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FXTM Analysis: Markets Bounce as Investors Accept Trump Reality

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Global stocks staged an awe-inspiring rebound during late trading on Wednesday as investors came to terms with the shocking Trump presidential victory. Asian shares rallied in the early sessions of Thursday with the Nikkei lurching close to 7% as participants re-evaluated the global impacts of Donald Trump’s severely mispriced election win.

European markets may receive a welcome boost from Asia’s bullish momentum and the positive domino effect could support Wall Street later today.

Although the short-term gains in stocks are impressive, investors should keep diligent especially when markets have been infected by jitters.

Stocks remain depressed in the medium term with steeper declines expected as uncertainty grips risk sentiment.

Dollar Bulls Relentless…
The Dollar appreciated with aggression on Wednesday afternoon following Donald Trump’s presidential speech which effectively eased some concerns over his economic policies.

Pledges of massive U.S fiscal spending have heightened expectations of Trump implementing fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts which may bolster profit growth consequently boosting inflation.

Dollars resurgence was also complimented by the renewed speculations of the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates in December that encouraged buyers to attack.

This week’s aggressive Dollar rebound may be fully Trump driven with more time needed for the Greenback to find some normality.

Some attention may be directed towards Thursday’s unemployment claims report which may reinforce some expectations of a December rate increase if unemployment claims recede.

Wti Bears Eye $44.00
WTI Oil lurched towards $45.92 during late trading on Wednesday as markets embraced the Trump reality.
This feeling was short lived on Thursday when prices sunk back towards $45 following the ongoing oversupply fears that haunted investor attraction.
Oil continues to be dogged by persistent oversupply concerns while fears over slowing global growth have sparked discussions of a potential decline in demand.
This terrible combination of oversupply anxieties and tepid demand concerns may be the ingredients needed for sellers to send WTI back below $40.
Investors have clearly maintained a cautious stance ahead of the November 30th pending OPEC meeting with expectations periodically diminishing over a successful freeze deal. From a technical standpoint bears need to conquer $44 for a further decline towards $43.

Currency spotlight – EURUSD
The EURUSD was explosively volatile on Wednesday with prices whipsawing within a near 400 pip trading range and the culprit was a chaotic Dollar.
With the Greenback potentially strengthening further amid renewed US rate hike expectations, the EURUSD could be exposed to steeper losses as bears install repeated rounds of selling.
From a technical standpoint, prices have turned extremely bearish on the daily timeframe as the candlesticks are trading below both the 20 and 200 SMA. A decisive breakdown below 1.0900 could encourage a further selloff towards 1.0850 and potentially lower.

Commodity spotlight –Gold
The erratic movements Gold dished out on Wednesday was out of character with most investors left bewildered as the precious metal surged over $60 before crashing back down.
Risk aversion amid the uncertainty should clearly support Gold but market sensitivity continues to direct investors to riskier assets consequently leaving the zero-yielding metal vulnerable to losses.
Gold may maintain ground in the new trading week as participants reassess the conditions of the global financial landscape.
From a technical standpoint, bulls must break back above $1285 for a further incline towards $1308.

 

 


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E-Financial

NIBBS to Boost Financial Inclusion with Offline Payment Solutions

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The Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) is looking into offline payment solutions as part of its efforts to increase financial inclusion and reach Nigerians who have limited or no access to mobile data.

The project was announced by Ngover Nwankwo, NIBSS executive director for business and products, at the 2026 CHBO Conference in Lagos.

Nwankwo pointed out that the rapid expansion of digital payments must be matched by purposeful inclusion initiatives, cautioning that innovation should not exclude groups of the population that still rely largely on cash.

She emphasised that cash is still an important element of Nigeria’s economy and that digital and cash-based payments must coexist to safeguard disadvantaged users while boosting efficiency for digitally connected customers.

Nwanko also commended banks for operational performance, particularly during the December 2025 cash demand period, which she said was met with few public complaints.

Lloyd Onaghinon, Bankers Warehouse Plc,had similar sentiments on the enduring need of cash. He explained that cash usage remained high globally due to cultural, demographic, and trust-related factors

However, he cautioned that surplus currency outside the banking system undermines financial intermediation and monetary policy efficacy, demanding greater cooperation among regulators, banks, and other stakeholders.

Director Solaja Olayemi, representing the Central Bank of Nigeria, stated that around 90% of Nigeria’s cash remained outside the banking system and encouraged banks to collaborate with fintechs and microfinance institutions..

He added that fintechs with substantial agent networks, such as Moniepoint, OPay, and Kuda, are better positioned to drive inclusion, with some companies now holding national licenses.

 


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CBN Upgrades Licences of Opay, Moniepoint, Kuda, Palmpay, Paga to National Status

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has approved the upgrade of operating licences for major FinTech companies and Microfinance Banks (MFBs), including Opay, Moniepoint MFB, Kuda Bank, Palmpay and Paga, to national status, formalising their nationwide operations after fulfilling regulatory compliance requirements.

The development addresses the rapid expansion of these digital platforms, which have leveraged mobile technology and extensive agent networks to serve millions across Nigeria, outgrowing their previous regional or state-level licences.

Yemi Solaja, Director of the CBN’s Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department, announced the upgrades during the annual conference of the Committee of Heads of Banks’ Operations (CHBO) in Lagos.

Institutions like Moniepoint MFB, Opay, Kuda Bank and others have now been upgraded. In practice, their operations are already nationwide, Solaja stated, highlighting the mismatch between prior licensing scopes and actual service footprints.

He underscored the critical need for physical customer support infrastructure, especially for informal sector users who form the bulk of their clientele, noting that Most of their customers operate in the informal sector. They need a clear point of contact if any issues arise.

With national licences, these institutions must adhere to elevated standards, including a minimum capital base of N5 billion for national MFBs, establishment of dedicated offices for complaint resolution, and rigorous Know-Your-Customer (KYC) protocols to bolster consumer protection and financial system stability.

The reforms align with CBN’s broader strategy to integrate large-scale digital operators into a robust regulatory framework commensurate with their reach, while harnessing their potential to deepen financial inclusion across Nigeria’s underserved populations.

This milestone follows intensified oversight, exemplified by 2024 penalties of N1 billion each imposed on Moniepoint and Opay for KYC non-compliance during routine audits, alongside similar actions against other players like Kuda and Palmpay, which prompted operational overhauls.

Such measures reflect the apex bank’s commitment to balancing innovation with risk management in the fintech sector, which has revolutionised access to banking services for millions in the informal economy through agent banking and mobile wallets.

Industry observers view the national upgrades as a vote of confidence in these trailblazers, while signalling that sustained compliance remains non-negotiable for their continued dominance in Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem.

 


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Nigeria’s 9 Top FinTech Firms Valued at $10.6Bn in January 2026

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Nigeria’s leading financial technology companies are now collectively valued at about $10.6 billion as of January 2026, underscoring the country’s growing influence in Africa’s digital finance ecosystem and renewed investor confidence in technology-driven financial services.

According to report by the Tribune, based on data from Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, Bloomberg and other publicly available sources, Flutterwave remains Nigeria’s most valuable fintech company with an estimated valuation of $3 billion.

It is followed closely by OPay at $2.75 billion.

Together, both firms account for more than half of the total valuation of the country’s top fintech players, reflecting their dominance in payments infrastructure, merchant services and consumer finance.

Moniepoint and Interswitch are valued at about $1 billion each, reinforcing their positions as critical pillars of Nigeria’s digital payments architecture.

While Moniepoint has rapidly expanded its reach among small and medium-sized businesses, Interswitch continues to play a foundational role in switching, transaction processing and payment infrastructure for banks and fintechs across the country.

PalmPay, valued at $0.85 billion, and Moove, estimated at $0.75 billion, illustrate how Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem is evolving beyond traditional payments.

PalmPay has built a strong footprint in mobile financial services, while Moove represents the growing convergence between fintech and mobility by providing innovative vehicle financing solutions for drivers on ride-hailing platforms.

Kuda and Paystack, both valued at $0.5 billion, remain important players in digital banking and online payments, respectively.

Kuda has strengthened its position as one of Nigeria’s leading digital-only banks, while Paystack continues to be a trusted gateway for online transactions across Africa.

Paga, valued at $0.25 billion, completes the list, sustaining its relevance through mobile payments and a strong focus on financial inclusion, particularly in underserved and unbanked communities.

In summary, Nigeria’s top fintech companies by market value as of January 2026 are: Flutterwave ($3.0 billion), OPay ($2.75 billion), Moniepoint ($1.0 billion), Interswitch ($1.0 billion), PalmPay ($0.85 billion), Moove ($0.75 billion), Kuda ($0.5 billion), Paystack ($0.5 billion) and Paga ($0.25 billion), bringing their combined valuation to $10.6 billion.

These figures reinforce Nigeria’s position as Africa’s leading fintech hub, driven by its large and youthful population, rising smartphone penetration and increasing demand for digital financial services.

Analysts note that fintech remains one of the most attractive sectors for venture capital on the continent, consistently accounting for a significant share of startup funding over the past decade.

Commenting on the broader impact of technology-driven businesses, Professor Chris U. Kalu said fintech has become a major force in reshaping Nigeria’s financial landscape.

“Generally, fintech has played a very significant role in the Nigerian financial ecosystem,” he said. “The same applies to e-commerce, where platforms like Konga and Jumia are competing favourably and contributing meaningfully to the economy. In e-hailing too, companies such as Uber, Bolt and Lagride are creating value and jobs. This is really a good time for Nigeria and Nigerians, even though development challenges still exist. They are surmountable.”

Despite the impressive valuations, industry observers caution that the fintech ecosystem still faces challenges, including regulatory uncertainty, infrastructure gaps, currency volatility and uneven access to capital. However, the steady rise in company valuations suggests that investors remain optimistic about long-term opportunities in the sector.

EnterpriseNGR recently noted that Nigeria remains Africa’s undisputed fintech capital, with digital payment platforms processing ₦1.08 quadrillion in transactions in 2024, representing a 79 per cent year-on-year increase. It added that by 2026, the payments segment alone is expected to contribute about $6 billion to GDP, supported by strong growth in digital payments and lending, as well as the expansion of wealthtech and insurtech services.

With innovation spreading across payments, digital banking, lending, mobility finance and e-commerce enablement, Nigeria’s fintech sector is increasingly being viewed not only as a regional leader, but also as a critical driver of economic transformation and financial inclusion across Africa.


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