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Air Freight Makes Slow Start in 2015, Nigeria & S/Africa Underperforming

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The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for global air freight markets showing a 3.2% expansion in freight tonne kilometers (FTKs) in January 2015 compared to the same month last year.

The growth is slower than the average of 4.5% recorded for 2014.

On regional assessment, IATA said that African airlines grew cargo volumes 5.2%. While major economies such as Nigeria and South Africa are under-performing, regional trade activity is holding up.

There was much regional variation in the January performance.

Asia-Pacific, African and Middle Eastern airlines expanded strongly, but airlines in Europe and North and Latin America all reported demand contractions.

Although it is too early to be certain of a trend towards weaker air freight, there are at least two emerging factors which could negatively impact demand for air cargo in the coming months:

-Business confidence has been declining since mid-2014 and export orders tailed-off towards the end of the year

-A reversal of the positive trade-to-domestic production ratio which boosted cargo volumes last year

“January was a disappointing start to the year for air cargo. And it is difficult to be too optimistic about the rest of the year given the economic headwinds in Europe and growing concerns over the Chinese economy. Add to that the continuing trends of on-shoring production and trade protectionism and 2015 is shaping up to be another tough year for air cargo,” said Tony Tyler, IATA’s Director General and CEO.

Regional Analysis In Detail

Asia-Pacific carriers grew their FTKs 6.9% compared to January 2014, supported by an improvement in regional import activity. Japan’s expansion is helping regional volumes, but there could be concerns over the Chinese economy, which saw export orders contracting at the fastest pace in three years. Capacity rose 5.4%.

European airlines saw volumes fall 1.2% compared to a year ago.

The Eurozone is facing deflationary economic headwinds and the weakness of the Russian economy is also impacting demand.

Weak home demand is not being offset by North Atlantic and Asian growth opportunities. Capacity grew 3.6%, further weakening the load factor.

North American carriers experienced a 1.0% fall in FTKs. This decrease, however, is most likely due to the strong result that occurred in January 2014.

Underlying trends for North American volumes are positive. Trade is growing and the month-to-month comparison of FTKs shows expansion in January compared to December.

Capacity fell 2.8%, continuing the recent trend of improving load factor.

Middle Eastern carriers expanded FTKs 9.2%. The hub strategies of the leading airlines in the region are proving successful as network and capacity expansions help satisfy demand on international routes and serve inward trade to Middle Eastern economies. Capacity jumped 18.1%.

Latin American airlines suffered a 6.4% fall in FTKs compared to January 2014. The region continues to be affected by the weakness in the key economies of Brazil and Argentina.

Although other Latin American markets have increased regional trade in recent months, this has not yet translated into increased air freight demand. Capacity fell 2.0%.

African airlines grew cargo volumes 5.2%. While major economies such as Nigeria and South Africa are under-performing, regional trade activity is holding up. Capacity rose just 2.4%, strengthening the load factor.    

World Cargo Symposium

The World Cargo Symposium will gather leaders from across the cargo value chain in Shanghai, China, from 10-12 March.

“The global air cargo industry continues to face challenges. While vulnerability to the economic cycles is beyond the control of any business sector, it is clear that the air cargo industry needs to do a better job of improving its value proposition.

“Shippers rightly demand modern processes. Taking e-air waybill penetration above 22% in 2014 was a strong signal that the e-cargo revolution is finally taking shape. This year’s World Cargo Symposium is an opportunity for the entire industry to sharpen further its focus on innovation, efficiency and high-quality service,” said Tyler.


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Jumia Targets Break-even in 2026 After Strong Q4 Surge

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Pan-African e-commerce giant Jumia says it has moved decisively beyond survival mode after posting robust fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with CEO Francis Dufay declaring the company is now entering a phase of high growth after years of restructuring.

The firm, founded in Lagos, Nigeria, in 2012, reported a sharp acceleration in core marketplace activity, reinforcing what management describes as a successful turnaround built on tighter execution, cost discipline and smarter geographic focus.

Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) jumped 36% year-on-year to $279.5 million in Q4, while adjusted EBITDA losses nearly halved to $7.3 million. Revenue rose 34% to $61.4 million, and cash burn narrowed significantly, a signal that Jumia’s operating engine is strengthening.

“The growth rate of the company has been accelerating. We are really scaling. Demand has always been there in our markets. What’s changing is our execution,” Dufay said.

Nigeria led the charge with 50% GMV growth, while Ghana recorded triple-digit expansion in physical goods. Egypt stabilised after currency and corporate sales headwinds, reinforcing what Dufay called a “confirmation” of recovery.

Often dubbed the “Amazon of Africa,” Jumia operates a marketplace platform, a logistics network, and a digital payments arm across key African economies. After years of heavy losses, the company streamlined operations, exiting South Africa, Tunisia and now Algeria, while cutting non-core services, reducing headcount and deploying AI tools to improve efficiency.

Competition from Chinese fast-commerce players Temu and Shein has further intensified pricing pressure. Yet, Dufay argues that the Africa-focused e-commerce retailer’s logistics footprint, payment-on-delivery model and expanded sourcing operations in China have helped level the playing field.

“People thought they would eat our lunch. But we can fight against those platforms in our markets,” he said.

The Jumia CEO stressed that operational upgrades, including rural pickup networks and Buy Now, Pay Later partnerships, are driving customer retention and higher order volumes. First-party international partnerships have also boosted the revenue mix.

Looking ahead, Jumia expects GMV growth of up to 32% in 2026 and targets adjusted EBITDA breakeven by the fourth quarter.

“This business has changed. It’s clear in the numbers that profitability is within reach, and now the focus is scaling what works,” stated Dufay.

He believes Jumia’s pivot is a sign of a maturing African e-commerce sector where disciplined growth, localisation and logistics excellence may define the next competitive frontier.


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Nigeria’s Banks Race to Meet CBN Recapitalisation Deadline Amid Verification Push

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Nigeria’s banking sector is in the final stretch of its recapitalisation drive, with lenders intensifying capital actions ahead of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) March 31 deadline.

Nigeria's Banks Race to Meet CBN Recapitalisation Deadline Amid Verification Push

Proshare analysts reported subdued industry activity in the week ended February 12, as focus shifted from fundraising announcements to regulatory validation and capital confirmation.

FCMB Group Nears International Licence Confirmation

FCMB Group is undergoing CBN verification to confirm compliance with the N500 billion minimum capital threshold for international banks, Proshare said.

The group secured a national banking licence in 2024 via an oversubscribed public offer and raised another ₦160 billion last year to retain its international status.

Analysts view the ongoing process as the final regulatory checkpoint, with success likely triggering a formal announcement of continued international operations amid tighter capital standards.

Other Major Banks Advance Plans

Sterling Bank is yet to unveil its recapitalisation strategy but faces a gap between its current ₦167 billion capital and the N200 billion requirement, with a rights issue or private placement expected.

GTCO Plc recently completed a ₦10 billion private placement, issuing 125 million shares at ₦80 apiece to a single investor. Proshare described it as a proactive buffer boost for growth, reflecting investor confidence.

First HoldCo Plc’s unaudited 2025 results revealed a heavy impairment charge that eroded earnings, underscoring asset-quality risks and the need for early planning and governance amid rising regulations.

Consolidation Speculation Grows

Market talk highlighted potential tier-1 mergers and bank investments in refineries and energy infrastructure, though unconfirmed.

Mid-tier lenders eye foreign capital and deals:

  • Union Bank attracts UAE interest pending a legal dispute resolution.

  • Keystone Bank draws local and foreign bids for joint acquisition.

  • Polaris Bank may pursue investor recap or tier-2 merger.

Proshare’s Economic and Market Intelligence Unit noted CBN openness to M&As for resilient banks, with foreign partnerships vital for unencumbered capital despite domestic interest in distressed assets.

Fintech Race Adds Urgency

The CBN’s latest fintech report spotlights digital finance growth, urging banks to partner with fintechs for efficiency while managing competition.

Most tier-1 and tier-2 banks have met buffers, but tier-3 lenders scramble for funds or mergers. Eyes remain on confirmations like FCMB’s as the sector braces for a major reset.


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Cybersecurity Firm Warns Against Gift Card Scams @ Saint Valentine’s Day

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Looking for a gift for your soulmate on February 14th and think that a gift card would be a nice option? Just remember that when digital trends rapidly rise in popularity with customers, they are also gaining traction with scammers looking to use them as bait.

With Saint Valentine’s Day approaching, Kaspersky has identified several phishing and malicious campaigns targeting gift card owners and those who’re looking for a digital present for their loved ones. To help stay safe, the security experts at Kaspersky have also shared practical advice on how not to be tricked.

A “check‑your‑balance” that drains your gift card

Kaspersky’s latest global survey* shows that 80% of respondents consider giving digital presents such as subscriptions, gaming credits or gift cards. Scammers are actively exploiting this trend capitalising on well-known brands, creating fake online stores and even crafting fake verification portals designed specifically to steal gift card value.

Kaspersky’s phishing detection identified deceptive platforms offering victims a “secure” system to check their gift cards validity, status or balance. Targeting those who recently received a gift card, phishers steal the card’s identification data and get an opportunity to activate the certificate before the user themselves.

To stay protected from such scams, Kaspersky recommends double‑checking that a website is real. Look carefully at the web address, any links you’re asked to click, and spot any odd pictures or designs that might hint the site is fake.

The safest way to confirm a gift card’s balance is to go straight to the brand’s official website – don’t follow any other links. To prevent clicking on a malicious link, use a security solution such as Kaspersky Premium with a strong AI-powered anti-phishing component.

Is it a gift card for you or for cybercriminals?

As gift shoppers flood online marketplaces with flash sales and limited-time deals, cybercriminals are watching closely, ready to strike when users are most vulnerable.

Kaspersky experts detected a fake website that mimics Amazon, one of the most famous marketplaces, offering $200 gift card. With this tempting offer, scammers encourage customers to press a “Get your Amazon gift card” button.  However, when the user clicks it, they get an MSI installer with a backdoor that cybercriminals use to remotely control the victim’s device.

This fraudulent scheme highlights the importance of complex cybersecurity protection, showing that clicking on a wrong link may result in not only money and data loss, but also device infection or loss of control over it. When a fake site copies the original store’s look exactly, it’s hard to tell which one is real and which is a scam.

Kaspersky Premium protects users from fraudulent online stores through advanced detection technology that analyses website characteristics and URLs to identify suspicious patterns.

For its excellent performance in AV-Comparatives Fake Shops Detection certification in 2025 Kaspersky Premium was awarded an “Approved” certificate, making it the right choice for confident online shopping.

“As Valentine’s Day approaches, cybercriminals may increase their efforts to exploit the emotional vulnerability and romantic spirit that define this holiday. They’re creating fake gift card websites, spoofing popular retailers, and launching phishing campaigns that prey on your desire to make your loved ones happy.

The best defence is to stick to well-known retailers, check URLs carefully, apply a security solution with advanced phishing detection and remember that if a deal seems too good to be true, it probably is,” comments Anton Yatsenko, Lead Web Content Analyst at Kaspersky.


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