E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Dollar Sensitivity Seizes Centre Stage

The Dollar displayed extreme signs of sensitivity on Tuesday with prices left vulnerable to heavy losses as expectations fluctuated over the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates in 2016. Conflicting data such as the strong NFP and poor retails sales have placed the Dollar in a fierce tug of war with investor anxiety mounting ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes.
Although US CPI for July remained unchanged at 0%, hawkish comments from the New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley on the possibility of a September hike successfully elevated the Dollar higher.
With Dollar sensitivity becoming a dominant theme, further explosive movements could be expected ahead of September’s FOMC meeting.
Investors may direct their attention towards the FOMC meeting minutes which could provide some direction on when the Fed may break the trend of central bank caution by raising US rates.
In July financial markets were offered a breath of fresh air from the hawkish statement which amplified expectations over the Fed taking action.
The central bank acknowledged the stabilisation of US labour while domestic economic activity expanded at a moderate pace. If Wednesday’s minutes illustrate a similar stance, then Dollar bulls could be provided a lifeline to install a heavy round of buying.
From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index is turning bearish on the daily timeframe as there have been lower lows and lower highs. Prices are trading below both the 20 and 50 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. Previous support around 95.50 could transform into a resistance which could encourage a steep decline back towards 94.00.
Sterling on standby ahead of Employment data
Sterling bulls were installed with inspiration during trading on Tuesday following July’s positive CPI of 0.6% which reduced some concerns over the health of the UK economy.
Although the CPI figure was the highest seen since November 2014, the eye-catcher was the shocking 6.5% rise in imports which was the most seen since 2011.
Sterling vulnerability is becoming a recurrent theme with concerns potentially elevating in the coming months as the weaker currency feeds into higher import prices.
Investors may direct their attention towards the UK employment report which could offer some clarity on how the Brexit may have impacted UK employment. If the release displays a decline in employment and earnings post Brexit then the Sterling could be left vulnerable to further losses. Despite the rise in July’s CPI, sentiment still remains somewhat bearish towards the Sterling with further declines expected as speculations mount over the BoE cutting UK rates to near zero in 2016. With uncertainty still haunting investor attraction towards the pound, most upside gains could be capped.
The Sterling/Dollar surged ferociously towards 1.3050 on Tuesday and this has nothing to do with an improved sentiment towards the Sterling but Dollar weakness.
This relief rally could entice bears to attack the pair with the divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and BoE sending the currency lower. From a technical standpoint, previous support at 1.3100 could act as a dynamic resistance that encourages sellers to send the GBPUSD lower towards 1.2900.
WTI breaks above $46
WTI Crude has surged sharply on with prices cutting above $46 as optimism grew over a potential production freeze deal in September’s unofficial OPEC meeting.
Oil is becoming highly sensitive to production freeze expectations with talks of freezes producing sharp speculative boosts in oil prices.
Although the current upside gains could be commended, the fundamentals of oversupply still linger in the background and this questions the sustainability of the current rally.
Concerns over the excessive oversupply remain elevated while fears of a decline in demand continue to weigh on oil prices.
Crude oil inventories data will be released on Wednesday and if such displays a further build up, then WTI could be open to steep losses.
As long as the fundamentals of over oversupply and soft demand are presents, bears have a stable foundation to install repeated round of selling.
Gold searches for direction
Gold displayed erratic characteristics on Tuesday with prices violently vibrating between losses and gains as expectations continued to swing over the Fed raising US interest rates in 2016. The precious metal lurched to the highs $1357.90 on Tuesday before declining back lower following hawkish comments from New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley on the possibility of a September hike. Gold remains trapped in a fierce tug of war and Wednesday’s FOMC minutes could provide the metal some direction. Risk aversion has kept the metal buoyed but US rate hike expectations continue to pressure prices lower. From a technical standpoint, bulls need to keep above $1315 to maintain the daily bullish uptrend.
E-Financial
ACAMB Educates Content Creator to Curb Misinformation on Bank Recapitalisation

In a bid to foster accurate public discourse as well as protect the stability of the financial sector, the Association of Corporate and Marketing Professionals in Banks (ACAMB) has stepped in to educate renowned content creator, Unofficial Osas, following his misrepresentation of facts concerning the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) recapitalisation drive, and subsequent invitation by the Nigerian Police Force.

ACAMB
The intervention by ACAMB led to the successful retraction of a misleading video regarding the CBN recapitalisation policy, demonstrating the Association’s commitment to its core mandate of public enlightenment.
In his official apology video, the content creator stated, “I was invited by the Nigerian police force national cyber crime centre in Abuja over the video I posted on the 15th of December, where i spoke about 12 banks that were shut down in relation to the CBN recapitalisation policy. I would like to offer an official retraction of that video and want to reiterate that no bank is shutting down.
“As a matter of fact, most of the banks have now met the ₦500 billion minimum capital base for banks with international and the N200bn for national banks recapitalisation requirements, so no bank is shutting down.
“I want to specifically appreciate ACAMB. They were very professional in handling this case and did well to educate and enlighten me on the recapitalisation process. I am now better informed and know better”
Commenting on the resolution, President of ACAMB, Jide Sipe, reinforced the Association’s dedication to protecting the integrity of the banking sector. “ACAMB stands for the restoration of professional banking ethics and public confidence through seamless information management and public enlightenment.
“We believe that an informed public is an empowered public. By engaging Unofficial Osas, we ensured that accurate information regarding the resilience and strength of our banks was disseminated to the millions of Nigerians who follow him.”
The Intervention shows ACAMB is dedicated to evolving strategies that enhance and sustain a good image for the nation’s banking sector as well as assist in fostering better banking habits among Nigerians.
E-Financial
FirstCap MD says Payment Security Remains Biggest Barrier to Bankable Gas and Power Projects

Ukandu E. Ukandu, Managing Director/CEO of FirstCap Limited, a leading investment banking firm and subsidiary of First HoldCo Plc., has reaffirmed that payment security remains the most decisive factor in determining whether gas and power projects in Nigeria secure financing.

He shared this perspective during a panel discussion on project bankability at the 2026 SPE Lagos Energy Week.
Ukandu noted that although several risks influence financing decisions, payment risk consistently emerges as the key barrier to financial close.
“Every major risk matter, but payment risk is the ultimate deal‑breaker. Without strong payment security and disciplined collections, no project can attract sustainable financing,” he said.
He explained that lenders typically evaluate three core risk pillars, payment reliability, foreign‑exchange exposure, and contract enforceability, with payment reliability presenting the greatest challenge across Nigeria’s energy value chain. Persistent collection inefficiencies, rising arrears, and liquidity pressures continue to weaken investor confidence.
To enhance payment security, Ukandu highlighted mechanisms widely used by financiers, including letters of credit, bank guarantees, escrow accounts with payment‑waterfall structures, reserve and sinking funds, sovereign or sub‑sovereign support, and take‑or‑pay offtake agreements.
Addressing foreign exchange risk, he noted that volatility remains difficult to manage, especially for projects with dollar‑denominated costs but naira‑denominated revenues. Lenders typically mitigate this through foreign exchange ‑linked tariff indexation, partial dollarisation for credible industrial offtakers, escrow protections, selective hedging, and foreign exchange reserve buffers.
However, he cautioned that indexation alone seldom eliminates exposure due to regulatory limits and timing delays.
On legal and regulatory certainty, Ukandu stressed the need for contracts that are enforceable and clearly structured, particularly around take‑or‑pay obligations, termination payments, step‑in rights, and dispute‑resolution frameworks. He added that factors such as tariff adjustments, licence changes, and price controls can significantly affect project viability if they are not fully addressed at the contracting stage.
While fiscal incentives such as tax holidays and accelerated depreciation can strengthen project economics, Ukandu emphasised that they cannot compensate for weak fundamentals.
“Incentives make a good project better, but they do not make a weak project bankable. Cash‑flow reliability and disciplined foreign exchange management must come first,” he said. He also noted that naira‑based incentives may lose value if project revenues are not indexed.
He concluded by urging industry players to prioritise revenue security from the earliest stages of project structuring: “Protect returns at the source. Build strong offtake arrangements with solid credit support and currency alignment to ensure cash is received in full and on time.”
E-Financial
Sterling HoldCo Starts Allotment of Oversubscribed Public Offer Shares

Sterling Financial Holdings Company Plc (Sterling HoldCo) has begun allotting 12,581,000,000 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at ₦7.00 per share from its 2025 Public Offer.

Sterling HoldCo
The process follows Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) approvals.
The offer, opened September 15, 2025, drew 18,280 applications for 16.84 billion shares worth ₦117.88 billion—109.79 per cent oversubscribed.
Valid applications from 18,276 shareholders totalled 13.81 billion shares; all compliant applicants receive full allotments.
Refunds for rejects/excess, plus interest, process via RTGS/NIBSS by February 17, 2026, handled by Pace Registrars Limited.
Shares credit to CSCS accounts by the same date; new accounts held in pool pending documentation.
The raise bolsters capital for banking subsidiaries, injects ₦10 billion into SterlingFI Wealth Management to meet SEC rules, and funds credit expansion, innovation, and support for businesses/households.
Strong Financials, Diversified Growth
FY25 interim results show 99 per cent profit before tax growth; gross earnings up 46 per cent to ₦476.5 billion; assets at ₦3.92 trillion; deposits up 18 per cent to ₦2.98 trillion; shareholders’ funds up 39 per cent to ₦424 billion.
Cost-to-income ratio improved to 63 per cent from 72 per cent.
Subsidiaries—Sterling Bank Limited (conventional), The Alternative Bank Limited (non-interest, 150+ branches)—comply with CBN capital rules.
Initiatives include Mata Zalla (women tricycle training) and Plateau agriculture programme.
The offer attracted first-time retail investors, broadening ownership.
Sterling HoldCo welcomes new shareholders, poised for sustained growth and economic impact.
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