General News
Falling Oil Prices Weigh on Nigerian Economy, G20 Summit in Focus

By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM,
The recent depreciation in oil prices presents significant risks to oil export-dependent nations, with Nigeria falling into the category.
Depressed oil prices will not only shave government revenues but also the nation’s ability to implement its 2019 budget which pegged oil prices at $60 per barrel. If the Central Bank of Nigeria finds itself in a difficult position to defend the Naira amid falling external reserves, inflationary pressures are likely to make a return as the Naira weakens. The near-term outlook for the economy paints a gloomy picture amid weak oil prices, rising inflationary pressures and possible depreciation of the Naira.
However, with GDP potentially bolstered by increased government spending ahead of the presidential elections next year and diversification in play, there is still some light at the end of the tunnel.
Market sentiment hangs on G20 Summit
Conflicting signals over the direction of trade between the world’s two largest economies are poised to place investors on an emotional rollercoaster ride ahead of this weekend’s G20 meeting.
It was only on Monday US President Donald Trump stated that he was “highly unlikely” to suspend planned increases to existing tariffs on Chinese goods. One day later, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow expressed optimism that a trade deal between the United States and China was still a possibility. With Trump’s remarks clashing head-on with Kudlow’s positive comments, the US administration is clearly adopting a classical good cop, bad cop strategy leading up to trade talks. Will this method work with China? This is the question on the mind of many market players.
In a perfect world, the best-case scenario for financial markets will be for both sides to find a middle ground on trade and secure a breakthrough deal. However, this outcome is highly unlikely with investors closely observing for any display of co-operation or interest in further negotiations to ease trade tensions. The worst-case scenario for markets will be if talks descend into disagreements on trade which may fuel fears over a trade war between the United States and China becoming reality.
Dollar remains the king of the hill
Dollar strength is set to remain a dominant market theme this week thanks to renewed trade tensions and expectation of higher US interest rates.
Buying sentiment towards the Dollar brightened yesterday following hawkish remarks from Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida while uncertainty over trade fueled upside gains. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the pending second estimate of third-quarter GDP growth figures to gauge the health of the US economy. There will be a special focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which will most likely be closely scrutinized for clues on how many more times the Fed plans to raise rates in 2019. If Powell strikes a hawkish note, the Dollar Index has the potential to rally towards 98.00.
Another painful day for the British Pound?
The story defining the British Pound’s painful depreciation continues to revolve around Brexit-related uncertainty and political drama in Westminster.
Matters could be worsened for the Pound if today’s UK Treasury’s Brexit forecast paints a very gloomy outlook for the UK economy post Brexit. Some parts of the Treasury report have already been leaked by the Telegraph this morning with the UK seen to be £150bn worse off under a no-deal. With GDP also projected to be 7.6% lower under a no-deal scenario over a 15-year period, things could get very messy to the run-up of the official Brexit deadline.
In regards to the technical picture, the GBPUSD is firmly bearish on the daily charts with bears eyeing the 1.2700 level.
Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold was treated without mercy by an aggressively appreciating Dollar yesterday with prices sliding towards the $1,212 level.
The heavily bearish price action witnessed on the yellow metal confirms how its trajectory remains heavily influenced by the Dollar’s performance and US rate hike expectations. With the Dollar likely to remain supported by safe-haven flows and expectations of a rate hike in December, Gold is likely to witness further downside. Sustained weakness below $1,214 could inspire a move back towards the psychological $1,200 level.
General News
Guinea-Bissau Taps United Nigeria Airlines to Establish AIR BISSAU, National Carrier

Government of Guinea-Bissau has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Nigeria’s United Nigeria Airlines to establish AIR BISSAU, a national carrier, for the West African country, to boost its aviation industry and reduce its dependence on foreign airlines.

The agreement, signed in Bissau, the capital of Guinea-Bissau, was disclosed in a statement made available by the airline on Sunday.
The MoU was signed by Dr Florentino Pereira, minister of Transport, Telecommunications and Digital Economy, Guinea-Bissau and Prof Obiora Okonkwo, executive chairman of United Nigeria Airlines.
Recall that Nigeria currently has no national carrier despite repeated calls by industry stakeholders for its establishment to facilitate reciprocal flight rights to foreign destinations, particularly the United States.
Attempts to establish a national carrier through a partnership with Ethiopian Airlines also hit a brick wall following lawsuits by the Airline Operators of Nigeria, an association for which Okonkwo once served as spokesperson.
Other factors that contributed to the failure of the national carrier project included deep-seated political issues, allegations of fraud and a controversial ownership structure.
In the latest agreement between the Nigerian airline and Guinea-Bissau, which was made available to our correspondent, both parties will “explore a comprehensive cooperation framework aimed at establishing a fully operational national airline with Osvaldo Vieira International Airport in Bissau serving as the operational base and hub for the carrier’s initial routes.”
For decades, Guinea-Bissau has relied largely on regional carriers and charter services to connect its citizens and businesses to other countries.
A key component of the MoU is the creation of a joint venture company that will operate as Guinea-Bissau’s national airline.
Under the arrangement, United Nigeria Airlines will provide the majority of the financial investment, operational expertise, aircraft and management for the new carrier.
Extending beyond commercial operations, the Nigerian carrier is expected to “provide and operate an executive jet for the use of the President and Government of Guinea-Bissau.”
To facilitate the project, the government pledged to “facilitate the registration and licensing of the new national carrier in line with domestic laws and streamline authorisation processes through both the Civil Aviation Authority of Guinea-Bissau and the Civil Aviation Authority of Nigeria.”
Guinea-Bissau also agreed to designate AIR BISSAU as its official national carrier, granting it “full rights over all existing Bilateral Air Services Agreement entitlements.”
According to the MoU, the designation would give the airline “significant leverage in securing route rights and authorisations to regional and international destinations,” described as an important commercial and diplomatic asset.
The government further committed to ensuring that Osvaldo Vieira International Airport receives the infrastructure support required for the airline’s operations, including access provisions, ground support services and assistance with customs, immigration and security compliance.
Additionally, Guinea-Bissau pledged to invest in the establishment of the airline and create mechanisms that would protect and incentivise investment through the existing Investment Code and applicable tax frameworks.
As part of efforts to develop local aviation expertise, United Nigeria Airlines plans to train “qualified Guinean nationals including pilots, cabin crew, and technical maintenance personnel” and employ local staff wherever feasible in line with government employment policies.
The MoU makes it clear that operational control of the airline will remain with the Nigerian carrier.
“For the purposes of safety, reliability, and efficiency, the overall management, operational control, and general direction of the new airline will rest with the management team of United Nigeria Airlines,” the statement noted.
Both parties also agreed to provide full liability and hull insurance coverage for all flight operations, conduct annual independent safety and maintenance audits, and establish asset protection mechanisms for investors.
The agreement takes immediate effect and will remain valid for 18 months or until a substantive joint venture agreement is concluded.
General News
IMF Urges FG to Introduce Fuel, Telecom Taxes

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recommended introducing taxes on fuel products and telecommunications services in Nigeria.

According to the IMF, this is part of broader measures to increase government revenue and create fiscal space for development spending and social interventions.
The international financial organization argued that stronger revenue mobilisation had become increasingly important as Nigeria’s fiscal position remained under pressure despite recent reforms.
This comes as Nigerians are protesting against worsening standard of living made worse by widespread insurgency.
The recommendation was contained in the IMF’s 2026 Article IV Consultation report on Nigeria, where the Fund argued that additional tax measures would be needed over the medium term despite the recent overhaul of the country’s tax system.
“Further tax policy changes will likely be needed—such as increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, rationalising tax expenditures in particular VAT exemptions on extractive industries and some customs duties, and introducing telecom excises—to complement administrative gains,” the IMF said.
The institution, however, cautioned that the timing of any new taxes must take into account Nigeria’s rising poverty levels and worsening food insecurity.
“The timing of reforms must consider the poverty and food insecurity situation and ensure that the cash transfer system is in place and funded,” the Fund added.
A previous attempt by the Federal Government to impose a five per cent excise duty on telecom services met strong resistance from operators, subscribers and consumer advocacy groups before it was suspended and eventually scrapped.
Telecommunications firms had maintained that the industry was already weighed down by multiple taxes, rising energy costs, foreign exchange challenges and infrastructure constraints.
They warned that any additional levy would likely be transferred to consumers through higher call and data tariffs.
Similarly, proposals to tax fuel products have faced opposition from labour unions and private sector organisations amid concerns over the rising cost of living following the removal of petrol subsidies and increases in transport and food prices.
The IMF’s latest recommendation comes as the Fund projects that Nigeria will require stronger revenue mobilisation efforts to sustain planned increases in public spending and provide support for vulnerable households.
According to the report, revenue-enhancing tax policies could generate additional revenue equivalent to 3.9 per cent of Gross Domestic Product within three years of implementation.
The Fund identified a two-percentage-point increase in the Value Added Tax rate as the largest contributor, with a projected revenue gain of 0.8 per cent of GDP.
The report also projected that removing pioneer status incentives and revising free zone regulations would generate an additional 0.7 per cent of GDP.
Reforms to capital gains taxation and adjustments to personal income tax bands, allowances and rates were each estimated to contribute 0.6 per cent of GDP.
The IMF further estimated that a top-up tax on multinationals and large firms could raise 0.5 per cent of GDP, while rationalising investment allowances would contribute another 0.4 per cent.
Notably, the category labelled “others”, which includes telecom excise duties and measures such as a carbon tax on fuel, was projected to generate an additional 0.4 per cent of GDP in revenue.
Beyond new tax measures, the Fund said Nigeria could achieve even greater gains through improved tax administration.
It projected that administrative reforms would generate an additional 3.1 per cent of GDP through better compliance, stronger enforcement and efforts to reduce informality in the economy.
According to the report, measures such as fiscalisation, electronic invoicing and cross-validation of tax deductions could generate 1.5 per cent of GDP, while expanded tax identification registration and consolidation of taxpayer databases could contribute a further 1.6 per cent of GDP.
The IMF acknowledged that some of Nigeria’s recently enacted tax reforms would reduce government revenue in the short term because they were designed to support households and small businesses.
It estimated that revenue-reducing measures would lower revenues by 2.4 per cent of GDP.
Expanded VAT input credits, additional zero-rated items and broader exemptions on basic consumption goods were projected to account for 1.7 percentage points of the decline.
Lower corporate income tax obligations for smaller firms would reduce revenues by 0.4 per cent of GDP, while lower personal income tax rates and expanded exemptions for low-income earners would account for another 0.3 percentage-point reduction.
Overall, the IMF projected that the combined impact of revenue-enhancing measures, administrative reforms and revenue-reducing policies would result in a net increase in government revenue equivalent to 4.6 per cent of GDP over the medium term.Nigerian investment opportunities
General News
₦5m up for Grabs as 10 Startups Clash at the Gathering on 100 Pitchathon Aba

MTN Nigeria, through The Gathering on 100, has officially unveiled the next chapter of its youth cultural and creative movement in Aba, the home of entrepreneurship and innovation in Eastern Nigeria.

The initiative transformed the Prime Time Event Centre in Osisioma into a vibrant hub of innovation, culture, lifestyle, and entertainment.
As the second major activation of MTN’s ‘Live It 100’ campaign, this event underscores a bold commitment to encouraging young Nigerians to live life to the fullest of their potential, whether in business, tech, culture, or entertainment.
Central to this immersive experience is the highly anticipated Pitchathon, where 10 standout startups are vying for a total prize pool of ₦5 million.
The participating startups represent a cross-section of Aba’s burgeoning innovation ecosystem, tackling challenges ranging from logistics to artisanal tech.
Among them are Trashverse Recycling Technology Limited, a climate-first recycling solution founded by Charles Ikechukwu; SkillsCircle by Together, an ed-tech platform championed by Ijeoma Irene to empower young professionals in Nigeria; and Poptreaties, a healthy snack alternative founded by Ifeanyichukwu Dominion to curb junk food consumption.
These founders and their peers are showcasing solutions that blend local ingenuity with scalable technological frameworks, highlighting the immense potential of the region’s entrepreneurial spirit.
The pitchathon is judged by three esteemed figures in the African innovation ecosystem: Chiemela Anosike (Founder, Solaris GreenTech Hub), Dr. Chime Chimezie-Uche (Founder, Abia Startup Limited), and Justina Nwokedi (Digital Transformation Specialist).
This competition is designed to spotlight and empower early-stage founders in the city, providing them with a platform to validate their business ideas before investors, consumers, and industry stakeholders.
The prize structure offers ₦2.5 million to the winning startup, ₦1.5 million for the first runner-up, and ₦1 million for the third-place winner.
This Aba edition builds on the success of the Lagos edition, which took place from April 22 to 26 at the National Stadium, Surulere. There, eight startups received a collective ₦45 million in seed funding for solutions ranging from fintech to creative technology.
By bringing this platform to Aba, a city renowned for its industrial and entrepreneurial spirit, organizers aim to deepen access to opportunity and support the next generation of business leaders.
For these 10 startups, the Pitchathon is a vital opportunity to gain visibility, engage with potential partners, and accelerate their growth within a high-density environment of innovation.
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