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FXTM Analysis: BoE Holds Rates as Sterling Spikes Higher

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The Bank of England shocked the global markets during trading on Thursday following the unexpected decision to keeping interest rates unchanged despite the mounting post-Brexit pressures.

Concerns remain elevated over a potential Brexit fuelled recession while the persistent Brexit uncertainty has punished the UK economy, but the BoE has decided to remain on standby.

Expectations were high over the central bank cutting rates by 0.25% in an effort to reclaim some economic stability but today’s decision has installed Sterling bulls with inspiration. Most on the MPC expect policy to be loosened in August and this should limit the upside gains viewed in the Sterling.

Fundamentally nothing has changed, and if UK domestic data continues to follow a tepid path amid the Brexit anxieties, then further cuts and interventions by the BoE could be commonplace in the future.

The Sterling/Dollar spiked towards 1.347 following the BOE’s unexpected decision to keep rates unchanged but could trade lower once investors digest the reality of a future rate cut. From a technical standpoint, a decisive break down below 1.32 could open a path back down towards 1.28.

Dollar Searches for Direction
Dollar bulls displayed resilience during trading on Wednesday following the positive Beige Book report which signalled that the US economy continued to expand from mid-May through the end of June.

This report comes at a time where the impressive NFP report for June showed US labour force resilience in a period of ongoing global instability.

It seems that the overall US outlook has improved with retail sales, manufacturing and employment respecting a positive trajectory consequently fulfilling the domestic prerequisites for a US interest rate rise before year end.

Although the rising US rate rise expectations continue to improve sentiment towards the Dollar, concerns still linger over the Brexit anxieties obstructing any efforts taken by the Fed to act.

In this period of uncertainty, the Dollar searches for direction and the post-Brexit developments could offer the clarity investors seek.

From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index has displayed some exhaustion above 96.00. A decisive breakdown below 96.00 could open a path towards 94.00.

Stock Markets Venture Higher
Global stocks were elevated during trading on Thursday as the combination of optimism over central bank intervention and easing post-Brexit uncertainties boosted sentiment, consequently renewing risk appetite.

Asian markets strolled into the green territory with the weakening Yen propelling the Nikkei +0.95% as expectations mounted over further stimulus measures in Japan amid the global instability.

In Europe, stocks exceeded expectations consequently grasping new highs ahead of the heavily anticipated BoE monetary policy meeting. It seems likely that the positive domino from Asia and Europe may provide the foundation for Wall Street to edge higher on Thursdays open.

Although the fierce short-term stock market rally could be commended, investors must remain diligent over the lingering impacts a Brexit could have on the UK and global economy.

Concerns have heightened over a potential Brexit fuelled recession in the UK and if this leaks into the global economy, sentiment could take a blow ultimately punishing global stocks.

Crude Oil Declines
Oil prices tumbled more than 3% on Wednesday with WTI Crude cutting below $46 after the crude oil inventories reported a smaller than expected crude oil inventory draw for the first week of July.

This coupled with the fact that Saudi Arabia’s oil production was bolstered to almost 10.6 million barrels a day in June offered the encouragement for bears to install a heavy round of selling.

Oil prices have been bearish for an extended period and may remain bearish as the incessant oversupply concerns haunt investor attraction.

With fears still lingering that demand may be waning amid the fears over slowing global growth, oil prices may be poised to depreciate lower in 2016. The toxic combination of excessive oversupply and waning demand could force low oil prices to be the dominant theme moving forward.

From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude is bearish and a decisive break down below $44 could open a path towards $40.

Commodity Spotlight –Gold
Gold has been on a rocky ride with prices violently swinging between losses and gains as a mixture of Dollar appreciation, renewed risk appetite and lingering Brexit concerns encouraged investors to systematically offload and reload positions.

Regardless of the short-term fluctuations, this metal remains bullish and the ongoing fears over the global economy should keep prices buoyed.

Although June’s impressive NFP installed a heavy of selling in the metal, this was short lived as expectations remain suppressed over the Fed raising US interest rates in 2016.

Despite the optimism that central banks may intervene, uncertainty is still a central theme which should bolster this metal’s allure. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has also crossed to the upside. Gold may be in the process of creating a new higher low and a breakout above $1345 could open a path towards $1370.

 


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E-Financial

CBN Warns Non-Interest Banks  against Governance, Compliance Risks

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has warned non-interest financial institutions against governance and compliance risks capable of undermining public confidence and financial stability in the country’s growing Islamic finance sector.

CBN Warns Non-Interest Banks  against Governance, Compliance Risks

Interest-free banks, often known as non-interest or Islamic banks, operate without charging or paying traditional interest (Riba).

The warning was contained in a press statement issued by the apex bank following the 2nd Annual Interactive Session between the CBN Financial Regulation Advisory Council of Experts and the Advisory Committees of Experts of Non-Interest Financial Institutions held at the CBN Auditorium in Abuja.

Speaking through Dr Rita Sike, director of the Financial Policy and Regulation Department,  Philip Ikeazor, deputy governor, Financial System Stability, said the rapid expansion of the industry had increased exposure to operational and regulatory vulnerabilities.

The statement read, “The Deputy Governor, however, observed that as the industry grows in size, sophistication, and interconnectedness, it faces unique risks, particularly non-compliance risk, governance challenges, operational vulnerabilities, and emerging technological risks.

“He warned that such risks, if not properly managed, could undermine public confidence, financial stability, and the overall credibility of the non-interest finance ecosystem.”

According to the CBN, the engagement was part of ongoing efforts to strengthen Shariah governance, improve regulatory clarity, and reinforce risk management standards within the non-interest financial services industry.

The apex bank noted that non-interest financial institutions continued to play an increasingly important role in Nigeria’s financial system by providing ethical and Shariah-compliant alternatives to conventional banking.

It stated that the institutions were also contributing to financial inclusion, real sector financing, micro, small, and medium enterprises development, and shared prosperity.

The CBN further explained that the establishment of FRACE and the mandatory constitution of ACEs across all non-interest financial institutions were designed to institutionalise a harmonised governance framework for the sector.

According to the statement, sustained interaction between FRACE and ACEs remained critical to ensuring that regulatory expectations were properly understood and consistently implemented across the industry.

“The objectives of today’s session include fostering the institutionalisation and effective operation of a robust Shariah governance system within Non-Interest Financial Institutions, and providing a structured platform for dialogue, knowledge-sharing, and collaboration,” Ikeazor was quoted in the statement.

In his remarks, Prof Bashir Umar, deputy chairman of FRACE,  said the interactive session was aimed at strengthening governance within the non-interest finance sub-sector and promoting constructive engagement between regulators and industry advisory committees.

He also commended the management of the CBN for reviving the session, which was first introduced in 2014.

Earlier in her welcome remarks, Sike reaffirmed the apex bank’s commitment to building a strong and well-governed non-interest financial services industry.

She noted that the growing diversity of products and delivery channels, particularly the emergence of Islamic fintech, had increased the need for stronger regulatory oversight and continuous engagement among industry stakeholders.

“The growing diversity of products, institutions, and delivery channels, particularly with the emergence of Islamic fintech, underscores the need for continuous dialogue, sound regulatory oversight, and robust advisory input from scholars and practitioners,” she said.

The session featured technical presentations on Shariah non-compliance risks in non-interest banks and the role of Islamic fintech in driving financial inclusion.

Participants at the event included members of FRACE, chairmen and members of various ACEs, managing directors of non-interest banks, senior CBN officials, and representatives of the Bank of Industry and the Securities and Exchange Commission.


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FG Seeks Fresh $1.25Bn Loan from World Bank to Create Jobs, Others

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Federal government is in discussions with the World Bank over a proposed $1.25 billion loan facility aimed at supporting economic reforms, job creation, and competitiveness programmes across Nigeria.

FG Seeks Fresh $1.25Bn Loan from World Bank to Create Jobs, Others

A World Bank document titled Nigeria Actions for Investment and Jobs Acceleration showed the facility has moved beyond the concept and appraisal stages and is now scheduled for a decision meeting ahead of a planned Board presentation on June 26, 2026.

If approved, the loan would become Nigeria’s second-largest World Bank financing package after the $1.5 billion Reforms for Economic Stabilisation to Enable Transformation Development Policy Financing approved in June 2024.

The document listed the Federal Republic of Nigeria as the borrower, while the Federal Ministry of Finance will serve as the implementing agency.

It explained that the project is currently at the decision-meeting stage of the World Bank’s project cycle, where final appraisal documents undergo internal review before submission to the Board of Executive Directors for approval.

At this stage, the institution confirms policy actions, financing terms, and reform commitments already agreed in principle between Nigeria and World Bank teams.

It also said the proposed facility will support government efforts to expand access to finance, digital services, and electricity, while strengthening competitiveness through reforms in taxation, trade, and agriculture.

World Bank says loan will support finance, digital access, and electricity reforms

Between June 2023 and May 2026, the World Bank approved about $9.35 billion in loans and credits for Nigeria across key sectors including power, education, healthcare, agriculture, renewable energy, social protection, and MSME financing.

Major approvals during the period include the $2.25 billion RESET and ARMOR reform financing in June 2024, $1.57 billion for HOPE and SPIN programmes in September 2024, and $1.08 billion for education and resilience projects approved in March 2025.

 

 

 


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Ecobank Group Announces $3b Trade Finance Commitment to Boost Intra African Trade

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Ecobank Group, a pan-African banking group yesterday announced a landmark $3 billion trade finance commitment over the next 3 years to accelerate intra-African global trade.

The announcement was made during the Africa-Forward Summit in Nairobi, within the framework of the bank’s active engagement in the Africa-France Impact Coalition (AFIC) led under the patronage of H.E. President Macron of France and H.E. President Ruto of Kenya.

This ambitious commitment, specifically designed to build integrated value chains and foster shared economic sovereignty reinforces the group’s unique position as the premier financial gateway connecting Africa and the world.

Building on a proven track record across 34 African markets, Ecobank Group will partner with Development Finance Institutions (DFIs), including Proparco, to deploy this $3 billion commitment.

By expanding access to competitive trade finance, the funds will directly fuel the core engines of Africa’s real economy: agribusiness, manufacturing, and general commerce.

This strategic deployment is designed to accelerate the structural transformation of the continent, anchoring future growth in sustainable industrialization, resilient infrastructure, and human capital.

By strengthening liquidity, providing guarantees, and deploying specialized trade instruments, Ecobank will help African businesses secure essential inputs, access new markets, and build resilience within increasingly complex global supply chains.

Chief Executive Officer 9f Ecobank Group, Jeremy Awori said: “The Africa-France Impact Coalition marks a fundamental shift toward shared sovereignty and integrated supply chains, and we are proud to drive this vision.

“Africa is rising and trading. By leveraging our Paris banking hub and partnerships with DFIs like Proparco, we are connecting African opportunities with global capital. This initiative is more than a financial commitment, it is a catalyst for trade, investment and talent – the pillars of Africa’s next decade”.

This $3 billion commitment signals strong confidence in Africa’s capacity to industrialize, scale production, and participate as a highly competitive partner in global trade, strongly aligning with the moment of intra-Africa trade acceleration.

Strategy gateway through Paris & expected outcomes

Central to this pledge is EBISA, Ecobank’s Paris-based hub, which serves as the critical gateway connecting African enterprises with international markets. EBISA will anchor the cross-border flows that drive both investment and trade, facilitating the “Made in Africa” and “Co-Made in Africa and France” ecosystems.

By focusing not just on capital, but on the entrepreneurs, small business owners, youth innovators, and women-led enterprises that drive the continent forward, Ecobank will deliver measurable impact across five priority dimensions:

Support sustainable development across Ecobank’s expansive footprint; Enhance market access for SMEs and large corporate entities;Deepen integration into regional and global value chains; Empower women and youth-led businesses; Strengthen economic resilience and long-term value creation.

Through strategic collaborations spanning trade, investment and talent, Ecobank Group and its partners in the AFIC are moving the continent forward with confidence, purpose, and impact.


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