E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Hard Brexit Fears Inspire Sterling Bears

Sterling/Dollar stumbled to fresh 31 year lows at 1.2736 during trading on Tuesday as the horrible combination of Brexit anxieties and a resurgent Dollar encouraged bears to install repeated rounds of selling.
It seems Theresa May’s sanguine attitude to leaving the European Union while focusing on immigration may have sparked concerns of a potential hard Brexit consequently leaving the Sterling vulnerable to steep losses.
Although investors were provided some clarity when March 2017 was the date set to invoking the article 50, the uncertainty over how the Brexit negotiations will take place in the period after continues to haunt investor attraction towards the pound.
It should be kept in mind that the persistent Brexit fears have always had a firm grip on the Sterling with explosive levels of volatility expected in the coming months as anxiety mounts ahead of the article 50 invoke date.
With the Dollar strengthening amid renewed US rate hike expectations, the GBPUSD could trade lower as Sterling bears attack.
From a technical standpoint, the GBPUSD is heavily bearish as prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. Previous support around 1.2800 could transform into a dynamic resistance which encourages a further decline lower towards 1.2700.
Stock Markets Edge Higher
Financial markets could receive a welcome boost this week if the combination of easing Deutsche Bank concerns and rising oil prices bolster investor risk sentiment.
Asian stocks have already commenced Tuesday on a firm footing following Yen’s weakness which propelled the Nikkei into gains.
In Europe, Sterling’s vulnerability from the ongoing Brexit concerns turbo charged the FTSE100 +1.34% higher as of writing.
Although Wall Street closed in losses on Monday following the firm US ISM manufacturing data that renewed expectations of a US interest rate increase this year, the bullish domino from Asia and Europe could elevate American stocks.
While the short term gains repeatedly displayed in global stocks have been somewhat impressive, it should be kept in mind that the ingredients for a bear market continue to linger in the background.
The renewed Brexit anxieties have noticeably left investors on edge while the uncertainty over the looming presidential election weighs on risk sentiment.
Stock markets have entered a phase of extreme sensitivity and it could take an unexpected catalyst to trigger a market-shaking selloff.
Dollar Bulls on the Offense
Dollar bulls were installed with inspiration on Monday following the firm ISM Manufacturing PMI of 51.5 which renewed optimism over the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates this year.
If US domestic data continue to follow this positive pattern then the central bank could be provided a justifiable reason to raise US interest rates in December 2016.
Investors may direct their attention towards Friday’s Non-Farm payroll report for additional clarity on the health of the US labour force in this period of global uncertainty. Dollar bulls are on the offense and this can be seen in the Dollar Index which has turned bullish on the daily timeframe. A decisive breakout and daily close above 96.00 could entice buyers to send prices higher towards 96.50.
WTI Bulls Challenge $49
WTI Crude received a lifeline last week following the unexpected OPEC preliminary deal which instantly renewed optimism over a potential freeze deal agreement in November.
While the gains displayed in oil were impressive, the upside may have been capped as the persistent oversupply concerns passively haunted investor attraction towards the commodity.
Although OPEC has agreed that output may be cut by 700,000 barrels a day, this has not been officially confirmed with members still producing record output levels in the saturated market. The cartel may be commended on their ability to exploit oils sensitivity to create speculative boosts in prices but such may come at a heavy cost.
From a technical standpoint, although WTI is turning bullish on the daily timeframe buyers are struggling to take prices above the $49 resistance. A breakdown below $47.50 could open a path back lower towards $46.
Commodity Spotlight – Gold
Gold stumbled to near two-week lows on Tuesday as the strengthening Dollar encouraged sellers to attack.
Renewed expectations over the Fed raising US interest rates this year has pressured the zero-yielding metal further with prices currently hovering above the $1305 support. If Friday’s NFP exceeds expectations, then Gold could be destined for more punishment with prices potentially conquering $1305.
From a technical standpoint, the yellow metal is bearish on the daily timeframe as prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA while the MACD has crossed to the downside. A breakdown below $1305 could open a path towards $1285.
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E-Financial
After 12 Years at the Helm, Tony Elumelu Bows Out of UBA

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc has announced that its Group Chairman, Mr Tony O. Elumelu, will retire from the Board of Directors on Aug. 21, 2026, upon completing the 12-year tenure limit for non-executive directors prescribed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The bank disclosed this in a statement issued following a meeting of its Board of Directors held on July 6.
According to the statement, the board accepted Elumelu’s retirement and elected Mr Emmanuel N. Nnorom, a Non-Executive Director of the bank, as his successor with effect from Aug. 21, 2026.
The board expressed appreciation to Elumelu for what it described as his visionary leadership and immense contributions to the growth and institutional development of the UBA Group.
It noted that under his leadership, UBA expanded into a leading pan-African financial institution with operations in 20 African countries and four global financial centres, serving more than 50 million customers.
The board described Elumelu’s tenure as a defining period in the bank’s history.
Nnorom, who will assume office as chairman upon Elumelu’s retirement, is a chartered accountant with more than 40 years of experience in banking, finance and auditing.
The statement said he brings extensive leadership experience and deep institutional knowledge of the bank to his new role.
Speaking on his retirement, Elumelu described serving UBA as one of the greatest privileges of his professional career.
“Serving United Bank for Africa has been one of the great privileges of my career.
“UBA has established a unique competitive position across Africa and globally, and I leave the Board with great confidence in UBA’s future.
“Emmanuel Nnorom is a leader of integrity, experience and sound judgement, and I am confident that the bank will continue to thrive under his leadership,” he said.
Responding to his appointment, Nnorom expressed gratitude to the board for the confidence reposed in him.
“I am honoured by the trust the Board has placed in me and deeply conscious of the legacy I inherit.
“I look forward to working with my colleagues on the Board, Management and our staff across all our markets to sustain UBA’s momentum and continue delivering long-term value to our shareholders, customers and stakeholders,” he said.
UBA operates in 20 African countries as well as the United Kingdom, the United States, France and the United Arab Emirates.
The bank provides retail, commercial and institutional banking services and serves more than 50 million customers globally, with a workforce of about 25,000 employees across its operations.
E-Financial
Zedvance appoints Prof. Olanrewaju as board chairman

Zedvance Finance Limited has appointed Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju as Chairman of its Board of Directors, effective July 1, subject to the approval of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Professor Pius ‘Deji’ Olanrewaju
The company disclosed this in a statement, describing the appointment as a significant step in strengthening its corporate governance structure and positioning the organisation for its next phase of growth.
According to Zedvance, the appointment reflects its commitment to building a robust governance framework capable of driving innovation, sustainable growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.
The company said Olanrewaju brings extensive boardroom experience, leadership credentials and expertise in governance, strategy and organisational transformation to the role.
It noted that the strengthened board structure would enhance oversight and support the company’s strategic growth ambitions.
Speaking on his appointment, Olanrewaju expressed appreciation for the confidence reposed in him.
“I am honoured to assume the role of Chairman of the Board of Zedvance Finance.
“The company has established a strong reputation as a trusted financial partner, leveraging innovation and technology to create meaningful impact.
“I look forward to working with the board and management to support the company’s strategic aspirations and deliver sustainable value for our stakeholders,” he said.
Olanrewaju is a legal scholar, banking expert and corporate leader with more than four decades of experience spanning banking, finance, academia and institutional governance.
He holds degrees in Law, Arts and Social Sciences, including a Bachelor of Laws (LL.B), Bachelor of Laws (B.L.), Bachelor of Arts (B.A.), Master of Science (M.Sc.), Master of Laws (LL.M.) and a Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.).
He is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (FCIB), Fellow of the Institute of Capital Market Registrars (FIMA), Fellow of the Institute of Management and Administrative Technology (FCMR), and Fellow of the Enterprise Risk Management Professionals (FERP).
Olanrewaju is also a member of several professional bodies and served as the immediate past President and Chairman of the Council of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN).
During his more than 35 years of service to the institute, he held several strategic positions, including Chairman of its Capacity Building and Certification Committee.
He is currently a Professor of Banking Law at Babcock University, where he previously served as Provost and Dean of the School of Law and Security Studies.
He has authored and co-authored several academic publications and serves on the boards of a number of organisations, including Babcock University Microfinance Bank.
The company expressed confidence that his experience in strategic leadership, corporate governance and financial services oversight would support its long-term growth and institutional development.
E-Financial
FG Denies N8 Trillion ‘Shadow Budget’, Says IMF Quoted out of Context

Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy, has said there are no secret expenditures or shadow budgets as insinuated.

Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating minister of the Economy
This followed comments by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that discrepancies amounting to about two per cent of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exist between reported and actual budget deficits.
In a statement on Sunday, Oyedele said claims that the Federal Government spent over N8 trillion outside the approved budget misrepresented both the IMF’s position and Nigeria’s fiscal framework.
The minister stressed that the federal government does not operate a “shadow budget” or spend public funds outside constitutional and statutory provisions.
“The Federal Government has noted recent public commentary alleging that approximately two per cent of GDP amounting to over N8 trillion was spent outside the approved budget based on references to the IMF Representative in Nigeria and the Fund’s 2026 Article IV Consultation Report. These claims are incorrect and risk misleading the public regarding the government’s financial management,” he said.
According to him, “For the avoidance of doubt, the Federal Government does not operate a ‘shadow budget’ or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance.”
Oyedele explained that under Sections 80 to 83 and 162 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), public funds can only be withdrawn and spent in accordance with the Constitution and laws enacted by the National Assembly.
He noted that government spending is undertaken through duly enacted Appropriation Acts, Supplementary Appropriation Acts and other statutory authorities approved by the National Assembly, while multi-year capital projects are implemented under existing laws that permit capital rollovers.
“It is inaccurate to suggest that trillions of naira have been secretly spent outside legislative approval. Such allegations should have identified the specific projects purportedly executed without appropriation or legal authority and present credible evidence in support of the claim,” the minister stated.
Oyedele further clarified that several categories of government expenditure, including statutory transfers, first-line charges, debt service obligations, interventions for national security and infrastructure, and allocations to agencies established by law, are authorised under various Acts of the National Assembly.
“These expenditures are neither secret nor illegal. They are established by law, disclosed in various fiscal reports, and subject to applicable oversight, audit and accountability mechanisms,” he said.
The minister added that differences between Nigeria’s budget presentation and international fiscal reporting standards should not be interpreted as evidence of unlawful spending.
He also rejected suggestions that the reported amount translated into a higher fiscal deficit. “It is equally incorrect to suggest that the reported amount represents an increase in budget deficit.
A fiscal deficit is determined by the relationship between total government revenues and total government expenditures.
“Whether a capital project is financed through annual appropriations, supplementary appropriations, statutory transfers, approved intervention mechanisms, or other lawful financing arrangements does not, by itself, increase the fiscal deficit,” he explained.
According to Oyedele, the IMF’s observations relate mainly to “the comprehensiveness, timing and presentation of fiscal reporting rather than the legality of expenditure.”
He noted that the Tinubu administration was already taking steps to harmonise Nigeria’s budgeting process, recalling that President Bola Tinubu had requested the National Assembly during the presentation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill to end the practice of multiple and overlapping budgets in favour of a single, unified budget framework.
The minister maintained that the administration remained committed to prudent fiscal management, transparency and accountability, adding that reforms in revenue administration, treasury management, budget credibility and digitalisation of government financial processes had received recognition from the IMF, other multilateral institutions, international credit rating agencies and investors.
“Public debate is both welcome and essential in a democratic society. However, it should be based on facts and an accurate understanding of Nigeria’s constitutional and fiscal framework. Mischaracterising technical observations as evidence of unlawful expenditure neither advances informed public discourse nor strengthens democratic accountability,” Oyedele added.a
He reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to transparency in the management of public resources and pledged continued collaboration with the National Assembly, oversight institutions, development partners and Nigerians to strengthen fiscal governance in line with international best practices.
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