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Bloomberg: Nigerian Economic Policy Dispute Hinders Chances of Recovery

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A dispute between Nigeria’s monetary and fiscal policy makers over how to lift the economy out of its worst slump in more than two decades may delay a recovery in Africa’s most populous country, Bloomberg said in a report.

Godwin Emefiele, Central bank Governor, in earlier in this month ignored calls by Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun to cut borrowing costs and kept the key interest rate unchanged at 14 percent, hours after she said in a television interview looser policy is necessary to stimulate the economy.

Emefiele also called out the government for its inadequate efforts to boost growth, saying monetary policy alone can’t get the economy out of stagflation and that “complementary fiscal policies” are needed to resuscitate output and consumption. GDP contracted in the first half of the year as the effects of a 15-month currency peg, fuel and power shortages and lower oil prices and production weighed on output.

The economy is forecast to shrink this year for the first time since 1991.

The delayed approval of a 6.1 trillion-naira ($19.3 billion) budget has stalled the government’s efforts to stimulate economic activity and the naira’ s slump since the removal of the 197-199 per dollar peg on June 20 has fueled inflation to the highest in more than a decade, extending the decline in consumer spending.

“The problem is that neither the government nor the Central Bank have a ‘grand strategy’ to fix Nigeria’s economic woes,” Malte Liewerscheidt, an Africa analyst at consultant VeriskMaplecroft, said in an e-mailed response to questions. “What we have seen over the past 18 months are mostly short-sighted tactical responses to ever more pressing problems.”

Inflation at 17.6 percent and a currency that weakened about 40 percent against the dollar since June, coupled with an economy forecast by the IMF to contract by 1.8 percent, underline the policy dilemma.

Adeosun said the nature of inflation is not being driven by consumer demand as it is “cost-push” and won’t respond to interest-rate increases, while Emefiele said the tightening stance has helped to lure more than $1 billion in net portfolio inflows. Cheaper borrowing would fuel demand for goods the economy can’t produce due to a lack of action to boost industrial output and increase price growth, he said.

This sort of divergence between fiscal and monetary authorities “tend to be pronounced when there are no clear best options available to policy makers,” Manji Cheto, senior vice president at Teneo Intelligence in London, said by email.

“Ultimately, the fiscal authority will have to realize that the heavy lifting will have to come from its own end.” The difference in policy approaches between the government and the central bank is not new.

President Muhammadu Buhari opposed the devaluation of the naira for more than a year, saying it would fuel inflation and hurt ordinary Nigerians. A shortage of foreign currency which led to rapid price growth and a slump in output eventually forced the central bank to move to a free float.

 Lowering the monetary policy rate “will further fuel inflation and you will reduce the yield on fixed income at a time you want to attract foreign exchange,” former central bank Governor Muhammadu Sanusi II said in a speech on Sept. 21.

“The immediate oxygen that this economy needs is foreign exchange coming into the economy and foreign investors are responsible for that.”

The government will spend its way out of a recession, Adeosun said in an interview with broadcaster CNBC Africa on Sept. 19. Half of the planned 1.9 trillion naira of debt to help fund the fiscal gap, which widened by 30 percent this year, would come from the domestic debt market and the remainder from external sources, according to budget documents.

Higher borrowing costs and the loss of almost half of the revenue projected for this year could push Nigeria’s debt service-to-revenue ratio above the projected 35 percent of GDP, according to documents from the budget and national planning ministry. The nation will finalize a $1 billion loan from the African Development Bank next month and may borrow more than $4 billion over the next two years to shore up its budget, according to the lender.

“The misalignment between monetary and fiscal policy will remain in the short term,” Pabina Yinkere, Lagos-based head of research at Vetiva Capital Management Ltd., said by phone. “By March, when inflationary pressures reduce, the Central Bank will have room to reduce interest rates and we will see monetary and fiscal policy get aligned.”

 

 


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E-Financial

IMF Fears AI-Powered Cyberattack Could Spark Global Financial Crisis

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International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that artificial intelligence (AI) is significantly increasing the danger of cyberattacks on the global financial system.

IMF Fears AI-Powered Cyberattack Could Spark Global Financial Crisis

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According to a blog post from the IMF, these AI-driven threats could turn isolated security breaches into severe economic disruptions, potentially freezing payments, shaking markets, and undermining public trust in banks worldwide.

In its analysis, the fund highlighted a specific example involving the controlled release of an advanced AI model called Claude Mythos Preview by Anthropic.

The IMF noted that this model demonstrated the ability to identify and exploit weaknesses in all major operating systems and web browsers, even when used by individuals without specialized expertise.

The IMF cautioned that AI could heighten risk concentration within the financial system.

A single exploited vulnerability might cascade across numerous institutions simultaneously due to heavy reliance on a limited number of cloud providers, software platforms, and AI models.

Such events could escalate from operational issues to macro-financial shocks, triggering confidence crises, liquidity problems, and fire-sale dynamics in markets. The organization also acknowledged that AI forms part of the solution.

As attackers operate at machine speed, financial institutions are deploying their own AI-assisted tools for threat detection, fraud prevention, and faster incident response.

The IMF highlighted a geopolitical dimension to the threat, noting that cyber risk crosses national borders and that inconsistent oversight among countries could weaken the globally interconnected financial system.

Emerging economies, often with limited resources, may face disproportionate exposure.

The fund urged policymakers to treat cybersecurity as a core financial stability concern rather than a technical or operational matter.

It called for prioritization of resilience standards, systemic supervision, and international coordination to contain breaches before they spread.


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MasterCard, BMONI Partner to Improve Digital Payments

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MasterCard and BMONI, an artificial intelligence-powered financial platform, are working to launch a new generation of virtual and physical payment cards that will enable Nigerian customers to conduct fluid local and worldwide transactions.

According to the partners earlier this week, the solution is powered by MasterCard’s global payment network, enabling users to instantly create multiple Naira and US dollar-denominated virtual and physical cards that are globally accepted and ready for use, with card management handled entirely within the BMONI app.

The collaboration is one of the first locally issued international card programmes in the West African country, made possible by MasterCard’s new card issuance models, which aim to promote digital payments uptake among fintech companies in the sector, the two companies said.

With Nigeria’s e-commerce market projected to exceed $26 billion by 2030, the demand for globally accepted, instantly issued digital payment solutions continues to grow.

BMONI’s card offering, built on MasterCard’s network, responds to this shift by enabling users to operate more seamlessly across currencies and everyday spending, noted Mastercard.

Dr Folasade Femi-Lawal, country manager for West Africa, MasterCard, said: “Nigeria’s digital economy is growing rapidly; consumers need payment solutions that keep pace.

“Our collaboration with BMONI brings together Mastercard’s global network with an innovative platform like BMONI to deliver real value to consumers: instant card access, multi-currency flexibility, and seamless transactions across borders.”

Ashwin Ravichandran, head of product, BMONI, added: “At BMONI, our focus has always been simple, which is to remove the friction between people and their money. This collaboration with Mastercard allows us to deliver global access and a level of control that simply has not existed before.”


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Fidelity Bank Provides Critical Funding Support to Abuja Special Needs Orphanage

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Fidelity Bank Plc, leading financial institution, through the Fidelity Helping Hands Programme (FHHP), has funded critical support for the JKS Special Needs Academy in Abuja to ensure continued shelter and care for vulnerable children.

Fidelity Bank Provides Critical Funding Support to Abuja Special Needs Orphanage

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The intervention was facilitated by a group of the bank’s newly recruited employees known as Team Valorem, as part of their induction activities. Through the FHHP, employees are empowered to actively contribute to social development by dedicating their time, resources and skills to impactful projects.

Projects executed under the initiative are employee-driven, with teams encouraged to identify causes, contribute fifty percent of the project funding, while the bank matches the contribution.

Speaking during the outreach, Divisional Head, Brand and Communications Division, Fidelity Bank Plc, Dr Meksley Nwagboh, highlighted that the initiative aligns with the Bank’s CSR pillars focused on health & social welfare, and youth empowerment.

“This intervention reflects our belief that building a better society is a shared responsibility. Through the Fidelity Helping Hands Programme, we empower our employees to actively contribute to meaningful social causes.

“The funding provided will secure the orphanage’s accommodation for an additional year, ensuring a stable and safe environment for the children. This support guarantees that these children continue to have a place they can call home,” Nwagboh remarked.

He also commended caregivers at the facility for their dedication and called for increased focus on empowerment and skill development for children with special needs.

“Beyond providing basic needs, we must provide these children with opportunities to develop skills and become self-reliant. Everyone, regardless of their physical or socio-economic status, has a role to play in the society,” he said.

In her response, Director of JKS Special Needs Academy, Mrs. Nifemi Ajileye, expressed deep appreciation to Fidelity Bank and its staff for the timely intervention.

“We are truly grateful to Fidelity Bank for this support. It will significantly improve the welfare of the children under our care and help us sustain our operations,” she said.

Ajileye highlighted the high cost of caring for children with disabilities, stating that, “Many of the children require continuous medical attention and therapy, which are quite expensive. Support like this helps us bridge critical gaps and continue delivering quality care.

This support from Fidelity Bank is timely and it means the world to us and to these children. It will help us continue our work and secure a better future for them,” she added, while calling for sustained support from other organisations.

As an institution with a heart for people, Fidelity Bank continues to demonstrate its commitment to social responsibility by driving inclusive growth and social impact through initiatives that empower communities and improve lives across Nigeria.

Ranked among the best banks in Nigeria, Fidelity Bank Plc is a full-fledged Commercial Deposit Money Bank serving over 10 million customers through digital banking channels, its 255 business offices in Nigeria and United Kingdom subsidiary, FidBank UK.

The Bank is a recipient of multiple local and international Awards, including the 2024 Excellence in Digital Transformation & MSME Banking Award by BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards; the 2024 Most Innovative Mobile Banking Application award for its Fidelity Mobile App by Global Business Outlook, and the 2024 Most Innovative Investment Banking Service Provider award by Global Brands Magazine. Additionally, the Bank was recognized as the Best Bank for SMEs in Nigeria by the Euromoney Awards for Excellence and as the Export Financing Bank of the Year by the BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards.


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