Connect with us

E-Financial

FXTM Analysis: BoE Holds Rates as Sterling Spikes Higher

Published

on

Forex Time.jpg
Kindly share this post

The Bank of England shocked the global markets during trading on Thursday following the unexpected decision to keeping interest rates unchanged despite the mounting post-Brexit pressures.

Concerns remain elevated over a potential Brexit fuelled recession while the persistent Brexit uncertainty has punished the UK economy, but the BoE has decided to remain on standby.

Expectations were high over the central bank cutting rates by 0.25% in an effort to reclaim some economic stability but today’s decision has installed Sterling bulls with inspiration. Most on the MPC expect policy to be loosened in August and this should limit the upside gains viewed in the Sterling.

Fundamentally nothing has changed, and if UK domestic data continues to follow a tepid path amid the Brexit anxieties, then further cuts and interventions by the BoE could be commonplace in the future.

The Sterling/Dollar spiked towards 1.347 following the BOE’s unexpected decision to keep rates unchanged but could trade lower once investors digest the reality of a future rate cut. From a technical standpoint, a decisive break down below 1.32 could open a path back down towards 1.28.

Dollar Searches for Direction
Dollar bulls displayed resilience during trading on Wednesday following the positive Beige Book report which signalled that the US economy continued to expand from mid-May through the end of June.

This report comes at a time where the impressive NFP report for June showed US labour force resilience in a period of ongoing global instability.

It seems that the overall US outlook has improved with retail sales, manufacturing and employment respecting a positive trajectory consequently fulfilling the domestic prerequisites for a US interest rate rise before year end.

Although the rising US rate rise expectations continue to improve sentiment towards the Dollar, concerns still linger over the Brexit anxieties obstructing any efforts taken by the Fed to act.

In this period of uncertainty, the Dollar searches for direction and the post-Brexit developments could offer the clarity investors seek.

From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index has displayed some exhaustion above 96.00. A decisive breakdown below 96.00 could open a path towards 94.00.

Stock Markets Venture Higher
Global stocks were elevated during trading on Thursday as the combination of optimism over central bank intervention and easing post-Brexit uncertainties boosted sentiment, consequently renewing risk appetite.

Asian markets strolled into the green territory with the weakening Yen propelling the Nikkei +0.95% as expectations mounted over further stimulus measures in Japan amid the global instability.

In Europe, stocks exceeded expectations consequently grasping new highs ahead of the heavily anticipated BoE monetary policy meeting. It seems likely that the positive domino from Asia and Europe may provide the foundation for Wall Street to edge higher on Thursdays open.

Although the fierce short-term stock market rally could be commended, investors must remain diligent over the lingering impacts a Brexit could have on the UK and global economy.

Concerns have heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK and if this leaks into the global economy, sentiment could take a blow ultimately punishing global stocks.

Crude Oil Declines
Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday with WTI Crude cutting below $46 after the crude oil inventories reported a smaller than expected crude oil inventory draw for the first week of July.

This coupled with the fact that Saudi Arabia’s oil production was bolstered to almost 10.6 million barrels a day in June offered the encouragement for bears to install a heavy round of selling.

Oil prices have been bearish for an extended period and may remain bearish as the incessant oversupply concerns haunt investor attraction.

With fears still lingering that demand may be waning amid the fears over slowing global growth, oil prices may be poised to depreciate lower in 2016. The toxic combination of excessive oversupply and waning demand could force low oil prices to be the dominant theme moving forward.

From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude is bearish and a decisive break down below $44 could open a path towards $40.

Commodity Spotlight –Gold
Gold has been on a rocky ride with prices violently swinging between losses and gains as a mixture of Dollar appreciation, renewed risk appetite and lingering Brexit concerns encouraged investors to systematically offload and reload positions.

Regardless of the short-term fluctuations, this metal remains bullish and the ongoing fears over the global economy should keep prices buoyed.

Although June’s impressive NFP installed a heavy of selling in the metal, this was short lived as expectations remain suppressed over the Fed raising US interest rates in 2016.

Despite the optimism that central banks may intervene, uncertainty is still a central theme which should bolster this metal’s allure. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has also crossed to the upside. Gold may be in the process of creating a new higher low and a breakout above $1345 could open a path towards $1370.

 


Kindly share this post

Nigeria CommunicationsWeek believes that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. So since 2007, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and how they affect lives.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Comments

E-Financial

Majority of Nigerians do not Trust Govt with Tax Revenue – SBM

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Majority Nigerians do not trust the government to properly utilise their tax payments for good use, according to a survey by SBM Intelligence across nine cities.

Majority of Nigerians do not Trust Govt with Tax Revenue – SBM

The survey highlighted why recent tax reforms have triggered widespread anxiety and resistance.

“Survey data from 200 respondents across nine cities indicate that 68.5 percent of Nigerians completely distrust the government’s use of tax revenues, whereas only 27.5 percent view the reforms as beneficial to the country, ” SBM intelligence said in its recent report titled Taxing Patience.

Nigeria’s 2025 Tax Reform Acts took effect in January, introducing the most comprehensive overhaul of the tax framework in decades. The reform has created more awareness among Nigerians than ever before, increasing their further distrust in the government’s use of tax revenues.

The distrust reflects years of poor service delivery and weak accountability, shaping public doubt toward the new tax system despite assurances that the reforms are designed to ease burdens and improve fairness.

“In the past, people avoided tax because they felt the government wouldn’t provide basic amenities,” businessday quoted Okanlawon Hakeem, a Lagos-based businessman, as saying.

“You drill boreholes yourself, pay for public transport yourself, and sometimes fix your local road yourself. So, you ask yourself what the government is doing with the tax money.”

The SBM Intelligence report noted that access to reliable electricity, improved security and better roads were the clearest signals that would make tax compliance worthwhile.

“46 percent of participants identified improvements in roads and security as their primary motivation for tax compliance,” SBM Intelligence noted, explaining that service delivery, rather than enforcement alone, is likely to shape taxpayer behaviour.

Government officials have defended the changes as necessary to improve public finances and reduce Nigeria’s dependence on oil revenue, pointing to the country’s historically low tax-to-GDP ratio.

With a tax-to-GDP ratio of less than 10 percent, Nigeria has lagged behind regional peers such as Ghana and Kenya. Taiwo Oyedele, chairman presidential fiscal policy and tax committee, hopes the reforms will lift the ratio toward 18 percent over the medium term.

Public sentiment, however, has not moved in step with these fiscal ambitions. According to the report, only 27.5 percent of people believe that the new tax laws are good for the country.

The report also suggests that greater awareness of the reforms often coincides with stronger skepticism rather than acceptance.

Distrust cuts across regions and occupations but is especially pronounced in major commercial centres.

The report mentioned that people in Lagos and parts of the Northeast have the strongest resistance and protest sentiment, reflecting concerns about enforcement, fairness and legislative integrity.

In its Year Ahead 2026 outlook, SBM Intelligence projects that protests are likely as the real impact of the new framework becomes clearer. The report points to the June 2024 youth-led protests in Kenya, which resulted in a reversal of the policy.

In Nigeria, where inflation is only just beginning to show signs of easing, the tolerance for perceived government excesses, including lavish convoys and budget padding, is at an all-time low.

Business owners, traders and informal workers expressed particular unease, fearing the reforms could deepen the problem of double taxation. Many worry that government levies will exist alongside rather than replace the fees already collected by unions and non-state actors.

“ Nearly a third of business respondents said they expect to pay both official taxes and union fees,” the report stated.

For informal workers such as market traders, drivers and artisans, this fear is grounded in experience. Many already make daily payments to unions or associations, often under pressure.

Without a clear plan to eliminate these parallel charges, new government taxes are widely viewed as an additional burden rather than a simplification of the system.

In Lagos, Kano and Onitsha, constant electricity emerged as the strongest trigger for compliance. In Abuja, Port Harcourt and Bauchi, respondents prioritized roads and security. Across cities, the message was consistent: willingness to pay is conditional on visible outcomes.

Analysts warn that without clear improvements in service delivery, stronger enforcement could harden resistance rather than improve compliance.

The report stated that without rapid, visible improvements in public services, the government risks collecting more money while winning.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Why FirstBank Wrote off N748Bn Bad Loan – Otedola

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Femi Otedola, group chairman, First Bank Holdings, has justified the company’s decision to write off N748bn in legacy non-performing loans, saying the move was a deliberate strategy aimed at securing long-term financial stability, even though it significantly reduced reported profits.

Why FirstBank Wrote off N748Bn Bad Loan – Otedola

Femi Otedola, group chairman, First Bank Holdings,

Otedola made this known in a post on his X handle, where he explained that the large-scale provisioning led to a 92 per cent drop in the holding company’s profit figure.

According to the billionaire investor, the write-off was in line with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s directive encouraging banks to confront non-performing loans openly instead of postponing the issue.

“At First HoldCo we decided to clean house properly. We took a huge one-time hit of N748bn to admit old bad loans instead of pretending they do not exist. That is why profit looks like it crashed by 92 per cent. Painful headline, but it is a serious long-term move,” he wrote.

He noted that the decision was taken to finally address problematic loans accumulated over previous years and to strengthen confidence among stakeholders.

“Why do this now? Because the CBN is pushing banks to stop kicking problems down the road. So First HoldCo basically closed the chapter on messy loans from past years which sends a clear message that borrowing has consequences and it helps rebuild trust,” Otedola added.

Despite the scale of the write-off, Otedola maintained that the bank’s core business remained solid, stressing that strong earnings demonstrated the institution’s underlying financial strength.

He disclosed that the bank generated N2.96tn in interest income and N1.91tn in net interest income, figures he said were sufficient to absorb the clean-up while keeping operations stable.

“The key point is this: our business itself is STILL strong. It made N2.96tn in interest income and N1.91tn in net interest income, which gave it the strength to take the cleanup and still stay standing,” he stated.

Looking ahead, Otedola expressed confidence in the bank’s future, saying the balance sheet clean-up has positioned First Bank well for recapitalisation and sustained growth.

“Now at First Bank and beyond we go into 2026 lighter, cleaner and better prepared for the recapitalisation era and serious growth. Bad loans cleared + strong income engine + long-term thinking = real value creation,” he concluded.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Unity Bank Unwraps Mobile App to Deepen Digital Banking Experience

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Unity Bank Plc, Nigeria’s retail lender, has launched an upgraded version of its mobile banking platform, Unifi, as part of ongoing efforts to improve customer experience and reinforce its proposition in e-business.

Unity Bank Unwraps Mobile App to Deepen Digital Banking Experience

Speaking on the upgrade, Adenike Abimbola, divisional head, Retail, SME, Digital Banking & Fintech Partnerships at Unity Bank,  said the improvements were built on the back of continuous interrogation of the platform to be more responsive to customer feedbacks which are being received overtime in our interactions and engagements.

“Digital banking has become an integral part of everyday life, particularly for retail customers who expect speed, dependability, convenience, and security as standard. With the latest upgrade to Unifi, we are responding directly to these expectations by enhancing functionality, strengthening security, and simplifying key payment and transaction journeys. Our goal is to ensure that customers can carry out their banking activities seamlessly, confidently, and without friction, anytime and anywhere,” Abimbola said


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

Trending