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FXTM Analysis: FXTM June Major Assets Roundup

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Pushed to the cliff’s edge over the last six months of speculation and negative sentiment, the GBPUSD finally toppled off the verge on June 24th, the day after the Brexit vote was confirmed.

Plunging to levels last seen in 1985 during the ensuing panic sell-off, the GBPUSD fell to the level of 1.3234 from a high of 1.4974 earlier in the month.
 
Although the UK is not in the Eurozone, the implications of the wider European Union economic bloc without the UK partnership has also impacted heavily on the Euro.

The EURUSD fell from a high of1.135 mid-month to a low of 1.099 after the vote, while the GBPEUR dived steeply from a high of 1.3132 to a low of 1.1991. UK travellers are expected to find their Sterling cash worth much less across most major exchange rates, at the very least for the short-term.

The Gold price soared amid the uncertainty, taking off from $1260/ounce on June 23rd to over $1330 by June 24th. Investors stayed true to form during the market crisis, and rushed to buy up the safe-haven asset, while selling off the ones with higher risks.

Black gold – WTI Crude Oil – was also caught up in the sell-off, dropping to a low of $47/barrel from a high of $52 in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit shock.

The storm’s epicentre may have been the UK, but it spread fast and furiously across the world markets. Emerging market currencies suffered short-term wave crests in the storm before stabilising.

The USDIDR bucked from 13,333 to 13,550, throwing off the calming reins placed by Bank Indonesia’s new measures, namely an interest rate benchmark of 5.5 percent.

Due to the risk aversion in the markets and sudden loss of risk appetite following the unexpected shock from the EU referendum result, all of the emerging market currencies declined with this including the Indonesian Rupiah.

The reason was not too due to Brexit outcome having a direct impact on the local economy, but because reduced risk appetite encourages investors to be less attracted towards the emerging markets.

The local currency has since then regained losses, however it is possible that global economic uncertainty will linger for some time following this vote and this would mean there could be risk aversion in the markets at a later date.

The news of a possible tax cut is going to dominate the news locally within Indonesia, with the advantage to such an initiative being that the government is clearly trying to ease disposably income in the hope of higher domestic spending.

Of course and like the regular easing from the Bank Indonesia, these initiatives are targeted to improve domestic spending and GDP growth at a time where the economy is slowing down due to external risks.

The Ringgit blinked in shock as well. The USDMYR jumped from 3.9500 to 4.0900 in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit.

The volatility smoothed out somewhat thanks to Malaysian Prime Minister NajibRazak’s timely statement. The PM said that he did not expect that the Brexit would have a significant impact on the Malaysian economy, and that fiscal reforms would continue to be furthered.

The Malaysian Ringgit has been on a wild rollercoaster as of late, suffering steep losses as a result of the EU referendum shock to then regain all momentum around one week after the outcome. The EU referendum outcome is going to lead to a period of uncertainty in the markets that is likely to fuel risk aversion at a later stage, which in turn could negatively impact the Malaysian Ringgit.

It is still very difficult to pinpoint which direction the local currency is heading in next, and it should be remembered that the Federal Reserve have still not publically commented on how this could impact US interest rate policy.

The bright side to this is that if the Fed do postpone any possibility of future rate rises, then it might pull investors back towards the emerging markets where there is the benefit of higher interest rates.

The USDCNY was jolted from 6.5800 to 6.6900. It was to be expected that China’s currency could face challenges in the wake of the Brexit, but on the other hand, there is also speculation that China’s stock markets and larger business centres could gain some business if it starts flowing out of London.

The UK’s capital is expected to lose some power as a worldwide business and financial centre, mainly because of the gigantic tangle of legal and trading uncertainties presented by the Brexit.

The CNY is continuing to play down the expectations,as we believed it would do as the second half of the year approached.

The period of uncertainty now in the markets, following the EU referendum shock is going to plague risk appetite, which will be negative for the emerging markets and no EM is alone in withstanding this threat.

There are concerns in the short term that the China economy could be negatively impacted by the UK leaving the European Union, mainly because it is clear that the two governments have formed very close ties over the past two years and any loss of UK stability could impact the UK economy and its ability to maximize China relations.

The bright spot is however that the UK is now going to be forced to diversify trade relations outside of the EU, which is obviously going to present opportunities for the emerging markets because this is one area of the UK economy you would think would be reached out towards.

Obviously, if China has now developed strong relations with the UK then this could work out to their advantage at a later stage.

For the UAE’s Dirham, the main story was the GBPAED exchange rate, which fell from 5.5110 to 4.841 overnight just after the Brexit vote.

The ramifications could include cheaper exports from the UK to the UAE, but more barriers to travellers from the UK to GCC countries, given the stronger AED versus the Pound.

One possible benefit however is that the Brexit has triggered new impetus towards the idea of a free trade area between the UAE and the UK.

I think the plunge in the GBP exchange rate must be very pleasing news to any UK expatriate living in the Emirates right now. Of course, there is the positive aspect that any UAE company could now exploit and import products from the UK at a cheaper price, which might be encouraging to GDP prospects via higher imports at a time when GDP growth will be slipping lower due to depression in the price of oil.

I remain unsure how much further the GBP could fall against the AED in the medium term, not necessarily because there is any reason to be positive on the British currency, but because I don’t think the Federal Reserve are going to be in any position to begin raising US interest rates anytime soon. Any Dollar pressure is likely to lead to AED weakness, due to its peg against the USD.

Looking ahead to July, the market fallout from the Brexit vote is set to dominate, and risk appetite appears to be due for a diet of Gold and short-term profit-taking.


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E-Financial

NIBBS to Boost Financial Inclusion with Offline Payment Solutions

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The Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) is looking into offline payment solutions as part of its efforts to increase financial inclusion and reach Nigerians who have limited or no access to mobile data.

The project was announced by Ngover Nwankwo, NIBSS executive director for business and products, at the 2026 CHBO Conference in Lagos.

Nwankwo pointed out that the rapid expansion of digital payments must be matched by purposeful inclusion initiatives, cautioning that innovation should not exclude groups of the population that still rely largely on cash.

She emphasised that cash is still an important element of Nigeria’s economy and that digital and cash-based payments must coexist to safeguard disadvantaged users while boosting efficiency for digitally connected customers.

Nwanko also commended banks for operational performance, particularly during the December 2025 cash demand period, which she said was met with few public complaints.

Lloyd Onaghinon, Bankers Warehouse Plc,had similar sentiments on the enduring need of cash. He explained that cash usage remained high globally due to cultural, demographic, and trust-related factors

However, he cautioned that surplus currency outside the banking system undermines financial intermediation and monetary policy efficacy, demanding greater cooperation among regulators, banks, and other stakeholders.

Director Solaja Olayemi, representing the Central Bank of Nigeria, stated that around 90% of Nigeria’s cash remained outside the banking system and encouraged banks to collaborate with fintechs and microfinance institutions..

He added that fintechs with substantial agent networks, such as Moniepoint, OPay, and Kuda, are better positioned to drive inclusion, with some companies now holding national licenses.

 


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CBN Upgrades Licences of Opay, Moniepoint, Kuda, Palmpay, Paga to National Status

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has approved the upgrade of operating licences for major FinTech companies and Microfinance Banks (MFBs), including Opay, Moniepoint MFB, Kuda Bank, Palmpay and Paga, to national status, formalising their nationwide operations after fulfilling regulatory compliance requirements.

The development addresses the rapid expansion of these digital platforms, which have leveraged mobile technology and extensive agent networks to serve millions across Nigeria, outgrowing their previous regional or state-level licences.

Yemi Solaja, Director of the CBN’s Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department, announced the upgrades during the annual conference of the Committee of Heads of Banks’ Operations (CHBO) in Lagos.

Institutions like Moniepoint MFB, Opay, Kuda Bank and others have now been upgraded. In practice, their operations are already nationwide, Solaja stated, highlighting the mismatch between prior licensing scopes and actual service footprints.

He underscored the critical need for physical customer support infrastructure, especially for informal sector users who form the bulk of their clientele, noting that Most of their customers operate in the informal sector. They need a clear point of contact if any issues arise.

With national licences, these institutions must adhere to elevated standards, including a minimum capital base of N5 billion for national MFBs, establishment of dedicated offices for complaint resolution, and rigorous Know-Your-Customer (KYC) protocols to bolster consumer protection and financial system stability.

The reforms align with CBN’s broader strategy to integrate large-scale digital operators into a robust regulatory framework commensurate with their reach, while harnessing their potential to deepen financial inclusion across Nigeria’s underserved populations.

This milestone follows intensified oversight, exemplified by 2024 penalties of N1 billion each imposed on Moniepoint and Opay for KYC non-compliance during routine audits, alongside similar actions against other players like Kuda and Palmpay, which prompted operational overhauls.

Such measures reflect the apex bank’s commitment to balancing innovation with risk management in the fintech sector, which has revolutionised access to banking services for millions in the informal economy through agent banking and mobile wallets.

Industry observers view the national upgrades as a vote of confidence in these trailblazers, while signalling that sustained compliance remains non-negotiable for their continued dominance in Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem.

 


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Nigeria’s 9 Top FinTech Firms Valued at $10.6Bn in January 2026

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Nigeria’s leading financial technology companies are now collectively valued at about $10.6 billion as of January 2026, underscoring the country’s growing influence in Africa’s digital finance ecosystem and renewed investor confidence in technology-driven financial services.

According to report by the Tribune, based on data from Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, Bloomberg and other publicly available sources, Flutterwave remains Nigeria’s most valuable fintech company with an estimated valuation of $3 billion.

It is followed closely by OPay at $2.75 billion.

Together, both firms account for more than half of the total valuation of the country’s top fintech players, reflecting their dominance in payments infrastructure, merchant services and consumer finance.

Moniepoint and Interswitch are valued at about $1 billion each, reinforcing their positions as critical pillars of Nigeria’s digital payments architecture.

While Moniepoint has rapidly expanded its reach among small and medium-sized businesses, Interswitch continues to play a foundational role in switching, transaction processing and payment infrastructure for banks and fintechs across the country.

PalmPay, valued at $0.85 billion, and Moove, estimated at $0.75 billion, illustrate how Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem is evolving beyond traditional payments.

PalmPay has built a strong footprint in mobile financial services, while Moove represents the growing convergence between fintech and mobility by providing innovative vehicle financing solutions for drivers on ride-hailing platforms.

Kuda and Paystack, both valued at $0.5 billion, remain important players in digital banking and online payments, respectively.

Kuda has strengthened its position as one of Nigeria’s leading digital-only banks, while Paystack continues to be a trusted gateway for online transactions across Africa.

Paga, valued at $0.25 billion, completes the list, sustaining its relevance through mobile payments and a strong focus on financial inclusion, particularly in underserved and unbanked communities.

In summary, Nigeria’s top fintech companies by market value as of January 2026 are: Flutterwave ($3.0 billion), OPay ($2.75 billion), Moniepoint ($1.0 billion), Interswitch ($1.0 billion), PalmPay ($0.85 billion), Moove ($0.75 billion), Kuda ($0.5 billion), Paystack ($0.5 billion) and Paga ($0.25 billion), bringing their combined valuation to $10.6 billion.

These figures reinforce Nigeria’s position as Africa’s leading fintech hub, driven by its large and youthful population, rising smartphone penetration and increasing demand for digital financial services.

Analysts note that fintech remains one of the most attractive sectors for venture capital on the continent, consistently accounting for a significant share of startup funding over the past decade.

Commenting on the broader impact of technology-driven businesses, Professor Chris U. Kalu said fintech has become a major force in reshaping Nigeria’s financial landscape.

“Generally, fintech has played a very significant role in the Nigerian financial ecosystem,” he said. “The same applies to e-commerce, where platforms like Konga and Jumia are competing favourably and contributing meaningfully to the economy. In e-hailing too, companies such as Uber, Bolt and Lagride are creating value and jobs. This is really a good time for Nigeria and Nigerians, even though development challenges still exist. They are surmountable.”

Despite the impressive valuations, industry observers caution that the fintech ecosystem still faces challenges, including regulatory uncertainty, infrastructure gaps, currency volatility and uneven access to capital. However, the steady rise in company valuations suggests that investors remain optimistic about long-term opportunities in the sector.

EnterpriseNGR recently noted that Nigeria remains Africa’s undisputed fintech capital, with digital payment platforms processing ₦1.08 quadrillion in transactions in 2024, representing a 79 per cent year-on-year increase. It added that by 2026, the payments segment alone is expected to contribute about $6 billion to GDP, supported by strong growth in digital payments and lending, as well as the expansion of wealthtech and insurtech services.

With innovation spreading across payments, digital banking, lending, mobility finance and e-commerce enablement, Nigeria’s fintech sector is increasingly being viewed not only as a regional leader, but also as a critical driver of economic transformation and financial inclusion across Africa.


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