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Disappointing Retail Sales Pressures Sterling

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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on potential market reactions to the French Presidential elections this weekend.

Sterling attracted a school of sellers during early trading on Friday, following the disappointing 1.8% decline in U.K retail sales in March that rekindled fears of Brexit impacting the U.K economy.

U.K retail sales posted their largest quarterly fall in seven years in the first quarter of 2017, as accelerating prices and a Brexit-fueled Sterling selloff pressured consumers.

With wage growth lagging behind inflation, concerns may continue to heighten over the longevity of the U.K’s prized consumer-driven economic growth.

The Pound remains gripped by the Brexit developments as they continue moving forward and heightened political uncertainty created from the snap general election shocker should limit extreme upside gains.

From a technical standpoint, although the sustainability of the Sterling rebound can be questioned, the GBPUSD remains undeniably bullish on the daily timeframe.

The decisive breakout above 1.2775 could encourage a further incline higher towards 1.3000. On the other hand, if the bearish Brexit fundamentals inspire sellers, then repeated weakness below 1.2775 could open a path lower back towards 1.2600.

French Presidential Election Countdown Begins
The French presidential elections remain a major event risk that has the ability to send serious shockwaves across the financial markets. With recent polls indicating a fierce battle between the four candidates in the first round and millions of voters still undecided, uncertainty remains the name of the game.

Although Emmanuel Macron has been labelled as favorite to become the next French President, an unexpected Marine Le Pen victory could deal a symbolic blow to the unity of the European Union and ultimately create a tidal wave of risk aversion. Investors should remain diligent as we enter the weekend, and be prepared to expect the unexpected when dealing with the elections’ repercussions on the Euro.

From a technical standpoint, the EURUSD has struggled to close above the 1.0750 level, with pre-election jitters exposing the Euro to downside risks. If anxiety continues to heighten, then Euro bears may be inspired to send prices lower towards 1.06850 or lower.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
Jitters surrounding the forthcoming French presidential elections and the ongoing tensions engulfing North Korea have supported Gold this week, with prices balancing around $1280 as of writing. Risk aversion remains rife amid the political risk, with uncertainty accelerating the flight to safe haven investments.

Bulls remain in control on the daily charts and the decreased probability of a U.S interest rate increase in June could provide a foundation for buyers to attack.

If the mounting concerns over Trump’s ability to push through with fiscal spending continue to pressure the Dollar further, then Gold may target $1300 and potentially higher.

Much attention will also be directed towards the French elections this weekend and could spark a wave of risk aversion if the results of the first round rekindle Frexit concerns. From a technical standpoint, Gold bulls remain in control above $1260, with $1300 acting as the next key level of interest.

 

 


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E-Financial

Court Orders Final Forfeiture of N81.1m Sterling Bank Fraud Funds

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Federal High Court sitting in Ikoyi, Lagos, has ordered the final forfeiture of N81,108,143.8 stolen from Sterling Bank Plc following a system glitch that befell the financial institution.

Court Orders Final Forfeiture of N81.1m Sterling Bank Fraud Funds

Justice Yelim Bogoro gave the order on Monday, March 9, 2026, directing that the funds be forfeited to the Federal Government of Nigeria in favour of the bank.

The ruling followed a motion filed by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) through Hannatu U. KofarNaisa, its counsel.

The court had earlier granted an interim forfeiture order on October 2, 2025 and directed that the order be published in a national newspaper for anyone with an interest in the funds to appear and show cause why the money should not be permanently forfeited.

Investigations revealed that the funds were part of more than N2.5 billion stolen by some customers of Sterling Bank following a system glitch that allowed unauthorised transfers.

The glitch reportedly enabled customers to exploit the PAYATTITUDE Global Ltd banking platform to move funds from their accounts even when they were not funded.

The anti-graft agency said it began investigating the case after receiving a petition from Sterling Bank on July 18, 2022.

According to Maina Gapani Gyal, EFCC investigator, more than N2.5 billion was fraudulently transferred and converted for personal use by several bank customers and third-party beneficiaries.

The investigation traced part of the stolen funds to accounts linked to Sulaiman Kehinde Ojora, identified as one of the major beneficiaries of the fraud.

Further findings showed that N43 million was concealed in the account of his friend, Taiwo Oluwaseyi Alawode, domiciled in Access Bank.

N122.2 million was hidden in the account of his wife, Aminat Olatanwa Ojora, domiciled in Sterling Bank.

The EFCC said the bank was unable to recover N295.9 million from the stolen funds because the money had already been withdrawn and converted by customers.

However, investigators were able to salvage N81.1 million, which became the subject of the forfeiture proceedings.

The bank also recovered N490.3 million from its internal ledger during the investigation.

The EFCC informed the court that the interim forfeiture order was published in The Punch on February 19, 2026, inviting any interested party to challenge the forfeiture.

After reviewing the motion and supporting documents, Justice Bogoro ruled that the application was valid.

“Having gone through the motion and attachments, I find the application meritorious and the same is accordingly granted,” the judge held.

The court subsequently ordered that the recovered N81,108,143.08 be finally forfeited to the Federal Government in favour of Sterling Bank.


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SEC Cautions Fintechs of Rising Risks as Digital Finance Expands

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The Securities and Exchange Commission Nigeria (SEC) has cautioned fintech operators that while technology can expand access to investment opportunities, it also has the potential to magnify risks if not properly managed.

While speaking at the first biannual SEC Regulator–FinTech Clinic, Rabi Maidawa, fund authorisation officer at the commission, said technology-driven platforms do not eliminate risk in investment but can amplify it when systems are poorly designed.

“Technology does not eliminate risk in investment; it amplifies it. A single design flaw on a platform, such as a data integrity issue, can spread quickly across the investor ecosystem,” Maidawa said.

Regulators and industry stakeholders at the forum stressed the need for stronger compliance frameworks as digital finance continues to evolve across Nigeria’s financial ecosystem.

Muhammad Jiya, chief operating officer for emerging technologies and innovation at the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU), noted that digital assets and technology-driven financial services are creating new channels for financial crime.

According to him, operators must ensure that compliance programmes are embedded within their platforms from the early stages of development.

“Digital assets and technology-driven financial services also present new actors for financial crime. As operators, compliance programmes should be embedded into your systems,” Jiya said.

Industry experts also advised fintech founders to engage regulators early when developing new products.

Nelson Ikeagu, a regulatory expert, said pre-launch engagement with regulators is essential for innovators whose products may not clearly fall within existing regulatory frameworks.

“Pre-launch dialogue is important for operators because it helps provide guidance on what regulators expect,” he said.

He added that startups developing innovative products that do not fit neatly into existing regulations, such as those overseen by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) should consider applying for regulatory sandbox programmes to obtain guidance while testing their solutions.

“Operators that adopt higher compliance standards are better positioned to navigate the regulatory environment,” Ikeagu noted.

Ismaila Muhammad, an IT professional who spoke at the event, also advised fintech founders to treat their platforms as regulated entities and ensure they do not become conduits for illicit financial activity.

“You are still an entity even if you are a tech company. Ensure that money launderers do not infiltrate your business. Proper registration with the SEC and adherence to regulatory requirements are essential,” he said.

While delivering remarks on the commission’s regulatory approach to fintech, Jameelah Sheriff-Ayedun said the SEC was among the first Nigerian regulators to formally institutionalise collaboration with fintech companies.

According to her, the commission introduced a regulatory incubation programme to provide innovation-friendly supervision while maintaining market integrity.

“The regulatory incubation programme provides innovation-friendly supervision. The SEC has also played an active leadership role in the regulators’ forum,” she said.

She noted that between 2020 and 2022, the commission moved early to support emerging fintech models, including crowdfunding, robo-advisory services, tokenisation, and digital assets.

However, Sheriff-Ayedun acknowledged that several structural challenges remain in Nigeria’s fintech regulatory environment. These include complex multi-regulator oversight, overlapping mandates among agencies, and prolonged licensing timelines.

She also pointed to operational clarity gaps in areas such as digital assets and decentralised finance (DeFi).

Beyond regulation, she said the industry still faces significant market and capacity gaps, including shortages of skilled talent in compliance, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence, as well as limited investor education and barriers to broader retail capital participation.

Other challenges include the limited depth of early-stage capital available to support fintech innovation in the country.


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First Asset Management Secures Ratings Upgrade

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First Asset Management investment management rating just got an upgrade to ‘AA’ from ‘AA-’ by DataPro and affirmation of A+(IM) by Agusto & Co. This reflects how we are continuously improving to serve our investors better. Our funds levelled up too as Agusto & Co upgraded our First Asset Money Market Fund rating to A+ (f) (up from Aa‑(f)).

What its means for customers

It means you are investing with a firm that is getting stronger, smarter, and more disciplined. Our upgraded rating recognizes our solid performance track record, the strength of our parent financial group, and the systems we have put in place to manage investments responsibly.

We have also improved our governance and decision-making structure, with experienced professionals leading well-defined investment and risk committees. Behind the scenes, our team of seasoned investment experts constantly monitor markets, manage risks, and position portfolios to navigate volatility and capture opportunities.

At the same time, we have strengthened our risk management and compliance framework to ensure that everything we do meets global best practices. In simple terms, it means your money is being managed with discipline, transparency, and strong oversight.

Independent rating agencies — Agusto & Co and DataPro Limited recognize these improvements. Their ratings highlight our commitment to responsible asset management, strong governance, and operational systems designed to support stable long-term performance.

But beyond the ratings, what really matters is helping you build wealth over time.

That is why we offer a range of investment plans designed for different goals — whether you are just starting your investment journey, looking to grow your portfolio, or aiming to build long-term financial security.

If you are part of the next generation of investors, this is your moment to start early and stay ahead. The earlier you begin investing, the more time your money has to grow.

Jump on the First Asset investment journey. Explore our investment plans and start building your future with a firm that is getting stronger.


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