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Markets Shudder as Trade Tensions Reach Ear-Piercing Crescendo

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM

Investors are struggling to shake off the pounding hangover from yesterday’s dramatic global selloff as US-China trade tensions took a dangerous turn for the worse.

Any hopes of a resolution to longstanding trade disputes between both sides were thoroughly quashed after the Chinese Yuan slipped past the psychological 7.0 mark for the first time since 2008. With the US Treasury Department wasting no time in labelling China a currency manipulator for the first time since 1994, this could open doors to more US sanctions against China. Heightened fears over trade disputes between the two largest economies in the world reaching a point of no return have crippled risk appetite, ultimately exposing global equities to downside shocks.

Asian shares were painted bright red this morning following Wall Street’s gut-wrenching declines overnight. The negativity from Asian markets is likely to contaminate European stocks this morning. US stocks experienced their single worst day of 2019 in the previous session, and could extend losses this afternoon as US-China trade tensions drain investor confidence.

Dollar fails to benefit from safe-haven flows

The mighty Dollar was attacked from all directions yesterday despite trade concerns boosting appetite for safe-haven assets.

Appetite towards the Dollar was most likely hit by the disappointing ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI which dropped to 53.7 in July – the lowest since August 2016. With growth in the US services sector cooling as trade worries impact business orders and the outlook for economic growth, expectations are bound to mount over the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in 2019.

Given how the Dollar remains extremely sensitive to rate cut speculation, investors should fasten their seat belts and brace for Dollar volatility this quarter.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold is positioned to remain one of the prime destinations of safety this week as the horrible combination of US-China trade disputes and global growth concerns boost appetite for safe-haven assets.

Fears over intensifying trade tensions destabilizing global growth and stability have already elevated the precious metal to a fresh 6-year high above $1473 this morning. Although prices are slipping back towards $1460 as of writing, the precious metal remains technical and fundamentally bullish. For as long as risk appetite is dented by global growth fears, trade drama and Brexit uncertainty among many other geopolitical risk factors, Gold bulls will remain in the driving seat.

In regards to the technical picture, the solid daily close above $1460 may open the doors towards $1485 and $1500, respectively.

 
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E-Financial

SEC Revokes Registration of Kensington Agro Trading Limited

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has revoked the registration of Kensington Agro Trading Limited as a capital market operator with immediate effect.

SEC Revokes Registration of Kensington Agro Trading Limited

In a public notice issued by the Commission, the regulator announced that Kensington Agro Trading Limited’s registration as a Commodity Broker/Dealer and Collateral Manager has been withdrawn, effectively stripping the company of its authority to operate within Nigeria’s capital market.

According to the notice, the revocation was carried out pursuant to the powers vested in the Commission under Section 61(6) of the Investments and Securities Act, 2025, as well as Rule 34(1) of the SEC Rules and Regulations 2013, as amended.

The SEC stated that the decision takes immediate effect and urged all stakeholders to take note of the development.

“Accordingly, commodity exchanges, the investing public, commodity traders, and all capital market stakeholders are advised to discontinue capital market-related dealings with the company,” the Commission said.

The directive means that Kensington Agro Trading Limited is no longer authorised to engage in any capital market activities under the regulatory oversight of the SEC. Market participants have been cautioned to avoid entering into transactions or maintaining business relationships with the firm in its former capacity as a registered operator.

While the notice did not specify the reasons for the revocation, such regulatory actions are typically taken in line with the Commission’s mandate to ensure compliance with extant laws, protect investors, and maintain market integrity.

The SEC, headquartered in Abuja, reiterated its commitment to upholding transparency, investor protection, and strict adherence to regulatory standards in Nigeria’s capital market.

The Commission’s action underscores its continued enforcement drive aimed at sanitizing the market and ensuring that only duly registered and compliant operators are permitted to function within the ecosystem.

Stakeholders and members of the public are encouraged to verify the registration status of capital market operators through official SEC channels before engaging in investment-related transactions.


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NRS Targets N40trillion in Tax, Royalty Revenue in 2026

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Nigerians’ commitment to paying taxes has produced historic results. In 2025, voluntary compliance propelled the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) to collect a record ₦28.3 trillion, exceeding its target of ₦25.2 trillion and setting the stage for an even more ambitious 2026.

Dr. Zacch Adedeji, the Executive Chairman of NRS, while hailing the development recorded in 2025, announced that the service is targeting ₦40.7 trillion in tax and royalty collections for 2026, a 44% increase over last year.

The projection reflects reforms consolidating petroleum and mineral royalties under the NRS, streamlining a process previously handled by over 60 federal agencies, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission and the Nigeria Customs Service.

“With legislative support, we are confident of achieving this,” Dr. Adedeji said at a stakeholders’ roundtable organized by the House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations in Abuja.

The reforms, anchored in the Nigeria Revenue Service Establishment Act, 2025, signed by President Bola Tinubu, formalized the NRS and launched the most comprehensive tax overhaul in decades. By consolidating fragmented revenue collection, the NRS has strengthened efficiency, reduced compliance burdens, and expanded the tax base, particularly in non-oil sectors.

Finance Minister Mr. Wale Edun emphasized that the reforms aim to reduce reliance on Ways and Means financing and unsustainable subsidy arrangements funded by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

Meanwhile, Chairman of the House Committee on Appropriations, Rep. Abubakar Bichi, during the stakeholders’ roundtable organized by the House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations in Abuja, assured that legislative oversight will ensure credibility, transparency, and accountability in revenue collection and enforcement.

The NRS’s new mandate signals more consistent enforcement, reduced regulatory overlap, and closer scrutiny of non-oil sectors and mineral operators. For investors, the reforms indicate a centralized revenue administration and a broader, more reliable tax base, potentially reducing macroeconomic volatility if targets are met.

Dr. Adedeji, speaking at the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) Annual Strategic Stakeholders Retreat, emphasized that Nigeria’s journey toward a one-trillion-dollar economy depends heavily on trust.

“Strong bank capitalization and effective enforcement give confidence to the system. When people know their funds are safe, whether one naira or billions, they are more willing to save, invest, and participate in nation-building,” he said.

The NRS has also strengthened collaboration with key stakeholders, including a courtesy visit from KPMG executives, who commended the leadership and timely implementation of new tax laws, pledging continued professional engagement in support of national economic growth.

In another strategic engagement, Dr. Adedeji and Minister of State for Finance, Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite, met with Central Bank of Nigeria Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, to align fiscal and monetary policies, further promoting sustainable national development.

With strong momentum from 2025 and a clear vision for 2026, the NRS aims not only to boost domestic revenue but also to strengthen public trust, enhance compliance, and drive national development. As Dr. Adedeji emphasized, “Your compliance strengthens our economy and drives national development.”

Nigeria’s taxpayers can take pride in their role in this historic achievement, and in shaping the country’s economic future.


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Nigeria’s Net Reserves Surge 50% to $34.8bn in 2025 – CBN Governor

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Nigeria’s net foreign exchange reserves surged to $34.80 billion by end-2025, Central Bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso disclosed, marking a 50.58 percent rise of $11.69 billion from $23.11 billion in 2024.

Nigeria's Net Reserves Surge 50% to $34.8bn in 2025 – CBN Governor

CBN

The figure—a 772.18 percent leap or $30.81 billion improvement from 2023’s $3.99 billion—exceeds 2023’s gross reserves of $33.22 billion, signaling robust external financial buffers after adjusting for short-term liabilities like FX swaps and forwards.

Gross external reserves simultaneously grew from $40.19 billion in 2024 to $45.71 billion in 2025, up $5.52 billion, providing a truer gauge of capacity to meet immediate obligations.

Cardoso credited stronger external fundamentals, FX management transparency, and monetary reforms boosting investor confidence and exchange rate stability.

The CBN remains focused on reserve adequacy for macroeconomic balance and seamless FX operations. Cardoso noted in February 2026 that gross reserves continued climbing amid reform momentum.


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