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Richer Banks, Poorer Economy: The Hidden Crisis in Nigeria’s Financial System

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By Blaise Udunze
Across Africa, banks are getting bigger but not necessarily better. From South Africa’s Standard Bank to Morocco’s Attijariwafa and Egypt’s National Bank, financial institutions are boasting record balance sheets, higher Tier 1 capital, and growing regional footprints. According to African Business magazine’s 2025 ranking of the continent’s top 100 banks, Africa’s total Tier 1 capital climbed to $126 billion, up from $120 billion in 2024.
But behind this glowing façade of balance sheet expansion lies a troubling irony, especially in Nigeria. Despite being home to some of the continent’s most visible lenders, Nigeria is missing from the International Monetary Fund’s latest list of Africa’s fastest-growing economies. While Nigerian banks such as Access Bank, Zenith Bank, UBA, and FBN Holdings feature among Africa’s top 20 in assets, their impact on real economic growth remains painfully limited.
In simpler terms, Nigeria’s banks are becoming richer without making the economy stronger.
It is one of the defining contradictions of modern Nigerian finance, where a banking sector keeps ballooning in size even as the real economy struggles to breathe. The IMF projects Nigeria’s GDP growth at 3.9 percent in 2025, below the 6-8 percent threshold that defines Africa’s fastest-growing economies. Meanwhile, smaller nations such as Rwanda, Benin, and Côte d’Ivoire are racing ahead, driven by reforms, industrial growth, and investment-friendly policies.
So why is Africa’s largest economy growing so slowly even with “Africa’s biggest banks” at its helm? The answer lies in how these banks make their money and how little of it trickles into productive enterprise.
Nigeria’s leading banks have swollen their balance sheets largely through asset revaluations, foreign currency adjustments, and customer deposits that sit idle or are channeled into risk-free government securities. What looks like growth on paper often reflects inflationary asset repricing, not expanded lending to manufacturers, agribusinesses, or small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
Three quarters of the industry’s celebrated “assets” are actually liabilities owed to the public. These are deposits that banks temporarily hold, not capital they generated or invested productively. This dependency on depositors’ funds reveals a system that looks rich in assets but is, in essence, shallow in innovation and weak in capital depth.
A banking system overly reliant on deposits is inherently fragile. Deposits are short term and confidence sensitive and can flee quickly during periods of policy uncertainty. Unlike equity or long term capital, they offer little cushion against shocks. This overdependence creates a false picture of liquidity but hides structural weakness. Nigeria’s banks may look stable, but their foundations are vulnerable, like a tower built on shifting sands of depositor confidence rather than the rock of sustainable capital formation.
Loans to the manufacturing and agricultural sectors remain a small fraction of total credit, while lending rates often hover above 27 percent. Many small businesses that form the backbone of job creation and innovation still cannot access affordable financing. Instead, banks have mastered the art of financial intermediation without real interconnection, mobilizing deposits but not transforming them into engines of growth.
This disconnect reveals a deeper issue with weak capital efficiency. In a healthy financial system, deposits are converted into productive loans that stimulate investment, create jobs, and boost exports. But in Nigeria, the ratio of bank loans to GDP remains among the lowest in Sub-Saharan Africa. Banks appear more comfortable storing wealth than stimulating enterprise. Treasury bills and government bonds, with minimal risk and decent yields, have become the preferred playground for Nigeria’s banking giants. The result is a financial system that thrives on fiscal inertia rather than productive dynamism.
Contrast Nigeria’s sluggish growth with the dynamism in East Africa, where banks like Kenya’s Equity Group and KCB are expanding aggressively, driving credit to real sectors and supporting regional trade. East Africa now contributes 21 banks to Africa’s top 100, up from just 13 in 2022, reflecting genuine growth in financial inclusion and productive lending. While Nigeria’s banks chase continental rankings, Kenya’s and Rwanda’s banks are quietly fueling economic revolutions.
Nigeria’s exclusion from the IMF’s list of Africa’s fastest-growing economies is symbolic. It tells a story of a giant whose growth is increasingly superficial. The IMF praised countries like Rwanda and Benin for fiscal discipline, macroeconomic stability, and structural reforms, as these are all areas where Nigeria continues to struggle. Despite policy adjustments and modest improvements in non-oil sectors, Nigeria’s economy remains shackled by inflation, currency instability, and policy uncertainty. These same constraints discourage banks from taking real sector risks.
In effect, the financial system mirrors the broader economy and is large in size yet underperforming in substance. When banks announce trillion-naira asset bases, it makes for good headlines but poor development economics. The irony is that asset expansion without capital productivity is like pumping air into a balloon, which is impressive in size but fragile in substance.
While the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Governor, Yemi Cardoso, insists that the nation’s economic reforms are “yielding visible results” and placing the country “on the path to stability, inclusiveness, and innovation-driven growth,” evidence on the ground paints a more sobering picture. The CBN’s optimism, though politically convenient, contrasts sharply with the structural realities of Nigeria’s financial system and the broader economy.
If reforms were truly delivering inclusive and innovation driven growth, it would be reflected in stronger credit access, industrial productivity, and improved living standards, not just in favourable rhetoric at global meetings. Yet, Nigeria’s banking sector remains dominated by balance sheet expansion rather than productive lending. Three quarters of the industry’s celebrated “assets” are actually liabilities to public deposits temporarily held, not capital generated through innovation or investment in the real economy.
This disconnect between financial growth and real-sector development underscores a deeper fragility. Banks continue to rely heavily on short-term deposits while shying away from financing manufacturing, agriculture, and small enterprises with the engines of inclusive growth. The result is an economy where the numbers look impressive on paper, but households and industries still struggle with high borrowing costs, limited credit, and declining purchasing power.
Far from demonstrating reform-driven resilience, Nigeria’s economic structure remains hollow at the core of a system rich in nominal assets but poor in capital depth and innovation. Macroeconomic stability cannot be claimed when inflation hovers around 18.02 percent, foreign investment inflows stagnate, and job creation lags far behind population growth.
In essence, what the CBN presents as progress is, in many respects, statistically false if stability is achieved through monetary tightening and exchange rate adjustments rather than genuine economic transformation. Until reforms translate into tangible outcomes of affordable credit, industrial renewal, and sustainable job creation, the claims of inclusiveness and innovation-driven growth will remain more aspirational than real.
For Nigeria’s regulators, analysts, and policymakers, the question is no longer how large the banks’ assets appear, but what those assets are doing for the economy. True strength must come from innovation in financial intermediation, capital efficiency, and credit diversification; support for real sector growth; and regional competitiveness on the African and global stage.
For Nigerian banks to translate asset expansion into real economic impact, the next frontier must be purposeful intermediation, where financial growth feeds productive enterprise, not just paper wealth. That begins with rethinking the credit model by lending based on business potential and cash flow viability, not just collateral. By partnering with fintechs and development institutions, banks can use data driven credit assessments to reach small manufacturers, agribusinesses, and innovators who drive job creation.
Beyond lending, true strength will come from building deeper capital bases and reducing dependence on short-term deposits. Banks must raise long-term funds through bonds, equity, and partnerships with pension and insurance institutions so they can finance industrial and infrastructure projects sustainably. Regulators, too, must align incentives with development by rewarding banks that channel credit into productive sectors and penalizing those that merely recycle deposits into government securities.
Ultimately, Nigeria’s banking future depends on a mindset shift from comfort in liquidity to confidence in innovation. The country does not need banks that only count wealth but those that create it. When balance sheet expansion begins to translate into accessible credit, inclusive growth, and industrial renewal, Nigeria’s banks will cease to be symbols of inflated success and become true instruments of national transformation.

Blaise, a journalist and PR professional writes from Lagos, can be reached via: [email protected]


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E-Financial

Banks quietly move to enforce new ₦50 transfer levy from Jan. 1

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A new ₦50 charge on electronic money transfers above ₦10,000 is to take effect from Jan. 1, 2026, following preliminary system adjustments observed across several banking platforms ahead of the New Year.

Banks quietly move to enforce new ₦50 transfer levy from Jan. 1

CBN

The levy, tied to government stamp duty regulations, is separate from and in addition to regular bank transfer fees already borne by customers.

Industry sources told the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) on Friday in Lagos that while existing bank charges would remain unchanged, customers initiating qualifying transfers would now pay both their normal transfer fees and the extra ₦50 stamp duty per transaction.

In a major shift to the current practice, the ₦50 levy which was previously borne by receivers of funds will now be paid by senders.

This implies that for every electronic transfer above ₦10,000, the sender will bear the full cost of the stamp duty alongside the standard transaction fees charged by their bank.

According to the emerging charge structure sighted on some banking platforms, the new levy applies only to transactions above ₦10,000 and will be deducted on a per-transaction basis.

Transfers below ₦10,000 remain exempt, while movements of funds between accounts owned by the same individual within the same bank are also not affected.

Analysts, however, warn that for millions of Nigerians who rely on frequent small-value transfers to meet daily needs, the additional government charge, layered on existing banking costs, could deepen financial strain for households already operating on thin margins.

Customers have in recent weeks raised concern over what they describe as a steady rise in transaction-related deductions, noting that the quiet rollout of the new ₦50 levy has heightened anxiety.

They observed that January is traditionally one of the most financially challenging months for households, driven by school fees, rent renewals, food inflation and post-holiday obligations, and questioned the timing and limited public communication around a change that directly affects routine financial activity.

Digital transfers have become central to everyday life in Nigeria, underpinning business settlements, informal trade, family remittances and emergency support.

With more than 70 per cent of transfers estimated to fall below ₦20,000, financial experts say the cumulative impact of a ₦50 charge on each qualifying transaction, when combined with existing bank fees, will significantly raise monthly transaction costs for individuals and micro and small enterprises.

For many Nigerians, the concern extends beyond the levy itself to the broader pattern of rising financial pressure that has eroded household resilience over time.

They point to the combined weight of escalating food prices, high transportation costs, stagnant incomes and a range of service charges that, in their view, “pile up quietly in the background”.

Stakeholders fear that introducing an additional government-backed charge at the start of the year, and doing so with minimal public sensitisation, may reinforce perceptions that more cost-heavy policies could be introduced in 2026 without adequate engagement or clarity.

“Why is such a significant cost being quietly introduced at the start of the year? Why was there no widespread announcement or public sensitisation? And what other policy shifts might be coming that Nigerians have not yet been informed about?” one Lagos-based small business owner asked in a chat with NAN.

As Jan. 1 approaches, many households say they are bracing for yet another financial burden in an economy where, for them, every naira already feels stretched beyond its limit.

They called on relevant authorities and regulators to provide clear guidance on the new charge structure, explain its legal basis, and ensure that customers are adequately informed about how it will affect their daily transactions.


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World Bank Reveals Obstacles to Growth of Mobile Money Accounts in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Despite being the global epicentre of mobile money innovation, Sub-Saharan Africa remains home to tens of millions of adults who do not own a mobile money account. A new World Bank report disclosed.

According to the Global Findex Database 2025, Sub-Saharan Africa is widely celebrated as the birthplace of mobile money, a technology that has transformed how people send, receive, save, and borrow money using basic mobile phones.

“Yet, the region still accounts for one of the world’s largest concentrations of adults without mobile money accounts,” it said.

The report shows that while about 40 percent of adults in Sub-Saharan Africa had a mobile money account in 2024, up sharply from 27 percent in 2021, roughly 60 percent still do not.

The reasons, the report argues, are less about lack of awareness and more about deep structural barriers that continue to exclude large segments of the population.

According to the report, a lack of money is the single most common barrier to mobile money account ownership in the region.

For many low-income households, irregular earnings, subsistence livelihoods, and dependence on cash-based transactions reduce the perceived value of maintaining an account, even when services are widely available.

This challenge is compounded by affordability issues. Transaction fees, charges for cashing out, and the cost of maintaining an active SIM card can deter the poorest adults, reinforcing the perception that mobile money is not designed for very small or infrequent transactions.

In Nigeria, the World Bank Group has announced an estimate that 139 million in 2025 will be living in poverty despite the reforms of the federal government.

Mobile phone ownership gaps persist

Mobile money cannot function without a mobile phone, yet phone ownership itself remains uneven. The report finds that 40 percent of adults now own a mobile money account, up from 27 percent in 2021.

And those who do not have a financial account also do not own a mobile phone of any kind.

This creates a double barrier: adults who are financially excluded are often also digitally excluded.

Among those without phones, the cost of the device is cited as the primary obstacle. While basic phones are more affordable than smartphones, the report notes that even these can be out of reach for the poorest households, especially in rural areas. Without addressing device affordability, efforts to expand mobile money risk leaving behind the very groups they aim to serve.

The report disclosed that even when phones and accounts are available, digital capability remains a challenge. The report finds that only about half of mobile money account owners in Sub-Saharan Africa protect their phones with passwords, compared with much higher shares in other regions.

Limited digital literacy raises concerns about fraud, mistaken transfers, and scams, which in turn undermines trust in mobile financial services.

Trust issues are further reinforced by negative user experiences. Only about half of the adults in the region who sent money to the wrong person using mobile money reported getting it back, according to the report. Such experiences can discourage first-time users and lead dormant users to abandon their accounts.

A large untapped opportunity

Despite these challenges, the report points to a significant opportunity. In Sub-Saharan Africa, about a quarter of adults without accounts already own a mobile phone, have official ID, and have a SIM card registered in their own name, meaning they have all the prerequisites for mobile money adoption.

“Closing the gap will require coordinated action: reducing the cost of devices, expanding ID coverage, strengthening consumer protection, and designing low-cost products that reflect the financial realities of poor and rural households,” the World Bank argues.

ation for Africa, turning ambition into scalable capital and risk mitigation solutions.


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AfDB Group Mobilises Global Private Capital to Close Africa’s Financing Gap

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Building on the successful conclusion of the 17th replenishment of the African Development Fund (ADF-17), which mobilised $11 billion for Africa’s most vulnerable countries, the African Development Bank Group and the Government of the United Kingdom convened global investors and private sector leaders in London to accelerate a new phase of private capital mobilisation for Africa’s development.

The inaugural Africa Private Capital Mobilisation Day, held on 17 December at Lancaster House, brought together more than 150 senior decision-makers from private equity firms, sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, insurers, philanthropies, and development finance institutions and export credit agencies—marking a decisive shift from dialogue to execution.

The high-level event was hosted by the African Development Bank Group in partnership with UK government institutions, the Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office, UK Export Finance and British International Investment, reflecting a shared ambition to scale private capital flows into African economies.

Speaking at the opening, African Development Bank Group President Dr Sidi Ould Tah described the event as a natural continuation of the ADF-17 replenishment process and a decisive step toward addressing Africa’s estimated $402 billion annual development financing gap.

“We will build on recent engagements with development finance institutions, export credit agencies, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, and philanthropic partners to advance concrete initiatives under our vision for a New African Financial Architecture,” said Dr Ould Tah.

The Africa Private Capital Mobilisation Day aligns with President Ould Tah’s Four Cardinal Points vision, which focuses on unlocking Africa’s capital potential, strengthening financial sovereignty, transforming demographic growth into a dividend, and delivering resilient infrastructure and value chains.

UK Minister for Development, Jenny Chapman said, “We are delighted that President Ould Tah decided to hold the first Private Capital Mobilisation Day here in London, recognising the critical role of the City of London in mobilising investment for Africa. The UK’s shifting role—from donor to investor—will support countries who want to grow their economies and ultimately ultimately exit the need for aid.”

The programme featured focused discussions on reshaping perceptions of risk in Africa, designing innovative financial platforms, and mobilising capital in fragile and frontier markets.

New analysis on the Global Emerging Markets Risk Database delivered by the Center for Global Development presented new evidence showing that long-term lending to African borrowers has historically been significantly less risky than commonly perceived.

Sector-focused discussions underscored the strategic role of healthcare and aviation in strengthening Africa’s economic resilience, productivity and integration. Participants were introduced to two flagship initiatives championed by the Bank Group and its partners:

– The Africa Medicines and Equipment Facility, developed in partnership with the Gates Foundation, will provide African countries with predictable, timely, and affordable financing to secure essential medicines and medical equipment.

– The Integrated Aviation Transformation Programme for Africa—supported by a dedicated blended-finance facility—aims to modernise and expand Africa’s aviation ecosystem—from airports and airlines to enabling services critical to trade, tourism, and regional integration.

In parallel, President Ould Tah convened a closed-door roundtable with senior executives from approximately 30 leading institutional investors to explore the launch of an Africa-focused Private Sector Innovation Lab. The proposed platform would serve as a dedicated space to co-create new financing instruments, partnership models, and risk-sharing solutions tailored to African markets.

The outcomes of the Africa Private Capital Mobilisation Day are captured in the London Communiqué, setting out clear commitments by the African Development Bank Group and its partners to scale private capital mobilisation for Africa.

Further work will go into setting out priority actions and implementation pathways to scale private capital mobilisation for Africa, turning ambition into scalable capital and risk mitigation solutions.


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