Connect with us

E-Financial

Currency Market: Rising Political Uncertainty Weighs On Sentiment

Published

on

Forex Time.jpg
Kindly share this post

FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on WTI Crude was exposed to further losses on Wednesday after the shocking increase in U.S fuel inventories and decline in Chinese demand revived concerns of the excessive oversupply in the global markets.

Stock markets were chaotic this week with most major arenas violently swinging between losses and gains due to the heightening political risks across the globe, escalating Trump developments and ongoing Brexit woes.

Asian markets traded mixed on Wednesday’s the Trump-off trading mood dented investor risk sentiment. With depressed oil prices potentially fuelling the risk aversion, European markets could come under renewed selling pressures in the short term. Wall Street remains gripped by the Trump uncertainty and the sensitivity in American stocks should be expected to rise as investors seek further clues on what policies US President Donald Trump may unravel this week. The threat of protectionist policies impacting global growth and overall political uncertainty eroding risk appetite could leave stock markets vulnerable to heavy losses in the medium to longer term.

Dollar Remains Trumped
The Greenback staged an impressive rebound on Tuesday following hawkish comments from a US Federal Reserve official which reinforced expectations of a US interest rate hike in March.

While the prospects of higher US rates may ensure the Dollar remains buoyed in the medium term, the erratic Trump policies coupled with concerns over protectionism impacting US growth could expose the Greenback to downside risks in the short term.

It should be kept in mind that the driver behind the Dollar’s phenomenal gains was optimism over fiscal policies boosting US growth, and there is now a risk of the currency being sold incessantly if investors are left disappointed.

Technical traders may observe how the Dollar Index trades within the daily bearish channel with a breakdown back below 100.00 encouraging a further decline lower towards 99.00.

Sterling Dictated by Brexit Woes
Sterling was extremely volatile this week as market participants reacted to signs of the UK government giving parliament a stronger say in the critical Brexit negotiations. It has become quite clear that Sterling remains dictated by the Brexit developments with price sensitivity set to heighten in the coming weeks as the article 50 invoke looms.

The overall sentiment towards the Pound remains heavily bearish and uncertainty should provide a solid foundation for sellers to drag the Sterling/Dollar back towards 1.2350. 

From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD currently resides in a wide range but a breakdown below the pivotal 1.2350 level could encourage a steeper selloff back towards 1.2050.

Commodity Spotlight – Wti Oil
WTI Crude was exposed to further losses on Wednesday after the shocking increase in U.S fuel inventories and decline in Chinese demand revived concerns of the excessive oversupply in the global markets.

The resurgence of U.S shale amid the rising oil could undermine the efforts of OPEC and Non-OPEC members in mitigating the global oversupply consequently leaving oil prices vulnerable.

There is a threat of the OPEC production cut deal falling apart in the future if U.S shale continues to pump incessantly.

Although oil prices were initially buoyed by the optimism over OPEC and Non-OPEC members achieving roughly 82% compliance with its production cut, the big elephant in the room known as U.S shale should limit upside gains.

The breakdown below $52 on WTI could spark a further selloff lower towards $51.


Kindly share this post

Nigeria CommunicationsWeek believes that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. So since 2007, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and how they affect lives.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Comments

E-Financial

FG Moves to End Double Taxation

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Federal government has started new efforts to improve tax collection in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and stop the problem of multiple taxation.

FG Moves to End Double Taxation

Mr. Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the economy, disclosed this after a meeting with Nyesom Wike, minister, FCT, on Sunday.

According to Oyedele, the meeting focused on strengthening cooperation between the Ministry of Finance and the FCT Administration to support development projects in Abuja.

A major part of the discussion was how to improve tax administration in the territory.

He explained that the proposed tax harmonisation would create a more coordinated tax system, reduce the burden of multiple taxes on residents and businesses, and improve government revenue collection.

Oyedele said the plan is in line with the new tax reform law and is expected to help accelerate development across the FCT.

“The two ministers also reviewed plans to harmonise tax administration within the FCT,” he said.

He added that the initiative would eliminate multiple taxation while ensuring that government revenue is collected more efficiently.

The meeting also examined ways to strengthen collaboration on infrastructure projects across Abuja.

According to Oyedele, discussions centred on supporting the FCT’s ongoing infrastructure renewal programme.

He commended Wike’s approach to development, noting that the minister has focused on completing long-abandoned projects rather than starting new ones.

Oyedele said this strategy is helping to unlock economic and social benefits for residents by bringing stalled public projects back into use.

The proposed tax harmonisation is expected to make tax administration easier for individuals and businesses operating in the FCT while aligning Abuja’s revenue system with the provisions of the new tax reform law.

 


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

Standard Bank Targets $15.4b SME Growth in Nigeria, Others with Trade Expansion Drive

Published

on

Kindly share this post

Standard Bank Group has identified Nigeria and four other markets as strategic growth hubs as it seeks to tap into $15.4 billion revenue opportunity driven by expanding small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and rising intra-African trade.

The bank disclosed the plan through Bill Blackie, the Chief Executive Officer of its Business and Commercial Banking (Standard Bank Group) division, who outlined the lender’s growth strategy in an interview with Bloomberg.

Under the strategy, Standard Bank will deepen its presence in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania while consolidating its dominance in South Africa. The five markets account for about 85 per cent of the estimated revenue opportunity available to the group’s BCB operations.

The expansion forms part of the lender’s broader ambition to accelerate earnings growth through 2028, leveraging increasing demand for banking services among businesses across the continent.

According to Blackie, the BCB division has recorded robust growth over the past five years, supported by rising business activity and greater demand for financial services across Africa.

He said the division doubled both headline earnings and return on capital between 2020 and 2025, with return on capital increasing from 19 per cent to 38 per cent during the period.

Earnings from operations across the continent also expanded at an average annual rate of 30 per cent.

Building on this performance, the bank is targeting compound annual growth of between eight and nine per cent through 2028, although Blackie expressed confidence that growth could reach double-digit levels as the strategy gains traction.

A key pillar of Standard Bank’s growth strategy is expanding support for SMEs and mid-sized businesses, which account for most enterprises across Africa.

The bank is particularly positioning itself to benefit from opportunities created by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which is expected to accelerate economic integration and cross-border commerce across the continent.

According to the International Trade Centre, nearly half of Africa’s small businesses export to other African countries, compared with only 14 per cent of larger firms, underscoring the critical role of SMEs in driving regional commerce.

The lender is also leveraging its extensive African footprint and strategic partnership with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to attract businesses seeking access to international markets, particularly China.


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

E-Financial

NAICOM’s 18 Months Management Spill @ African Alliance Ends

Published

on

Kindly share this post

The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has handed over the management of African Alliance Insurance Plc to a newly constituted board nominated by shareholders.

‎The move ends a regulatory intervention that rescued the troubled insurer from the brink of collapse.

The development marks a major milestone in the insurance industry’s efforts to strengthen policyholders’ protection and restore confidence in the sector, following months of intensive regulatory oversight aimed at stabilising the company.

NAICOM had stepped into the affairs of African Alliance Insurance in October 2024 after the insurer was hit by severe liquidity constraints, mounting annuity payment arrears, unresolved claims obligations, regulatory infractions and reputational challenges that threatened its survival and eroded public trust.

‎Speaking at the handover ceremony, Commissioner for Insurance, Olusegun Omosehin, said the intervention had achieved its primary objectives of restoring operational stability, settling outstanding liabilities and protecting the interests of shareholders and annuitants.

Omosehin said a successful turnaround demonstrates the regulator’s commitment to safeguarding the insurance industry while ensuring that policyholders do not bear the consequences of corporate distress.

He also highlighted the significance of the newly enacted Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025, describing it as a game-changer for the sector.

The Commissioner observed that had the fund been in existence before the African Alliance’s crisis, it would have helped to cushion the impact on policyholders by facilitating the timely settlement of legitimate claims and annuity obligations.

He charged the new board to uphold high standards of corporate governance, transparency and regulatory compliance, while prioritising prompt claims settlement, sound solvency management and prudent business practices.

Industry stakeholders view the successful rehabilitation of African Alliance as a test case for regulatory intervention in Nigeria’s insurance sector, particularly at a time when operators are under pressure to strengthen their capital base, improve governance standards and rebuild public confidence.

During its tenure, the NAICOM appointed an interim board to restore liquidity through the recovery of trapped dividend funds and other inflows, settled a significant portion of annuity arrears and legacy claims, facilitated the transfer of the company’s annuity portfolio, completed forensic and actuarial reviews and addressed several regulatory and operational challenges. ‎


Kindly share this post
Continue Reading

Trending