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FXTM Analysis: Blockbuster UK Retail Sales Uplifts Sterling

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Sterling staged a vicious rebound against the Dollar during trading on Thursday following October’s extraordinary 1.9% rise in retail sales which questioned if the ongoing Brexit woes had any negative impact on British consumption.

Sales for October surged by 7.4% from a year earlier, jumping the most since 2002 as cooler weather increased spending on fashion lines while supermarkets benefited from Halloween.

Although October’s retail sales  has added to the basket of attributes which continue to ease some Brexit concerns, it still remains too early to measure the impacts of Brexit to the UK economy with more time needed.

With employment growth on a potential decline and disposable income under fire amid a weakening pound, fears have heightened over the sustainability of the post-Brexit positive data boom. The real impacts and uncertainties revolving around the Brexit may be felt in 2017 if article 50 is invoked.

Sterling bulls were provided another false lifeline following the retail sales report with bears exploiting this opportunity to drag the GBPUSD lower. This pair is under pressure on the daily timeframe and a breakdown below the stubborn 1.2400 support could encourage a decline lower towards 1.2200.

Dollar Lurches to 14 Year High
Dollar bulls were unchained on Wednesday with the Dollar Index flying to fresh 14 year highs above 100.50 as bets intensified over the Federal Reserve raising US rates in December.

The upsurge was complimented with the Trump effect as optimism rose over an improvement in economic growth in the United States under a Trump presidency.

With the probability of a rate hike before year-end nearing 100%, the Dollar could remain buoyed with any weakness seen as a technical correction for another rally.

Investors may direct their attention towards the myriad of data releases from the States on Thursday which may play as key checker pieces ahead of December’s Fed policy meeting.

The important CPI and unemployment claims report could provide the Dollar another welcome boost if both exceeds expectations and point to further economic stability.

Much focus may be placed on Yellen who will be addressing Congress for the first time since Donald Trump’s market shaking victory.

If Yellen adopts a hawkish stance and signals for future interest rate increase amid the plans for fiscal stimulus, then the Dollar may rise as bulls install repeated rounds of buying.

Dollar remains king across the markets with Dollar strength suppressing most other currencies. From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index is heavily bullish on the daily timeframe as prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the upside. Previous resistance around 100.00 could transform into a dynamic support which could trigger another incline towards 100.50 and potentially higher. Bulls remain in control above 99.00.

OPEC – Deal or no Deal
WTI Crude was left vulnerable to losses once again during trading on Wednesday after official inventory reports displayed a larger than expected build in U.S oil stocks.

Oil prices have been on a messy roller coaster ride this month as the conflicting combination of oversupply fears and optimism towards production freezes created extreme levels of volatility.

It seems that despite all the talks of OPEC and Non-OPEC members working together to fight the oversupply woes, optimism has deteriorated over any meaningful freeze deal in November’s formal meeting.

With Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran still at odds over the production curbs, this could be another meal ticket for bears to drag WTI lower. Bears simply need to conquer the $45 support to encourage a further decline towards $43 and potentially lower.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
Gold ticked slightly higher today and this has nothing to do with an improved sentiment towards the metal but profit taking above the stubborn $1210 support.

This metal remains heavily pressured by the rising US rate hike expectations while Dollar strength has capped most upside gains.

As of writing the metal may be in the process of a technical bounce with the $1250 resistance becoming an attractive level for sellers to jump back in. From a technical standpoint, previous support around $1250 could transform into a dynamic resistance that may trigger a decline back towards $1210.


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E-Financial

Reps Committee Recovers N521m Unremitted VAT from CBN

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House of Representatives Public Accounts Committee (PAC) says it has recovered over ₦521 million in unremitted Value Added Tax (VAT) from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Reps Committee Recovers N521m Unremitted VAT from CBN

This is part of an ongoing investigation into revenue leakages and outstanding funds owed to the federal government.

Bamidele Salam, chairman of the Committee, disclosed this while providing an update on the probe into transactions conducted through the Remita platform.

According to Salam, the investigation was initiated following a resolution of the House of Representatives to examine alleged revenue leakages, non-compliance with standard operating procedures and breaches of service level agreements linked to the Remita payment platform.

He said the committee had uncovered several outstanding liabilities and led to multiple recoveries.

Salam revealed that the committee discovered that the CBN failed to remit VAT amounting to ₦521,765,134.17, representing tax deductions on fees earned from Remita transactions.

He described the recovery as evidence of the effectiveness of legislative oversight in promoting accountability and safeguarding public resources.

The lawmaker maintained that the committee would recover all outstanding funds due to the Federal Government and blocking avenues for revenue leakages across public institutions.

It added that the CBN has been directed to remit the outstanding amount into the Federal Government Treasury and provide evidence of compliance.

The Public Accounts Committee is expected to continue its hearing on the matter on Monday, June 8, 2026, at the National Assembly in Abuja.

 

 

 

 


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CBN Imposes N100m Penalty on Dealing Bank Inadequate Processing of Forex Documents

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said that any authorised dealer bank the processes foreign exchange (forex) transactions without proper documentation will be fined N100 million.

CBN Imposes N100m Penalty on Dealing Bank Inadequate Processing of Forex Documents

In addition, the bank will pay N10 million for each transaction involved.

The sanctions are contained in the fourth edition of the Foreign Exchange Manual, which serves as a guide for participants in Nigeria’s forex market.

According to the CBN, the updated manual aims to improve compliance, increase transparency, and strengthen confidence in the foreign exchange system.

Banks are now required to obtain, verify, and keep all necessary documents before releasing foreign currency to customers.

Similar documentation requirements apply to forward and swap transactions, where proof of the underlying trade or obligation must be provided before settlement.

For import transactions, importers must continue to provide documents such as Form M, invoices, certificates of origin, packing lists, and shipping documents.

They must also submit Exchange Control Documents within 90 days after negotiating shipping documents through overseas correspondent banks.

The CBN warned that failure to meet documentation requirements will attract escalating sanctions.

A first violation will result in a 90-day suspension from forex transactions, a second violation will attract a 180-day suspension, and a third offence will lead to a one-year suspension.

A fourth violation could result in a complete ban from participating in forex transactions.

Banks that fail to report cases of default to the CBN will also face sanctions.

The apex bank further tightened reporting requirements. Institutions that submit required daily or monthly returns late will be fined N500,000, while those that fail to submit returns at all will pay a minimum of N5 million, plus an additional N500,000 daily until compliance is achieved.Afternoon Paper Subscription

The revised manual also strengthens oversight of banks’ foreign currency exposure.

Financial institutions that exceed approved Net Open Position limits will receive a warning for the first offence, a 10-working-day suspension from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market for the second offence, and a 90-day suspension for the third violation.

The CBN also imposed sanctions on unauthorised reallocation of foreign exchange funds. Any bank found engaging in such practices will be fined N10 million per transaction and may face additional disciplinary action under the Bankers’ Committee ethics framework.

According to the CBN, the new measures are aimed at promoting transparency, strengthening market discipline, reducing abuses, and improving investor confidence in Nigeria’s foreign exchange market.

 


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BOI Wins Dual Honours @ EMEA Finance Awards for Sustainability and Social Impact Leadership

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The Bank of Industry (BOI) has been recognised with two prestigious awards at the recently concluded EMEA Finance Achievement Awards, reinforcing its position as a leading development finance institution driving inclusive and sustainable economic growth across Africa.

The Bank received the Best Sustainability Deal in Africa Award for its financing intervention under the Nigeria Distributed Access through Renewable Energy Scale-up (DARES) Project and the Best Social Development Deal in Africa Award for its flagship Guaranteed Loans for Women (GLOW) programme.

The award-winning DARES initiative is being implemented by BOI in collaboration with the Rural Electrification Agency (REA) and supported by the World Bank through a $750 million International Development Association (IDA) credit facility. The programme is designed to expand electricity access across underserved and unserved communities through the deployment of solar mini-grids.

The initiative forms part of BOI’s broader Power and Utilities portfolio, through which the Bank disbursed ₦27 billion to eight businesses in 2025. According to BOI’s 2025 Annual Development Impact Report, all supported projects demonstrated 100 per cent financial additionality, indicating that they would not have proceeded without BOI’s intervention.

The Bank’s Power and Utilities portfolio also recorded the highest Development Impact Framework score across all sectors financed by BOI, underscoring the transformational impact of its investments in sustainable energy infrastructure.

Similarly, the GLOW programme was recognised for advancing financial inclusion and economic empowerment for women-owned and women-led businesses across Nigeria.

Designed to address longstanding barriers faced by female entrepreneurs, including limited access to affordable finance, collateral constraints, and capacity gaps, GLOW provides tailored financing, business support services, and capacity-building opportunities to women-led enterprises across multiple sectors of the economy.

Beyond financing, GLOW provides training, mentorship, market access support, and opportunities for women-owned businesses to strengthen their competitiveness and expand into regional and international markets, including opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).

Speaking on the awards, Dr. Olasupo Olusi, MD/CEO BOI, described the recognition as an affirmation of BOI’s commitment to financing initiatives that create lasting developmental impact.

“These awards reflect the Bank of Industry’s deliberate focus on supporting projects and programmes that deliver measurable economic, social, and environmental outcomes for Nigerians. Whether it is bringing reliable electricity to underserved communities through renewable energy solutions or empowering women entrepreneurs by providing access to affordable finance and growth opportunities, our goal remains the same: to build a more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable economy. We are honoured by this international recognition and remain committed to deepening our impact across sectors that matter most to national development.”

The dual recognition further underscores BOI’s growing reputation as a catalyst for sustainable development and inclusive industrialisation, leveraging innovative financing solutions to address critical development challenges while unlocking opportunities for businesses and communities across Nigeria.

As Nigeria’s foremost development finance institution, BOI continues to play a pivotal role in advancing the Federal Government’s economic transformation agenda through strategic investments that stimulate enterprise growth, create jobs, improve livelihoods, and strengthen the country’s long-term economic competitiveness.


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