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FXTM Analysis: British Pound Continues to Fall Down The Charts

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The British Pound has continued to fall down the charts during trading on Wednesday as a result of the markets becoming concerned regarding the upcoming EU referendum and the significant risks that the UK economy would face if the United Kingdom did vote to leave the European Union in just over three weeks.

I think that investors were generally beginning to underprice the possibility of a UK exit as if it was a forgone conclusion that the United Kingdom would automatically vote to remain in the European Union later this month and as a result of the threat being underpriced, the British Pound is suffering steep losses and remains to appear under heavy selling pressure.

All of the risks for the British Pound are still pointing strongly to further weakness and there is limited upside strength potential for the currency even if the UK did vote to remain in the EU later this month.

What investors need to remember is that UK economic momentum is weakening and data has disappointed the markets throughout 2016, meaning buyers are not going to be heavily encouraged to price in longer-term strength for the currency regardless of the outcome later in June.

With Dollar demand currently looking very stable due to the renewed US interest rate optimism, it has become extremely difficult to construct an argument for the GBPUSD to trade any higher than 1.50 and this might be the limit for the Pound/Dollar throughout the second half of 2016.

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This ultimately means that the trading strategy from investors will be to continue selling rallies in the GBPUSD.

Over the shorter term and if the markets continue to be alerted regarding the possibility that the upcoming referendum is not a foregone conclusion for a “remain” outcome, this means that the GBP will continue to remain under pressure against currencies such as the Euro and Japanese Yen.

The positive news for the GBP is that with the Dollar being revived due to renewed US interest rate optimism is that the majority of global currencies are going to be under pressure due to a strengthening USD, meaning that it is not just one-way traffic for further Pound losses against all currencies over the medium and longer-term.

WTI Oil slips lower as OPEC outcome awaits
After making yet another attempt to reach the ceiling at $50 during trading on Tuesday, WTI Oil has hit the wall and declined by nearly $2 to trade slightly above $48.21 on Wednesday. $50 is still seen as the psychological “top” for the commodity and we would need to close above this level as trading concludes for the week for WTI Oil to be able to trade above $50.

The general expectations are that there will be no changes to the outcome from the OPEC meeting in Vienna tomorrow, meaning that the oil markets could remain under pressure as a result.

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The area between $47.20 – $47.40 is currently seen as the next area of support for WTI Oil but even if we fall below this level, the commodity would need to conclude weekly trading below the $44-$42 for worries to emerge that we could truly see the returns of heavy selling for the oil markets.

Aside from the OPEC meeting causing some short-term anxieties to investors, it is worth pointing out that both OPEC and the IEA released reports in May indicating that global inventories will suffer from a dramatic decline in reduction over the second half of 2016 and this would be very positive when it comes to the medium and longer-term outlook for the price of oil.

Japanese Yen strengthens despite sales tax delay
The Japanese Yen has appreciated against many of its currency partners today, despite Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announcing a delay to a sales tax increase from 8% to 10% until at least late 2019.

This news should have really weakened the Japanese Yen because it would have been seen as another update to fiscal reforms that should have enticed further spending from consumers, which in turn would have increased inflation prospects that have long plagued the Japanese economy.

The best explanation to provide for the Japanese strength during trading today would likely be strictly correlated to the risk aversion we are seeing in the markets with equities coming under pressure and the USDJPY once again finding tough resistance at 111.

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It is worth pointing out to technical traders that the last time the USDJPY met profit-taking at 111 that the currency pair suddenly fell off a cliff towards 106, and we have already nearly dropped from 111 to marginally above 109 over the past two trading sessions.

Jameel Ahmad isChief Market Analyst at FXTM


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PalmPay Targets Hong Kong IPO after $1Bn Valuation

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PalmPay, one of Africa’s leading digital financial services companies, is considering a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after attaining a valuation of more than one billion dollars, according to a Bloomberg report.

PalmPay Targets Hong Kong IPO After $1bn Valuation, Eyes Fresh Capital Raise

PalmPay

The report, citing sources familiar with the matter, said the fintech company was also seeking to raise between 150 million dollars and 200 million dollars in fresh funding ahead of a potential Initial Public Offering (IPO).

According to the sources, the additional capital is expected to support PalmPay’s next phase of expansion across Africa and selected Asian markets.

If completed, the IPO would rank among the most significant public market debuts by an African fintech company and could encourage other technology firms on the continent to explore listings beyond the traditional financial centres of London and New York.

Founded in 2019, PalmPay has emerged as one of Africa’s fastest-growing consumer fintech platforms, providing digital payments, money transfers, savings, lending and merchant payment solutions.

The company has established its strongest market presence in Nigeria while expanding operations into Ghana, Tanzania and Bangladesh as part of its international growth strategy.

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PalmPay says it currently serves more than 35 million registered users and supports over one million businesses and merchants, processing millions of transactions daily.

Its rapid growth has positioned it among Africa’s leading fintech firms, alongside companies such as Flutterwave, Moniepoint, OPay, Wave and Onafriq.

Unlike many technology startups that have prioritised rapid customer acquisition over profitability, PalmPay reportedly achieved profitability in 2025, a development analysts say could enhance investor confidence as the company prepares for another fundraising round and an eventual stock market listing.

The report noted that Hong Kong could offer strategic advantages for PalmPay due to its strong commercial ties with Asian investors and the company’s growing presence in emerging Asian markets.

PalmPay’s early investors include Transsion Holdings, the maker of the Tecno, Infinix and itel smartphone brands, as well as investors linked to NetEase and MediaTek.

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Industry analysts believe these long-standing relationships could make Hong Kong a natural destination for PalmPay’s public listing while broadening access to investors already familiar with its business model.

The company’s IPO plans come as venture capital investment in African startups has slowed considerably since the record funding years of 2021 and 2022, prompting many technology firms to focus on profitability, stronger balance sheets and sustainable long-term growth.

Against that backdrop, PalmPay’s proposed fundraising and listing are expected to serve as an important test of international investor appetite for profitable African fintech companies.

The company’s valuation also underscores the resilience of Africa’s digital payments sector, driven by rising smartphone adoption, expanding internet access and increasing demand for cashless transactions across the continent.

Although PalmPay has yet to make a final decision on either the fundraising or the IPO timetable, the reported preparations indicate that the company is positioning itself for its next phase of growth.

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Industry observers say a successful Hong Kong listing could provide fresh momentum for Africa’s technology sector and create an alternative pathway for high-growth startups seeking access to global capital markets.

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Zenith Bank Confirms Cyberattack, Says Hackers Accessed Limited Customer Data

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Hackers have hit the database of Zenith Bank, one of Nigeria’s largest financial institutions, stealing customers’ information.

Zenith confirmed the attack in an email to customers on Tuesday.

The bank said the hackers accessed limited customer information, “including email addresses and phone numbers, during a cyberattack that forms part of a broader global attack on organisations across different sectors”.

The lender stressed that the incident involved only limited customer information, adding that its banking services and digital channels remain secure and fully operational.

The bank said it is investigating the attack, noting that its incident response protocols and other cybersecurity measures were immediately activated after the breach was discovered.

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“As a precaution, we encourage our customers to remain vigilant against phishing emails, text messages, or phone calls, and to never disclose their password, PIN, One-Time Password (OTP), or other security credentials to anyone,” the bank said.

Zenith Bank said it remains committed to protecting customers’ information and thanked them for their continued trust, adding that investigations into the incident are ongoing.

In August 2024, Guaranty Trust Bank (GTB) reported experiencing a similar incident.

The commercial bank said there were attempts to compromise its website domain, but customers’ data was not affected.

The latest attack comes months after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) warned the public of cyber hack attempts to gain access to personal accounts of Nigerians.

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The CBN said the hackers were circulating fraudulent messages and emails falsely claiming to originate from the bank.

According to the financial regulator, there were misleading messages circulating, designed to deceive Nigerians and compromise their personal information.

The regulator said the fake communications, which include emails and online messages, often prompt recipients to click suspicious links while spreading false claims about the bank’s leadership, licensing activities, and policy decisions.

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Nigerians Lost N25.85Bn to Digital Payment Fraud in 2025 –CBN

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Nigerians lost N25.85 billion to digital payment fraud in 2025, according to Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Nigerians Lost N25.85Bn to Digital Payment Fraud in 2025 –CBN

Though the figure represents a significant decline from the N52.26 billion recorded in 2024, CBN, said the losses remained substantial for payment service providers (PSPs).

According to the report, although the value of digital payment fraud declined significantly year-on-year, when compared to the N52.26 billion recorded in the previous year, the losses remained substantial for Payment Service Providers (PSPs), underscoring the need for stronger fraud prevention measures across the industry.

In the report, the CBN, also identified systemic risks, cyber threats, the dominance of a few systemically important payment service providers, and the activities of unlicensed payment companies as major concerns confronting the financial sector.

According to the report, although the value of digital payment fraud declined significantly year-on-year, the losses remained substantial for Payment Service Providers (PSPs), underscoring the need for stronger fraud prevention measures across the industry.

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“Digital payment fraud in Nigeria stood at N25.85 billion in 2025,” the apex bank said.

It noted that while this represented a considerable improvement from the N52.26 billion lost in 2024, the amount remained significant.

“Though this was lower than N52.26 billion in the preceding year, it represented a substantial loss for PSPs,” the report stated.

The CBN attributed the reduction in fraud losses to enhanced security measures implemented across the financial sector.

It said, “The lower losses in 2025 reflected improvements in monitoring, BVN-NIN integration, and tighter controls.”

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Beyond fraud, the report warned that Nigeria’s rapidly expanding digital payments landscape faces increasing systemic vulnerabilities as banks and fintech companies become more interconnected through shared payment infrastructure.

According to the report, a major operational failure involving a single payment service provider could quickly spread across the financial system because of the growing dependence on integrated payment platforms.

The CBN observed that despite ongoing efforts to strengthen payment system integration, interoperability remains a significant challenge.

It disclosed that about half of fintech stakeholders continued to express dissatisfaction with the current level of system-wide interoperability.

The report stated that “about 50.00 per cent of fintech stakeholders continued to rate system-wide interoperability as poor, primarily due to the lack of universal APIs and data-sharing standards.”

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The apex bank also expressed concern over the concentration of payment activities among a few Systemically Important Payment Service (SIPS) providers, warning that operational failures involving any of them could have widespread consequences.

It explained that the failure of such providers could trigger a “domino effect”, where insolvency or operational glitches in one payment service provider spread rapidly to others, disrupting the smooth functioning of the financial system.

Cybersecurity also featured prominently among the risks identified in the report.

The CBN warned that payment service providers remain vulnerable to ransomware attacks, data breaches and credential theft, noting that cybercriminals are becoming increasingly sophisticated in targeting financial institutions.

According to the report, “Banking and fintech institutions remained prime targets for ransomware, data leaks, and credential theft.”

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It added that, “Cyber threats in Nigeria are no longer random cybercrimes, but increasingly targeted, organised, and identity-driven campaigns.”

The report further cautioned Nigerians against transacting with unlicensed payment companies, stressing that such entities operate outside regulatory oversight and expose users to significant financial risks.

It warned that customers using unlicensed PSPs are not protected by existing regulatory safeguards and that such operators could facilitate illicit financial activities.

“Users of unlicensed PSPs are not covered by regulatory protection that comes with effective oversight and supervision,” the CBN said.

It further warned that, “Unlicenced payment companies are gateways for money laundering which could undermine regulatory efforts and corrode public trust.”

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The report underscores the growing importance of strengthening fraud detection systems, improving payment infrastructure interoperability, enhancing cybersecurity resilience, and intensifying regulatory oversight as Nigeria continues to expand its digital payments ecosystem.

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