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FXTM Analysis: Markets Bounce as Investors Accept Trump Reality

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Global stocks staged an awe-inspiring rebound during late trading on Wednesday as investors came to terms with the shocking Trump presidential victory. Asian shares rallied in the early sessions of Thursday with the Nikkei lurching close to 7% as participants re-evaluated the global impacts of Donald Trump’s severely mispriced election win.

European markets may receive a welcome boost from Asia’s bullish momentum and the positive domino effect could support Wall Street later today.

Although the short-term gains in stocks are impressive, investors should keep diligent especially when markets have been infected by jitters.

Stocks remain depressed in the medium term with steeper declines expected as uncertainty grips risk sentiment.

Dollar Bulls Relentless…
The Dollar appreciated with aggression on Wednesday afternoon following Donald Trump’s presidential speech which effectively eased some concerns over his economic policies.

Pledges of massive U.S fiscal spending have heightened expectations of Trump implementing fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts which may bolster profit growth consequently boosting inflation.

Dollars resurgence was also complimented by the renewed speculations of the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates in December that encouraged buyers to attack.

This week’s aggressive Dollar rebound may be fully Trump driven with more time needed for the Greenback to find some normality.

Some attention may be directed towards Thursday’s unemployment claims report which may reinforce some expectations of a December rate increase if unemployment claims recede.

Wti Bears Eye $44.00
WTI Oil lurched towards $45.92 during late trading on Wednesday as markets embraced the Trump reality.
This feeling was short lived on Thursday when prices sunk back towards $45 following the ongoing oversupply fears that haunted investor attraction.
Oil continues to be dogged by persistent oversupply concerns while fears over slowing global growth have sparked discussions of a potential decline in demand.
This terrible combination of oversupply anxieties and tepid demand concerns may be the ingredients needed for sellers to send WTI back below $40.
Investors have clearly maintained a cautious stance ahead of the November 30th pending OPEC meeting with expectations periodically diminishing over a successful freeze deal. From a technical standpoint bears need to conquer $44 for a further decline towards $43.

Currency spotlight – EURUSD
The EURUSD was explosively volatile on Wednesday with prices whipsawing within a near 400 pip trading range and the culprit was a chaotic Dollar.
With the Greenback potentially strengthening further amid renewed US rate hike expectations, the EURUSD could be exposed to steeper losses as bears install repeated rounds of selling.
From a technical standpoint, prices have turned extremely bearish on the daily timeframe as the candlesticks are trading below both the 20 and 200 SMA. A decisive breakdown below 1.0900 could encourage a further selloff towards 1.0850 and potentially lower.

Commodity spotlight –Gold
The erratic movements Gold dished out on Wednesday was out of character with most investors left bewildered as the precious metal surged over $60 before crashing back down.
Risk aversion amid the uncertainty should clearly support Gold but market sensitivity continues to direct investors to riskier assets consequently leaving the zero-yielding metal vulnerable to losses.
Gold may maintain ground in the new trading week as participants reassess the conditions of the global financial landscape.
From a technical standpoint, bulls must break back above $1285 for a further incline towards $1308.

 

 


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E-Financial

Ecobank Nigeria to Fully Repay $300m Eurobond Ahead of Schedule

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Ecobank Nigeria has moved to retire the remaining part of its $300 million Eurobond before maturity. The bank has launched a tender offer for holders of its 7.125% senior notes due February 2026.

The bank announced the offer on Friday, 28 November 2025, inviting investors to tender their holdings ahead of schedule. Of the original $300 million issuance, $150 million remains outstanding.

Under the terms, investors whose notes are accepted for repurchase will receive $1,000 for every $1,000 in principal, plus accrued and unpaid interest up to, but not including, the settlement date. The transaction is expected to be completed on or before 31 December 2025.

Ecobank said the early repayment move is part of a broader strategy to optimise its balance sheet and strengthen capital planning flexibility. The lender added that the tender offer gives investors an opportunity to exit the instrument ahead of the original February 2026 maturity.

In a statement, the bank said the initiative underscores its “commitment to transparent engagement with funding partners and investors,” stressing that the offer supports its long-term goal of maintaining a well-structured debt profile.

Participation in the programme is voluntary, and investors will make decisions based on their individual considerations, the bank added.

Ecobank emphasised that the announcement is for information only and does not constitute an offer to buy or sell securities. Eligible noteholders are expected to rely on the formal tender documents when deciding whether to take part.

 


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Reps Give Banks Four-Day Ultimatum on Tax Deductions, Charges

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The House of Representatives Ad hoc Committee investigating deductions of taxes and sundry charges from the earnings of civil and public servants has given commercial banks a four-day deadline to submit all requested documents.

Reps Give Banks Four-Day Ultimatum on Tax Deductions, Charges

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The committee, chaired by Hon. Kelechi Nwogwu, issued the ultimatum at the commencement of its investigation, following a motion earlier moved by the House Chief Whip, Hon. Usman Bello Kumo, on alleged deductions from civil servants’ salaries.

Nwogwu insisted that Chief Executive Officers of affected financial institutions must appear in person before the panel, rejecting representatives sent by GT Bank, Zenith Bank, Access Bank and other banks.

He explained that the panel was mandated to ensure that all deductions of charges by banks on customers’ accounts were fair and properly applied.

The committee disclosed that invitations had also been extended to the Ministry of Finance, the Office of the Accountant-General of the Federation, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, and all commercial banks operating in Nigeria.

“You cannot appear here without an identity. We are here on the mandate of the people who elected us into parliament. We have resolved to meet next week on Wednesday.

“You must submit all requested documents by Monday, May 1,” Nwogwu said.

He warned that any bank that failed to comply with the deadline would face sanctions, adding that the committee would put the CEOs on oath during the next sitting.

The investigation continues next week.


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SEC Urges IST to Freeze all CBEX Bank Accounts in Nigeria

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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has asked the Investments and Securities Tribunal (IST) to order the freezing of all bank accounts belonging to Crypto Bridge Exchange (CBEX) and other defendants held in commercial banks and financial institutions across Nigeria.

The request was made in Suit No. IST/OA/02/2025: Securities and Exchange Commission & Anor v. Crypto Bridge Exchange (CBEX) & 25 Others, the first case before the 6th Tribunal presided over by Hon. Aminu Jinaidu, Chairman of the IST.

SEC also urged the Tribunal to seize houses and other assets allegedly acquired by the defendants using proceeds obtained from the public through the CBEX investment scheme, which it said falsely operated as a digital assets platform and capital-market operator.

The Commission argued that CBEX, which is not registered with SEC, unlawfully promised investors a 100 percent return on investment within 30 days—conduct it said is in violation of Section 3(b) of the Investments and Securities Act, 2025.

SEC further disclosed that the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong had, on April 23, 2024, issued an advisory warning against CBEX, describing it as a suspicious virtual-asset entity. According to the advisory, CBEX adopted a name resembling that of a Chinese property-rights trading organisation to give investors false assurance, despite having no connection with the legitimate entity.

At Tuesday’s sitting, the Tribunal ordered that hearing notices be served on the defendants through national newspapers, as CBEX failed to appear and was not represented in court.

CBEX launched in Nigeria in July 2024, operating through a website and mobile app. It claimed to use advanced artificial intelligence to generate unusually high profits from cryptocurrency trading, promising returns of up to 100 percent within a 40- to 45-day lock-in period. The scheme later collapsed and was exposed as a Ponzi operation that reportedly defrauded investors of more than N1.3 trillion (about $800 million).

Hon. Jinaidu also presided over several other matters on the tribunal’s docket, including Benue Investments Property Co. Ltd & Anor v. Securities and Exchange Commission & 6 Others; Maven Asset Management Ltd v. Securities and Exchange Commission; John Makinde Onade & Anor v. First Registrars & Investors Services Ltd & Anor; and Securities and Exchange Commission & Anor v. Tourist Company of Nigeria PLC & 6 Ors. All the cases were adjourned to January 27, 2026.

 


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