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FXTM: Trump U-Turns Dollar Weakness Fails to Support Rand, Lira

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FXTM Vice President of Market Research, Jameel Ahmad comments on the US President Donald Trump’s latest comments and escalating geopolitical risks.

The recent escalation of geopolitical risks dominating the financial market headlines has been briefly removed from investors’ radars after US President Donald Trump once again took the markets by surprise.

This time, President Trump made U-turns on several of his previous public views, making investors wonder whether he could be gradually abandoning some of his core election pledges. While it is not a surprise at all to hear the US President make downbeat comments over the Dollar, backing away from labelling China as a currency manipulator and seemingly supporting the need for lower US interest rates is a real surprise.

Trump reversing away from a previously well-documented aggressive stance on China will go a long way to improving his image in mainland China; it will also be seen by many other observers as an attempt towards improving diplomatic ties, following Chinese President Xi Jinping’s recent visit to the United States.

Away from diplomacy, this shift in tone should be viewed as a positive development for the financial markets, as it reduces the risk of China abandoning its US Treasury Holdings as a result of the previous risk of President Trump beginning a trade war with China.

Most emerging market currencies across Asia have welcomed the latest comments from the US President, with the majority of currencies across the Asian Pacific moving somewhat higher against the Dollar.

Emerging market currencies that are particularly sensitive to speculation around US interest rate rises, such as in Malaysia, Indonesia and perhaps the Indian Rupee, will also applaud comments around the need for lower US interest rates.

It has been noted that the Bond markets have benefitted from Trump’s unexpected comment that he “likes” the Federal Reserve’s low-interest rate policy.

However, the potential for further gains in the Asian emerging market currency space will be attributed to expectations of the Fed pulling the trigger on an interest rate rise once again in June drifting lower and also whether Trump next chooses to take a softer stance on protectionist policies.

While emerging market currencies across Asia have benefitted from Trump’s comments, it has not helped to find a bid for either the South African Rand or Turkish Lira. Both currencies are plagued by political risk, with the upcoming referendum in Turkey this weekend giving possible cause for a major event risk over the Easter weekend.

The Turkish Lira and South African Rand are obviously not correlated in any way, but with both currencies being plagued by political issues, this is impacting investor confidence and weakening economics that includes impending inflation risks.

Inflation risks are going to be a major headline attraction for the Rand over the next couple of months, following the currency being squashed to pieces in recent weeks.

Gold eyes $1300
The 2017 revival in the value of Gold is showing no signs of slipping, after the precious metal climbed to fresh levels not seen since the US Election, getting marginally close to $1290 earlier in trading on Thursday.

These are still uncertain times in the financial markets and some would even add global politics, meaning investors are keeping Gold as a close ally when it comes to hedging.

The combination of uncertainty when it comes to political risks, the upcoming elections in France, rising geopolitical tensions and doubts over Trump’s ability to follow through with his campaign promises presents an ongoing threat to investors entering a period of “risk-off” that is too difficult to ignore when it comes to being encouraged towards Gold.

Sterling Backs Away from Attempt for 1.26
After benefiting from the unwinding of USD positions, it appears that the GBPUSD is at threat of shying away from an attempt to reach 1.26 before the markets close for the Easter holidays. If you ask me, the ongoing uncertainty over Brexit’s direction is still enough motivation to maintain a negative mindset towards the Pound.

Investors are likely to continue utilising sell-on rally opportunities in the Cable, when the pair climbs near 1.25 with this being the mindset traders have exploited for months.

 

 


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E-Financial

CBN Directs IMTOs to Open Naira Settlement Accounts

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has directed all International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs) operating in the country to open and maintain naira settlement accounts with authorised dealer banks, as part of efforts to tighten oversight of diaspora remittances and improve transparency in the foreign exchange market.

CBN Directs IMTOs to Open Naira Settlement Accounts

The directive was contained in a circular dated March 24, 2026, signed by Dr Musa Nakorji, director of the Trade and Exchange Department, and addressed to IMTOs, authorised dealer banks and the general public.

The circular was published on the apex bank’s website on Tuesday.

The CBN said the measure is aimed at “enhancing diaspora remittances, strengthening transparency, traceability, and effective monitoring of all transactions.”

It stated that “all IMTOs are hereby directed to open naira settlement accounts and ensure that all transactions are routed strictly through their designated settlement accounts, maintained with Authorised Dealer Banks in Nigeria.”

Under the new rule, all inflows, beneficiary payments and related settlements linked to international money transfers are to be processed solely through these accounts.

IMTOs may, however, operate multiple settlement accounts across different banks in line with their operational needs.

The circular also introduced tighter controls on how the accounts can be funded, stating that they “shall only be credited with remittance flows and proceeds of foreign exchange conversions by licensed IMTOs (or their agents)” within the Nigerian foreign exchange market.

Operators are required to clearly designate the accounts and submit the details to the CBN, with updates provided periodically where necessary.

To improve market operations, authorised dealer banks are permitted to process foreign currency transfers from IMTO settlement accounts to other banks and approved participants, including licensed Bureau De Change operators.

The apex bank further directed IMTOs to adopt market-reflective pricing by referencing the Bloomberg BMatch system. It said IMTOs “shall observe real-time market prices from the Bloomberg BMATCH and utilise this as guidance for pricing transactions with their customers and Authorised Dealers.”

According to the CBN, this approach is expected to “improve price discovery, reduce information asymmetry between IMTOs and banks, and encourage increased participation in the official FX market.”

The bank added that all operators must maintain proper transaction records for regulatory checks and comply fully with anti-money laundering, counter-terrorism financing and counter-proliferation financing rules.

“This directive takes effect from May 1, 2026. Please note and ensure compliance,” the circular stated.

The move shows the CBN’s push to channel remittance inflows through formal banking channels, boost liquidity in the official foreign exchange market and strengthen regulatory oversight of cross-border transactions.

 


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DLM Capital Group’s AAA-Rated Sovereign Bond-Backed Composite Notes (“SBCNS”) Strengthens Investor Confidence with Successful First Principal & Interest Payment

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L-r: Kasham Musa Iliya, Non - Executive Director, DLM Global Markets; Kari Tukur, Non - Executive Director, DLM Capital Group; Dr Sonnie Babatunde Ayere, Group Chief Executive Officer, DLM Capital Group; Olayimika Phillips, Non - Executive Director, DLM Capital Group, and Michael Orimobi, Non - Executive Director, DLM Capital Group at the signing ceremony to conclude the ₦9 billion series 1 SBCN issuance in July 2025 at DLM HQ, Lagos.
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Foremost Development Investment Bank, DLM Capital Group has reinforced its position as a leader in innovative fixed income solutions with the successful payment of the first principal and interest (coupon) to investors under its Sovereign Bond-Backed Composite Notes (“SBCNs”) issuance.

This milestone, alongside the consistent delivery of quarterly performance reports, underscores the Group’s commitment to transparency, capital preservation, and investor confidence.

DLM SPV PLC’s 40.62% Hold-to-Maturity return ₦7.30 billion (Tranche A) and 19.07% ₦1.70 billion (Tranche B) Plain Vanilla Series 1 Notes, issued under its ₦30.00 billion Medium-Term Notes Programme and developed by Sonnie Babatunde Ayere, Group CEO of DLM Capital, was recently listed on the FMDQ Exchange with the Tranche A bond becoming the most valuable AAA-rated corporate bond on the market.

This represents a new class of structured debt instruments designed to meet both issuer funding needs and investor expectations. As a platform widely recognised for supporting innovative debt structures, FMDQ provides an enabling environment for instruments like DLM’s SBCNs to thrive.

At launch in July 2025, DLM SBCNs, which achieved a 9-notch upgrade from BBB- (GCR Sponsor ratings at issuance) without securitisation, entered the market with a healthy degree of skepticism, as is typical with pioneering financial instruments. However, after six months of post-issuance, DLM Funding SPV Plc has delivered on its promise by comfortably and successfully meeting its first principal and coupon obligations to its investors.

This performance milestone has significantly strengthened market confidence and validated the robustness of the structure. The notes are rated AAA by Global Credit Rating and AAA by DataPro Limited, reflecting their strong credit fundamentals and low-risk profile. Designed to prioritise capital preservation, liquidity, and above competitive market returns, the instrument stands out as one of the most compelling corporate fixed income offerings for institutional investors currently available in the market.

Investor response has been notably strong and institutional investors who are beginning to recognize the value of a well-structured de-risked, high-return and, high-quality fixed income investment backed by a credible issuer with a proven track record. The combination of timely coupon payments, high credit ratings, and ongoing transparency has positioned SBCNs as a preferred option for investors seeking stability and performance in today’s evolving financial landscape.

As investor interest continues to build towards Series 2, DLM SBCNs are not only demonstrating resilience but also setting a benchmark for innovation in Nigeria’s debt capital markets. In its role as a Development Investment Bank (“DIB”), DLM Capital Group remains committed to delivering structured solutions that align with investor needs whilst maintaining the highest standards of governance and execution.


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SEC Issues Six-Week Ultimatum to Market Operators to Submit Recapitalisation Plan

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said it has handed a six-week deadline to capital market operators to submit board-approved recapitalisation or license downgrade plans.

SEC Issues Six-Week Ultimatum to Market Operators to Submit Recapitalisation Plan

The directive was disclosed in the revised minimum capital guidelines issued by the Commission on March 18, 2026.

The Commission stated that all capital market operators must submit their board-approved and comprehensive implementation plans within six weeks of the June 30, 2027, compliance deadline.

“All CMOs are required to submit their recapitalization or downgrade plans within six weeks, with clear timelines and execution strategies.”

“Each plan must detail current capital position, minimum requirements, funding strategy, risk considerations, and governance structure.”

“Operators that fail to provide credible plans risk sanctions, including licence restrictions and regulatory delays under the ISA 2025 framework.”

“Pending applicants are not exempt, and applications older than 12 months will lapse and require fresh filings.”

The Commission added that this directive applies across all categories, including brokers, dealers, fund managers, custodians, exchanges, and digital asset operators, reinforcing the urgency of compliance.

The latest development followed its recent announcement on a sharp increase in minimum capital requirements across the capital market ecosystem, signaling one of the most significant regulatory adjustments in recent years.

Broker-dealers are now required to hold N2 billion, up from N300 million, while dealers must meet N1 billion, compared to the previous N100 million threshold.

On the other hand, Registrars face a new requirement of N2.5 billion, rising from N150 million, and Underwriters and clearing firms are benchmarked at N5 billion, while composite exchanges must now have N10 billion.

The Commission emphasised that the recapitalisation is not a one-time exercise but a long-term structural reform aimed at strengthening market resilience and aligning Nigeria with global standards.

A key feature of the new guidelines is the tightening of what qualifies as regulatory capital, which could significantly impact operators’ effective capital base.

The SEC has narrowed the definition to ensure only high-quality, loss-absorbing capital is recognised.

Recognized capital includes fully paid-up ordinary shares, qualifying irredeemable preference shares, share premium, and retained earnings from audited profits.

Unrealised gains are excluded, ensuring capital reflects actual financial strength.

Disallowed items include revaluation reserves, borrowed funds, shareholder loans, client funds, deferred tax assets, and encumbered capital, while Non-cash capital injections are permitted but must meet strict valuation criteria, including quoted equities, CIS units, government bonds, and eligible OTC-traded securities.

The Commission added that exclusion of debt and quasi-debt instruments underscores the regulator’s focus on enforcing genuine capital adequacy rather than leveraged compliance.


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