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What Does Trump Win Mean for Financial Markets?

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This year, a new answer was born to questions like ‘why is (insert surprising or shocking event) happening’?

The answer is simply: ‘because…2016’. Six months ago, most pundits called it a long shot that that Republican candidate Donald Trump might win the US presidential elections. Then again…it is 2016.

A Brexit was also considered to be a long shot, and yet, Britain did indeed end up unexpectedly voting to leave its European Union membership, sparking off waves of price reactions in the markets.

The Gold price climbed so fast that investors got dizzy at the new heights. The Sterling and FTSE fell off the edge of the cliff so rapidly that they left queasiness in its wake.

So, what are the upside and downside scenarios for a Trump win? On the downside, it could look like the Brexit, with the S&P 500 taking the role of the FTSE. Investor confidence may fall dramatically in the short term, meaning losses in the S&P 500.

The losses could be anywhere between five and 10 percent for the S&P, ending the eight-year bull run. In this context, the VIX could soar, tracking potential volatility that might follow the unexpected result of the election.

The other asset to take a lead role in this potential drama is the Mexican Peso. Ever since Trump made an election promise to build a wall to keep Mexican illegal migrants out of the US, the currency has been the best financial asset proxy to signal a Clinton win and a Trump loss. The Peso’s downward slide in the wake of the revelations over a new FBI probe announced in the last week of October into Hillary Clinton’s email issue is a fair indicator of the trend it might take in the event of a Trump win. The currency’s losses may even reach 15 percent.

It’s debatable whether the USD would take a hit or be a hit, given that the currency is often seen as a safe-haven in times of volatility. On balance, the USD could maintain and even rise against its rivals in the case of a Trump win, especially considering the Federal Reserve’s interventionist policies and caution since 2007.

There’s little doubt, however, that another other safe-haven asset – Gold – would be preferred by traders. When the markets lose their risk appetite in the face of a short, sharp shock, they turn to Gold for comfort.

On the upside, an initial sell-off would create opportunities for smart money to dive in and take advantage of the market correction. Something similar was seen in the wake of the Brexit when the FTSE regained ground on bargain buying and central bank easing hopes.

Medium term, there could be additional developments in terms of investor sentiment. Businessman Donald Trump has made much of his economic policies like cutting red tape, which are likely to be popular with US companies.

If his presidency becomes a reality, mergers and acquisitions activity could be boosted and flourish because of fewer regulations seen as restrictive or complicated.

Business-friendly policies could also contribute to a reinvigorated financial services sector and investor confidence could return in earnest for the first time since the sub-prime crash in 2007.

Stocks in the biotech sector – which suffered losses in the wake of Clinton’s criticism of EpiPen’s price hikes – could recover quickly if Trump is victorious.

A win for Hillary Clinton has already been priced in by the markets ahead of the elections, yet as always when it comes to expectations, they can be disappointed. After all, it is…2016.


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E-Financial

Ecobank Nigeria Fully Repays $300m Eurobond Notes

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Ecobank Nigeria has announced the successful repayment of the outstanding principal and accrued interest on its original $300 million Eurobond due February 16, 2026, marking a significant milestone in its liability management strategy and overall balance sheet strengthening efforts.

Ecobank Nigeria Fully Repays $300m Eurobond Notes

Following the full repayment of the Eurobond obligations, the Bank stated that it will now focus its funding initiatives primarily on the domestic capital markets. T

his strategic shift reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s local debt market and aligns with Ecobank Nigeria’s long-term objective of optimising funding costs while deepening its participation in the domestic financial ecosystem.

“Going forward, Ecobank Nigeria will prioritise domestic credit ratings and local debt issuance to achieve its funding objectives,” stated Ogorchukwu Okwechime, Financial Controller, Ecobank Nigeria, in Lagos.

He added that the successful repayment reinforces the Bank’s commitment to maintaining a resilient balance sheet and sustaining investor confidence.

The tender offer was conducted with Renaissance Capital Africa (Renaissance Securities Nigeria Limited) acting as financial adviser and dealer manager, while Sodali & Co Limited served as tender agent.

The notes were originally issued by EBN Finance Company B.V., with limited recourse to the issuer, for the sole purpose of financing the purchase of the US$300 million 7.125 per cent Senior Note due 2026 issued by Ecobank Nigeria.

The transaction underscores Ecobank Nigeria’s proactive approach to liability management, prudent capital planning, and strategic alignment with evolving market conditions.

It further positions the Bank to leverage domestic funding opportunities while maintaining financial flexibility and operational stability.


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BoI Secures CBN’s Approval for Non-interest Banking Operation

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Bank of Industry (BOI) has received approval from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to operate a Non-Interest Banking (NIB) Window.

BoI Secures CBN’s Approval for Non-interest Banking Operation

Theodora Amechi, bank’s divisional head, Public Relations, said the regulatory nod allows BOI to launch non-interest banking operations, targeting underserved business segments with tailored financial solutions to support Nigeria’s industrial development.

BOI stated that NIB operations will promote inclusive growth, attract ethical funding, bolster the real economy, and finance customer assets and raw materials using approved non-interest products.

“This approval authorises BOI to commence Non-Interest Banking operations, positioning the bank to further advance Nigeria’s sustainable and inclusive industrial development through tailored financial solutions for underserved and high-impact business segments.

“The Non-interest Banking operations will enable BOI to drive inclusive growth, mobilise new ethical funding, expand support for the real economy, and align its financing activities with social and developmental objectives.

According to the bank, under this framework, BOI will be able to finance customers’ assets and raw materials using approved Non-Interest Banking products.

Announcing this milestone, Dr Olasupo Olusi, MD/CEO, Bank of Industry,  said, “This licence marks a pivotal moment in the Bank’s journey of transforming Nigeria’s industrial sector. With this licence, we can reach a new category of borrowers who, before now, could not be served.”

He said the approval underscores the CBN’s confidence in the Bank’s commitment to responsible financing, adding that it will allow the bank to scale its operations, introduce innovative financing solutions, and deepen support for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), as well as other underserved segments critical to Nigeria’s sustainable economic growth.

“BOI’s decision to commence Non-Interest Banking operations is aimed at expanding access to ethical funding for businesses—particularly those that have traditionally avoided conventional interest-based financing.

This initiative opens new opportunities for ethically motivated and faith-sensitive enterprises, as well as segments of the economy that face challenges accessing traditional credit.

It enables such businesses to access much-needed financing and participate confidently in the formal financial system in a manner consistent with their values and business realities.

Bank of Industry (BOI) is Nigeria’s foremost Development Finance Institution, committed to driving industrial growth and inclusive economic development,” Olusi said.

Established in 1959 as the Investment Company of Nigeria (ICON) and reconstituted as Nigerian Industrial Development Bank (NIDB) under World Bank guidance in 1964.

The Bank assumed its current form in 2001 following the merger of the Nigerian Bank for Commerce and Industry (NBCI) and the National Economic Reconstruction Fund (NERFUND).

The Bank’s primary mandate is to provide financial assistance for the establishment and expansion of large, medium, small-scale, and micro projects.


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Zenith Bank Warns Public Over Fake Jim Ovia Investment Videos

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Zenith Bank Plc has cautioned the public against fraudulent videos circulating online falsely claiming that Group Chairman Dr. Jim Ovia endorses an investment scheme called “Wealth Bridge.”

Zenith Bank Warns Public Over Fake Jim Ovia Investment Videos

Jim Ovia

In a disclaimer issued Tuesday by its management, the bank described the videos—circulated via the “Greece Island” Facebook handle—as entirely fake, doctored content bearing no connection to Dr. Ovia, the bank, or its affiliates.

The materials falsely promise up to N2 million in weekly returns for a N380,000 investment, while baselessly alleging Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) endorsement and redirecting viewers to a sham “Arise News” webpage with a signup portal.

“Our attention has been drawn to a doctored video and still pictures currently circulating on social media, purporting to depict the Group Chairman of Zenith Bank Plc (‘the Bank’) as endorsing an investment scheme called ‘Wealth Bridge’ on the ‘Greece Island’ Facebook handle and soliciting members of the public to engage in a business relationship with the so-called entity,” the statement read.

“This claim is entirely false and has no connection whatsoever to the Group Chairman, the Bank or any of its affiliate companies.”

Zenith Bank stressed that Dr. Ovia and the institution have no knowledge of or partnership with “Wealth Bridge,” “delicious sitee,” “AfriQuantumX,” “Stock market analyst 1,” or related entities. The public was warned that dealing with these schemes carries full personal risk.

Ravenewsonline urges vigilance against rising impersonation scams targeting financial institutions.


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