG Moves to Crack Down on Crypto Fraud with Virtual Assets Executive Order

President Bola Tinubu has signed the Presidential Executive Order on Virtual Assets Coordination, 2026, introducing a coordinated framework to regulate Nigeria’s fast-growing virtual assets sector, combat fraud and strengthen oversight without creating a new regulatory agency.

The Executive Order, which took immediate effect, establishes a Virtual Asset Council to harmonise the activities of financial, revenue and capital market regulators while promoting responsible innovation in the digital economy.
According to a statement issued on Friday by the President’s Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, the order was signed pursuant to Section 5 of the 1999 Constitution to address growing regulatory gaps as virtual assets increasingly blur the boundaries between currencies, commodities, securities and payment systems.
The Presidency said the fragmented regulatory landscape had exposed Nigeria to risks including money laundering, terrorism financing, cybercrime, data privacy breaches, fraud and significant revenue losses, with fraudulent operators exploiting loopholes to defraud unsuspecting investors.
Under the new framework, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will chair the Virtual Asset Council, while the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will serve as vice-chairmen. Other members include the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU) and the Office of the National Security Adviser (ONSA).
The Council will coordinate policy, strengthen collaboration among regulators and work with the Attorney-General of the Federation to develop a harmonised legal framework that aligns virtual asset regulation with Nigeria’s economic, security and social priorities.
The Executive Order also establishes a Virtual Asset Office, domiciled at the CBN, to serve as the Council’s operational secretariat. The office will coordinate information sharing, applications and reporting among participating agencies through an integrated supervisory technology platform while allowing each institution to retain control over its data.
The Presidency stressed that the order does not establish a new regulator or transfer statutory powers from existing agencies. Instead, it creates a coordination mechanism under which regulatory responsibilities will depend on the nature of the virtual asset or activity involved.
Under the arrangement, the SEC will continue to regulate virtual assets classified as securities, while the CBN will oversee payment, settlement, custody and other non-security virtual asset services. The Council will resolve jurisdictional disputes where responsibilities overlap.
As part of the reforms, the CBN will launch a regulatory sandbox that will allow eligible firms to test virtual asset products and blockchain-based solutions under close regulatory supervision before they are introduced into the wider market.
Similarly, the Nigeria Revenue Service will issue a dedicated tax policy for the virtual assets sector to clarify tax obligations, improve voluntary compliance and ensure the rapidly expanding industry contributes fairly to government revenue.
The Federal Government is also finalising a comprehensive Virtual Assets White Paper, which will outline Nigeria’s long-term policy direction for the sector.
President Tinubu directed the newly established Council to produce a Harmonised Implementation Framework within 30 days to facilitate the immediate implementation of the Executive Order and strengthen confidence in Nigeria’s digital economy.
E-Financial
World Bank Says 79 Percent of Nigerians Still Trapped in Poverty despite Reforms

World Bank has said that despite nearly three years of economic reforms by the federal government, about 79 per cent of Nigerians remain poor or vulnerable to falling into poverty.

The bank stated this in its newly approved Country Partnership Framework for Nigeria, covering 2026 to 2032, and its accompanying Streamlined Country Diagnostic.
The report which highlighted the country’s deepening social and economic challenges, indicated that while recent macroeconomic reforms have helped stabilise the economy and restore investor confidence, the benefits have yet to translate into meaningful improvements in living standards for most Nigerians.
The World Bank noted that the seven-year strategy seeks to support Nigeria’s ambition to create more and better jobs through private-sector-led growth while accelerating poverty reduction.
According to the Streamlined Country Diagnostic document, “Thirty-three per cent of its population is ultra-poor (food insecure by age-weighted caloric intake), 61 per cent is below the poverty line, and 79 per cent is near poor (below the poverty line or vulnerable to falling back into poverty).”
The World Bank pointed out that Nigeria’s economic performance over the past decade had been constrained by structural rigidities, policy missteps, dependence on crude oil, and repeated external shocks, leaving millions trapped in poverty.
It stated that about 139 million Nigerians currently live below the national poverty line, with poverty concentrated largely in the northern part of the country.
The report also noted that more than 86 million Nigerians remain without electricity, while three to four million young people enter the labour market every year with limited employment opportunities.
It added that sustaining macro-fiscal and structural reforms would be critical to reducing inflation, expanding fiscal space and ensuring that recent economic stabilisation translates into improved living standards.
According to the report, the reforms have begun to improve macroeconomic indicators.
Economic growth increased from 3.5 per cent in the first half of 2024 to 3.9 per cent during the corresponding period of 2025, foreign reserves exceeded $42bn, fiscal deficits narrowed, and investor confidence strengthened.
However, it warned that high inflation continues to undermine household incomes. The report stated, “High inflation, though declining, continues to erode real incomes, particularly for the poor. Social protection efforts to support the most vulnerable have been slow and uneven in their rollout.”
The World Bank added that although the reforms helped Nigeria avoid a more severe economic crisis, institutional weaknesses, weak policy coordination, and inadequate budget transparency continue to pose significant risks.
It warned that sustained reform implementation, backed by deeper structural measures, would be required to improve Nigeria’s medium-term economic outlook.
Under the new Country Partnership Framework, the World Bank said job creation would serve as the primary pathway for reducing poverty.
The report explained that international experience from countries such as India, Indonesia, and China shows that moving people into productive employment remains the most effective tool for reducing poverty.
To achieve this, the framework will prioritise labour-intensive sectors, particularly agriculture and micro, small and medium enterprises, while addressing structural deficiencies in electricity, digital infrastructure, education and healthcare.
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