E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Global Markets In State of Shock Over UK Referendum Outcome

The financial markets and spectators across the globe are in a complete state of shock following the unexpected outcome to the EU referendum that the UK has voted to leave the European Union.
Markets were completely reliant in the final lead up to the vote on following the bookmakers, who heavily favoured a one-sided remain and as such, were simply positioned for only a remain outcome.
Investors were guilty of ignoring the consistent opinion polls that repeatedly pointed out that the vote was going to be close and as a result, the possibility of a UK exit had been severely under-priced throughout the financial markets.
Make no mistake, around this time last year the markets were in complete pandemonium over what implications a “Grexit” could have on the global markets and the ramifications of a “Brexit” will carry far more severe risks.
What happens next? ‘Sell the news’ is going to become the name of the game.
Despite all of this historic movement in the British Pound overnight, this eventual outcome has not been priced into the equity markets, and the open to both the European and US session later today is going to be under the watchful eye of the world.
The GBPUSD itself dropped from a cliff overnight, and has recorded historic losses from 1.50 to 1.32 in a matter of hours.
It is important to point out that the reason for the GBPUSD falling to such extraordinary levels is not just limited to the UK voting to exit the European Union, investors have been very quick to also price in the uncertainty over the future of UK Prime Minister David Cameron and also the likelihood that this shocking news possibly opens the doors for another Scottish Referendum down the road.
There are also many other unanswered questions such as would this impact the UK’s credit rating and how will the Bank of England (BoE) react to such a shock.
There has also been an expected correlated move in the Eurodollar overnight, which itself has declined from 1.14 to just above 1.09 as a result of questions now lingering over the future of the European Union as a whole.
Headlines have circulated over the past hour alone around political parties in both Italy and France possibly planning on campaigning for their own referendums in the future.
I would personally not see this as a major threat for the time-being, but it could be interesting to monitor the possible reaction to Denmark and Sweden following the news that the UK has voted to leave the European Union.
It must also be made clear that the unexpected shock overnight must have implications on the Federal Reserve and their intention towards raising US interest rates later in 2016.
With so much uncertainty set to surround the global economy, US interest rate expectations must be pushed back and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen was very explicit in stating the risks a Brexit outcome could provide to the global economy.
This possible correlation has not quite yet been priced into the Dollar and if US futures point as sharply lower as what the European futures are currently suggesting, there is a threat of a knock-on effect on the Dollar.
We saw the USD plunge sharply lower following the events of Black Monday in August and it is possible history could repeat itself if US markets enter trading under such heavy pressure.
Gold has reached its highest level since March 2014 as a result of safe-haven demand following the United Kingdom voting to leave the EU.
After reaching levels beyond $1350 earlier in trading, Gold is now consolidating somewhere around the $1320 region. If risk aversion sweeps across the financial markets as expected following diminished risk appetite from investors, Gold could continue to see further support due to its status as a safe-haven asset.
Of course, this would be even more possible if US interest rate expectations do get pushed back as a result of such a shock overnight.
Due to limited attraction towards risk from investors, the oil markets have dropped as expected because concerns over the global economy would naturally make investors question demand for the commodity.
What does this mean to the Bank of Japan? A UK exit outcome represents their worst nightmare. With risk aversion now likely to be a theme in the markets for a prolonged period following such a shock overnight, there is quite simply nothing the central bank can do to prevent Yen demand from traders.
Can they intervene? Yes they can, but it would not be a wise idea to even consider this until this outcome has been priced in across the financial markets.
If the BoJ are not patient in allowing investors to adjust to the outcome of the referendum and the possible ramifications, the BoJ simply risks entering a game of cat-and mouse. In times of uncertainty the Japanese Yen becomes the best friend for traders and despite all of the unbelievable gains for the Yen throughout the first six months of 2016, the outcome to the overnight referendum has just encouragement towards the Yen towards new levels.
Quite simply put, the reaction to Gold, the Japanese Yen and how heavy equity markets are at threat to falling is the simplest reflection of how unprepared traders were for this outcome.
By Jameel Ahmad, VP of Market Research at FXTM
E-Financial
EFCC Warns Fintech Firms over Rising Fraud, Ransom Payments

Mr. Ola Olukoyede, chairman, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has called on financial technology companies in Nigeria to strengthen their systems and safeguard their platforms against exploitation by fraudsters and other criminal actors.

Olukoyede made the call yesterday in Abuja during an industry engagement meeting with chief executive officers of fintech companies held at the EFCC headquarters.
He commended the fintech sector for driving financial inclusion and innovation in the country, noting that their platforms have expanded access to financial services.
However, he warned that the same digital space has increasingly been exploited by fraudsters.
According to him, continuous engagement between the EFCC and fintech operators is necessary to identify vulnerabilities and block loopholes being used for financial crimes.
“The opportunities you have created have also given criminals the opportunity to perpetrate crimes,” he said, adding that regular collaboration would help strengthen regulatory safeguards and protect legitimate business operations.
Olukoyede urged fintech operators to protect the integrity of their businesses, stressing that reputation remains a critical asset in the financial sector.
He warned that a single compromised transaction could damage years of trust-building.
He also advocated stronger intelligence sharing and cooperation between both parties, noting that such collaboration would enhance the EFCC’s mandate in tackling financial crimes.
On security concerns, the EFCC chairman raised alarm over the use of fintech and POS channels for ransom payments linked to terrorism financing.
He called for stricter compliance with Know Your Customer (KYC) requirements and improved monitoring of suspicious transactions.
“We have seen that criminals exploit your space, especially in areas involving ransom payments,” he said, urging the industry to work with regulators to close existing loopholes.
The meeting also featured discussions on regulatory and operational challenges in the fintech sector, with both sides exploring measures aimed at strengthening compliance and reducing fraud risks.
E-Financial
New CBN’s BVN Rules Starts Today

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will from today start enforcing the new Bank Verification Number (BVN) regulations, in a major move aimed at tightening banking security and reducing rising cases of fraud across the financial system.

Key changes include restricting phone number changes to once in a lifetime, limiting banking apps to one device, and capping transactions on new devices to \(\text{₦}20,000\) for the first 24 hours.
Bank customers need to know these:
One of the major highlights of the policy is the restriction on updating BVN-linked phone numbers.
Customers will now be allowed to change the phone number attached to their BVN only once in their lifetime.
Fraudsters often take over accounts by changing phone numbers through SIM swap tricks. Limiting changes helps reduce that risk.
Make sure the BVN number you use is one you plan to keep for a long time. If you ever need to change it, do so carefully because you won’t get another chance.
Your account can be temporarily restricted for checks
Banks are now authorised to place suspicious BVNs on a 24-hour watchlist.
During this period, affected accounts may be temporarily restricted while investigations and identity verification are carried out.
If your bank notices unusual activity, your account may be flagged.
Transactions could be delayed or restricted while the bank confirms that you are the one making them.
BVN registration is now strictly for adults
Another key update is the introduction of an age restriction.
Only individuals aged 18 and above can independently register for a BVN.
Minors will no longer be able to obtain standalone BVNs, except through structured, guardian-linked arrangements approved by financial institutions.
You can only use your banking app on one device
The apex bank has also introduced a one-device-per-app rule.
This means customers can only use their banking app on one device at a time.
Logging in on a new phone will automatically log out the previous device.
If you switch to a new device, your transactions will be limited to ₦20,000 for the first 24 hours.
The policy is designed to reduce unauthorised access and improve identity verification, making it harder for fraudsters to operate using cloned devices or stolen login details.
BVN services are now limited to authorised channels
Access to BVN-related services is now more controlled.
Only CBN-approved banks and financial institutions can handle BVN updates or issues.
Avoid using third-party apps or unofficial agents. Always go through your bank for any BVN-related request.
E-Financial
Fidelity Bank “Basking in Approval” under Onyeali-Ikpe, CEO

Fidelity Bank Plc is basking in endless and stakeholders are happy.

Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe, managing director and chief executive officer, Fidelity Bank Plc
With nearly 10 million customers, Fidelity Bank is demonstrating excellent market traction.
This a crucial evidence for investors that the bank is solution driven.
For instance, at the capital market, the bank was the toast of investors as its market value surged amid bargain hunting on the Nigerian Exchange, with investors gaining more than 11 percent after few days of tradings last week only.
Fidelity Bank’s share price increased to N22.30 at the close of the market last Friday, as 11.227 million units valued at N251.523 million.
Investors are simply reacting positively to strong earnings, technology-driven growth, and strategic expansions.
Fidelity Bank, emerged a more robust financial institution after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ordered massive banking recapitalization exercise.
Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe, managing director and chief executive officer, Fidelity Bank Plc, is being credited for driving these exceptional shareholder value, operational performance, and sustainable growth.
Despite the immense responsibility and intense pressure, especially during turbulent times, Onyeali-Ikpe, has been strutting her stuff by strategic vision and exemplary leadership.
Onyeali-Ikpe has built Fidelity Bank as beacon in the banking industry underpinning the bank with trust, innovative technology, strategic growth, and strong leadership as well as reputation.
She has broken every glass ceilings delivering milestones and solid imprints in the annals of banking.
The bank only recently completed CBN-verified share allotment, hitting N532 billion capital.
This heavy chest now guarantees the bank long-term stability, and enabling it operate with speed.
Since appointment on January 1, 2021, Onyeali-Ikpe, has-anchored the bank on bespoke digital, financial, and technology-driven tools designed to enhance customer experience.
By integrating AI, automation, and advanced data analytics, Fidelity Bank is today delivering solution banking.
Under Onyeali-Ikpe’s leadership, the bank has significantly improved brand equity.
Fidelity Bank also announced the completion of the acquisition of a 100 per cent stake in Union Bank UK, under the CEO.
A recent Brand Finance report ranked Fidelity Bank as the fastest-growing Nigerian brand, with its brand value more than tripling.
Onyeali-Ikpe was also named among the 2024 Most Influential Global Top 100 Export and International Trade Leaders, recognizing her contribution to expanding Nigeria’s trade and export financing capabilities.
Under her, Fidelity Bank has received multiple awards, including Export Finance Bank of the Year (2023 BAFI Awards), Best Payment Solution Provider Nigeria 2023, and Best SME Bank Nigeria 2022 (Global Banking and Finance Awards).
The bank was also recognized by Euromoney for Best Bank for SMEs (2023) and Best Domestic Private Bank in Nigeria (2023).
Onyeali-Ikpe will be leaving as head of the bank this year but her record of placing the institution upward trajectory will be indelible.
She may be leaving “big shoes to fill” because of her high-energy, infectious positivity which made her successful in everything she does.
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