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Iran strikes back at US Risk aversion reigns

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,

A tidal wave of risk aversion engulfed financial markets on Wednesday, after Iran launched retaliatory missile strikes against US forces in Iraq.

Global stocks fell slightly, while Gold punched above $1600 as escalating tensions in the Middle East accelerated the flight to safety. Iran’s retaliation has raised fears of a full-blown conflict with the United States and this negative sentiment is poised to weigh on emerging markets this week. There is a lot of uncertainty in the air with markets still in ‘wait and see’ mode until further clarity is provided on the US-Iran faceoff.

Markets have stabilized to some degree after the initial burst of volatility with investors taking some reassurance from the absence of US casualties and the measured tone of the official responses. President Trump is expected to make a statement later today in response to the Iranian strikes which should give direction to markets.

 

Nevertheless, heightened tensions in the Middle East will most likely weigh on global risk sentiment, ultimately denting appetite for emerging market asset and currencies. On a brighter note, emerging market energy oil exporters such as Nigeria could benefit from higher oil prices in the short term. Appreciating Oil prices may result in higher export earnings and government revenues for Africa’s largest economy.

 

Nigeria’s latest inflation figures may be published as early as Friday January 11 with markets forecasting consumer prices to jump to 12.10% in December amid the ongoing border closures. Signs of inflationary pressures making a return are likely to cool any speculation around the Central Bank of Nigeria easing monetary policy in Q1. The country’s economic outlook will remain influenced by Oil price volatility and US-China trade developments.

 

Oil sensitive to geopolitics

 

The explosive moves witnessed in Oil prices over the past few days highlight how sensitive the commodity is to geopolitical shocks.

 

WTI Crude blasted higher during early trading on Wednesday, breaking above $65 after Iran fired missiles at air bases in Iraq housing US troops. Given how this development raises fears of more tensions in the Middle East, Oil prices are poised to remain volatile in the near future with all eyes now on President Trump’s reaction and any signs of US retaliation. It will be interesting to see how far geopolitical shocks support Oil prices before investors re-direct their focus back towards US-China trade and global growth.

 

Regarding the technical picture, WTI Crude pared some of its gains after spiking towards $65.65 during the early parts of Wednesday morning. Bears could re-enter the scene if prices close below $62.00 with

 

Gold turbocharged by risk aversion  

 

In other news, Gold exploded higher on Wednesday, punching above $1600 for the first time in almost seven years as geopolitical shocks sent investors flocking to safer segments of the market.

 

Escalating tensions in the Middle East have hit global risk appetite, boosting buying sentiment towards safe-haven assets. Gold bulls remain in the driving seat with further upside expected as uncertainty supports the flight to safety.

 

Focusing on the technical picture, the precious metal is heavily bullish on the daily charts as there have been consistent higher highs and higher lows. A solid daily close above $1600 may encourage a move towards $1630. Alternatively, sustained weakness below $1600 could trigger a retracement back towards $1570 and $1555.

 

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Court Remands Hacker for Allegedly Stealing N3.09Bn from FCMB

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Justice Mojisola Dada of the Lagos State Special Offences Court in Ikeja has remanded, Andrew Odekina, an alleged hacker, who is part of a fraud syndicate that stole N3.09 billion from First City Monument Bank (FCMB).

Court Remands Hacker for Allegedly Stealing N3.09Bn from FCMB

Justice Dada ordered that Odekina be kept behind bars after he was arraigned before her by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

The EFCC informed the judge that the defendant was among the suspects who allegedly carried out a major cyber-enabled fraud that resulted in over N3 billion being siphoned from the bank’s customer accounts.

The anti-graft agency also accused the defendant of retaining proceeds linked to the large-scale hacking operation that targeted some FCMB customers.

The Commission stated that its investigation found cybercriminals had unlawfully accessed the bank’s applications, allowing them to transfer N3.09 billion from various accounts.

Odekina was specifically charged with receiving and retaining N9.87 million, believed to be part of the stolen N3.09 billion, in his FCMB account in 2025.

The offence, according to the EFCC, contravenes the provisions of the EFCC (Establishment) Act, 2004.

The charge states that the defendant, alongside accomplices still at large, knowingly retained control of funds traced to fraudulent digital transactions carried out on the bank’s platform.

The defendant, however, pleaded not guilty to the charge.

Based on his plea, Babatunde Sonoiki,  prosecutor, urged the court to fix a trial date and remand the defendant in the custody of the Nigerian Correctional Service pending the conclusion of the trial.

The defendant appeared in court without legal representation.

After listening to the lawyer, Justice Dada adjourned the case to May 11 for trial and ordered that Odekina be remanded to the Kirikiri Correctional Facility.


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SEDC Launches SEVCP to Expand Access to Capital for Startups

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South East Development Commission (SEDC) has launched the South East Venture Capital Programme (SEVCP), to expand access to capital for startups and strengthen Nigeria’s investment landscape.

SEDC Launches SEVCP to Expand Access to Capital for Startups

The Commission said the programme represents a direct institutional response to the federal government’s commitment to expand access to local funding and attract sustained investment into high- growth sectors across South East Nigeria.

It also said that it is part of the developmental initiative by the SEDC as contained in the road map for the region that was presented to the House of Representatives Committee on South East Development.

A statement issued by the commission says the SEVCP is a funded, coordinated, and time- bound intervention designed to catalyse the region’s digital, innovation, and technology ecosystem.

“As part of its initial rollout, the first phase of the program, the South East Pitch Competition, is now officially open for applications. At the core of the program is the South East Venture Capital Fund, a blended finance vehicle designed to mobilise up to $50 million in public, institutional, development finance, diaspora, and private capital into the region.

“SEDC anchors the Fund through the South East Investment Company, its wholly owned investment vehicle, which participates as a Limited Partner. This structure ensures professional fund management, institutional accountability, and alignment with global investment standards,” the statement said.

The commission also said that SEVCP is built as an integrated platform comprising five interlinked workstreams: fund operationalisation, a flagship Pitch Competition, a structured incubation and acceleration programme, a financing partnerships strategy to complete the fund raise, and a network of implementing partners across the region.

“Each component is designed to reinforce the others and ensure continuity from deal sourcing to investment and growth.The South East Pitch Competition serves as the primary entry point into the Fund’s investment pipeline. Thirty startups will be selected across the five states, with twenty placed in the Accelerator Track and ten in the Incubation Track.

“These startups will receive SAFE investments totalling 450,000 dollars in the first cohort. Accelerator participants will receive 20,000 dollars each, while incubation participants will receive 5,000 dollars each. Investments will be milestone-based and structured to balance founder flexibility with investor protection.

“The Pitch Competition Finals is scheduled to take place on 13 May 2026, followed by an Investment Ceremony on 14 May 2026. Selected startups will participate in a structured hybrid incubation and acceleration programme delivered across key locations in the region.

“The South East has long demonstrated strong entrepreneurial capacity, commercial depth, and human capital, the statement indicated. It noted that what has been missing is a coordinated system to channel capital into that capacity at scale, with the structure and governance required by serious investors. The SEVCP provides that system, and the Pitch Competition establishes the first layer of access,” it said.

According the tstatement, applications opened on 13 March 2026 and were originally scheduled to close on 27 March 2026.

“It indicated that the deadline has now been extended to 3 April 2026 to enable broader participation across the region, adding that this will be the final extension.

“The Accelerator Track is open to startups with demonstrable product market fit, active users, and revenue traction. The Incubation Track is open to founders with validated ideas and a minimum viable product. Eligible startups must be based in, operating in, or delivering clear impact within the South East, or be founded by individuals of South East origin with a defined regional focus. All applications must demonstrate a meaningful technology component,” it said.

The commission said that SEVCP represents a long-term commitment to building a structured and investable startup ecosystem in the South East.

“The inaugural cohort will form the foundation of a pipeline that the Commission intends to scale over successive cycles. Founders building within the region, and those looking to build within it, are encouraged to apply before the deadline,” the statement added.

 


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PIAFo Drives Urgent Call for National Dig-Once Policy to Boost Nigeria’s 125,000km Fibre Network

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Key players across Nigeria’s digital economy, telecommunications, and infrastructure ecosystem are set for the National Dig-Once Policy Forum to champion a new course towards increasing Nigeria’s digital backbone network to 125,000km of fibre-optic infrastructure.

PIAFo Drives Urgent Call for National Dig-Once Policy to Boost Nigeria's 125,000km Fibre Network

PIAFo

The event, which marks the 8th edition of Policy Implementation Assisted Forum (PIAFo), is a high-level industry dialogue aimed at accelerating the formulation and adoption of a National Dig-Once Policy as a critical enabler of safe, coordinated and cost-effective fibre infrastructure deployment in the country.

The forum, themed “Accelerating Nigeria’s Digital Backbone: Dig Once Policy, Project BRIDGE and Strategies for Effective Fibre Deployment,” is slated for Thursday April 16, 2026 at Radisson Blu Hotel, Ikeja GRA, Lagos.

According to the organisers, Business Metrics Limited (BML), the introduction of $2 billion Project BRIDGE initiative by the Federal Government to expand fibre infrastructure by additional 90,000km from 35,000km to 125,000km by 2030 requires some new measures to ensure successful implementation of the ambitious target and avoid mistakes of the past.

Industry stakeholders have identified that the success of a national connectivity backbone rollout depends largely on institutionalising a Dig Once Policy framework, which encourages the installation of fibre ducts and conduits whenever roads, railways, and other major public infrastructure are being constructed or rehabilitated.

According to industry data shared by the Nigerian Communications Commission, lack of such a framework is taking a toll on the telecoms sector and broadband drive as operators recorded over 50,000 fibre cut incidents across the country in 2024, with more than 60 per cent occurring during road construction and rehabilitation activities. These disruptions have resulted in billions of naira in repair costs, network outages, and service degradation.

Telecom operators in Lagos State alone said they spent over N5 billion in 2024 to repair and replace damaged fibre infrastructure in the state, while lamenting that the development continues to slow down network upgrade and expansion drive.

Beyond infrastructure damage, telecom operators also face challenges such as high Right of Way (RoW) charges, uncoordinated civil works, and repeated excavation of roads for fibre deployment.

PIAFo 8.0 aims to address these challenges by fostering collaboration among stakeholders responsible for planning, financing, constructing, and maintaining Nigeria’s digital infrastructure.

Specifically, the forum seeks to align federal, state, and local infrastructure planning around a unified Dig-Once framework; strengthen collaboration between telecom operators, infrastructure companies, and public works authorities; translate policy intentions into actionable guidelines and implementation timelines; and build stakeholder support for Project BRIDGE and complementary national fibre initiatives.

Speaking about the event, Team Lead at Business Metrics Limited, Omobayo Azeez, said Nigeria is being denied access to robust connectivity it should derive from up to eight high-capacity undersea cable networks landed on its shores because of difficulties around terrestrial fibre infrastructure expansion.

“The Project BRIDGE initiative should excite everyone because of ambitious targets. But for those who understand the operating terrain, and why it took the industry over 20 years to achieve around 35,000km of fibre network that the country currently operates for broadband connectivity, the project calls for a major shift in execution approach with the adoption of a National Dig-Once Policy as the starting point.

“PIAFo, now in its 8th edition, is again serving as the viable platform for representatives from government ministries and agencies, senior telecom executives, infrastructure companies, data centre operators, equipment manufacturers, state governments, and industry associations to chart the way forward.”

The forum will feature keynote addresses, expert panel discussions, and strategic networking sessions designed to drive pragmatic outcomes that will accelerate Nigeria’s journey toward a resilient and inclusive digital economy.


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