E-Financial
Nigeria Week Ahead: CBN Decision, UK Autumn Budget & US Data in Focus

By Lukman Otunuga, Manager, Market Analyst, FXTM
Despite the shortened holiday week, November could end with a bang due to a lineup of high-impact events.

Lukman Otunuga, Manager, Market Analyst, FXTM
In Nigeria, the CBN could cut rates as much as 100 basis points on Tuesday as inflationary pressures cool. Annual inflation fell to 16.05% in October 2025, its softest level since March 2022. Persistent signs of easing prices pressures have provided much breathing for the CBN to cut rates in an effort to stimulate growth.
Speaking of growth, Nigeria’s Q3 GDP will be published on 28thNovember. More signs of recovering growth may boost sentiment and encourage the CBN to pursue its expansionary monetary policy.
Equity markets have already kicked off on a positive note with tech leading gains amid rising expectations for a December US rate cut. A string of dovish messages by Fed officials last Friday boosted these odds to 70% but incoming US data may either reinforce or shave these bets.
Over the weekend, US top diplomats met with Ukrainian and European officials to discuss a Russia-Ukraine peace plan. However, European leaders have rejected such plans, with US and Ukraine promising an “updated and refined framework”. Should talks end in a deadlock, this could spark risk aversion across the board.
GBPUSD could be set for a week of mayhem due to the pivotal UK Autumn budget on Wednesday, 26th November. With the UK fiscal hole as much as £30 billion, tax hikes are expected, potentially leading to more pain for consumers with a drop in disposable incoming, hitting growth. If this raises bets around lower UK rates, the Pound could be in for fresh pain.
In the United States, incoming US retail sales and PPI may provide more insight into the health of the economy. Should data disappoint, this may fuel bets around the Fed cutting rates in December.
Focusing on cryptos, Bitcoin struggled to nurse the deep wounds inflicted from last week’s brutal selloff. Despite the recent rebound, prices are on track for their worst month since 2022 with prices down nearly 10% year-to-date. Bitcoin is wobbling around $86,000 as of writing. Persistent weakness below $90,000 signalling a selloff toward $80,500 and lower.
Looking at commodities, oil flashed red amid hopes about a Ukraine-Russia peace deal, while gold has been stuck within a wide range since mid-November. A potent fundamental catalyst may be needed to trigger a break above $4130 or below $4000. This may come in the form of geopolitical developments or key US data.
E-Financial
FG Moves to End Double Taxation

Federal government has started new efforts to improve tax collection in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and stop the problem of multiple taxation.

Mr. Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the economy, disclosed this after a meeting with Nyesom Wike, minister, FCT, on Sunday.
According to Oyedele, the meeting focused on strengthening cooperation between the Ministry of Finance and the FCT Administration to support development projects in Abuja.
A major part of the discussion was how to improve tax administration in the territory.
He explained that the proposed tax harmonisation would create a more coordinated tax system, reduce the burden of multiple taxes on residents and businesses, and improve government revenue collection.
Oyedele said the plan is in line with the new tax reform law and is expected to help accelerate development across the FCT.
“The two ministers also reviewed plans to harmonise tax administration within the FCT,” he said.
He added that the initiative would eliminate multiple taxation while ensuring that government revenue is collected more efficiently.
The meeting also examined ways to strengthen collaboration on infrastructure projects across Abuja.
According to Oyedele, discussions centred on supporting the FCT’s ongoing infrastructure renewal programme.
He commended Wike’s approach to development, noting that the minister has focused on completing long-abandoned projects rather than starting new ones.
Oyedele said this strategy is helping to unlock economic and social benefits for residents by bringing stalled public projects back into use.
The proposed tax harmonisation is expected to make tax administration easier for individuals and businesses operating in the FCT while aligning Abuja’s revenue system with the provisions of the new tax reform law.
E-Financial
Standard Bank Targets $15.4b SME Growth in Nigeria, Others with Trade Expansion Drive

Standard Bank Group has identified Nigeria and four other markets as strategic growth hubs as it seeks to tap into $15.4 billion revenue opportunity driven by expanding small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and rising intra-African trade.

The bank disclosed the plan through Bill Blackie, the Chief Executive Officer of its Business and Commercial Banking (Standard Bank Group) division, who outlined the lender’s growth strategy in an interview with Bloomberg.
Under the strategy, Standard Bank will deepen its presence in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania while consolidating its dominance in South Africa. The five markets account for about 85 per cent of the estimated revenue opportunity available to the group’s BCB operations.
The expansion forms part of the lender’s broader ambition to accelerate earnings growth through 2028, leveraging increasing demand for banking services among businesses across the continent.
According to Blackie, the BCB division has recorded robust growth over the past five years, supported by rising business activity and greater demand for financial services across Africa.
He said the division doubled both headline earnings and return on capital between 2020 and 2025, with return on capital increasing from 19 per cent to 38 per cent during the period.
Earnings from operations across the continent also expanded at an average annual rate of 30 per cent.
Building on this performance, the bank is targeting compound annual growth of between eight and nine per cent through 2028, although Blackie expressed confidence that growth could reach double-digit levels as the strategy gains traction.
A key pillar of Standard Bank’s growth strategy is expanding support for SMEs and mid-sized businesses, which account for most enterprises across Africa.
The bank is particularly positioning itself to benefit from opportunities created by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which is expected to accelerate economic integration and cross-border commerce across the continent.
According to the International Trade Centre, nearly half of Africa’s small businesses export to other African countries, compared with only 14 per cent of larger firms, underscoring the critical role of SMEs in driving regional commerce.
The lender is also leveraging its extensive African footprint and strategic partnership with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to attract businesses seeking access to international markets, particularly China.
E-Financial
NAICOM’s 18 Months Management Spill @ African Alliance Ends

The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has handed over the management of African Alliance Insurance Plc to a newly constituted board nominated by shareholders.

The move ends a regulatory intervention that rescued the troubled insurer from the brink of collapse.
The development marks a major milestone in the insurance industry’s efforts to strengthen policyholders’ protection and restore confidence in the sector, following months of intensive regulatory oversight aimed at stabilising the company.
NAICOM had stepped into the affairs of African Alliance Insurance in October 2024 after the insurer was hit by severe liquidity constraints, mounting annuity payment arrears, unresolved claims obligations, regulatory infractions and reputational challenges that threatened its survival and eroded public trust.
Speaking at the handover ceremony, Commissioner for Insurance, Olusegun Omosehin, said the intervention had achieved its primary objectives of restoring operational stability, settling outstanding liabilities and protecting the interests of shareholders and annuitants.
Omosehin said a successful turnaround demonstrates the regulator’s commitment to safeguarding the insurance industry while ensuring that policyholders do not bear the consequences of corporate distress.
He also highlighted the significance of the newly enacted Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025, describing it as a game-changer for the sector.
The Commissioner observed that had the fund been in existence before the African Alliance’s crisis, it would have helped to cushion the impact on policyholders by facilitating the timely settlement of legitimate claims and annuity obligations.
He charged the new board to uphold high standards of corporate governance, transparency and regulatory compliance, while prioritising prompt claims settlement, sound solvency management and prudent business practices.
Industry stakeholders view the successful rehabilitation of African Alliance as a test case for regulatory intervention in Nigeria’s insurance sector, particularly at a time when operators are under pressure to strengthen their capital base, improve governance standards and rebuild public confidence.
During its tenure, the NAICOM appointed an interim board to restore liquidity through the recovery of trapped dividend funds and other inflows, settled a significant portion of annuity arrears and legacy claims, facilitated the transfer of the company’s annuity portfolio, completed forensic and actuarial reviews and addressed several regulatory and operational challenges.
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