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FXTM Analysis: BoE Holds Rates as Sterling Spikes Higher

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The Bank of England shocked the global markets during trading on Thursday following the unexpected decision to keeping interest rates unchanged despite the mounting post-Brexit pressures.

Concerns remain elevated over a potential Brexit fuelled recession while the persistent Brexit uncertainty has punished the UK economy, but the BoE has decided to remain on standby.

Expectations were high over the central bank cutting rates by 0.25% in an effort to reclaim some economic stability but today’s decision has installed Sterling bulls with inspiration. Most on the MPC expect policy to be loosened in August and this should limit the upside gains viewed in the Sterling.

Fundamentally nothing has changed, and if UK domestic data continues to follow a tepid path amid the Brexit anxieties, then further cuts and interventions by the BoE could be commonplace in the future.

The Sterling/Dollar spiked towards 1.347 following the BOE’s unexpected decision to keep rates unchanged but could trade lower once investors digest the reality of a future rate cut. From a technical standpoint, a decisive break down below 1.32 could open a path back down towards 1.28.

Dollar Searches for Direction
Dollar bulls displayed resilience during trading on Wednesday following the positive Beige Book report which signalled that the US economy continued to expand from mid-May through the end of June.

This report comes at a time where the impressive NFP report for June showed US labour force resilience in a period of ongoing global instability.

It seems that the overall US outlook has improved with retail sales, manufacturing and employment respecting a positive trajectory consequently fulfilling the domestic prerequisites for a US interest rate rise before year end.

Although the rising US rate rise expectations continue to improve sentiment towards the Dollar, concerns still linger over the Brexit anxieties obstructing any efforts taken by the Fed to act.

In this period of uncertainty, the Dollar searches for direction and the post-Brexit developments could offer the clarity investors seek.

From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index has displayed some exhaustion above 96.00. A decisive breakdown below 96.00 could open a path towards 94.00.

Stock Markets Venture Higher
Global stocks were elevated during trading on Thursday as the combination of optimism over central bank intervention and easing post-Brexit uncertainties boosted sentiment, consequently renewing risk appetite.

Asian markets strolled into the green territory with the weakening Yen propelling the Nikkei +0.95% as expectations mounted over further stimulus measures in Japan amid the global instability.

In Europe, stocks exceeded expectations consequently grasping new highs ahead of the heavily anticipated BoE monetary policy meeting. It seems likely that the positive domino from Asia and Europe may provide the foundation for Wall Street to edge higher on Thursdays open.

Although the fierce short-term stock market rally could be commended, investors must remain diligent over the lingering impacts a Brexit could have on the UK and global economy.

Concerns have heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK and if this leaks into the global economy, sentiment could take a blow ultimately punishing global stocks.

Crude Oil Declines
Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday with WTI Crude cutting below $46 after the crude oil inventories reported a smaller than expected crude oil inventory draw for the first week of July.

This coupled with the fact that Saudi Arabia’s oil production was bolstered to almost 10.6 million barrels a day in June offered the encouragement for bears to install a heavy round of selling.

Oil prices have been bearish for an extended period and may remain bearish as the incessant oversupply concerns haunt investor attraction.

With fears still lingering that demand may be waning amid the fears over slowing global growth, oil prices may be poised to depreciate lower in 2016. The toxic combination of excessive oversupply and waning demand could force low oil prices to be the dominant theme moving forward.

From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude is bearish and a decisive break down below $44 could open a path towards $40.

Commodity Spotlight –Gold
Gold has been on a rocky ride with prices violently swinging between losses and gains as a mixture of Dollar appreciation, renewed risk appetite and lingering Brexit concerns encouraged investors to systematically offload and reload positions.

Regardless of the short-term fluctuations, this metal remains bullish and the ongoing fears over the global economy should keep prices buoyed.

Although June’s impressive NFP installed a heavy of selling in the metal, this was short lived as expectations remain suppressed over the Fed raising US interest rates in 2016.

Despite the optimism that central banks may intervene, uncertainty is still a central theme which should bolster this metal’s allure. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has also crossed to the upside. Gold may be in the process of creating a new higher low and a breakout above $1345 could open a path towards $1370.

 


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E-Financial

UBA Beefs Up Mobile App Security to Stop Fraudulent Debits, Withdrawals

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) has said that it has strengthened the security of transactions on its mobile application to stop fraudulent debits, unauthorised transfers and withdrawals.

UBA Beefs Up Mobile App Security to Stop Fraudulent Debits, Withdrawals

Oliver Alawuba, Group Managing Director and CEO of United Bank for Africa

UBA announced this in a memo forwarded to its customers via email recently.

“We are pleased to inform you that we have further strengthened the security of transactions on the Mobile App.

“Updated authentication options now apply based on the value of transfers,” the memo reads in part.

UBA said in the memo that it had introduced authentication options for transactions of varying amounts to detect and prevent fraud.

According to the bank, transactions of N200,000 or more will now require customers to provide their Personal Identification Number (PIN) and a token number.

For transactions above N200,000 and N250,000, customers will be required to provide their PIN and a One-Time Password (OTP).

They can make use of their PIN and Biometric or PIN and Token numbers to authenticate such transactions.

Customers will be required to provide a PIN and OTP, or a PIN and Token number, when carrying out transactions between N250,000 and N500,000

For transactions between N500,000 and N10 million, customers must enter their PIN and Token to authenticate the transaction.

For transactions above N10 million, customers must use their PIN, Token, and Biometric to complete the transaction.

“The app will guide you, no need to memorise these thresholds,” the bank assured customers in the memo.

 


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CBN Plans New Payment Systems Vision

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has said that it will be launching a new payment systems vision that will outline where the entire ecosystem is expected to be heading in the next three years.

CBN Plans New Payment Systems Vision

Olayemi Cardoso, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria

The vision was co-created with the financial technology players, the mobile money operators, payment service providers across the board.

This was announced by Muhammad Abdullahi, deputy governor, Economic Policy Directorate at the CBN, after the inaugural meeting of the Payment Service Providers Committee.

Olayemi Cardoso, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, inaugurated the first meeting of the Payment Service Providers Committee, to reinforce policy coordination, knowledge sharing, and also ensure collective problem-solving by the industry and by the central bank.

The committee is being chaired by Muhammad Abdullahi, CBN deputy Governor, Economic Policy, and co-chaired by Philip Ikeazor, deputy Governor, Financial System Stability Directorate.

Other members of the committee include stakeholders from all the key payment service providers that are licensed to operate in Nigeria as well as a number of regulators, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

According to Abdullahi, the committee is expected to convene on a quarterly basis to interface with players in the industry, to ensure that they collectively solve some of the challenges that are facing the industry.

“The committee is to put Nigeria on the best footing forward in terms of payment system space. As we already know, Nigeria is a world leader in payment service provision.

“The kind of technology and fintechs deployed in Nigeria are far ahead of regional and continental peers. And what we want to ensure over the next five to 10 years is that we continue to maintain this leadership and be able to do much more for the Nigerian economy,” he said.

He stated that setting up the committee had become relevant with the remarkable growth trajectory seen in the digital payment landscape in Nigeria.

“In 2024 alone, the system processed over 11.2 billion electronic transactions, amounting to over N1.07 quadrillion. This is the first time that digital payments crossed the quadrillion naira threshold, representing significant growth.

“The momentum has continued. In 2025, we’ve seen significant growth, and of course, in the first few months of 2026 as well. This is an ecosystem that is significantly growing, that has significant implications for growth in Nigeria, for inclusive growth, for trade, and other significant positives for our country, he said.

The Deputy Governor, Financial System Stability Directorate, and co-chair of the committee, explained that the inaugural meeting, featured discussions such as preliminary issues around how participation is going to be, what the top-line issues are, and some of the committees that would be set up eventually.

He said, “What we intend to do is to be able to solve this in a much faster way. So in the past, companies would have to wait a significant amount of time to interface or lay their concerns to the central bank, and the central bank would have to do supervisory visits—on-site, off-site—to be able to carry out its responsibilities.

“But today, now, we have a platform that brings us all together, that has committees that are working towards specific mandates that can advance the payment systems space, you know, payment service provider space. So what we really have now is that a major bottleneck has been removed, which is the bottleneck of coordination, collaboration, and joint systems thinking”.

On her part, Foyinsolami Akinjayeju, chief executive officer of Enhancing Financial Inclusion and Advancement (EFInA), said that the inaugural meeting of the Payment Services Providers Committee was to ensure that innovation was not stifled.

She said, “The Payment Services Providers Committee will more importantly, allow for inclusive and sustainable growth through access, expansion, strengthening of trust to ensure that no segments of our economy is left behind”.

Also, Premier Oiwoh, managing director and chief executive, Nigeria Inter Bank Settlement System (NIBSS), lauded the initiative describing it as historic and a win for all Nigerians.

For Jay Alabraba, chairman, Association of Licensed Mobile Payment Operators, the initiative is a good one which will help sustain the nation’s growth through active participation of industry stakeholders.

 

 


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Ghana Makes History as First African Country to Integrate Payment National Identity Card

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Ghana becomes the first African country to integrate payment into its Citizens’ Identity Card, ditching US-based payment giants Visa and Mastercard in Africa.

Ghana Makes History as First African Country to Integrate Payment National Identity Card

The card is now widely accepted in over 190 countries for online, in-store, and ATM use.

It allows for secure purchases, international payments, and offers perks like insurance and emergency assistance.

Ghana Card holders can activate their card using the MyCitizens App or by dialling *402#

Recall that Ghana’s National Identification Authority (NIA),  statutory body mandated to establish a national identification system, first announced in September 2025, that the card would allow users to make use of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs), make payments in stores and online, make international payments with over 200 countries, and access other services such as insurance and emergency assistance.

The NIA’s aim for developing this feature is to bolster financial inclusion within the country.

In Ghana, the credit card penetration rate was forecast at 0.6% in 2024 and was forecast to continuously decrease between 2024 and 2029.

 

 


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