E-Financial
CBN, Adesina See Big Agric Impact on Economy

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has reaffirmed 6.72 per cent GDP Q2, 2013 growth forecast by the National Bureau of Statistics, and noted that the country’s now relies more on the non-oil sector as driver of growth.
On the country’s fiscal outlook, the CBN confirmed earlier projections, however, noted that “the relatively robust output growth projection for 2013 was hinged on expected three favourable conditions for increased agricultural production and other policy initiatives aimed at stimulating the economy.”
The CBN’s monetary policy committee (MPC) which met fortnight ago, also “noted with caution, the high GDP growth projection in view of the extant risk factors such as widespread insecurity, weak infrastructure and probable flooding from the projected heavy rains in some parts of the country.”
It also notes with trepidation the “state of emergency in the North East and the accompanying military operations in that axis have the potential to adversely affect economic activities generally, including agricultural production and food prices, as well as consumer demand.”
Dr. Akinnwumi Adesina, minister of Agriculture in separate interview with BBC radio stated that Nigeria was on path to self-sufficiency in food production.
Adesina who caused quite a ripple recently with his $600 million mobile phones for farmers’ project in the country, said Nigeria was on-course to regain lost grounds in groundnuts, palm produce and cocoa production.
Already, Nigeria is the largest producer of Cassava and Yam tubers globally. But its import bills in products like wheat and rice eat deeply into its annual GDP.
Yahaya Shehu, a member Monetary Policy Committee said the country’s “GDP growth rate of 6.56 per cent in Q1 of 2013, though a bit lower than the annualized level of growth in Q4 2012, maybe due to seasonal factors, is still robust and is forecast to increase in the next two quarters of 2013.”
He alluded that “one of the major challenges facing the Nigerian economy is the prospect of significant declines in oil earnings in the medium term, both due to weakening oil prices and declines in official domestic production occasioned by production disruptions and leakages. Already, this year, actual retained revenue of the federal government has been about 24 per cent lower that budgeted. Yet, there are some concerns that development imperatives and the security situation in the North Eastern part of the country might lead to substantial fiscal deficits necessitate increased government borrowing and generate inflationary pressures.”
Tunde Lemo, deputy Governor of CBN said: “arriving at policy decision seems a little bit complex. Current macroeconomic conditions suggest a benign environment, including moderation in inflation with all the measures now in single digit. The foreign reserve level has increased to a fairly comfortable level with demand pressure in the foreign exchange market fairly subdued. In addition, the money market rates have shown good degree of stability while investors‟ confidence in the economy has increased, evidenced by the declining yields on long term bonds.”
But Mallam Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, governor of the apex bank had some other reservations about risk factors in the economy other than declining oil revenue. He noted that the war against terror in Nigeria’s North East and subsequent investment in the “reconstruction and rehabilitation as the country deals with the humanitarian situation, are likely to be costly.”
Sanusi who recently got a hattrick of Africa Central Bank Governor of the Year award from the UK based Banker also noted that political spending in the country consequent to the next general elections in 2015 posed great risk to the economy.
“Secondly, as we approach 2014 and the nationwide election, political spending is bound to rise. While, to some, it may seem too early to worry about election spending, it is clear to me that 36 developments such as the Nigerian Governors’ Forum Chairmanship fiasco and the forging of alliances among opposition parties are indicative of the earnest commencement of horse-trading and grand-standing among politicians. The process has therefore commenced.”
E-Financial
CBN Proposes 30-Member Mediation Panel for Loan Disputes

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has released an exposure draft proposing the establishment of a 30-member Mediation and Dispute Resolution Panel (MDRP) aimed at strengthening consumer protection and boosting confidence in Nigeria’s financial system.

Pic credit….aequitasjuris.com
According to a circular signed by Paul Oluikpe, acting director of the Development Finance Advisory Department of the CBN, the establishment of the MDRP, is in furtherance of efforts to strengthen the financial ecosystem, ensure compliance with extant legislation, and enhance the efficiency of financial intermediation.
The draft guidelines and modalities for the operation of the MDRP are in line with the Secured Transactions in Movable Assets (STMA) Act, 2017, which established a MDRP as the first recourse for mediation and settlement over any civil dispute which may arise between the creditor and the grantor in the course of implementing the Act.
The act also mandates the Governor of the Bank to issue guidelines that will set out the modalities and regulate the Panel’s functioning, among others. The circular further noted that the “MDRP is intended to provide a specialised, cost-effective platform for resolving disputes arising from creation, perfection and enforcement of security interests in movable assets.
“The key objective of the MDRP guidelines is to establish a clear and standardised procedure for managing STMA-related disputes, while ensuring transparency, fairness and efficiency to bolster confidence in the secured transactions in movable assets system.”
According to the draft guideline, the CBN will “appoint 30 persons from whom panels shall be constituted, with each panel comprising 3 members.
The members shall serve on a rotational basis for an initial term of four years.
“Upon satisfactory performance, determined through an evaluation by the CBN, members may be reappointed for an additional term of four years. The tenure of members shall not exceed two terms of four years each, which need not be consecutive.
“Members shall be professionals with a minimum of 10 years of relevant experience in any of law, banking, finance, mediation, arbitration, alternative dispute resolution, or financial regulation. Members shall be persons of proven integrity, professional competence and sound judgement.”
E-Financial
NDIC Seeks Court Nods to Liquidate 89 Failed Banks

Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) said that it has commenced the process of liquidating 89 closed Microfinance Banks (MFBs) and Primary Mortgage Banks (PMBs).

This followed their successful acquisition by new owners under the Purchase and Assumption (P&A) resolution model executed by the Corporation.
The corporation disclosed this in a statement on Wednesday, signed by Hawwau Gambo, head of Communication and Public Affairs.
It explained that the affected institutions were part of the 179 MFBs and four PMBs whose licences were revoked by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), on May 22 and 23, 2023.
According to the corporation, under the P&A arrangement, 89 new eligible institutions were subsequently licensed by the CBN to assume the assets and liabilities of the defunct banks.
It noted that the new banks had since commenced operations under different names.
“To legally conclude the liquidation process, the NDIC, in its capacity as liquidator, will file applications at various divisions of the Federal High Court for orders of dissolution of the closed banks and its discharge as liquidator,” the statement said.
NDIC added that the move was in line with provisions of its enabling Act and other relevant laws guiding bank resolution in the country.
The corporation said the exercise would ensure proper closure of the defunct institutions while safeguarding financial system stability.
It reiterated its commitment to protecting depositors and sustaining public confidence in the banking sector.
The affected banks were located across several states, including Lagos, Anambra, Oyo, Kaduna, Kano and the Federal Capital Territory.
E-Financial
IMF Downgrades Nigeria’s GDP Outlook, Warns of Rising Risks

Nigeria’s economy is projected to grow at 4.1 per cent in 2026 and strengthen slightly to 4.3 per cent in 2027, even as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the ongoing Middle East conflict is clouding the global outlook.

The projections, contained in the IMF’s April 2026 World Economic Outlook released at the ongoing IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington DC, the United States, show a relatively stable trajectory for Nigeria despite rising external risks, particularly from energy market disruptions triggered by the war.
The IMF had earlier projected stronger growth of about 4.4 per cent in early January before the latest global shock, reflecting the impact of domestic reforms and improving macroeconomic conditions.
While Nigeria’s growth outlook remains steady, the IMF warned that countries like Nigeria face growing vulnerability from higher global energy prices, inflation pressures and tighter financial conditions.
The war, which has disrupted oil supply routes and pushed up fuel costs, is already feeding into domestic inflation and cost-of-living pressures.
Recent data show petrol and diesel prices have surged sharply since the conflict began, straining households and businesses.
Although higher crude prices may support government revenues, the broader macroeconomic impact remains mixed, with inflation and exchange rate pressures posing downside risks.
The IMF also cut global growth to 3.1 per cent in 2026, with only a modest recovery to 3.2 per cent in 2027 as the Middle East conflict disrupts trade and energy markets.
Emerging markets and developing economies, including Nigeria, are expected to grow at 3.9 per cent this year before recovering to 4.2 per cent in 2027, reflecting the uneven impact of the shock across regions.
Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to expand by 4.3 per cent in 2026 and 4.4 per cent in 2027, placing Nigeria slightly below the regional average but still among the stronger performers.
South Africa, the continent’s largest economy, continues to lag with growth forecast at one per cent in 2026, rising modestly to 1.3 per cent in 2027.
Among major economies, the U.S. is projected to grow by 2.3 per cent in 2026 before easing to 2.1 per cent in 2027, while China is projected to grow by 4.4 per cent and four per cent respectively.
India remains the fastest-growing major economy at 6.5 per cent through 2027, while the Euro Area continues to struggle with weak growth, particularly in Germany and France.
The IMF warned that many developing economies, particularly energy importers, remain vulnerable to rising costs and external shocks.
The IMF urged central banks to prioritise price stability, warning against easing policy prematurely in response to supply shocks. It stressed the need for clear communication and strong institutional independence.
On fiscal policy, the Fund cautioned against broad-based energy subsidies, describing them as costly and inefficient. It recommended a targeted and temporary support for vulnerable households, funded within existing budgets.
The IMF also warned against the use of trade restrictions to address external imbalances, noting that such measures tend to weaken output without resolving underlying issues. It called instead for coordinated global action to stabilise trade and restore energy supply chains.
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