E-Financial
FXTM Analysis: Markets Resilient Against Negative Shocks
Monday’s miraculous stock market rebound continues to highlight how financial markets have become increasingly resilient against unexpected negative shocks with bulls exploiting the instances of weakness to propel prices higher.
The initial wave of jitters and uncertainty created from Italian voters’ rejection of constitutional changes transformed into a free for all as the risk-on magnetised investors to riskier assets.
Asian shares warmly welcomed the return of risk appetite with most arenas posting their biggest gains in two weeks as investors refocused on the heavily discussed reflation trade.
In Europe, shares were resilient on Monday with further appreciations expected today amid the stabilising oil prices and improvement in overall sentiment.
Wall Street continues to be buoyed by the rising confidence towards the health of the US economy while the champion known as Dow Jones has glided to fresh historical highs.
It is becoming increasingly clear that the market resilience is the product of investors learning to tie the knot tightly against negative news while also ignoring the waves.
Dollar Still Remains King
The Dollar edged lower during trading on Monday as investors took profit and adopted a prudent approach post-Italian referendum results.
Despite the slight weakness, sentiment still remains firmly bullish towards the Greenback with the rising optimism over Donald Trump boosting fiscal spending, cutting tax and increasing infrastructure spending ensuring the currency remains buoyed.
November’s impressive U.S services activity which hit a one-year high at 57.2 continues to highlight how domestic data from the world’s largest economy has repeatedly exceeded expectations in Q4.
Although it is widely expected that US interest rates will be increased in December’s meeting, much attention may be directed towards rate timings for 2017.
From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index could be experiencing a technical correction with support around 100.00 encouraging bullish investors to jump back in. Prices are trading below the daily 20 SMA but the MACD trades to the upside. If bears can conquer the 99.50 support, then sellers could make an appearance once again.
Euro Rocks The Currency Markets
The Euro displayed a savage recovery across the currency markets during trading on Monday with the EURUSD lurching a near 300 pips from the 1.050 lows as investors seemingly brushed away the Italian referendum “No” vote.
The mounting fears of political instability in Europe, uncertainty over the Italian economy and fears of Italy leaving the Eurozone were pushed to the side with risk-on propelling the Euro higher. While the short term gains in the Euro are very impressive, it may be too early to gauge the impacts of Sunday’s referendum results with more time needed in the New Year to digest the reality.
There still exists a layer of uncertainty over the next steps Italy may take and such could encourage the European Central Bank to extend its QE programme at December’s policy meeting.
Although sentiment should logically be bearish towards the Euro amid the uncertainty and anxiety, bulls have prevailed.
Euro bulls blasted through the 1.065 resistance with prices flying to fresh weekly highs above 1.075. If this upside momentum holds then the next relevant resistance may be found at 1.085.
Commodity Spotlight – Gold
The ever-rising expectations of the Federal Reserve raising US rates in December have left Gold extremely vulnerable to losses with the metal hovering around 10-month lows at $1170 as of writing.
This zero yielding metal has received a beating this year with the painful combination of mounting rate hike expectations, Dollars resurgence and revival of investor risk appetite encouraging bears to install heavy rounds of selling.
With prices repeatedly creating lower lows and lower highs on the daily timeframe, the metal can be considered bearish. Previous resistance around $1190 could transform into a dynamic resistance that sparks a steeper selloff towards $1150.
Currency Spotlight – GBPUSD
Sterling bulls may be commended on their bravery to fight against the tide despite the persistent hard Brexit fears denting buying sentiment towards the currency.
This GBPUSD remains fundamentally bearish with a strengthening Dollar amid the heightened rate expectations capping extreme upside gains. From a technical standpoint, the current technical bounce on the daily timeframe could come to an end at the 1.2850 resistance.
Although a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.2850 could be a game changer for the bulls, this level is historically pivotal and could fight back.
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Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has begun paying insured deposits to customers of the 46 recently failed microfinance banks.
Mr Thompson Sunday, managing director and chief executive, NDIC, disclosed this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Abuja.
The interview took place on the sidelines of the International Association of Deposit Insurers Africa Regional Committee meeting.
Sunday said the corporation was using the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBBS) and customers’ Bank Verification Numbers (BVN) for the payments.
He said the NDIC had traced depositors’ alternative bank accounts and credited them directly without requiring physical visits.
He advised depositors without BVNs to visit the nearest NDIC zonal office for verification and payment processing
“The CBN revoked the licences of the 46 microfinance banks on July 1, 2026,” he said.
He said the NDIC automatically became the provisional liquidator after the revocation, in line with the law.
Sunday said the corporation had commenced payment of the insured maximum deposit of N2 million to eligible customers.
He explained that further payments would depend on the recovery of the failed banks’ assets and outstanding debts.
He said proceeds realised from recoveries would be distributed as liquidation dividends to eligible depositors.
Sunday cited Heritage Bank, Aso Savings and Union Homes as examples of the NDIC’s prompt reimbursement efforts.
He said insured depositors of Heritage Bank were paid within four days of the revocation of its licence.
He added that customers of Aso Savings and Union Homes received payments within 72 hours.
“The law allows us 30 days, but we are working to surpass our previous records,” he said.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) revoked the banks’ licences for failing to meet regulatory requirements for continued operations.
The apex bank said the action was aimed at protecting depositors, strengthening financial stability and ensuring regulatory compliance.
Mr Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, has warned that fear, rumours and misinformation could trigger instability in the banking sector if not properly managed.
Mr Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy
Oyedele gave the warning in Abuja at the 2026 International Association of Deposit Insurers (IADI) Africa Regional Committee (ARC) Annual Meeting and Workshop, with the theme: “Safeguarding Stability: Public Awareness and Crisis Readiness for a Stronger Future.”
The minister said public confidence remained the foundation of every stable financial system, stressing that panic triggered by false information could create liquidity challenges even for financially sound institutions.
According to him, “there can be no economic growth without financial system stability, and there can be no financial stability without public trust.”
He explained that in the digital age, misinformation could spread rapidly across social media platforms, causing depositors to react out of fear.
“Public trust is fragile. In the digital age, rumours and misinformation can spread across social platforms in seconds, creating liquidity shocks even for solvent institutions,” Oyedele said.
He stressed that building public awareness should not be viewed as a public relations activity, but as a key risk management strategy capable of protecting depositors and strengthening the financial system.
Oyedele noted that deposit insurance had evolved beyond a mechanism for handling bank failures, describing it as a strategic tool for promoting confidence and economic stability.
He said effective crisis preparedness required clear frameworks, communication channels, simulation exercises and coordination among financial sector regulators before emergencies occur.
“Preparedness is not an event, it is a culture,” he said, adding that the strongest crisis response was one that prevented panic from occurring in the first place.
Highlighting Nigeria’s financial sector reforms, the minister said the country’s banking recapitalisation exercise, concluded in March 2026, strengthened the resilience of banks.
He disclosed that 33 out of Nigeria’s 37 banks met the new capital requirements, raising a combined N4.65 trillion in fresh capital, with over 70 per cent sourced from domestic investors.
Oyedele said a better-capitalised banking system would be better positioned to absorb shocks, sustain lending and reduce pressure on the deposit insurance fund.
He also pointed to Nigeria’s removal from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list in October 2025 as another milestone that strengthened confidence in the country’s financial system.
Also speaking, Mr Olayemi Cardoso, governor, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), said public awareness and crisis preparedness were central to maintaining financial stability.
Represented by Solaja Olayemi, director, Other Financial Institutions Supervision Department represented, Cardoso said financial systems globally were undergoing rapid transformation due to technological innovation, digital finance, changing consumer behaviour and increasing market interconnectedness.
According to him, while these developments create opportunities, they also introduce new risks that require stronger cooperation among financial safety-net institutions.
The CBN boss warned that misinformation could spread quickly through digital channels, amplifying depositor reactions and creating potential threats to financial stability.
He added that institutions must continuously strengthen crisis management frameworks, operational resilience and coordination mechanisms to respond effectively to emerging challenges.
The apex bank governor also highlighted the impact of Nigeria’s banking sector recapitalisation policy, saying stronger capital buffers would reduce the likelihood of bank failures and reinforce depositor confidence.
“No single institution can safeguard financial stability in isolation. It is through the coherence and complementarity of this institutional relationship that Nigeria’s financial safety net derives its strength,” he noted.
Earlier, Mr Thompson Sunday, managing director/chief executive officer, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), said confidence remained the most valuable asset in any financial system.
The NDIC boss said trust could take years to build but could be lost quickly if stakeholders perceived uncertainty or instability. He said deposit insurers must ensure that the public understands and trusts existing protection frameworks during both normal periods and times of crisis.
He noted that the 2023 global banking turmoil highlighted the need for institutions to invest in crisis simulation exercises, contingency planning and effective communication strategies.
According to him, the NDIC has continued to strengthen its operational readiness through improved depositor reimbursement systems, public awareness initiatives and enhanced crisis management capabilities.
European Union (EU) has warned the public against a fraudulent document circulating online which falsely claims that the bloc, in collaboration with the World Bank, is offering compensation to individuals whose funds are allegedly trapped in banks and financial institutions across West Africa.
In a statement issued on Wednesday in Abuja, the EU Delegation to Nigeria and ECOWAS described the purported compensation programme as a scam, stressing that neither the European Union nor the World Bank is involved in any such initiative.
The fake document, fraudulently attributed to Thérèse Blanchet, secretary-general of the Council of the European Union, claimed that a special EU-World Bank recovery programme has been established to compensate citizens of Europe and other countries whose legally transferred funds were allegedly withheld by banks in the region.
It also falsely stated that the EU Ambassador to Nigeria and ECOWAS has been mandated to supervise the compensation exercise and directs potential claimants to contact him for processing.
However, the EU categorically dismissed the claims, describing every aspect of the document as fabricated.
“The document in its entirety is a scam. The information and claims contained therein are false. The European Union is neither aware of any such bogus programme nor part of it,” the Delegation stated.
The EU further disclosed that the email addresses and telephone numbers listed in the fraudulent document, purportedly belonging to Ms. Blanchet and Ambassador Gautier Mignot, EU Ambassador to Nigeria and ECOWAS, , are fake and are being used by fraudsters to deceive unsuspecting victims.
The Delegation urged members of the public to ignore the fraudulent claims and avoid engaging with anyone promoting the scheme.
It emphasized that all official announcements from the European Union Delegation to Nigeria and ECOWAS are published exclusively through its official website and verified social media platforms.
The warning comes amid increasing cases of cyber-enabled financial fraud in which criminal syndicates impersonate international organisations, government institutions and senior officials to lure victims into paying fictitious processing fees or divulging sensitive personal and financial information.
The EU reiterated its commitment to combating fraud and misinformation while urging citizens to remain vigilant against scams exploiting the names and identities of reputable international institutions.
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