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Bloomberg: Nigerian Economic Policy Dispute Hinders Chances of Recovery

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A dispute between Nigeria’s monetary and fiscal policy makers over how to lift the economy out of its worst slump in more than two decades may delay a recovery in Africa’s most populous country, Bloomberg said in a report.

Godwin Emefiele, Central bank Governor, in earlier in this month ignored calls by Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun to cut borrowing costs and kept the key interest rate unchanged at 14 percent, hours after she said in a television interview looser policy is necessary to stimulate the economy.

Emefiele also called out the government for its inadequate efforts to boost growth, saying monetary policy alone can’t get the economy out of stagflation and that “complementary fiscal policies” are needed to resuscitate output and consumption. GDP contracted in the first half of the year as the effects of a 15-month currency peg, fuel and power shortages and lower oil prices and production weighed on output.

The economy is forecast to shrink this year for the first time since 1991.

The delayed approval of a 6.1 trillion-naira ($19.3 billion) budget has stalled the government’s efforts to stimulate economic activity and the naira’ s slump since the removal of the 197-199 per dollar peg on June 20 has fueled inflation to the highest in more than a decade, extending the decline in consumer spending.

“The problem is that neither the government nor the Central Bank have a ‘grand strategy’ to fix Nigeria’s economic woes,” Malte Liewerscheidt, an Africa analyst at consultant VeriskMaplecroft, said in an e-mailed response to questions. “What we have seen over the past 18 months are mostly short-sighted tactical responses to ever more pressing problems.”

Inflation at 17.6 percent and a currency that weakened about 40 percent against the dollar since June, coupled with an economy forecast by the IMF to contract by 1.8 percent, underline the policy dilemma.

Adeosun said the nature of inflation is not being driven by consumer demand as it is “cost-push” and won’t respond to interest-rate increases, while Emefiele said the tightening stance has helped to lure more than $1 billion in net portfolio inflows. Cheaper borrowing would fuel demand for goods the economy can’t produce due to a lack of action to boost industrial output and increase price growth, he said.

This sort of divergence between fiscal and monetary authorities “tend to be pronounced when there are no clear best options available to policy makers,” Manji Cheto, senior vice president at Teneo Intelligence in London, said by email.

“Ultimately, the fiscal authority will have to realize that the heavy lifting will have to come from its own end.” The difference in policy approaches between the government and the central bank is not new.

President Muhammadu Buhari opposed the devaluation of the naira for more than a year, saying it would fuel inflation and hurt ordinary Nigerians. A shortage of foreign currency which led to rapid price growth and a slump in output eventually forced the central bank to move to a free float.

 Lowering the monetary policy rate “will further fuel inflation and you will reduce the yield on fixed income at a time you want to attract foreign exchange,” former central bank Governor Muhammadu Sanusi II said in a speech on Sept. 21.

“The immediate oxygen that this economy needs is foreign exchange coming into the economy and foreign investors are responsible for that.”

The government will spend its way out of a recession, Adeosun said in an interview with broadcaster CNBC Africa on Sept. 19. Half of the planned 1.9 trillion naira of debt to help fund the fiscal gap, which widened by 30 percent this year, would come from the domestic debt market and the remainder from external sources, according to budget documents.

Higher borrowing costs and the loss of almost half of the revenue projected for this year could push Nigeria’s debt service-to-revenue ratio above the projected 35 percent of GDP, according to documents from the budget and national planning ministry. The nation will finalize a $1 billion loan from the African Development Bank next month and may borrow more than $4 billion over the next two years to shore up its budget, according to the lender.

“The misalignment between monetary and fiscal policy will remain in the short term,” Pabina Yinkere, Lagos-based head of research at Vetiva Capital Management Ltd., said by phone. “By March, when inflationary pressures reduce, the Central Bank will have room to reduce interest rates and we will see monetary and fiscal policy get aligned.”

 

 


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E-Financial

Police Arrest Members of N713m Bank Fraud Syndicate, Chinese Suspect at Large

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Nigeria Police Force has arrested two suspects over a N713.9 million fraud linked to a breach involving a third-party banking platform.

Police Arrest Members of N713m Bank Fraud Syndicate, Chinese Suspect at Large

The police in a statement signed by Anthony Okon Placid, Force Public Relations Officer Force Headquarters, Abuja said the case followed a complaint by a financial institution which reported unauthorised debits on customers’ accounts, leading to an investigation by the Police Special Fraud Unit (PSFU).

Acting on the complaint, operatives of the PSFU deployed advanced investigative and digital forensic techniques, revealing that fifteen customers’ accounts had been compromised.

The funds were subsequently channelled through a network of accounts in a coordinated laundering scheme.

The operation led to the arrest of two suspects, Oguntoyinbo Olawale and Kazeem Omokayode.

Further investigations established that the suspects conspired with one Linda, a Chinese national currently at large, to use personal identification details, including Bank Verification Number (BVN), National Identification Number (NIN), and other credentials, to open multiple bank accounts across various financial institutions. These accounts were then used to receive, conceal, and launder illicit proceeds.

The suspects in custody are to be arraigned before a court of competent jurisdiction, while efforts are ongoing to apprehend other members of the syndicate still at large.

Olatunji Disu, Inspector-General of Police (IGP), commended officers of the Police Special Fraud Unit for their efforts and reaffirmed the commitment of the Nigeria Police Force to combating financial and cyber-enabled crimes.

 


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Firm Unveils Pan-African Financial Operating System to Improve Interoperability

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Tulupay, a fintech infrastructure firm, has announced the prelaunch of its pan-African Financial Operating System (FOS) aimed at improving interoperability across the continent’s fragmented financial ecosystem.

The company said the platform is designed to connect banks, mobile money operators, digital wallets and blockchain networks through a unified system, with the goal of easing cross-border payments, remittances and trade.

Founder, Felix Achibiri, said Africa’s financial landscape remains constrained by disconnected payment rails and high transaction costs, particularly for cross-border transfers. He noted that the new system seeks to provide a single infrastructure that links traditional financial services with emerging digital platforms.

“As cross-border transfers remain slow and expensive, and as more African central banks move toward CBDCs, the need for a unifying, interoperable operating system has never been more urgent,” he said.

According to the firm, the FOS will integrate multiple financial services, including payments, remittances, asset trading and investment, into one framework accessible to individuals, businesses and institutions.

Key components of the system include, Tulu Switch, a payments interoperability hub that enables transactions across different financial platforms through a single application interface, and Tulu Identity, a digital identity and compliance layer designed to streamline customer verification and regulatory processes.

It also plans to roll out Tulu Gateway, a trade platform aimed at supporting cross-border commerce through the digitisation of trade documents and automated settlement, as well as Tulu Wallet, which allows users to manage both fiat and digital currencies in one place.

The company added that the platform would support asset tokenisation and provide exchange infrastructure for trading digital and tokenised assets, alongside a blockchain network intended to serve as the backbone for transactions and settlement.

The announcement follows approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for Tulupay to participate in its fintech incubation programme, a step towards securing licences for digital asset custody, tokenisation and exchange services.

Achibiri said improving interoperability and reducing transaction costs would be critical to unlocking intra-African trade, particularly under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).

The firm said it is currently conducting pilot programmes with financial institutions, regulators and other partners ahead of a full rollout.

 


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FCMB Opens Applications for Zero-Interest Loans of Up to ₦10m for Women Entrepreneurs

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First City Monument Bank has opened applications for a new round of its SheVentures programme, offering zero-interest loans of up to ₦10 million to women entrepreneurs to improve access to working capital and support business growth.

FCMB Opens Applications for Zero-Interest Loans of Up to ₦10m for Women Entrepreneurs

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The bank said the initiative was designed to address financing challenges faced by women-led businesses, which continue to encounter high borrowing costs and limited access to affordable credit despite accounting for a significant portion of Nigeria’s small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

Under the scheme, eligible applicants can access loans ranging from ₦500,000 to ₦5 million under the general category, while sector-specific businesses can obtain between ₦5 million and ₦10 million.

According to the bank, the funding is capped at up to 50 per cent of an applicant’s average monthly turnover.

The facility comes with a zero per cent interest rate, with all charges incorporated into a transparent pricing structure. Repayment is spread over four or six months to allow businesses align obligations with their cash flow cycles.

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of FCMB, Yemisi Edun, said the intervention reflects the bank’s commitment to inclusive growth and economic empowerment.

“Inclusive growth requires access to capital and the right conditions for businesses to deploy that capital effectively. Women-led enterprises are critical to economic activity, yet they face structural barriers. This intervention aims to help close that gap by providing financing that supports job creation, business expansion, and long-term sustainability for women entrepreneurs,” Edun said.

Also speaking, Group Head, SheVentures and Impact Segments at FCMB, Nnenna Jacob-Ogogo, said access to affordable finance remained a major challenge for women entrepreneurs.

“By removing the cost barrier and offering quick, flexible funding, this zero-interest loan is designed to safeguard existing jobs, enable businesses to invest in growth initiatives, and foster resilience in challenging economic conditions,” she said.

FCMB noted that beyond access to funding, SheVentures also provides broader business support services aimed at strengthening women-led enterprises, encouraging innovation and improving competitiveness.

The bank said applications for the zero-interest loans are now open to qualified women entrepreneurs across the country.


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