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Appetite to Risk Evaporated as Fed Signalled Double Tightening Whammy

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Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at FXTM
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FXTM Chief Market Strategist Hussein Sayed comments on the biggest one-day reversal in 14 years was significant enough to make headlines, but overall, markets still believe that Trump has their back.

Equities across Asia fell on Thursday following Wall Street’s biggest one-day reversal in 14 months after the Fed minutes indicated that officials are ready to target the over bloated balance sheet.

The Japanese Yen led the gains in currency markets, touching its highest levels in more than four months against the dollar. Government bond yields dropped across the globe, and futures markets are indicating further declines in U.S. equities.

Yesterday’s Fed minutes sent a couple of warning signs which have led to this reversal. The expected gradual increase in interest rates was not one of them given that this factor has already been priced in the markets.

However, the discussions of reducing the balance sheet, currently at $4.5 trillion, wasn’t received with open arms as it suggests a double tightening policy, “combination of higher rates and reduction in QE.” This is likely to be the next hot topic in monetary policy actions, and the key question is going to be; will the Fed successfully remove unconventional policies without disrupting the markets?

The more compelling message was related to equity valuations. Some Fed participants viewed equity prices as quite high relative to standard valuation measures. Well, there’s nothing new here.

Whoever is buying into this market already knows that valuations are overstretched, but this isn’t the kind of message an investor wants to hear from the system which supported the 8-year bull market. We rarely receive such comments from monetary policy makers, and while it doesn’t necessarily mean a correction is due immediately, investors should become more cautious.

The biggest one-day reversal in 14 years was significant enough to make headlines, but overall, markets still believe that Trump has their back, and whatever we’re experiencing now is just some noise.

However, in my opinion, valuations are not just high relative to standard measures, they are unrealistic. Earnings remain the key missing component of the most recent rally, and if we don’t see a significant improvement in the next two-quarters, there’s very little chances to keep going north.

Today’s Xi-Trump meeting will attract all of the market’s attention. Trump already assumes it will be a “very difficult” meeting, criticizing the trade deficit with China and job losses. The discussions will focus on global, regional, and bilateral issues of mutual concern according to the White House, but traders’ spotlight will be on the trade part.

The best-case scenario is the meeting ends peacefully, with both presidents shaking hands and probably playing some golf. But given that the two men are at opposite sides on several issues, it is unlikely the meeting will end in such a way. If they don’t get along and the US-China relationship becomes gloomy, expect another wave of risk aversion to hit the markets.

 


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E-Financial

#IWD2026: Kuda MFB Offers Millions In Grants To Women-Led Food And Hospitality Businesses

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As part of its Kuda for Her campaign for this year’s Women’s Month, Kuda Microfinance Bank (MFB) is inviting Lagos-based women entrepreneurs in the food and hospitality sector to pitch their businesses for a chance to receive ₦1 million in funding.

#IWD2026: Kuda MFB Offers Millions In Grants To Women-Led Food And Hospitality Businesses

Kuda MFB

The Kuda for Her Pitch Challenge, which launched on March 10, 2026, will award ₦1 million each to four women-led businesses, giving them capital to scale.

According to the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN) and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), women own about 43% of micro and small enterprises in Nigeria, many of which are in the food, catering, and hospitality sectors. Yet, women entrepreneurs continue to face barriers to growth, particularly in accessing capital, with only about 23% of women-owned businesses in Nigeria currently having access to formal credit.

Women who run food or hospitality businesses can submit a pitch outlining their business and how the funding will help them grow. Applications are open until March 15, 2026.

The four grant recipients will be announced on March 27, 2026.

Emmanuel Femi-Adejobi, Senior Brand Manager at Kuda, mentioned that the campaign is designed to recognise and support women whose businesses shape everyday life in Nigerian cities.

“Many of the food and hospitality businesses that Nigerians rely on every day are built and run by women,” he said. “Through Kuda for Her, we’re supporting these hardworking entrepreneurs directly while also shining a light on the ambition and creativity behind the businesses they’ve built”

Women entrepreneurs who run food or hospitality businesses in Lagos can submit their pitches before March 15, 2026, at kuda.com/kuda-for-her/.


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Thrifto Digitizes Nigeria’s Ajo, Esusu Savings for Safer Group Finance

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Thrifto, a new Nigerian fintech, is modernizing age-old group savings like ajo (Yoruba), esusu (South-West), and adashe (North) with a bank-integrated web app, slashing risks of defaults, disputes, and lost funds.

Thrifto Digitizes Nigeria's Ajo, Esusu Savings for Safer Group Finance

Sulaimon Biodun Durojaiye

Founded by Sulaimon Biodun Durojaiye, media entrepreneur, Thrifto lets users create or join groups, set contributions, cycles, and payouts.

It tracks records transparently, preserving cultural collaboration while adding tech accountability. “We’re providing structure and transparency without replacing the spirit of ajo,” Durojaiye said.

Early users—salary earners, entrepreneurs, small businesses—form groups for school fees, rent, or capital. The platform eliminates friction like poor bookkeeping and payout fights, driving organic growth nationwide.

Launching next week, a self-saving feature lets users automate fixed amounts (e.g., ₦5,000 daily or ₦50,000 weekly) toward goals, enforcing consistency solo.

A Trust Rating Score, based on participation history, rewards reliable users, aiding smarter group choices and fostering responsible behavior.

Tailored for Nigerian realities, Thrifto taps informal savings to expand inclusion. Observers see it strengthening networks and discipline in Nigeria’s fintech landscape.


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CBN Directs Banks to Activate Anti-Money Laundering Systems

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued new baseline standards requiring banks and other financial institutions to deploy automated anti-money laundering systems capable of detecting suspicious transactions and financial fraud risks in real time.

CBN Directs Banks to Activate Anti-Money Laundering Systems

The directive, contained in a circular released yesterday, mandates banks, mobile money operators, international money transfer operators and other regulated institutions to implement automated solutions that strengthen monitoring, detection and reporting of suspicious financial activities.

According to the apex bank, the framework establishes minimum technical, governance and operational standards for automated systems used to combat money laundering, terrorism financing and proliferation financing within Nigeria’s financial system.

CBN said the move was necessary as the financial services sector becomes increasingly digital and complex, making manual monitoring methods inadequate for managing evolving financial crime risks.

Under the new framework, deposit money banks (DMBs) are expected to achieve full compliance within 18 months from the date of issuance, while other financial institutions will have 24 months to comply.

Institutions are also required to submit detailed implementation roadmaps to the CBN’s compliance department within three months.

The standards apply to all institutions operating under the CBN’s regulatory purview, although the depth and sophistication of implementation will depend on each institution’s size, transaction volumes, operational complexity and risk exposure.

The framework outlines several minimum capabilities that automated anti-money laundering (AML) systems must possess, including customer identification and verification, sanctions screening, transaction monitoring and case management for suspicious activities.

Financial institutions are also expected to ensure their systems integrate customer data with transaction patterns so that suspicious behaviour can be assessed in the context of a customer’s risk profile.

The CBN said institutions should strengthen identity verification processes by integrating onboarding systems with national databases such as the Bank Verification Number (BVN) and National Identification Number (NIN) platforms to support real-time identity checks.

The framework permits the use of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning to improve the detection of unusual financial patterns.

However, the regulator said such technologies must operate under strict governance frameworks, including independent validation and human oversight.

Institutions deploying AI-based monitoring models will be required to conduct periodic validation to ensure accuracy, reliability and fairness in the detection of suspicious transactions.

The standards also require financial institutions to maintain secure data protection controls, including encryption, role-based access and multi-factor authentication, in compliance with Nigeria’s data protection regulations.

In addition, the systems are to maintain comprehensive audit trails of transactions, alerts, investigations and system activities to support regulatory supervision and forensic investigations.

The CBN said compliance with the framework will be monitored through off-site surveillance, on-site examinations and thematic reviews, warning that institutions that fail to implement the standards may face regulatory sanctions under existing banking and financial crime laws.


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