E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Hard Brexit Fears Inspire Sterling Bears

Sterling/Dollar stumbled to fresh 31 year lows at 1.2736 during trading on Tuesday as the horrible combination of Brexit anxieties and a resurgent Dollar encouraged bears to install repeated rounds of selling.
It seems Theresa May’s sanguine attitude to leaving the European Union while focusing on immigration may have sparked concerns of a potential hard Brexit consequently leaving the Sterling vulnerable to steep losses.
Although investors were provided some clarity when March 2017 was the date set to invoking the article 50, the uncertainty over how the Brexit negotiations will take place in the period after continues to haunt investor attraction towards the pound.
It should be kept in mind that the persistent Brexit fears have always had a firm grip on the Sterling with explosive levels of volatility expected in the coming months as anxiety mounts ahead of the article 50 invoke date.
With the Dollar strengthening amid renewed US rate hike expectations, the GBPUSD could trade lower as Sterling bears attack.
From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD is heavily bearish as prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. Previous support around 1.2800 could transform into a dynamic resistance which encourages a further decline lower towards 1.2700.
Stock Markets Edge Higher
Financial markets could receive a welcome boost this week if the combination of easing Deutsche Bank concerns and rising oil prices bolster investor risk sentiment.
Asian stocks have already commenced Tuesday on a firm footing following Yen’s weakness which propelled the Nikkei into gains.
In Europe, Sterling’s vulnerability from the ongoing Brexit concerns turbo charged the FTSE100 +1.34% higher as of writing.
Although Wall Street closed in losses on Monday following the firm US ISM manufacturing data that renewed expectations of a US interest rate increase this year, the bullish domino from Asia and Europe could elevate American stocks.
While the short term gains repeatedly displayed in global stocks have been somewhat impressive, it should be kept in mind that the ingredients for a bear market continue to linger in the background.
The renewed Brexit anxieties have noticeably left investors on edge while the uncertainty over the looming presidential election weighs on risk sentiment.
Stock markets have entered a phase of extreme sensitivity and it could take an unexpected catalyst to trigger a market-shaking selloff.
Dollar Bulls on the Offense
Dollar bulls were installed with inspiration on Monday following the firm ISM Manufacturing PMI of 51.5 which renewed optimism over the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates this year.
If US domestic data continue to follow this positive pattern then the central bank could be provided a justifiable reason to raise US interest rates in December 2016.
Investors may direct their attention towards Friday’s Non-Farm payroll report for additional clarity on the health of the US labour force in this period of global uncertainty. Dollar bulls are on the offense and this can be seen in the Dollar Index which has turned bullish on the daily timeframe. A decisive breakout and daily close above 96.00 could entice buyers to send prices higher towards 96.50.
WTI Bulls Challenge $49
WTI Crude received a lifeline last week following the unexpected OPEC preliminary deal which instantly renewed optimism over a potential freeze deal agreement in November.
While the gains displayed in oil were impressive, the upside may have been capped as the persistent oversupply concerns passively haunted investor attraction towards the commodity.
Although OPEC has agreed that output may be cut by 700,000 barrels a day, this has not been officially confirmed with members still producing record output levels in the saturated market. The cartel may be commended on their ability to exploit oils sensitivity to create speculative boosts in prices but such may come at a heavy cost.
From a technical standpoint, although WTI is turning bullish on the daily timeframe buyers are struggling to take prices above the $49 resistance. A breakdown below $47.50 could open a path back lower towards $46.
Commodity Spotlight – Gold
Gold stumbled to near two-week lows on Tuesday as the strengthening Dollar encouraged sellers to attack.
Renewed expectations over the Fed raising US interest rates this year has pressured the zero-yielding metal further with prices currently hovering above the $1305 support. If Friday’s NFP exceeds expectations, then Gold could be destined for more punishment with prices potentially conquering $1305.
From a technical standpoint, the yellow metal is bearish on the daily timeframe as prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. A breakdown below $1305 could open a path towards $1285.
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E-Financial
FG Says All Taxable Nigerian Must Obtain Taxpayer ID

Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), in collaboration with the Joint Revenue Board (JRB), has announced the implementation of a nationwide Taxpayer Identification (Tax ID) system, mandating all taxable persons in the country to obtain a unified tax identity.

The directive, unveiled in a public notice issued on Monday, is anchored in sections 6, 7, and 8 of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act, 2025.
The provisions require every individual and entity liable to tax in Nigeria to register for a Tax ID as part of broader reforms aimed at strengthening tax administration.
According to the notice, the Tax ID will function as a single, consolidated identifier for taxpayers, enabling seamless interaction with tax authorities across federal, state, and local levels.
The authorities said the system is designed to eliminate duplication of records, improve data integrity, and enhance the overall efficiency of tax-related processes.
The initiative forms part of ongoing efforts by regulators to deepen transparency, boost compliance, and curb revenue leakages within the tax ecosystem.
By harmonising taxpayer data across all tiers of government, officials expect improved accountability and more accurate tracking of tax obligations.
Under the new framework, the Tax ID will replace the existing Taxpayer Identification Number (TIN) validation system currently in use. Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), financial institutions, and other organisations relying on the TIN Validation API have been directed to transition to the new Tax ID infrastructure.
The NRS and JRB also advised organisations requiring system integration or validation services to engage with designated departments within both agencies for access to the Tax ID Application Programming Interface (API) and related technical guidelines.
Authorities say the reform will simplify registration, filing, and payment processes for taxpayers, while providing the government with a more robust mechanism for revenue assurance and fiscal planning.
The rollout signals a significant step in Nigeria’s ongoing tax modernisation agenda, as policymakers seek to expand the tax base and improve non-oil revenue mobilisation amid evolving economic pressures.
E-Financial
SEC Sets June 1 for Transition to T+1 Settlement Cycle

Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved the transition to the T+1 settlement cycle for capital market transactions from June 1, 2026.

T+1 settlement is a financial rule requiring that securities trades (like stocks, bonds, and ETFs) be finalized and ownership transferred just one business day after the trade is executed. It replaces the older T+2 system, giving investors faster access to their funds and reducing overall market risk.
This is coming some months after Nigeria moved from the T+3 settlement cycle to the T+2 settlement cycle.
In a notice on Monday, the SEC, which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria, said it was authorising the new system to “promote an efficient, fair, and transparent capital market.”
Under the new arrangement, equities and commodities traded by investors at the market would be cleared and settled by the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) within one day.
The agency noted that the migration to a T+1 settlement cycle forms part of its ongoing market modernisation initiatives aimed at enhancing market efficiency and strengthening risk management. reducing counterparty exposure, improving liquidity, and aligning the Nigerian capital market with international standards and global best practices.
“Accordingly, all eligible trades executed in the Nigerian capital market shall settle one business day after the trade date (T+1),” a part of the statement noted.
It was stressed that “Friday, May 29, 2026, shall be the final trading day under the existing T+2 settlement cycle. Trades executed on Friday, May 29, 2026, and Monday, June 1, 2026, shall both settle on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. All trades executed from Monday, June 1, 2026, onward shall be subject to the T+1 settlement cycle.”
SEC tasked all capital market operators, securities exchanges, clearing and settlement infrastructure providers, custodians, registrars, issuers, and other relevant stakeholders to take all necessary measures to ensure full operational readiness and compliance with the new settlement framework.
“Market participants are expected to review and align their systems, processes, controls, and operational workflows ahead of the implementation date,” it further stated, promising to continue to engage stakeholders and monitor the implementation process to ensure an orderly and seamless transition.
The regulator said it remains committed to strengthening market integrity, enhancing investor confidence, and fostering the development of a modern. resilient and globally competitive Nigerian capital market.
E-Financial
Chapel Hill Denham Says Banks Lose N2.5 Trillion Annually to High CRR in New Report

Nigeria’s banking sector is losing an estimated N2.5 trillion in annual earnings due to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s high Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) policy, according to a new report by Chapel Hill Denham.

The investment banking and research firm said the policy continues to impose significant constraints on bank profitability by requiring lenders to keep a large portion of customer deposits with the Central Bank without earning returns on them, effectively locking away funds that could otherwise support lending and income generation.
In its report titled “The Nigerian Banking Paradox: High Returns, Deep Discounts,” Chapel Hill Denham noted that although Nigerian banks rank among the highest return-on-equity performers in Africa, they remain undervalued compared to peers, largely due to regulatory constraints and macroeconomic uncertainty.
The firm identified the CRR regime as a key structural factor limiting the sector’s earnings potential, arguing that it reduces balance sheet efficiency and restricts credit creation to the real economy.
According to the report, banks are still required to pay interest on deposits while a significant portion of those funds remains sterilised at the apex bank.
Chapel Hill Denham stated that the current policy framework, which evolved in response to past financial sector instability and exchange rate pressures, may now be exerting a heavier drag on growth and profitability than originally intended.
“Our analysis reveals that Nigerian banks operate under a uniquely restrictive regulatory perimeter,” the report said, adding that the structure suppresses reported returns despite underlying profitability strength.
The report also compared Nigeria’s reserve requirements with other jurisdictions, noting that the country’s CRR remains significantly higher than several African and emerging markets.
While South Africa operates a 2.5 per cent CRR, Kenya maintains 4.25 per cent, Ghana 15 per cent, and Egypt 16 per cent, with Morocco reported to have reduced its reserve ratio to zero.
Analysts at the firm said a moderation of Nigeria’s CRR from 50 per cent to 30 per cent could release up to N8 trillion into the banking system and potentially boost annual pre-tax profits by about N800 billion.
They added that investors currently price Nigerian banks on the assumption that the tight monetary stance will persist, limiting valuation upside despite strong earnings performance.
At its February 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria retained the CRR for Deposit Money Banks at 45 per cent, while Merchant Banks remained at 16 per cent, and public sector deposits outside the Treasury Single Account framework at 75 per cent, as part of efforts to sustain tight monetary conditions and manage liquidity pressures.
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