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FXTM Analysis: Markets Behaving Calmly as UK Election Aftermath Begins

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FXTM Vice President of Market Research, Jameel Ahmad comments on the financial markets following the UK general election result.

All major headlines and attention are still surrounding the United Kingdom following the uncertain outcome to the UK election at the end of last week.

 The British Pound appears to have stabilized and is trying to maintain its footing around 1.27, after suffering a decline just above 2% at one point following it becoming clear that the UK was heading for a hung parliament.

There is a viewpoint that the Pound should remain supported over the near-term despite the uncertainty, due to the likelihood that the forming of a coalition government would encourage Theresa May to cool it down when it came to her previous hardline approach towards the European Union and the imminent Brexit negotiations.

The possibility that Theresa May will be left with no choice but to adopt a diplomatic approach towards Brexit is what has been seen as the most supportive factor for the Pound over the near-term. It’s not something that I am buying into however, and I think this might be a short-lived consolidation around 1.27.

I personally still see downside risks for the Sterling and see the potential for the market to become encouraged towards selling in the likelihood that the UK is set to begin negotiations next week and looks very unprepared for such complex negotiations.

The whole reason for the UK election in the first place was so that Theresa May would have more powers to influence the Brexit process, but not only has this play backfired, the UK looks more unprepared than ever to go head-to-head with the EU as it currently stands. I personally remain bearish on the Sterling.

What was noticeable when European trading commenced on Monday was that the FTSE dipped lower, which some could attribute to the uncertainty in the aftermath of the UK election. It is also worth pointing however that the FTSE looked under pressure around the same time that the Pound was at that point consolidating a little higher, which could be the inverse Sterling/FTSE relationship that we have talked about in the past.

There has been a trend over the past year where increased Sterling purchasing sentiment can encourage selling in the FTSE and selling momentum in the Sterling can support the FTSE, which we saw once again at the end of the UK election. It certainly is a strange correlation, but it is thought to be supported by the mindset that when corporations on the FTSE exchange their earnings back into Sterling they are left with more currency.

While the attention around the United Kingdom is by all accounts going to remain centred around the political uncertainty, there is also key economic data to come out over the week ahead. The latest inflation reading, employment data and BoE interest rate decision are all scheduled to be announced in the next few days.

When it comes to the jobs data and inflation numbers, the major headline will be whether further indications are provided that price pressures are increasing at a faster pace than wage growth. This is seen as a crucial factor in the possibility that consumer spending might be pressured over the upcoming months.

By most accounts the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged as they have been for nearly a year, but it will be interesting to see if Governor Carney comments on the current political instability and what it means to the monetary policy outlook for the United Kingdom.

Time For Another US Interest Rate Rise?
Away from the United Kingdom and the ongoing political uncertainty that is dominating attention, the Federal Reserve is largely expected to raise US interest rates on Wednesday evening.

Most of the expected US interest rate rise has already been priced into the Dollar, but the US currency might find support in the run up to the Federal Reserve decision.

Will the probable US interest rate rise direct the Dollar over the longer-term? Not really, and as soon as the Fed most likely pulls the trigger on another rate rise on Wednesday, attention will circle towards when the central bank will next raise interest rates as it’s expected that another one or two will be announced before the end of the year.

Any hesitance from the Federal Reserve when it comes to providing clarity on its future monetary policy outlook and interest rate circle will likely weigh on the Dollar as investors want clarity.

What About Emerging Market Currencies?
The likelihood that the Federal Reserve will be raising US interest rates this coming week might put a pause to the recent rally we have witnessed in emerging market currencies, like the Malaysian Ringgit and Chinese Yuan.

Whether the emerging market currencies can later brush away the probable US interest rate hike this Wednesday will depend on the timing of the next interest rate rise from the United States, which by most accounts knowing the previous language from the Federal Reserve, will not include precise timing for the next rate increase and later support the emerging currencies. By most accounts the Dollar topped a long time ago, and this means those emerging currencies that were heavily pressured in the six months following US election day can continue to push on and attract buyers.

Update on WTI Oil
After a pressured couple of weeks following the OPEC meeting, WTI Oil has found support at $45 and is expected to attempt a recovery from here.There is still a risk that US inventories/shale production will offset the efforts from OPEC Non-members when it comes to trimming the oversupply in the markets, however Oil looks oversold at $45 to my eye until we can see clear signs that there is increased inventories from the United States.   


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Meet Top Five Tech-Driven Banks and Their Overseers

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With the rapid rate of technological change and shifting customer demands, financial institutions in Nigeria have been looking to keep up with innovation and modernise their technology.

Meet Top Five Tech-Driven Banks and Their Overseers

Nigeira CommunicatiosWeek in this report evaluates top five money deposit banks that have successfully integrated technology to enhance customer experience.

This is based on 2025 and early 2026 industry reports, ranks in no particular order.

Despite variations in size and market, these bank share a foundational set of core characteristics and technologies designed to ensure stability, security, and real-time functionality.

First Bank

First Bank of Nigeria leverages technology to drive digital transformation through its FirstMobile app, *894# USSD banking, and automated Digital Xperience Centres (DXC) featuring humanoid robots, AI, and self-service kiosks.

With over 80 percent of transactions handled digitally, the bank focuses on AI-driven customer support, secure card issuance in under three minutes, and cloud-based ERP.

The bank has heavily invested in Information and Communication Technology (ICT) to transition from a traditional institution into a leading digital bank, adopting the mantra “a tech company offering banking services”.

According to a FirstBank leadership report, Callistus Obetta, group executive, technology, Digital Innovation & Services, is overseeing the bank’s IT operations.

He joined First Bank in 2016 from Standard Chartered Bank.

In his role at First Bank, he has overall responsibility for strategy formulation and leading the team charged with transforming and operating the technology platforms and banking services that power the bank and its subsidiaries.

Zenith Bank

Another heavy investor in technology is Zenith Bank and driving its digital banking, focusing on AI, cybersecurity, and fintech innovation through its annual Tech Fair and Zecathon, with a recent major IT infrastructure upgrade improving service delivery.

Key digital solutions include the *966# E-banking service, a mobile app, and the XPath digital platform.

The bank has recently completed a significant IT infrastructure migration to a new, more robust operating system to enhance service quality.

Zenith Bank offers XPath for digitizing payment collection across branches.

The bank is currently overhauling its core banking systems, implementing software from providers like Misys to modernize frontend and backend operations across its African and UK branches.

Akin Ogunranti leads the Bank’s technology group, digital transformation, and strategic technology initiatives.

Ogunranti is a seasoned banker with over 30 years of experience, joining Zenith Bank in 2004.

He previously managed the Bank’s relationships with Multilateral Institutions and Export Credit Agencies, and served as Group Head for Power & Infrastructure, Oil & Gas, and Structured Trade & Project Finance.

He currently oversees Corporate Banking, Oil & Gas, and the Bank’s Business portfolios across Lagos (Public Sector, Apapa, Isolo and Ilupeju), South-West, and South-South regions.m

Fidelity Bank

Fidelity Bank leverages digital technology to enhance banking convenience, offering solutions like Cardless ATM withdrawals, the *770# instant banking code, and the Ivy AI chatbot.

Their technology stack includes secured online banking, NQR scan-to-pay, and advanced digital tools for SME management and corporate credit lending.

Fidelity Online Banking and a Mobile App are top notches as they  support NQR scan-to-pay.

The *770# Instant Banking service works on all phones without data.

The bank also offers Virtus for real-time transaction monitoring and Corporate Online Banking (CONB) for bulk payments.

Fidelity utilizes SSL encryption, token technology, and adheres to ISO 27001 and PCIDSS security standards.

With mobile technology and AI-driven solutions, Fidelity Bank provides cost-effective financial access to both banked and unbanked customers.

Stanley Chiedoziem Amuchie, Executive Director, Chief Operations and Information Officer is leading the Bank’s IT operations.

Amuchie holds a record of impressive multi- functional work experience spanning banking, audit, risk management, corporate governance, quality control, operations and information technology, strategy, financial control, business and financial advisory, accounting, general management, business development and consulting, with over 23 years of experience in the banking and financial services industry.

He joined Zenith Bank Plc and enjoyed a distinguished career spanning over 18 years which culminated in his appointment as Group Chief Financial Officer in July 2015 and Group Zonal Head in June 2018, a position he held until his exit in October 2018.

While at Zenith Bank, Stanley also served as a Non-Executive Director on the Boards of Zenith Trustees Limited, Zenith Bureau De Change Limited, Zenith Nominees Limited and was Chairman of the Board of Directors of Zenith Securities Limited.

Between April 2019 and February 2021, Stanley was Chief Technical Consultant at Mint Financial Technologies Limited (now Mintyn Bank, a digital bank).

United Bank for Africa

United Bank for Africa (UBA) also leverages technology to drive digital banking across 20 African countries and globally, serving over 45 million customers.

Key technology banking services include the UBA Mobile App, Leo AI Chatbot, and *919# USSD banking, enabling account opening, transfers, bill payments, and loans.

UBA focuses on Fintech partnerships to enhance AI-powered customer engagement and digital payments.

UBA prioritizes collaborations with fintech companies to accelerate financial inclusion and enhance digital payment infrastructure.

Emmanuel Lamptey is the key executive overseeing technology and digital transformation at UBA.

Lamptey, who serves as the Executive Director, Digital Banking, has 25 years of experience in retail banking, corporate banking, asset management, brokerage, insurance, and microfinance.

His background allows him to combine financial expertise with a digital vision.

TAJBank

TAJBank is a leading Nigerian non-interest (Islamic) bank leveraging technology for digital banking, featuring the TAJWAY app for secure, 24/7 transactions.

The bank uses the SBS Core Amplitude Up banking platform for seamless digital services, including account opening, instant transfers, bills payment, and agency banking.

It offers secure, user-friendly app offering card management, budget planning, and high-frequency transfers available on the App Store and Google Play.

Customers can open accounts through the app or website without visiting a branch.

Its offers USSD Banking and *898# code for mobile transactions can be donewithout internet connectivity.

TAJBank’s technological focus supports its goal of being a leading digital non-interest bank in Nigeria by providing seamless, ethical banking solutions.

Sherif Idi, Co-Founder/Executive Director, is actively involved in the bank’s operational trajectory and growth, often commenting on the bank’s investment in technology, human capital, and expansion strategies.

He oversee the bank’s growth-driven, tech-enabled, and innovative initiatives.

With 21 years career experience in the banking sector, Idi has worked in every unit of banking, from operations manager to marketing and customer service, risk management, branch manager and group head, carving a niche for himself.

 


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EFCC Warns Fintech Firms over Rising Fraud, Ransom Payments

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Mr. Ola Olukoyede, chairman, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has called on financial technology companies in Nigeria to strengthen their systems and safeguard their platforms against exploitation by fraudsters and other criminal actors.

EFCC Warns Fintech Firms over Rising Fraud, Ransom Payments

Olukoyede made the call yesterday in Abuja during an industry engagement meeting with chief executive officers of fintech companies held at the EFCC headquarters.

He commended the fintech sector for driving financial inclusion and innovation in the country, noting that their platforms have expanded access to financial services.

However, he warned that the same digital space has increasingly been exploited by fraudsters.

According to him, continuous engagement between the EFCC and fintech operators is necessary to identify vulnerabilities and block loopholes being used for financial crimes.

“The opportunities you have created have also given criminals the opportunity to perpetrate crimes,” he said, adding that regular collaboration would help strengthen regulatory safeguards and protect legitimate business operations.

Olukoyede urged fintech operators to protect the integrity of their businesses, stressing that reputation remains a critical asset in the financial sector.

He warned that a single compromised transaction could damage years of trust-building.

He also advocated stronger intelligence sharing and cooperation between both parties, noting that such collaboration would enhance the EFCC’s mandate in tackling financial crimes.

On security concerns, the EFCC chairman raised alarm over the use of fintech and POS channels for ransom payments linked to terrorism financing.

He called for stricter compliance with Know Your Customer (KYC) requirements and improved monitoring of suspicious transactions.

“We have seen that criminals exploit your space, especially in areas involving ransom payments,” he said, urging the industry to work with regulators to close existing loopholes.

The meeting also featured discussions on regulatory and operational challenges in the fintech sector, with both sides exploring measures aimed at strengthening compliance and reducing fraud risks.


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New CBN’s BVN Rules Starts Today

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) will from today start enforcing the new Bank Verification Number (BVN) regulations, in a major move aimed at tightening banking security and reducing rising cases of fraud across the financial system.

New CBN’s BVN Rules Starts Today

Key changes include restricting phone number changes to once in a lifetime, limiting banking apps to one device, and capping transactions on new devices to \(\text{₦}20,000\) for the first 24 hours.

Bank customers need to know these:

One of the major highlights of the policy is the restriction on updating BVN-linked phone numbers.

Customers will now be allowed to change the phone number attached to their BVN only once in their lifetime.

Fraudsters often take over accounts by changing phone numbers through SIM swap tricks. Limiting changes helps reduce that risk.

Make sure the BVN number you use is one you plan to keep for a long time. If you ever need to change it, do so carefully because you won’t get another chance.

Your account can be temporarily restricted for checks

Banks are now authorised to place suspicious BVNs on a 24-hour watchlist.

During this period, affected accounts may be temporarily restricted while investigations and identity verification are carried out.

If your bank notices unusual activity, your account may be flagged.

Transactions could be delayed or restricted while the bank confirms that you are the one making them.

BVN registration is now strictly for adults

Another key update is the introduction of an age restriction.

Only individuals aged 18 and above can independently register for a BVN.

Minors will no longer be able to obtain standalone BVNs, except through structured, guardian-linked arrangements approved by financial institutions.

You can only use your banking app on one device

The apex bank has also introduced a one-device-per-app rule.

This means customers can only use their banking app on one device at a time.

Logging in on a new phone will automatically log out the previous device.

If you switch to a new device, your transactions will be limited to ₦20,000 for the first 24 hours.

The policy is designed to reduce unauthorised access and improve identity verification, making it harder for fraudsters to operate using cloned devices or stolen login details.

BVN services are now limited to authorised channels

Access to BVN-related services is now more controlled.

Only CBN-approved banks and financial institutions can handle BVN updates or issues.

Avoid using third-party apps or unofficial agents. Always go through your bank for any BVN-related request.

 


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