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FXTM Analysis: Blockbuster UK Retail Sales Uplifts Sterling

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Sterling staged a vicious rebound against the Dollar during trading on Thursday following October’s extraordinary 1.9% rise in retail sales which questioned if the ongoing Brexit woes had any negative impact on British consumption.

Sales for October surged by 7.4% from a year earlier, jumping the most since 2002 as cooler weather increased spending on fashion lines while supermarkets benefited from Halloween.

Although October’s retail sales  has added to the basket of attributes which continue to ease some Brexit concerns, it still remains too early to measure the impacts of Brexit to the UK economy with more time needed.

With employment growth on a potential decline and disposable income under fire amid a weakening pound, fears have heightened over the sustainability of the post-Brexit positive data boom. The real impacts and uncertainties revolving around the Brexit may be felt in 2017 if article 50 is invoked.

Sterling bulls were provided another false lifeline following the retail sales report with bears exploiting this opportunity to drag the GBPUSD lower. This pair is under pressure on the daily timeframe and a breakdown below the stubborn 1.2400 support could encourage a decline lower towards 1.2200.

Dollar Lurches to 14 Year High
Dollar bulls were unchained on Wednesday with the Dollar Index flying to fresh 14 year highs above 100.50 as bets intensified over the Federal Reserve raising US rates in December.

The upsurge was complimented with the Trump effect as optimism rose over an improvement in economic growth in the United States under a Trump presidency.

With the probability of a rate hike before year-end nearing 100%, the Dollar could remain buoyed with any weakness seen as a technical correction for another rally.

Investors may direct their attention towards the myriad of data releases from the States on Thursday which may play as key checker pieces ahead of December’s Fed policy meeting.

The important CPI and unemployment claims report could provide the Dollar another welcome boost if both exceeds expectations and point to further economic stability.

Much focus may be placed on Yellen who will be addressing Congress for the first time since Donald Trump’s market shaking victory.

If Yellen adopts a hawkish stance and signals for future interest rate increase amid the plans for fiscal stimulus, then the Dollar may rise as bulls install repeated rounds of buying.

Dollar remains king across the markets with Dollar strength suppressing most other currencies. From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index is heavily bullish on the daily timeframe as prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the upside. Previous resistance around 100.00 could transform into a dynamic support which could trigger another incline towards 100.50 and potentially higher. Bulls remain in control above 99.00.

OPEC – Deal or no Deal
WTI Crude was left vulnerable to losses once again during trading on Wednesday after official inventory reports displayed a larger than expected build in U.S oil stocks.

Oil prices have been on a messy roller coaster ride this month as the conflicting combination of oversupply fears and optimism towards production freezes created extreme levels of volatility.

It seems that despite all the talks of OPEC and Non-OPEC members working together to fight the oversupply woes, optimism has deteriorated over any meaningful freeze deal in November’s formal meeting.

With Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran still at odds over the production curbs, this could be another meal ticket for bears to drag WTI lower. Bears simply need to conquer the $45 support to encourage a further decline towards $43 and potentially lower.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold ticked slightly higher today and this has nothing to do with an improved sentiment towards the metal but profit taking above the stubborn $1210 support.

This metal remains heavily pressured by the rising US rate hike expectations while Dollar strength has capped most upside gains.

As of writing the metal may be in the process of a technical bounce with the $1250 resistance becoming an attractive level for sellers to jump back in. From a technical standpoint, previous support around $1250 could transform into a dynamic resistance that may trigger a decline back towards $1210.


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E-Financial

PalmPay Hits 35m Users’ Milestone

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PalmPay said that it has surpassed 35 million users, a figure that reflects a broader transition in the sector from rapid customer acquisition to sustained, everyday financial usage.

PalmPay Hits 35m Users’ Milestone

Chika Nwosu, Managing Director-CEO, PalmPay Nigeria

The consumer payments platform entered Nigeria’s fintech market in 2019 and is today a major player, offering a suite of financial services including transfers, bill payments, and digital insurance to promote financial inclusion.

In a market historically shaped by traditional banks, emerging fintechs, and a strong cash culture, scale alone is no longer the defining benchmark of success.

Instead, attention is shifting to how effectively platforms integrate into the daily financial routines of individuals and businesses.

Central to PalmPay’s growth is its alignment with Nigeria’s payment infrastructure.

The platform has executed live transactions on the National Payment Stack operated by the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS), placing it within an interoperable framework that connects banks, fintechs, and other financial service providers.

Within this ecosystem, industry observers note that competition is increasingly determined by system performance—uptime, transaction success rates, and reliability—rather than product differentiation alone.

However, integration at the infrastructure level does not automatically translate to inclusion. According to data from Enhancing Financial Innovation and Access (EFInA), a significant proportion of Nigerians—particularly in rural and underserved communities—remain outside the formal financial system.

To address this gap, PalmPay has expanded its agent network, mirroring a wider industry approach that combines digital platforms with physical access points.

Through these agents, users can carry out deposits, withdrawals, transfers, and onboarding, effectively bridging the divide between cash-based transactions and digital finance.

This hybrid model has become a cornerstone of financial service delivery in Nigeria, underscoring the importance of distribution alongside technology.

Beyond core payment services, PalmPay has also extended into financial literacy and capacity-building initiatives, targeting underserved groups such as women-led businesses and first-time digital users. The move signals a growing recognition that access alone is insufficient without the knowledge and confidence to participate fully in the financial system.

Overall, PalmPay’s reported scale offers insight into a maturing fintech landscape, where growth is increasingly defined not just by user numbers, but by the extent to which platforms become embedded in the everyday financial lives of Nigerians.


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Police Arraign First Bank Manager over Alleged Forex Fraud

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Police prosecutors from the Lagos State Criminal Investigation Department (SCID) have arraigned  Nnedimma Arah, a senior manager at First Bank Limited, before the Federal High Court, Lagos, over allegations of forgery.

Police Arraign First Bank Manager over Alleged Forex Fraud

Before Nnedimma’s arraignment, the detectives had filed a three-count charge against her and one Temitope Ogheneteme, based on advice from the office of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP).

But during the proceedings, Emmanuel Eze, Police prosecutor, urged the court to remove Temitope Ogheneteme’s name from the charge, citing the DPP’s legal advice.

Justice Daniel Osiagor, trial judge,  granted this request, and Ogheneteme was discharged.

This amendment left Arah, who is the branch manager of Dosumu, Lagos Island, and an Associate Chartered Accountant (ACA), as the sole defendant in Charge No. FHC/L/582C/2025.

Arah was accused of forging a letter of undertaking, supposedly issued by Freshborn Industries Limited on August 12, 2022, to cover foreign exchange differences.

Eze claimed that the alleged forgery occurred from January 2023 to January 2024 at the Dosunmu Branch.

He claimed that the document was forged with the intent to deceive, harming Freshborn Industries Nigeria Limited and its representatives, Anene Ikenna and Anene Chinyere Angela.

The prosecutor further maintained that the offence is punishable under Section 1(2)(c) of the Miscellaneous Offences Act.

The defendant pleaded not guilty to the charge.

Her defence requested bail, noting she had previously been on administrative bail and had attended court proceedings diligently.

Justice Osiagor granted her bail in the sum of N5 million with one surety in like sum.

The case’s progress was delayed earlier because the Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) was reviewing the case file after a petition from First Bank.

In a letter dated January 26, 2026, the DPP asked the police to review the case under the Administration of Criminal Justice Act.

The bank’s petition to the Attorney-General stated that the dispute involved a $400,000 credit facility to Freshborn Industries Limited, which is also pending in a civil suit before the Lagos State High Court.

The bank argued that the criminal charges stem from a commercial dispute and warned that this could constitute an abuse of the legal process.

The judge has fixed the trial for July 14 and 15, 2026.


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Ezekiel Sanni, SVP Moniepoint Extols the MFB’s Track Record as Unique Service Model Redefining Nigeria’s Agency Banking

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Moniepoint Microfinance Bank (Moniepoint MFB) has reaffirmed its leadership in Nigeria’s agency banking space, positioning its track record and distinctive service model as a game-changer for the sector, while committing to deepen value creation across the entire ecosystem.

Beyond service provision, the Bank is cementing its identity as the homegrown, technological backbone of the real economy, built by Nigerians to solve the specific complexities of the local commercial landscape.

Speaking on the Bank’s evolving strategy, Ezekiel Sanni, Senior Vice President (SVP), Distribution Network Sales, Moniepoint MFB, said the Bank’s approach is built on a clear understanding that agency banking must be anchored on consistent enterprise support, trust building, and real economic value for agents, merchants and their customers.

“Agency banking has grown significantly in reach, but the next phase of growth will be defined by quality of service and depth of engagement,” Ezekiel Sanni, SVP, Distribution Network Sales, said. “At Moniepoint MFB , we have built a model that prioritises not just access, but meaningful, routine local support for the merchants and communities we serve while our engineering is a commitment to the stability that these businesses need to thrive.”

At the core of this approach is the deployment of dedicated field-based managers who work closely with agents, providing hands-on, on-the-ground support tailored to their daily operations. Unlike conventional systems, where engagement often ends after onboarding, Moniepoint MFB maintains continuous interaction with agents, driving product usage, resolving operational challenges, and strengthening long-term partnerships.

By combining digital infrastructure with a strong physical presence, the Bank has created a hybrid service model that delivers both scale and human connection. This proximity enables faster issue resolution and supports always-on mentorship, where merchants receive ongoing business guidance, real-time operational support, and on-the-job training, particularly in critical areas such as fraud detection and anti-money laundering (AML) regulatory compliance.

“When you are close to the agent, you are in a position to go beyond providing a service to building capability,” Mr. Sanni added. “Our teams work alongside agents to strengthen their operations, improve compliance awareness, and ultimately protect both their businesses and the broader financial system.”

According to the Bank, the impact of this approach extends beyond agents and merchants to last-mile customers, who benefit from more reliable service, safer transactions, and greater confidence in the financial system they interact with daily.

Moniepoint MFB’s model has been further strengthened by its track record over the past few years as the bona fide operating system for small businesses. The Bank has integrated value-added services, such as inventory management, savings product, and access to working capital loans, into its platform, embedding itself in merchants’ day-to-day operations and significantly increasing the value delivered.

“Our aspiration has been to become indispensable to the businesses we serve,” Ezekiel noted. “When your banking partner is also supporting your inventory, helping you navigate other obligations, and providing access to capital, the relationship becomes stronger and more impactful.”

The Bank’s strong performance metrics reinforce this positioning as Nigeria’s largest merchant acquirer, powering 8 out of every 10 in-person payments made across the country, driven by reliability, fast transaction processing, rapid settlement cycles, and a range of other benefits.  This consistency has also helped build a reputation for reliability, which the Bank describes as a key competitive moat in a market where agents often consolidate around a single provider.

“In many cases, agents are effectively choosing a long-term partner they trust to be stable, responsive, and dependable. That is the trust we have deliberately built, that continues to differentiate us even as we work hard to contribute meaningfully to the broader growth and development of the financial ecosystem,” Mr. Sanni added.

The Bank reiterated that it sees agency banking not just as a channel but as critical infrastructure for economic participation and an enduring financial inclusion. Moniepoint’s commitment is to keep strengthening that infrastructure, supporting merchants, empowering customers, and continuing to serve as the reliable, indigenous engine that keeps Nigeria’s real economy moving.

 


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