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Naira Exposed to Election Risk and Oil Price Volatility

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By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM

The Nigerian Naira entered today’s trading session in a steady fashion as investors juggled with various fundamental themes pulling and tugging on risk sentiment.

With a number of Tier 1 economic releases today in Nigeria, the Naira is poised to remain firm on the parallel exchange. Although the local currency is seen witnessing further stability in the near term, geopolitical risks in the form of trade tensions and global growth fears may create headwinds down the road. With the presidential elections looming and oil prices still depressed, the upcoming trading weeks will be critical for the Nigerian Naira. The toxic mixture of rising inflationary pressures from increased government spending and depressed oil prices will spell very bad news for the Naira’s stability. With the IMF also adding to the gloom by downgrading Nigeria’s economic forecast for 2%, there will be a special focus on the election outcome. While Nigeria continues its mission to break away from oil reliance, the nation’s short- to medium-term outlook remains influenced by oil prices.

Unfortunately, the outlook for oil points to further downside thanks to supply and demand dynamics. Concerns over excessive supply in the markets coupled with worrying signs of falling demand continue to expose oil prices to downside risk.

Will the Central Bank of Nigeria be able to defend the Naira as elections loom and foreign exchange reserves dwindle? This is a question on the mind of many investors.

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

The British Pound appreciated sharply across the board yesterday as fears over a ‘no deal’ Brexit continued to ease. Market expectations over the government extending article 50 to avoid a no deal outcome clearly supported buying sentiment towards Sterling. However, gains were short-lived with the currency weakening today amid the endless uncertainty over Brexit. Focusing on the technical picture, the GBPUSD turned bullish on the daily charts after prices breached the psychological 1.3000 level. A solid daily close above this point is seen opening a path higher towards 1.3075 and 1.3100. Alternatively, a decline back below 1.3000 could encourage move back towards 1.2920.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

An appreciating Dollar sent Gold tumbling with prices trading around $1,279.50 as of writing.

Although bears seem to be in the driver’s seat, the outlook for the precious metal still points to further upside. With geopolitical risks draining risk sentiment, Gold remains heavily supported in the medium to longer term.

Technical traders will continue to closely observe how the metal behaves above the $1,272 level. A rebound back towards $1,290 will be in the cards if this level proves to be a reliable support. On the other hand, a breakdown below this level is seen opening a path towards the $1,260 region.

 

 


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E-Financial

Ecobank Nigeria Fully Repays $300m Eurobond Notes

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Ecobank Nigeria has announced the successful repayment of the outstanding principal and accrued interest on its original $300 million Eurobond due February 16, 2026, marking a significant milestone in its liability management strategy and overall balance sheet strengthening efforts.

Ecobank Nigeria Fully Repays $300m Eurobond Notes

Following the full repayment of the Eurobond obligations, the Bank stated that it will now focus its funding initiatives primarily on the domestic capital markets. T

his strategic shift reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s local debt market and aligns with Ecobank Nigeria’s long-term objective of optimising funding costs while deepening its participation in the domestic financial ecosystem.

“Going forward, Ecobank Nigeria will prioritise domestic credit ratings and local debt issuance to achieve its funding objectives,” stated Ogorchukwu Okwechime, Financial Controller, Ecobank Nigeria, in Lagos.

He added that the successful repayment reinforces the Bank’s commitment to maintaining a resilient balance sheet and sustaining investor confidence.

The tender offer was conducted with Renaissance Capital Africa (Renaissance Securities Nigeria Limited) acting as financial adviser and dealer manager, while Sodali & Co Limited served as tender agent.

The notes were originally issued by EBN Finance Company B.V., with limited recourse to the issuer, for the sole purpose of financing the purchase of the US$300 million 7.125 per cent Senior Note due 2026 issued by Ecobank Nigeria.

The transaction underscores Ecobank Nigeria’s proactive approach to liability management, prudent capital planning, and strategic alignment with evolving market conditions.

It further positions the Bank to leverage domestic funding opportunities while maintaining financial flexibility and operational stability.


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BoI Secures CBN’s Approval for Non-interest Banking Operation

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Bank of Industry (BOI) has received approval from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to operate a Non-Interest Banking (NIB) Window.

BoI Secures CBN’s Approval for Non-interest Banking Operation

Theodora Amechi, bank’s divisional head, Public Relations, said the regulatory nod allows BOI to launch non-interest banking operations, targeting underserved business segments with tailored financial solutions to support Nigeria’s industrial development.

BOI stated that NIB operations will promote inclusive growth, attract ethical funding, bolster the real economy, and finance customer assets and raw materials using approved non-interest products.

“This approval authorises BOI to commence Non-Interest Banking operations, positioning the bank to further advance Nigeria’s sustainable and inclusive industrial development through tailored financial solutions for underserved and high-impact business segments.

“The Non-interest Banking operations will enable BOI to drive inclusive growth, mobilise new ethical funding, expand support for the real economy, and align its financing activities with social and developmental objectives.

According to the bank, under this framework, BOI will be able to finance customers’ assets and raw materials using approved Non-Interest Banking products.

Announcing this milestone, Dr Olasupo Olusi, MD/CEO, Bank of Industry,  said, “This licence marks a pivotal moment in the Bank’s journey of transforming Nigeria’s industrial sector. With this licence, we can reach a new category of borrowers who, before now, could not be served.”

He said the approval underscores the CBN’s confidence in the Bank’s commitment to responsible financing, adding that it will allow the bank to scale its operations, introduce innovative financing solutions, and deepen support for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), as well as other underserved segments critical to Nigeria’s sustainable economic growth.

“BOI’s decision to commence Non-Interest Banking operations is aimed at expanding access to ethical funding for businesses—particularly those that have traditionally avoided conventional interest-based financing.

This initiative opens new opportunities for ethically motivated and faith-sensitive enterprises, as well as segments of the economy that face challenges accessing traditional credit.

It enables such businesses to access much-needed financing and participate confidently in the formal financial system in a manner consistent with their values and business realities.

Bank of Industry (BOI) is Nigeria’s foremost Development Finance Institution, committed to driving industrial growth and inclusive economic development,” Olusi said.

Established in 1959 as the Investment Company of Nigeria (ICON) and reconstituted as Nigerian Industrial Development Bank (NIDB) under World Bank guidance in 1964.

The Bank assumed its current form in 2001 following the merger of the Nigerian Bank for Commerce and Industry (NBCI) and the National Economic Reconstruction Fund (NERFUND).

The Bank’s primary mandate is to provide financial assistance for the establishment and expansion of large, medium, small-scale, and micro projects.


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Zenith Bank Warns Public Over Fake Jim Ovia Investment Videos

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Zenith Bank Plc has cautioned the public against fraudulent videos circulating online falsely claiming that Group Chairman Dr. Jim Ovia endorses an investment scheme called “Wealth Bridge.”

Zenith Bank Warns Public Over Fake Jim Ovia Investment Videos

Jim Ovia

In a disclaimer issued Tuesday by its management, the bank described the videos—circulated via the “Greece Island” Facebook handle—as entirely fake, doctored content bearing no connection to Dr. Ovia, the bank, or its affiliates.

The materials falsely promise up to N2 million in weekly returns for a N380,000 investment, while baselessly alleging Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) endorsement and redirecting viewers to a sham “Arise News” webpage with a signup portal.

“Our attention has been drawn to a doctored video and still pictures currently circulating on social media, purporting to depict the Group Chairman of Zenith Bank Plc (‘the Bank’) as endorsing an investment scheme called ‘Wealth Bridge’ on the ‘Greece Island’ Facebook handle and soliciting members of the public to engage in a business relationship with the so-called entity,” the statement read.

“This claim is entirely false and has no connection whatsoever to the Group Chairman, the Bank or any of its affiliate companies.”

Zenith Bank stressed that Dr. Ovia and the institution have no knowledge of or partnership with “Wealth Bridge,” “delicious sitee,” “AfriQuantumX,” “Stock market analyst 1,” or related entities. The public was warned that dealing with these schemes carries full personal risk.

Ravenewsonline urges vigilance against rising impersonation scams targeting financial institutions.


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