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FXTM Analysis: Global Markets In State of Shock Over UK Referendum Outcome ‎

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The financial markets and spectators across the globe are in a complete state of shock following the unexpected outcome to the EU referendum that the UK has voted to leave the European Union.

Markets were completely reliant in the final lead up to the vote on following the bookmakers, who heavily favoured a one-sided remain and as such, were simply positioned for only a remain outcome.

Investors were guilty of ignoring the consistent opinion polls that repeatedly pointed out that the vote was going to be close and as a result, the possibility of a UK exit had been severely under-priced throughout the financial markets.

Make no mistake, around this time last year the markets were in complete pandemonium over what implications a “Grexit” could have on the global markets and the ramifications of a “Brexit” will carry far more severe risks.

What happens next? ‘Sell the news’ is going to become the name of the game.

Despite all of this historic movement in the British Pound overnight, this eventual outcome has not been priced into the equity markets, and the open to both the European and US session later today is going to be under the watchful eye of the world.

The GBPUSD itself dropped from a cliff overnight, and has recorded historic losses from 1.50 to 1.32 in a matter of hours.

It is important to point out that the reason for the GBPUSD falling to such extraordinary levels is not just limited to the UK voting to exit the European Union, investors have been very quick to also price in the uncertainty over the future of UK Prime Minister David Cameron and also the likelihood that this shocking news possibly opens the doors for another Scottish Referendum down the road.

There are also many other unanswered questions such as would this impact the UK’s credit rating and how will the Bank of England (BoE) react to such a shock.

There has also been an expected correlated move in the Eurodollar overnight, which itself has declined from 1.14 to just above 1.09 as a result of questions now lingering over the future of the European Union as a whole.

Headlines have circulated over the past hour alone around political parties in both Italy and France possibly planning on campaigning for their own referendums in the future.

I would personally not see this as a major threat for the time-being, but it could be interesting to monitor the possible reaction to Denmark and Sweden following the news that the UK has voted to leave the European Union. ‎

It must also be made clear that the unexpected shock overnight must have implications on the Federal Reserve and their intention towards raising US interest rates later in 2016.

With so much uncertainty set to surround the global economy, US interest rate expectations must be pushed back and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen was very explicit in stating the risks a Brexit outcome could provide to the global economy.

This possible correlation has not quite yet been priced into the Dollar and if US futures point as sharply lower as what the European futures are currently suggesting, there is a threat of a knock-on effect on the Dollar.

We saw the USD plunge sharply lower following the events of Black Monday in August and it is possible history could repeat itself if US markets enter trading under such heavy pressure.

Gold has reached its highest level since March 2014 as a result of safe-haven demand following the United Kingdom voting to leave the EU.

After reaching levels beyond $1350 earlier in trading, Gold is now consolidating somewhere around the $1320 region. If risk aversion sweeps across the financial markets as expected following diminished risk appetite from investors, Gold could continue to see further support due to its status as a safe-haven asset.

Of course, this would be even more possible if US interest rate expectations do get pushed back as a result of such a shock overnight.

Due to limited attraction towards risk from investors, the oil markets have dropped as expected because concerns over the global economy would naturally make investors question demand for the commodity.

What does this mean to the Bank of Japan? A UK exit outcome represents their worst nightmare. With risk aversion now likely to be a theme in the markets for a prolonged period following such a shock overnight, there is quite simply nothing the central bank can do to prevent Yen demand from traders.

Can they intervene? Yes they can, but it would not be a wise idea to even consider this until this outcome has been priced in across the financial markets.

If the BoJ are not patient in allowing investors to adjust to the outcome of the referendum and the possible ramifications, the BoJ simply risks entering a game of cat-and mouse. In times of uncertainty the Japanese Yen becomes the best friend for traders and despite all of the unbelievable gains for the Yen throughout the first six months of 2016, the outcome to the overnight referendum has just encouragement towards the Yen towards new levels. 

Quite simply put, the reaction to Gold, the Japanese Yen and how heavy equity markets are at threat to falling is the simplest reflection of how unprepared traders were for this outcome.

By Jameel Ahmad, VP of Market Research at FXTM


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E-Financial

FBNQuest Merchant Bank Rebrands as Quest Merchant Bank

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FBNQuest Merchant Bank Limited has completed a change of name and will now operate as Quest Merchant Bank Limited, following the receipt of all required corporate and regulatory approvals.

The name change does not affect the Bank’s legal or going-concern status, management, or the nature of its business. Quest Merchant Bank Limited remains a duly licensed merchant bank, regulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and continues to deliver its full suite of merchant banking, advisory, and capital markets services to clients.

Commenting on the development, the Ag. Managing Director/CEO, Afolabi Olorode, stated: “This name change represents a pivotal milestone in the rich history of the Bank and a deliberate strategic repositioning that reflects our resilience, strong track record, and long-term growth ambitions. While our name has evolved, our commitment to our clients, stakeholders, and regulators remains unwavering.”

As part of the transition, the Bank is updating its branding, communications, and digital platforms to reflect the new name. During this period, some legacy references may remain visible across select touchpoints as updates are progressively completed.

All existing contracts, client relationships, and obligations of the Bank remain valid, binding, and fully enforceable following the name change.


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UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Africa’s leading financial institution, on Tuesday unveiled a groundbreaking instant account opening platform, revolutionising banking access for millions across the continent and diaspora communities worldwide.

UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

UBA

The fully digital innovation, accessible at ubagroup.com, empowers prospective customers to complete account onboarding online in minutes, bypassing paperwork, branch visits, and lengthy processes that have long hindered financial inclusion. Supporting Naira and Diaspora accounts with multi-language options, the platform operates seamlessly on computers, tablets, and smartphones, catering to UBA’s diverse pan-African footprint spanning 20 countries, the UK, US, France, and UAE.

Shamsideen Fashola, Group Head of Retail and Digital Banking, described the launch as a pivotal step in democratising finance. “At UBA, we are committed to redefining the customer experience through innovation and simplicity,” Fashola said. “This fully digital solution underscores our belief that banking should be accessible, secure, and truly borderless.”

The seven-step process is intuitive: customers select “Open a Savings Account,” input their Bank Verification Number (BVN), undergo facial verification, confirm an OTP, update details, upload documents, add a digital signature, and receive an instant account number. This bridges traditional banking rigour with fintech speed, incorporating digital KYC while upholding stringent security.

Built with compliance at its core, the platform adheres to Nigeria’s Data Protection Act (NDPA) and Europe’s GDPR, safeguarding user privacy amid cross-border operations. Unlike conventional methods requiring physical biometrics, it enables immediate enrolment in UBA’s digital channels, blending convenience with regulatory depth.

Alero Ladipo, Group Head of Brand, Marketing, and Corporate Communications, highlighted customer-centric design. “Today’s customers expect speed, convenience, and compliance without compromise,” Ladipo stated. “We have blended industry-leading digital onboarding with robust standards for a seamless experience matching global best practices.”

The move reinforces UBA’s dominance in technology-driven inclusion, serving over 50 million customers with 30,000 employees and pioneering retail, commercial, and institutional services. Analysts view it as a strategic edge over fintech rivals, accelerating Africa’s digital economy amid rising diaspora remittances and intra-continental trade.

As Nigeria and Africa push financial digitisation, UBA’s platform positions the bank to capture untapped markets, fostering economic growth through barrier-free banking


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Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

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Kuda Microfinance Bank (Kuda MFB) has received a license from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to operate as a National Microfinance Bank, which means that it can now have a physical presence across Nigeria.

Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB

With the Unit Microfinance Bank licence it held until December 2025, Kuda MFB’s physical operations were limited to a specific location. The national licence removes those geographic restrictions, allowing the bank to open customer experience centres in multiple parts of the country. It also regularises Kuda MFB’s licensing status in line with the Central Bank’s framework for microfinance banks.

According to the bank, the national licence is about regulatory alignment and operational flexibility rather than a shift away from its digital-first model, so it will continue to lead with digital banking services, offering Nigerians the convenience of making transfers and payments, saving, and accessing instant credit through the Kuda app.

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB, said, “Securing a national microfinance banking licence is an important step for us as a regulated institution. It strengthens our relationship with the Central Bank and affirms our commitment to operating at the highest standards of compliance as we scale. While we remain digital at our core, this licence gives us the flexibility to create more physical touchpoints where customers want in-person support or engagement, allowing us to serve Nigerians across the country in whichever ways are most convenient for them.”

Subject to regulatory approval, Kuda MFB plans to open more experience centres designed for customer support and community engagement, in the style of its existing experience centre in Yaba, Lagos, where customers and the general public can speak directly with the Kuda team to get help and learn about the microfinance bank’s products and services.

Kuda MFB’s national licence does not change its existing product offerings or transaction capabilities, but it provides the regulatory backing for a nationwide presence.


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