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Opinion: Is Nigeria poised for an Economic Rebound?

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Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM.
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It has certainly been a lively year for the Nigerian economy as it continues to diversify away from oil reliance while juggling with a currency crisis and Dollar shortages created by low oil prices.

Although the nation still remains exposed to external risks, there has been some optimism over the economic landscape stabilizing, with the improving macro fundamentals fueling speculations of an economic rebound by the end of 2017.

Early signs of recovery can already be seen across Gross Domestic Growth, falling inflation and foreign exchange rate stability.

Even the International Monetary Fund (IMF), who previously warned of a potential economic collapse back in March, has turned positive and projected that Nigeria’s economy will grow at a faster pace than South Africa’s in 2018.

The current speed of Nigeria’s recovery can be described as slow and steady, with the macro-fundamentals gradually stabilizing. Inflation has cooled for the fifth consecutive month in June at 16.1% illustrating further signs of price stability while manufacturing and non-manufacturing activities have both moved in a positive trajectory.

The Naira continues to display resilience against the US Dollar this year, with prices currently trading around 363 on the black market exchange. Although the repeated intervention by the Central Bank of Nigeria has heavily attributed to the Naira’s recovery and stability, confidence over Nigeria’s economic recovery continues to play a leading role.

While the local currency may experience further stability in the coming months as the Central Bank of Nigeria intervenes, the multiple exchanges have left the foreign exchanges divided and continue to pose a risk to investment.

Rather than using the foreign exchange reserves to support the Naira, the CBN should work towards cleaning up the multiple exchanges, while allowing the natural forces of supply and demand to determine the Naira’s true equilibrium value.

Although I remain optimistic over Nigeria resurging from an economic meltdown and eventually breaking away from its dependence on oil as an engine for growth, there are still external risks which could present headwinds on the road to recovery.

The greatest threat to Nigeria’s current recovery in the medium to longer term, is depressed oil prices. Falling oil has the ability to directly impact the nation’s government revenues, external reserves, and stability of the nation’s foreign exchange market.

Another risk in the pipeline that could pressure Nigeria’s recovery is OPEC’s recent decision to cap the nation’s oil production to 1.8 million barrels per day, especially when the budget proposal is based on 2.2 million barrels per day at $44.50 per barrel. It should be kept in mind that restricting production not only poses a threat to the budget but also is seen as a disincentive for investment.

Investors should pay close attention to higher US interest rates which have the ability to boost the US Dollar ultimately pressuring emerging markets, with Nigeria fitting into the category. While the threat of capital outflows from a strengthening US Dollar may expose the Nigerian economy to downside shocks, it should also be kept in mind that a portion of the government revenues is recouped from oil which is priced in Dollar.

In the longer term, an appreciating Dollar from higher US rates will not only diminish the value of the government’s working revenue, but also enforce pressure on the nation’s black market exchange.

The Central Bank of Nigeria is likely to remain in the spotlight in the third quarter of 2017 as investors wait to see whether interest rates will be hiked or trimmed. Nigeria’s ongoing mission to diversify from oil reliance, as well as a sharp drop in oil which triggered a currency crisis, have encouraged the CBN to maintain its key interest rates at 14% in July. While the central bank is likely to remain on standby in the short term as Nigeria nurses its wounds, a rate cut could be on the cards in the medium to longer term if inflation continues to follow a negative trajectory and other forms of hard economic data improve.

Focusing on the fiscal side, this still remains a gray are with the nation’s long-running infrastructure problems compounding to its woes. With the overall projected fiscal deficit tagged at N2.36 trillion one can only hope that the approved budget offers a helping hand to the nation.

Nigeria is in urgent need for robust infrastructure as major roads are in poor condition; the power sector remains a cause for concern while health and education need to be revamped. Rectifying these issues has the ability to not only create jobs but also support economic growth and boost investor confidence.

As we head deeper into the third quarter of 2017, market players may closely observe hard domestic data at home to gauge the nation’s health and verify if an economic recovery really is on the cards for 2017. Nigeria’s mission to diversify away from oil reliance while recovering from an economic deceleration remains an ongoing quest and it will be interesting to see how far the nation has progressed by year end.


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E-Financial

UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Africa’s leading financial institution, on Tuesday unveiled a groundbreaking instant account opening platform, revolutionising banking access for millions across the continent and diaspora communities worldwide.

UBA launches instant digital platform for seamless account opening across Africa, diaspora

UBA

The fully digital innovation, accessible at ubagroup.com, empowers prospective customers to complete account onboarding online in minutes, bypassing paperwork, branch visits, and lengthy processes that have long hindered financial inclusion. Supporting Naira and Diaspora accounts with multi-language options, the platform operates seamlessly on computers, tablets, and smartphones, catering to UBA’s diverse pan-African footprint spanning 20 countries, the UK, US, France, and UAE.

Shamsideen Fashola, Group Head of Retail and Digital Banking, described the launch as a pivotal step in democratising finance. “At UBA, we are committed to redefining the customer experience through innovation and simplicity,” Fashola said. “This fully digital solution underscores our belief that banking should be accessible, secure, and truly borderless.”

The seven-step process is intuitive: customers select “Open a Savings Account,” input their Bank Verification Number (BVN), undergo facial verification, confirm an OTP, update details, upload documents, add a digital signature, and receive an instant account number. This bridges traditional banking rigour with fintech speed, incorporating digital KYC while upholding stringent security.

Built with compliance at its core, the platform adheres to Nigeria’s Data Protection Act (NDPA) and Europe’s GDPR, safeguarding user privacy amid cross-border operations. Unlike conventional methods requiring physical biometrics, it enables immediate enrolment in UBA’s digital channels, blending convenience with regulatory depth.

Alero Ladipo, Group Head of Brand, Marketing, and Corporate Communications, highlighted customer-centric design. “Today’s customers expect speed, convenience, and compliance without compromise,” Ladipo stated. “We have blended industry-leading digital onboarding with robust standards for a seamless experience matching global best practices.”

The move reinforces UBA’s dominance in technology-driven inclusion, serving over 50 million customers with 30,000 employees and pioneering retail, commercial, and institutional services. Analysts view it as a strategic edge over fintech rivals, accelerating Africa’s digital economy amid rising diaspora remittances and intra-continental trade.

As Nigeria and Africa push financial digitisation, UBA’s platform positions the bank to capture untapped markets, fostering economic growth through barrier-free banking


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Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

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Kuda Microfinance Bank (Kuda MFB) has received a license from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to operate as a National Microfinance Bank, which means that it can now have a physical presence across Nigeria.

Kuda MFB Secures National Microfinance Banking Licence, Sets Stage for Nationwide Growth

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB

With the Unit Microfinance Bank licence it held until December 2025, Kuda MFB’s physical operations were limited to a specific location. The national licence removes those geographic restrictions, allowing the bank to open customer experience centres in multiple parts of the country. It also regularises Kuda MFB’s licensing status in line with the Central Bank’s framework for microfinance banks.

According to the bank, the national licence is about regulatory alignment and operational flexibility rather than a shift away from its digital-first model, so it will continue to lead with digital banking services, offering Nigerians the convenience of making transfers and payments, saving, and accessing instant credit through the Kuda app.

Musty Mustapha, MD/CEO of Kuda MFB, said, “Securing a national microfinance banking licence is an important step for us as a regulated institution. It strengthens our relationship with the Central Bank and affirms our commitment to operating at the highest standards of compliance as we scale. While we remain digital at our core, this licence gives us the flexibility to create more physical touchpoints where customers want in-person support or engagement, allowing us to serve Nigerians across the country in whichever ways are most convenient for them.”

Subject to regulatory approval, Kuda MFB plans to open more experience centres designed for customer support and community engagement, in the style of its existing experience centre in Yaba, Lagos, where customers and the general public can speak directly with the Kuda team to get help and learn about the microfinance bank’s products and services.

Kuda MFB’s national licence does not change its existing product offerings or transaction capabilities, but it provides the regulatory backing for a nationwide presence.


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NDIC Seeks EFCC’s Support to Trace, Recover Assets of Failed Banks

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Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) and the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) have agreed to strengthen collaboration to enhance the investigation and prosecution of offences that lead to bank failures, while also improving the recovery of assets and debts of failed banks.

NDIC Seeks EFCC's Support to Trace, Recover Assets of Failed Banks

Thompson Oludare Sunday, managing director and chief executive of the NDIC, made this known during a courtesy visit by the Corporation’s management team to Olanipekun Olukoyede, executive chairman of the EFCC, at the Commission’s headquarters in Abuja.

In a statement issued on Sunday by the NDIC’s Hawwau Gambo, head of Communication and Public Affairs, Sunday said robust partnership with the EFCC is critical to the effective liquidation of failed banks, a process that involves asset realisation and debt recovery, with proceeds used to settle uninsured deposits.

He noted that cases of asset stripping and concealment require coordinated efforts, particularly in asset tracing, recovery and enforcement, adding that the EFCC’s expertise is vital in achieving these objectives.

Sunday also identified banking fraud investigations and the prosecution of individuals whose actions contribute to bank collapses as key areas where both institutions can further strengthen their cooperation.

He stressed that NDIC plays a vital role in maintaining financial system stability through the execution of its four statutory mandates in deposit guarantee, bank supervision, distress resolution and bank liquidation.

According to him, the Corporation’s overarching goal is to safeguard depositors’ funds, ensure prompt compensation when banks fail, and sustain public confidence in the financial system.

He also observed that both institutions share common values of integrity, professionalism and accountability, describing the visit as a step towards reinforcing institutional partnership, especially in areas where EFCC’s investigative and prosecutorial capacity is essential to NDIC’s mandate.

“We aim to further strengthen our collaboration, deepen institutional synergy and explore additional avenues for mutual support in the pursuit of national financial system stability.

“The EFCC has been our partner and we want this to continue. We look forward to an expanded and more impactful partnership between our two esteemed institutions.

“Your experience has and will continue to greatly enhance our recovery efforts.  Additionally, we have that strategic responsibility for prosecuting individuals whose actions contribute to the failure of banks. We therefore seek closer collaboration with the Commission in this critical area”

Responding, the EFCC boss, Olukoyede, reiterated the Commission’s commitment to its longstanding working relationship with the NDIC in tackling financial crimes within the banking sector.

He acknowledged the history of cooperation between the two agencies, particularly in investigations and capacity development related to banking operations.

Olukoyede also briefed the delegation on key departments within the EFCC, including the Bank Fraud Section, which handles matters related to the NDIC.

He encouraged the Corporation to submit any outstanding cases for prompt assessment, noting that this would enhance tracking, accountability and case resolution.

The EFCC Chairman further highlighted the role of the Commission’s Fraud Risk Assessment and Control Department, which focuses on proactive monitoring, compliance, sound risk management and internal controls in both public and private sector institutions.

He described these efforts as part of the EFCC’s broader mandate to protect and strengthen the Nigerian economy.

Olukoyede assured the NDIC of the EFCC’s continued support in deepening institutional synergy to combat financial crimes, improve asset recovery, and ensure that offenders who undermine the banking sector are brought to justice.

 

 


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