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FXTM Analysis: Central Bank Policy Meetings in Focus

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A strong feeling of anxiety engulfed the financial markets on Wednesday as investors awaited the heavily anticipated Fed and BoJ central bank policy meeting decisions which have the ability to create explosive levels of volatility.

Asian markets rallied this morning with the Nikkei lurching +1.91% higher as of writing after the Bank of Japan overhauled its policy framework.

European markets were flat on Tuesday and this could rollover into the new trading day if market participants remain on the side-line ahead of the Fed meeting.

Although Wall Street painted a similar static picture to Europe, some direction could be achieved if the Fed takes action or provides further clarity on US rate hike timings.

The praised stock market rally which repeatedly seized the limelight this year continues to display signs of exhaustion as the mixture of uncertainty and concerns over the global economy sour risk appetite.

Depressed oil prices have heavily weighed on sentiment while the uncertainty ahead of the US elections could encourage investors to scatter away from riskier assets. With the ingredients of a bear market ripening by the day, stocks could be poised for a steep decline in the future if provided the correct catalyst.

Will the Fed take action?
The Dollar has been on a chaotic rollercoaster ride this month with prices recently displaying an incredible rebound as optimism grows over the Federal Reserve potentially raising US interest rates before the end of 2016.

Although expectations that the central bank may take action in September has been thoroughly discounted following the uncertainty and soft domestic data, the glimmer of hope for December being a live meeting could keep the Dollar buoyed.

Attention may be directed towards the FOMC meeting where Yellen could potentially tilt towards the hawks which could leave the door wide open for the Fed to break the trend of central bank caution before year end.

Bank of Japan keeps rates unchanged
Yen bears were unleashed on Wednesday following the Bank of Japans decision in setting a long term interest target in an overhaul of its monetary stimulus programme.

The central bank left negative rates unchanged at 0.1% but discarded its base money target which was replaced with a yield curve control.

Although the markets warmly welcomed this unexpected change in policy framework, questions may be asked on the sustainability of both the positivity and Yen selloff.

Japan remains entangled in a fierce battle with slowing economic growth while static inflation has left the Bank of Japan under noticeable pressure.

If this policy overhaul fails to improve Japan’s situation in the medium term, then the Yen could regain ground as optimism fades over the central bank’s ability to revive growth.

Sterling gripped by lingering Brexit jitters
Sterling was left vulnerable to heavy losses on Tuesday with the GBPUSD sinking towards 1.294 after news highlighting the UK’s uncertain future relationship with the EU enticed sellers to attack.

Sentiment remains bearish towards the Sterling with further declines expected as the post Brexit jitters haunt investor attraction towards the currency.

It seems like investors are slowly digesting the impacts of Brexit to the UK economy with fears heightening over the potential long-term economic damages.

Although the Bank of England decided to leave UK interest rates unchanged in September’s policy meeting, the bias towards further rate cuts in the future could keep the Sterling pressured.

From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD is bearish on the daily timeframe as prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. Previous support around 1.3000 could transform into a dynamic resistance which encourages a further decline towards 1.2900.

Commodity spotlight – WTI Oil
WTI Oil rebounded from six week lows on Tuesday with prices lurching towards $44.50 after comments from OPEC sparked discussions that a production freeze deal could last longer than anticipated.

Regardless of the short term gains, Oil remains heavily pressured and could be destined for steeper declines as the oversupply concerns haunt investor attraction.

Oils main focus will be the pending informal OPEC meeting which if concludes unsuccessfully could leave prices exposed to steep losses. From a technical standpoint, bears need to break back down below $44 to trigger a steeper decline towards $41.


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E-Financial

Again, Moniepoint Inc Emerged as Africa’s Fastest Growing Financial Institution by the Financial Times

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Moniepoint Inc, parent company of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, Moniepoint MFB and TeamApt Ltd has been ranked by the Financial Times, one of the world’s leading business news organizations, recognized internationally for its authority, integrity, and accuracy as Africa’s fastest-growing financial institution.

Tosin Enioorunda, Group CEO Moniepoint Inc

The world’s leading financial publication confirmed Moniepoint Inc’s accolade in its annual “Africa’s Fastest Growing Companies” survey, released today. It is the second consecutive year Moniepoint has achieved both the fastest-growing fintech milestone, and, ranked in Africa’s top four fastest-growing companies overall.

The survey was compiled by Statista, a leading research company renowned for its insight into African companies’ actual performance, in a rigorous screening process. In this survey, companies are ranked based on 2019-2022 data by their absolute growth rate of revenues and their compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Moniepoint’s growth rates of 7,979% (absolute) and 332% (CAGR) ranked it ahead of hundreds of leading companies from diverse industries such as technology, telecoms, financial services, and healthcare.

Moniepoint Inc has long been one of Africa’s largest business payments platforms, processing over $182 billion for customers in 2023. It will be recalled that in August 2023, Moniepoint MFB entered the personal banking market offering reliable banking services to millions of individuals across Nigeria. The holding group also doubled its global headcount, growing to over 1,800 employees by the end of 2023.

This recognition highlights Moniepoint’s success as Africa’s leading fintech, driving financial inclusion by empowering underserved businesses and individuals to access the formal financial system, contributing to a key goal of the Nigerian government.

Tosin Eniolorunda, Group CEO of Moniepoint Inc., said: “We are thrilled to be recognised by the Financial Times as Africa’s fastest growing fintech for the second consecutive year. Achieving rapid growth and scale is a fantastic achievement; maintaining that year-on-year is even better. The ranking is a testament to the dedication and hard work of the entire Moniepoint team, and the trust of millions of customers across Africa in the Company.

“2023 was a pivotal year for Moniepoint. Moniepoint has moved from being an agency-dominated institution to becoming merchant-dominated as we have seen a lot more people embrace more digital payment solutions. It is humbling to see that we have become a household name that people have come to know and trust, the bellwether for reliable transactions every time.

With our foray into the personal banking market, we have been able to deliver seamless and reliable payment solutions for Nigerians especially those in underserved communities as we continue to supercharge access to financial services and contribute to economic growth and wealth creation. 2024 is set to be even more exciting with continued growth, driving compliance and innovation, as we maintain our leading role within the African fintech sector, driving financial inclusion across Africa.”

According to David Pilling, FT Africa Editor, “The third year of our now expanded ranking of Africa’s Fastest Growing Companies comes against a background in which many economies are struggling to recover from the Covid pandemic. The FT-Statista list reveals the type of companies that, even in hard times, have managed to grow, often by disrupting markets…This year, our ranking has a wider geographical spread of companies than before. The big newcomer is Morocco, with 12 companies in the top 125 against just three last time. Mauritian-domiciled companies also did well with nine winners, against four in 2022. South Africa had 42 companies in the list, followed by Nigeria’s 25, while Kenya tied third at 12.”

Moniepoint Inc.’s technology powers over five million businesses and their customers, offering all the payment, banking, credit and business management tools they need to succeed. Establishing itself as a market leader in Nigeria across various segments from commerce to health and hospitality amongst many others, Moniepoint’s transformational and positive strides has earned it local and international plaudits.

In 2023, for the second year running, Moniepoint Inc was named amongst the 100 most promising private fintech companies by CB Insights. Moniepoint MFB received the Rising Star Family Business Award at the Pwc/Businessday Family Business Summit; while bagging the Fintech Company of the Year award at the 16th edition of Leadership Newspapers Conference and Awards.

Industry analysts have averred that as a strongly embedded and systemic institution in the digital payment services segment, with an eye on the future, Moniepoint Inc is poised to continue to deliver innovative solutions that promote inclusivity, drive sustainability and create new vistas in the markets where they operate.


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FCCPC Barks as Loan Apps Continue to Harass Customers

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Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) has said steps are being taken to tackle loan Apps services providers that engage in harassing tactics against customers.

FCCPC Barks as Loan Apps Continue to Harass Customers

FCCPC also reiterated its commitment to ensure legal and ethical operations in digital lending

Adamu Abdullahi, acting chairman of FCCPC, emphasized that such practices would soon become a thing of the past, as the Commission has initiated measures to tackle the issue head-on.

Abdullahi stated, “It will soon become obsolete in Nigeria for online platforms, often referred to as loan sharks, to provide quick money to individuals for urgent needs.”

He expressed concern over the detrimental effects of these loan companies resorting to sending distressing messages, including personal pictures, to all contacts of borrowers who fail to repay on time.

This form of harassment, according to Abdullahi, has led to various challenges in Nigeria, including job loss due to embarrassment and disgrace inflicted upon borrowers.

Stating  the Commission’s stance on the matter, Abdullahi stressed, “We do not condone such practices, as they constitute harassment of customers, even though it may not be directly within our purview.”

He revealed that FCCPC has collaborated with major regulatory bodies such as Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Human Rights Commission to establish a committee aimed at addressing the issue comprehensively.

Abdullahi further disclosed that, upon discovering that these loan companies operate solely online without physical offices or identifiable managing directors, FCCPC took measures to request the removal of their applications from Google and Apple stores.

Additionally, cooperation with the CBN led to the blocking of their accounts.

 

 


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IMF Urges CBN to License Cryptocurrency Dealers

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International Monetary Fund (IMF) has explained why the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should issue operating licences or register cryptocurrency dealers.

IMF Urges CBN to License Cryptocurrency Dealers

In its 2024 Staff Report released at the weekend, the IMF recommended that global crypto trading platforms be registered or licensed in Nigeria, like similar operators, the Bureaux De Change (BDCs), which are licensed by the CBN to carry out forex transactions at the retail end of the market.

The IMF advised that such crypto trading platforms should be subjected to the same regulatory requirements applicable to financial intermediaries, following the principle of same activity, same risk, and same regulation.

The CBN had announced that cryptocurrency traders used peer-to-peer trading to manipulate the naira exchange rate against the dollar and other global currencies.

The apex bank asserted in February that Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, had processed $26 billion in untraceable transactions in its Nigeria unit alone.

To protect the naira from value erosion and reverse the negative impact in the financial system, the CBN subsequently stopped banks and other financial institutions from banking cryptocurrency traders.

Aside several other factors causing naira’s slide, like rising import bills, medical tourism, and tuition fees payment abroad, exchange rate manipulation by cryptocurrency traders remains a major contributory factor.

IMF said: “Rapid growth of transactions on FX trading platforms poses new challenges. At the end of February, the authorities closed the operations of Binance and other crypto-asset trading platforms that were being used by Nigerians to facilitate capital flight – neither the identity of traders nor the origin of their funds could be traced.”

“The authorities also revoked the licences of 4,173 Bureaux De Change (BDCs) that failed to comply with CBN accounting and reporting requirements. Staff recommends that global crypto trading platforms be registered or licensed in Nigeria and subjected to the same regulatory requirements applicable to financial intermediaries following the principle of same activity, same risk, and same regulation.”


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