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CBN Forex Policies May Harm Economic Growth in 2022 — CPPE

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Godwin Emefiele, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria
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Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), an economic think tank, has said the “monetary and foreign exchange policy rigidities” of the Federal Government may disrupt the economic growth of the nation in 2022.

CBN Forex Policies May Harm Economic Growth in 2022 — CPPE

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is responsible for monetary and forex policy in the country.

The centre made this known in its ‘2022 Economic Outlook’ report, a copy of which was obtained by our correspondent on Thursday.

According to the organisation, there is no indication that the nation will shift from its current monetary and foreign exchange policy and this may hamper economic growth in 2022.

The centre said, “Monetary and foreign exchange policy rigidities may also pose a risk to the growth outlook as there are no indications of any significant shift in monetary and foreign exchange policy stance in the near term.

“Consequently, the distortions inherent in the foreign exchange market will persist in 2022. The constraining effect of the high Cash Reserve Requirement on financial intermediation would also persist in 2022 with a dampening effect on growth outlook.”

According to the private sector body, while the economic outlook for the Nigerian economy in 2022 is largely positive with Gross Domestic Product growth to remain at a fragile three per cent, the problem of insecurity will impact significantly on the economy.

It added that the agricultural sector in particular would be affected, as perception of Nigeria as an investment destination continues to diminish.

It said investors would have to grapple with barriers to international trade experienced in the nation in 2021.

The economic think tank said problems relating to the Lagos ports, the traffic gridlock, port congestion, bureaucratic documentation processes, extortions, and the prohibitive charges by terminal operators and shipping companies might continue in 2022.

The CPPE said, “There will be intense electioneering activities in 2022, preparatory to the 2023 elections. This will cause some serious distractions for political office holders at all levels as they struggle to retain power during the elections.

“This will adversely impact the economy and the investment environment as considerable attention and resources are committed to the electioneering activities in 2022. The aggressive drive for revenue by agencies of government will put enormous pressures on investors in 2022.

“Beyond the regular tax authorities, other agencies of government may become more aggressive in their revenue drive.  This will constitute an additional burden to investors in 2022.”

According to the organisation, the Federal Government is unlikely to fully remove petroleum subsidy in 2022 because of the 2023 elections.

As a result, It said the economy would have to bear the heavy fiscal burden of this policy, and the full implementation of the PIA as well as the reform of the downstream sector would be affected.

It, however, said the proposed Dangote Refinery might abate some fiscal pressure in 2022 if it comes online.

The CPPE said the government would continue to spend a lot of its revenues on debt servicing in 2022.

It said, “Debt service payment is typically a first line charge in budget releases. The ambitious budget size of N17.1tn and the unpredictable revenue outlook elevates the risk of higher fiscal deficit than projected.

“This has implications for macroeconomic outcomes of high fiscal deficits, a new round of monetisation of the deficit, pressures on the exchange rate and the general price level.”

According to the private sector body, the global price of oil will exceed the budget benchmark of $62 per barrel, offering fiscal headroom.

This, it said, would boost the foreign reserve of the nation, and strengthen the capacity of the CBN to support the foreign exchange market.

It added that the impact of COVID-19 on global and domestic economies would reduce, forecasting that nations would ramp up vaccinations and new measures to contain the pandemic.

According to the CPPE, because the service sector is less vulnerable to the structural constraints of the economy, especially the real sector of the economy, it will continue to outpace the real sector in 2022.

It said, “The service sector of the Nigerian economy will continue to outpace the real sector in 2022. In the third quarter of 2021, service sector contribution to GDP was 50 per cent and the growth of the sector was 8.41 per cent.

“Oil sector contribution to GDP was 7.5 per cent; while the non-oil sector contribution was 92.5 per cent. while the industrial sector growth contracted by 1.63 per cent, agriculture grew by 1.2 per cent.”

It added that if the Petroleum Industry Act is implemented in 2022, it would impact positively on the economic outlook, noting that investors would troop into the oil and gas sector on account of the reforms anchored on the PIA.

“This will however depend on the political will deployed to drive the implementation of the provisions of the Act. It is also expected that the coming on stream of the Dangote refinery in 2022 will also impact positively on the downstream sector of the economy,” CPPE noted.


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E-Financial

FG Asks Banks to Report Individuals with N25m Monthly Transactions to FIRS

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Federal government has mandated banks and financial institutions to begin reporting monthly transactions exceeding N25 million for individuals and N100 million for firms to the tax authorities.

FG Asks Banks to Report Individuals with N25m Monthly Transactions to FIRS

Under the new provisions of the Nigerian Tax Act, financial institutions are required to submit quarterly returns to the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS).

The agency will be renamed to the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) from January 2026, when the new tax system will take effect.

“Every person who has an obligation to deduct and remit tax under this Act or any other Returns for tax legislation shall render monthly returns to the appropriate tax authority, as specified deduction of tax in the regulation issued for that purpose,” the Act reads.

“Without prejudice to section 142 of this Act, every bank, insurance company, stock-broking firm, or any other financial institution, shall prepare, with or without demand be delivered by the relevant tax authority, quarterly returns to the relevant tax authority specifying the names and addresses of new customers;Nigerian fashion trends

“…and existing customers in the case of (i) an individual, all transactions where the cumulative transactions in a month amount to N25,000,000 or more, or (ii) a body corporate, all transactions where the cumulative transactions in a month amount to N100,000,000 or more.”

Prior to the new tax law, banks were mandated to report deposits of N5 million — a measure intended to curb illicit financial flows, according to  TheCable

Experts said the shift is part of efforts to tighten anti-money laundering reporting in the financial sector.

In 2023, Nigeria was listed on the grey list by the  Financial Action Task Force (FATF) over deficiencies in tackling money laundering and terrorism financing.

Since then, the country has been making efforts to exit the grey list, which subjects it to increased monitoring by the FATF.

In November 2024, Hafsat Bakari,  chief executive officer (CEO) of the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU), said Nigeria has achieved upgrades in five key recommendations from the FATF.


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NIBSS: Active Bank Accounts in Nigeria Hit 320m

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Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBS) has revealed that the number of active bank accounts in the country increased to 320 million in the first quarter of 2025.

NIBSS: Active Bank Accounts in Nigeria Hit 320m

NIBSS also announced that the country’s cashless transactions rose to N295 trillion in the that quarter, up from N237.11 trillion in the corresponding quarter of 2024.

NIBSS disclosed this in its latest report on the country’s financial sector.

According to the data, the report highlighted the growing reliance on digital payments nationwide.

Details from the report showed that electronic payment channels were used 2.21 billion times in Q1, while point-of-sale, PoS terminals recorded 776.94 million transactions.

The NIBSS report corroborates ACI Worldwide data, which indicated that the volume of Nigeria’s real-time payment transactions will reach 19.7 billion by 2028, up from 7.9 billion in 2023.

“In Nigeria, real-time payments are quickly becoming a viable alternative to cash, historically the dominant choice for payments in the country,” ACI said.


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Edun, Finance Minister Inaugurates NDIC New Management

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Mr Wale Edun, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the Economy,  has inaugurated Mr Thompson Oludare Sunday, new managing director/chief executive officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), and Dr Kabir Sabo Katata, executive director (Operations),  at the Ministry of Finance, Abuja.

Mr Wale Edun, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the Economy, flanked by Mr Thompson Oludare Sunday, new managing director/chief executive officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), and Dr Kabir Sabo Katata, executive director (Operations),

In his speech during the occasion, the Minister submitted that the NDIC, as a component of the financial safety-net has a crucial role to play in the nation’s march to economic stability and prosperity.

He therefore charged the Management team to bring their diverse wealth of experience to bear on their new assignment while assuring them of the ministry’s full support in the task ahead.

Responding, Mr Sunday who spoke on behalf of the Management team, expressed appreciation to His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for their appointment.

He assured the Hon Minister of the readiness of the Management under his leadership to live up to expectations of the President in particular and the nation in general in the discharge of their duties.

The Management  later received by the Corporation’s Head Office with a warm welcome by the workforce.

A statement signed by Hawwau Gambo, head, Communication & Public Affairs Department, revealed that Addressing the workers on behalf the Management team, Mr. Sunday promised to work in harmony with the staff to move the Corporation to its next level performance.

He stressed that the Management’s focus would be based on the public policy objectives, functions and mandate devolved on the Corporation by the enabling law that established it.

Thompson Oludare Sunday is a seasoned financial expert with over 30 years of regulatory and supervisory experience.

Having cut his teeth with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in 1989, he went ahead to acquire high-end knowledge in Central Banking, spending 24 unbroken years in banking supervision.

While his vast experience is in the regulation and supervision of licensed institutions, his deep expertise span corporate governance, risk management and compliance as veritable tool for ensuring the safety and soundness of institutions.

He is a highly analytical and cross functional team worker with strong interest in building individual and institutional capacity for transformation and excellence.

Thompson’s skills and experience were horned by several key responsibilities and special assignments he handled for the apex Bank before his retirement as a Director 2021.

Kabir Sabo Katata, ED (Operations),  is a quantitative energy strategist and computational finance expert with strong power trading and risk management experience.

He has over twenty-eight years’ experience in the design and management of technically innovative systems in multiple industries including telecommunications, IT, energy (petroleum & power), finance and government.

He is a specialist in sophisticated financial optimization, the application of modern statistical techniques and mathematics to energy, deposit insurance and banking sectors.

Dr. Katata joined the service of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation in 2012 as an Assistant Director in the Research, Policy and International Relations Department and rose to the pinnacle of his career as Director in January 2022, before his new appointment as Executive Director (Operations).

 

 


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