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FXTM Analysis: BoE Holds Rates as Sterling Spikes Higher

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The Bank of England shocked the global markets during trading on Thursday following the unexpected decision to keeping interest rates unchanged despite the mounting post-Brexit pressures.

Concerns remain elevated over a potential Brexit fuelled recession while the persistent Brexit uncertainty has punished the UK economy, but the BoE has decided to remain on standby.

Expectations were high over the central bank cutting rates by 0.25% in an effort to reclaim some economic stability but today’s decision has installed Sterling bulls with inspiration. Most on the MPC expect policy to be loosened in August and this should limit the upside gains viewed in the Sterling.

Fundamentally nothing has changed, and if UK domestic data continues to follow a tepid path amid the Brexit anxieties, then further cuts and interventions by the BoE could be commonplace in the future.

The Sterling/Dollar spiked towards 1.347 following the BOE’s unexpected decision to keep rates unchanged but could trade lower once investors digest the reality of a future rate cut. From a technical standpoint, a decisive break down below 1.32 could open a path back down towards 1.28.

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Dollar Searches for Direction
Dollar bulls displayed resilience during trading on Wednesday following the positive Beige Book report which signalled that the US economy continued to expand from mid-May through the end of June.

This report comes at a time where the impressive NFP report for June showed US labour force resilience in a period of ongoing global instability.

It seems that the overall US outlook has improved with retail sales, manufacturing and employment respecting a positive trajectory consequently fulfilling the domestic prerequisites for a US interest rate rise before year end.

Although the rising US rate rise expectations continue to improve sentiment towards the Dollar, concerns still linger over the Brexit anxieties obstructing any efforts taken by the Fed to act.

In this period of uncertainty, the Dollar searches for direction and the post-Brexit developments could offer the clarity investors seek.

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From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index has displayed some exhaustion above 96.00. A decisive breakdown below 96.00 could open a path towards 94.00.

Stock Markets Venture Higher
Global stocks were elevated during trading on Thursday as the combination of optimism over central bank intervention and easing post-Brexit uncertainties boosted sentiment, consequently renewing risk appetite.

Asian markets strolled into the green territory with the weakening Yen propelling the Nikkei +0.95% as expectations mounted over further stimulus measures in Japan amid the global instability.

In Europe, stocks exceeded expectations consequently grasping new highs ahead of the heavily anticipated BoE monetary policy meeting. It seems likely that the positive domino from Asia and Europe may provide the foundation for Wall Street to edge higher on Thursdays open.

Although the fierce short-term stock market rally could be commended, investors must remain diligent over the lingering impacts a Brexit could have on the UK and global economy.

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Concerns have heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK and if this leaks into the global economy, sentiment could take a blow ultimately punishing global stocks.

Crude Oil Declines
Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday with WTI Crude cutting below $46 after the crude oil inventories reported a smaller than expected crude oil inventory draw for the first week of July.

This coupled with the fact that Saudi Arabia’s oil production was bolstered to almost 10.6 million barrels a day in June offered the encouragement for bears to install a heavy round of selling.

Oil prices have been bearish for an extended period and may remain bearish as the incessant oversupply concerns haunt investor attraction.

With fears still lingering that demand may be waning amid the fears over slowing global growth, oil prices may be poised to depreciate lower in 2016. The toxic combination of excessive oversupply and waning demand could force low oil prices to be the dominant theme moving forward.

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From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude is bearish and a decisive break down below $44 could open a path towards $40.

Commodity Spotlight –Gold
Gold has been on a rocky ride with prices violently swinging between losses and gains as a mixture of Dollar appreciation, renewed risk appetite and lingering Brexit concerns encouraged investors to systematically offload and reload positions.

Regardless of the short-term fluctuations, this metal remains bullish and the ongoing fears over the global economy should keep prices buoyed.

Although June’s impressive NFP installed a heavy of selling in the metal, this was short lived as expectations remain suppressed over the Fed raising US interest rates in 2016.

Despite the optimism that central banks may intervene, uncertainty is still a central theme which should bolster this metal’s allure. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has also crossed to the upside. Gold may be in the process of creating a new higher low and a breakout above $1345 could open a path towards $1370.

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E-Financial

Next Currency Crisis May Turn $300Bn in Stablecoins into National Currencies

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The next currency crisis could accelerate the shift of the roughly $315 billion global stablecoin market into a digital-dollar alternative for citizens in emerging economies, notably in regions like sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America.

Next Currency Crisis May Turn $300Bn in Stablecoins into National Currencies

As local fiat currencies face devaluation and high inflation, citizens and businesses are increasingly utilizing smartphone-based stablecoins (such as USDT and USDC) as hedges and primary mediums of exchange.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the rapid adoption of dollar-linked digital assets—particularly in countries heavily affected by inflation like Nigeria—poses significant risks to monetary sovereignty.

With up to 95% of surveyed individuals in some African markets preferring to receive payments in stablecoins over local fiat, the rising volume of these decentralized, cross-border channels weakens domestic currency demand and dilutes the effectiveness of local monetary policy.

IMF observed in a report titled “Stablecoins in Nigeria: A Growing Cross-Border Channel”  noted that the widespread use of stablecoins poses risks to monetary sovereignty, particularly as more individuals and businesses turn to digital dollar-linked assets for savings and transactions.

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Nodding in agreement is Future Investment Initiative Institute (FII Institute), a non-profit organisation run by the Public Investment Fund, Saudi Arabia’s main sovereign wealth fund.

FII Institute said that central banks face structural challenges.

And according to the institute, when citizens move savings out of national banks and into private digital wallets, conventional capital controls lose their grip.

Institutions like the Bank for International Settlements warn that interest-bearing stablecoins compete directly with domestic-currency deposits, complicating financial oversight and making smartphone-based transfers incredibly difficult for authorities to monitor.

In Nigeria, Naira depreciation has pushed users toward dollar-stablecoins, according to report by Gino Matos in cryptoslate.com.

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A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a steady value by pegging its price to a reserve asset, such as a fiat currency (e.g., the U.S. dollar) or a commodity (e.g., gold).

They act as a bridge between traditional money and the digital asset world, providing the speed of crypto without the extreme price swings of assets like Bitcoin.

 

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FG to Raise N1.2 Trillion via Fresh Bond Offer – DMO

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Federal government has reopened three federal government of Nigeria (FGN) bond issues valued at N1.2 trillion for subscription as part of efforts to raise long-term funds from the domestic debt market.

FG to Raise N1.2 Trillion via Fresh Bond Offer - DMO

The Debt Management Office (DMO), which announced the offer on Tuesday, said the three reopened bond issues are each valued at N400 billion.

According to the DMO, the first offer is the January 2035 FGN Bond, a 10-year reopening, carrying an interest rate of 22.60 per cent per annum.

The second is the May 2028 FGN Bond, a 15-year reopening, with a coupon rate of 15.45 per cent per annum, while the third is the June 2037 FGN Bond, a 20-year reopening, also valued at N400 billion.

The office said the bond auction is scheduled for July 20, while successful subscriptions will be settled on July 22.

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It explained that the bonds are offered at N1,000 per unit, with a minimum subscription of N50 million and additional investments in multiples of N1,000.

For the reopened bonds, the DMO said successful bidders would pay a price based on the yield-to-maturity that clears the auction, in addition to any accrued interest on the instruments.

Interest on the bonds will be paid every six months, while the principal will be repaid in full on the respective maturity dates.

The DMO reaffirmed that FGN bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government and constitute obligations chargeable on the general assets of the federation.

It added that the bonds qualify as trustee investment securities under the Trustee Investment Act and enjoy tax exemptions for eligible investors, including pension funds, under the Company Income Tax Act and Personal Income Tax Act.

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The bonds are listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) and FMDQ Securities Exchange and also qualify as liquid assets for banks in computing their liquidity ratios.

FGN bonds are long-term debt instruments through which investors lend money to the Federal Government in exchange for periodic interest payments and repayment of the principal at maturity.

 

 

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Gigbanc Nigerian Fintech Startup Closes Shop after 3 Years

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Gigbanc, Nigerian fintech startup, has announced it is winding down operations, after three years, citing a tough fundraising climate.

Gigbanc Nigerian Fintech Startup Closes Shop after 3 Years

Paul Omoregie Okundaye, and Babatope Oni, co-founders of Gigbanc

The company, which set out to build cross-border financial infrastructure for African freelancers, creators, entrepreneurs and businesses, confirmed the decision in a statement signed by its co-founders.

“After careful consideration, Gigbanc’s leadership has made the difficult decision to wind down operations,” the company said, adding that the move “reflects the broader funding environment affecting early stage startups in Africa, a challenge that has been widely documented across the ecosystem.”

Since its founding, Gigbanc grew a community of more than 150,000 people across multiple countries and processed over $7.28 million (N10 billion) in payment volume, helping thousands of users receive their first international payment.

The company also ran conferences, fellowships and community events aimed at connecting entrepreneurs and creators across the continent.

`Despite the shutdown, Gigbanc said it is not walking away emptyhanded.

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The company disclosed that it is in active acquisition discussions with a prominent financial infrastructure firm, with further details to be shared once the process closes.

Paul Omoregie Okundaye, co-founder and CEO,  and Babatope Oni, co-founder and CTO, framed the closure as the end of a chapter rather than the erasure of Gigbanc’s impact.

“While Gigbanc is winding down operations, we don’t see this as the end of what we built together. Instead, we see it as the completion of an important chapter,” the founders said. “The relationships, lessons, community, and impact we’ve created will continue to outlive the company itself.”

The founders thanked users for their trust throughout the company’s run, citing everything from transactions and feature requests to bug reports and criticism as forces that shaped the product

“We leave this journey incredibly proud. Proud of our team, who gave everything they had.

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Proud of the community that rallied behind us,” they said.

Gigbanc’s exit adds to a growing list of African startups that have shut down or scaled back operations in recent years as venture funding on the continent has tightened, with founders increasingly citing capital scarcity as the primary driver behind closures and consolidations.

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