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Expiry of Loan Forbearance to Test Nigerian Banks’ Capital Buffers- Fitch

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Nigerian banks are facing a potential increase in impaired loans and fresh pressure on their capital buffers as regulators prepare to withdraw systemwide forbearance measures that have underpinned the sector since the country’s last major financial shock, according to Fitch Ratings.

Expiry of Loan Forbearance to Test Nigerian Banks’ Capital Buffers- Fitch

The credit rating agency, in a commentary published this week, cautioned that the expiry of forbearance arrangements by the middle of 2025 will trigger the reclassification of large volumes of risky loans, raising impaired loan ratios and testing banks’ ability to maintain adequate capitalisation levels.

The warning comes as Nigerian lenders undergo a complex operating environment marked by high inflation, elevated interest rates, and shifting regulatory demands, even as recent reforms have strengthened earnings and liquidity.

Systemwide forbearance  (Regulatory relief measures that allowed banks to avoid classifying certain stressed assets as non-performing), has provided temporary breathing space since the COVID-19 crisis and subsequent naira volatility. Fitch estimates that the vast majority of Nigerian banks will exit these arrangements by the end of 2025.

The agency said the transition will be disruptive, stating: “The expiry of forbearance will lead to some large Stage 2 loans being reclassified as impaired,” it noted. Stage 2 exposures are loans that show signs of significant credit deterioration but are not yet considered in default.

As these migrate into the impaired category, reported non-performing loan (NPL) ratios are expected to rise materially, with knock-on effects for provisioning and capital adequacy. Total capital adequacy ratios (CARs), already stretched for some mid-tier lenders, could come under notable pressure, Fitch said.

Banks that fail to meet prudential thresholds may continue under forbearance but will face penalties, including restrictions on dividend payments, a potential concern for investors in an industry long valued for its high payout ratios.

Despite the looming risks, Fitch emphasised that Nigerian lenders are not entirely unprepared. Many banks have undertaken proactive loan restructurings to improve repayment profiles, while a wave of capital-raising activity has been set in motion by the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) decision to sharply raise minimum paid-in capital requirements earlier this year.

Improved profitability has also given banks more cushion.

Net interest margins have widened on the back of higher yields, enhancing loss-absorption capacity and providing a buffer against prospective impairment charges.

“This will help counteract increased loan impairment charges and prudential provisions resulting from the expiry of forbearance,” Fitch noted, pointing to stronger earnings as an important offset to asset quality pressures.

One bright spot has been the banking sector’s foreign-currency liquidity profile, which has benefited from the CBN’s exchange rate liberalisation and subsequent naira devaluations.

According to Fitch, the reforms have boosted turnover in the foreign-exchange market and improved banks’ access to hard currency.

This will prove critical as lenders face external debt maturities in the coming years. This is even as Nigerian banks have Eurobonds worth $2.2 billion maturing or callable by 2026.

Fitch said most institutions hold sufficient liquidity to meet these obligations without resorting to refinancing.

This is considered a marked contrast to previous periods when access to international capital markets was limited.

Nonetheless, structural challenges continue to weigh on the industry.

Nigeria’s inflation rate, which has held above 20 per cent for much of the past two years, is eroding real returns and complicating monetary policy transmission. Interest rates are expected to remain high in the near term, further constraining credit expansion.

At the same time, regulatory burdens remain highly onerous, Fitch said, with banks facing compliance demands that add to operating costs and restrict flexibility.

Analysts also warn that sovereign risks  including Nigeria’s rising debt stock and fiscal pressures, could spill over into the banking system, particularly given lenders’ large holdings of government securities.


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Ebere Melum-Nwogbo is a trained and practicing journalist. She is passionate about ICT and business journalism. She has over a decade experience spanning money and capital market as well as information technology

E-Financial

PalmPay Hits 35m Users’ Milestone

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PalmPay said that it has surpassed 35 million users, a figure that reflects a broader transition in the sector from rapid customer acquisition to sustained, everyday financial usage.

PalmPay Hits 35m Users’ Milestone

Chika Nwosu, Managing Director-CEO, PalmPay Nigeria

The consumer payments platform entered Nigeria’s fintech market in 2019 and is today a major player, offering a suite of financial services including transfers, bill payments, and digital insurance to promote financial inclusion.

In a market historically shaped by traditional banks, emerging fintechs, and a strong cash culture, scale alone is no longer the defining benchmark of success.

Instead, attention is shifting to how effectively platforms integrate into the daily financial routines of individuals and businesses.

Central to PalmPay’s growth is its alignment with Nigeria’s payment infrastructure.

The platform has executed live transactions on the National Payment Stack operated by the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS), placing it within an interoperable framework that connects banks, fintechs, and other financial service providers.

Within this ecosystem, industry observers note that competition is increasingly determined by system performance—uptime, transaction success rates, and reliability—rather than product differentiation alone.

However, integration at the infrastructure level does not automatically translate to inclusion. According to data from Enhancing Financial Innovation and Access (EFInA), a significant proportion of Nigerians—particularly in rural and underserved communities—remain outside the formal financial system.

To address this gap, PalmPay has expanded its agent network, mirroring a wider industry approach that combines digital platforms with physical access points.

Through these agents, users can carry out deposits, withdrawals, transfers, and onboarding, effectively bridging the divide between cash-based transactions and digital finance.

This hybrid model has become a cornerstone of financial service delivery in Nigeria, underscoring the importance of distribution alongside technology.

Beyond core payment services, PalmPay has also extended into financial literacy and capacity-building initiatives, targeting underserved groups such as women-led businesses and first-time digital users. The move signals a growing recognition that access alone is insufficient without the knowledge and confidence to participate fully in the financial system.

Overall, PalmPay’s reported scale offers insight into a maturing fintech landscape, where growth is increasingly defined not just by user numbers, but by the extent to which platforms become embedded in the everyday financial lives of Nigerians.


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Police Arraign First Bank Manager over Alleged Forex Fraud

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Police prosecutors from the Lagos State Criminal Investigation Department (SCID) have arraigned  Nnedimma Arah, a senior manager at First Bank Limited, before the Federal High Court, Lagos, over allegations of forgery.

Police Arraign First Bank Manager over Alleged Forex Fraud

Before Nnedimma’s arraignment, the detectives had filed a three-count charge against her and one Temitope Ogheneteme, based on advice from the office of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP).

But during the proceedings, Emmanuel Eze, Police prosecutor, urged the court to remove Temitope Ogheneteme’s name from the charge, citing the DPP’s legal advice.

Justice Daniel Osiagor, trial judge,  granted this request, and Ogheneteme was discharged.

This amendment left Arah, who is the branch manager of Dosumu, Lagos Island, and an Associate Chartered Accountant (ACA), as the sole defendant in Charge No. FHC/L/582C/2025.

Arah was accused of forging a letter of undertaking, supposedly issued by Freshborn Industries Limited on August 12, 2022, to cover foreign exchange differences.

Eze claimed that the alleged forgery occurred from January 2023 to January 2024 at the Dosunmu Branch.

He claimed that the document was forged with the intent to deceive, harming Freshborn Industries Nigeria Limited and its representatives, Anene Ikenna and Anene Chinyere Angela.

The prosecutor further maintained that the offence is punishable under Section 1(2)(c) of the Miscellaneous Offences Act.

The defendant pleaded not guilty to the charge.

Her defence requested bail, noting she had previously been on administrative bail and had attended court proceedings diligently.

Justice Osiagor granted her bail in the sum of N5 million with one surety in like sum.

The case’s progress was delayed earlier because the Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) was reviewing the case file after a petition from First Bank.

In a letter dated January 26, 2026, the DPP asked the police to review the case under the Administration of Criminal Justice Act.

The bank’s petition to the Attorney-General stated that the dispute involved a $400,000 credit facility to Freshborn Industries Limited, which is also pending in a civil suit before the Lagos State High Court.

The bank argued that the criminal charges stem from a commercial dispute and warned that this could constitute an abuse of the legal process.

The judge has fixed the trial for July 14 and 15, 2026.


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Ezekiel Sanni, SVP Moniepoint Extols the MFB’s Track Record as Unique Service Model Redefining Nigeria’s Agency Banking

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Moniepoint Microfinance Bank (Moniepoint MFB) has reaffirmed its leadership in Nigeria’s agency banking space, positioning its track record and distinctive service model as a game-changer for the sector, while committing to deepen value creation across the entire ecosystem.

Beyond service provision, the Bank is cementing its identity as the homegrown, technological backbone of the real economy, built by Nigerians to solve the specific complexities of the local commercial landscape.

Speaking on the Bank’s evolving strategy, Ezekiel Sanni, Senior Vice President (SVP), Distribution Network Sales, Moniepoint MFB, said the Bank’s approach is built on a clear understanding that agency banking must be anchored on consistent enterprise support, trust building, and real economic value for agents, merchants and their customers.

“Agency banking has grown significantly in reach, but the next phase of growth will be defined by quality of service and depth of engagement,” Ezekiel Sanni, SVP, Distribution Network Sales, said. “At Moniepoint MFB , we have built a model that prioritises not just access, but meaningful, routine local support for the merchants and communities we serve while our engineering is a commitment to the stability that these businesses need to thrive.”

At the core of this approach is the deployment of dedicated field-based managers who work closely with agents, providing hands-on, on-the-ground support tailored to their daily operations. Unlike conventional systems, where engagement often ends after onboarding, Moniepoint MFB maintains continuous interaction with agents, driving product usage, resolving operational challenges, and strengthening long-term partnerships.

By combining digital infrastructure with a strong physical presence, the Bank has created a hybrid service model that delivers both scale and human connection. This proximity enables faster issue resolution and supports always-on mentorship, where merchants receive ongoing business guidance, real-time operational support, and on-the-job training, particularly in critical areas such as fraud detection and anti-money laundering (AML) regulatory compliance.

“When you are close to the agent, you are in a position to go beyond providing a service to building capability,” Mr. Sanni added. “Our teams work alongside agents to strengthen their operations, improve compliance awareness, and ultimately protect both their businesses and the broader financial system.”

According to the Bank, the impact of this approach extends beyond agents and merchants to last-mile customers, who benefit from more reliable service, safer transactions, and greater confidence in the financial system they interact with daily.

Moniepoint MFB’s model has been further strengthened by its track record over the past few years as the bona fide operating system for small businesses. The Bank has integrated value-added services, such as inventory management, savings product, and access to working capital loans, into its platform, embedding itself in merchants’ day-to-day operations and significantly increasing the value delivered.

“Our aspiration has been to become indispensable to the businesses we serve,” Ezekiel noted. “When your banking partner is also supporting your inventory, helping you navigate other obligations, and providing access to capital, the relationship becomes stronger and more impactful.”

The Bank’s strong performance metrics reinforce this positioning as Nigeria’s largest merchant acquirer, powering 8 out of every 10 in-person payments made across the country, driven by reliability, fast transaction processing, rapid settlement cycles, and a range of other benefits.  This consistency has also helped build a reputation for reliability, which the Bank describes as a key competitive moat in a market where agents often consolidate around a single provider.

“In many cases, agents are effectively choosing a long-term partner they trust to be stable, responsive, and dependable. That is the trust we have deliberately built, that continues to differentiate us even as we work hard to contribute meaningfully to the broader growth and development of the financial ecosystem,” Mr. Sanni added.

The Bank reiterated that it sees agency banking not just as a channel but as critical infrastructure for economic participation and an enduring financial inclusion. Moniepoint’s commitment is to keep strengthening that infrastructure, supporting merchants, empowering customers, and continuing to serve as the reliable, indigenous engine that keeps Nigeria’s real economy moving.

 


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