Connect with us

E-Financial

Week Ahead: Inflation Shock, Iran War Escalation & $100 Oil

Published

on

Kindly share this post

By Lukman Otunuga, Head of Market Research, FXTM.

The Naira is the second best performing African currency against the dollar year-to-date, only surpassed by the Zambian Kwacha.

Week Ahead: Inflation Shock, Iran War Escalation & $100 Oil

Lukman Otunuga

Its stability through conflict-induced volatility is commendable, but such has come at a heavy cost.  Nigeria’s foreign-exchange reserves have fallen for 16 consecutive days through April 8 – falling to its lowest since mid-Feb to $48.94 billion. The CBN followed its pledge to defend in the local currency in March as deepening geopolitical risk punished emerging market assets.

On the data front, it’s a big week for Nigeria due to the incoming inflation report for March.

Nigeria’s CPI is expected to have eased to 13.4% yoy from the 15.1% in February. Persistent signs of easing inflationary pressures may encourage the CBN to cut rates in an environment where other central banks are considering hiking to tame conflict-induced inflation.

Over the weekend, US-Iran peace talks concluded without a resolution.

Despite a marathon 21 hours of negotiations, both sides were unable to agree on key issues, including Iran’s nuclear program and its control of the Strait of Hormuz.

Hours after Trump threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz from Monday 10 am ET.

This fresh uncertainty was reflected across markets this morning, with risk aversion affecting equities, while oil benchmarks surged amid rising geopolitical risk premiums.

Given how Iran has rejected US restrictions on shipping and threatened Gulf ports, sentiment remains fragile and highly sensitive with markets on high alert.

It’s worth noting that the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since late February, raising the risk of inflation and growth shocks that threaten the global economy.

In the commodity space, oil benchmarks surged as the US vowed to blockade all vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent rallied as much as 9% to roughly 104$ a barrel as supply shock fears returned with a vengeance. Deepening conflict may keep oil prices elevated, with triple digits potentially becoming a new normal amid extreme supply tightness.

Gold initially declined on rising inflation concerns as oil prices surged. Despite prices jumping back above $4700 bears remain in control amid rising inflationary risks. Given how expectations have basically diminished over lower rates in 2026, gold is likely to remain on the backfoot with a stronger dollar keep bears in the game. Key levels of interest can be found $4825, $4700 and $4600.


Kindly share this post

Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

E-Financial

Nigerian Capital Market to Transition to T+1 Settlement Cycle on Monday

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Nigerian capital market will officially transition to a one-day (T+1) settlement cycle on Monday, June 1, 2026, cutting the time required to finalise securities and commodities transactions in half.

Nigerian Capital Market to Transition to T+1 Settlement Cycle on Monday

The mandate, formally announced by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires all eligible trades to settle exactly one business day after the trade date, replacing the previous two-day (T+2) standard.

The SEC noted that the journey from T+3 to T+2, and now to T+1, took less than seven months, highlighting an aggressive push toward market modernisation.

To ensure a seamless launch, the SEC has outlined a unique convergence window for the transition.

Friday, served as the final trading day under the old T+2 system, consequently, trades executed on both May 29 and Monday, June 1, will visually converge and settle on the exact same day: Tuesday, June 2, 2026.

From June 1 onward, all transactions will strictly operate under the 24-hour T+1 timeline.

The migration is being coordinated on the technical front by the Central Securities Clearing System Plc (CSCS), the market’s central depository, alongside major securities exchanges, trade associations, and brokerage firms.

According to financial regulators, the compressed timeline will immediately benefit retail investors by providing quicker access to cash proceeds from share sales.

For institutional players and custodians, the shift requires an immediate reconfiguration of back-office systems and reconciliation workflows to meet the faster execution demands.

Mr. Shehu Yahaya Shantali, managing director and chief executive officer of CSCS, stated that the infrastructure overhaul positions Nigeria alongside top-tier international frameworks.

“The transition to T+1 represents another important milestone in the evolution of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure.

“It reflects the market’s readiness to embrace reforms that enhance efficiency, strengthen investor confidence, improve liquidity, and align Nigeria more closely with leading global markets,” Shantali said.

Shantali credited the market-wide readiness to months of intensive system upgrades and joint planning spearheaded by the SEC and the T+1 Implementation Plan Committee.

By compressing the settlement cycle, the SEC aims to reduce counterparty exposure, lower systemic settlement risks, and boost overall market liquidity.

The regulator emphasised that this reform bridges the infrastructure gap with developed economies, following the United States, Canada, and Mexico, which migrated to T+1 in May 2024, as well as India’s recent strides toward instantaneous settlement.

The SEC stated it will continue to monitor operational workflows and engage market participants through its automated division ([email protected]) to ensure an orderly transition.

To formalise the launch, CSCS and the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) will host a joint Special Closing Gong ceremony on June 1 at the NGX House in Lagos, drawing together institutional heavyweights and regulatory bodies to mark the start of the live environment.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Access Bank Wins Dual Honours @ 2026 Global Good Governance (3G) Awards

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Access Bank Plc has been recognised with two prestigious honours at the 2026 Global Good Governance (3G) Awards, reaffirming its leadership in corporate governance and sustainable community impact.

The Bank received the 3G Community Empowerment Award 2026 and 3G Best Corporate Governance Framework Award 2026

The awards, conferred by Cambridge IFA under the Global Good Governance Awards (3G Awards) platform, are based on rigorous, independent research and evaluation conducted throughout the nomination process.

The award ceremony was held on April 28, 2026, in Singapore, attracting over 300 high-level participants from more than 15 countries, including leaders from government, corporate organisations, and the social and philanthropic sectors. The event celebrated excellence in governance, sustainability, transparency, and social responsibility.

Mr. Eyitayo Olabode represented the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, Roosevelt Ogbonna, at the ceremony, receiving the awards on behalf of the Bank.

Commenting on the recognition, Roosevelt Ogbonna, MD/CEO of Access Bank Plc, stated: “This recognition is a validation of Access Bank’s commitment to responsible leadership, strong governance structures, and inclusive growth. At Access Bank, we believe good governance is foundational to building trust, creating shared value, and driving sustainable development across our markets.

“These awards reflect the dedication of our people and our deliberate efforts to empower communities, embed transparency, and ensure accountability in all that we do. We remain committed to setting high standards that deliver long‑term value for our stakeholders and the communities we serve.”

The 2026 programme also featured the Global Good Governance Summit and the launch of the Global Good Governance Report 2026, hosted by Dentons Rodyk, Singapore. Under the theme “AI Governance for the Prosperity of the People and the Planet,” the Summit provided a global platform for dialogue on governance, ethics, and sustainability.

Access Bank’s achievements underscore its consistent efforts to align corporate performance with social impact, reinforcing its commitment to responsible banking and long-term value creation.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Quest Merchant Bank Strengthens Market Position as GCR Revises Outlook to Stable

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Quest Merchant Bank Limited has strengthened its market position following GCR Ratings’ affirmation of the Bank’s national scale issuer ratings of BBB(NG) and A3(NG), alongside an outlook revision to Stable from Rating Watch Negative.

The ratings action marks a significant milestone for Quest Merchant Bank following a transformative period for the institution, reflecting renewed confidence in the Bank’s financial strength, market positioning, liquidity profile and future growth trajectory.

According to GCR, the revised Stable Outlook is anchored on Quest Merchant Bank’s sound risk profile, improved capitalization and strong liquidity, alongside the successful transition of the Bank’s ownership structure following its acquisition by EverQuest LLP after the divestment by FBN Holdings.

The rating agency also highlighted the Bank’s strong presence within Nigeria’s merchant banking sector, where Quest Merchant Bank accounted for c.30% of the sub-sector’s total assets as of 31 December 2025, reinforcing its position as one of the country’s leading merchant banking institutions.

Further strengthening the Bank’s outlook was the successful completion of its ₦42.9 billion capital raise in March 2026 in line with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s revised minimum capital requirements. GCR noted that the capital injection is expected to further enhance the Bank’s capital adequacy position and support the next phase of business growth.

Quest Merchant Bank’s asset quality and liquidity profile also remained key strengths underpinning the ratings affirmation. The Bank maintained a NPL ratio of 3.2%, significantly below the broader banking industry average, while continuing to sustain strong liquidity metrics and resilient earnings performance.

GCR additionally recognised the strategic value of the Bank’s relationship with Custodian Investment Plc, noting the potential for expanded business opportunities, operational synergies and stronger profitability over time.

Commenting on the development, Afolabi Olorode, Ag. Managing Director/CEO, Quest Merchant Bank Limited, said: “This outlook revision is a strong signal of confidence in the future of Quest Merchant Bank and the progress we have made in strengthening our organization over the last year.

“Beyond the ratings action itself, this recognition reflects the resilience of our business, the quality of our balance sheet, and the confidence our clients, partners and stakeholders continue to place in the Bank.

“We have emerged from a defining transition period stronger, well-capitalized and better positioned to capture the opportunities ahead. We remain committed to delivering innovative solutions, creating long-term value and supporting economic growth across the sectors we serve.”

The Stable Outlook reflects GCR’s expectation that Quest Merchant Bank will continue to maintain sound asset quality, stable funding and strong liquidity metrics over the next 12 to 18 months, further reinforcing confidence in the Bank’s long-term strategic direction and operating fundamentals.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

Trending