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Global Stocks Unmoved By Oil Price Revival- FXTM

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Global stocks displayed weakness during trading on Tuesday with most major arenas descending deeper into the red territory despite the resurgence in oil prices that previously boosted global sentiment.

It is becoming increasingly clear that oil market rallies have lost their grip on global stocks with investors directing their attention towards the state of the global economy as a means of triggering risk appetite.

This was reflected in the European markets which were left depressed over the concerns of faltering growth in the Eurozone economy, while Wall Street followed the same negative pattern as diminishing rate hike expectations left investors anxious. Although Asian equity markets continue to display resilience amid the growing speculations that the Bank of Japan may intervene, most Asian stocks could be poised to decline when risk aversion reclaims center stage.

Sterling Under Pressure
The Sterling exhibited explosive levels of volatility across the board during trading on Tuesday following the combination of Brexit woes and tepid UK inflation data which reinforced the bearish sentiment towards the currency.

With the E.U referendum vote looming, financial heavyweights such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Bank of England (BoE), and UK Treasury have firmly voiced their concerns over the impacts of a Brexit to the UK, which has consequently intensified Sterling volatility. With uncertainty mounting as the Brexit debate escalates and domestic data missing expectations, investor attraction continues to be haunted towards the Sterling with prices vulnerable to further losses.

Market participants may direct their attention towards Wednesday’s UK employment report and if this follows the same negative path as the CPI, then bears could be offered an opportunity to attack the Pound lower.

FOMC Minutes Preview
Investors may divert their attention towards the anticipated FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday which could offer some clarity on interest rate rise timings in 2016.

While it is likely that the FOMC minutes could be a non-event, investors may be pressured to heavily peruse the statement for potential clues on the possibility of the Fed taking action in July.

Although in the recent weeks, data from the States has displayed signs of recovery, it seems clear that the unstable global economic landscape still acts as a barrier that could sabotage the Feds efforts to raising rates.

Sentiment remains somewhat bearish towards the Dollar and Dollar weakness could continue to be the theme in the global currency markets if May’s NFP fails to show signs of a recovery.

WTI Crude Springs To 6 Months High
WTI Crude lurched to fresh 6 month highs at $47 during trading on Tuesday as expectations grew over a potential drop in supply amid the obstruction in production from major oil exporting nations such as Nigeria, Canada, and Venezuela.

While bulls may be commended for exploiting this opportunity to sending oil prices higher, with overall global oil production still near record highs this commodity remains fundamentally bearish.

The oversupply woes may act as a barrier which prevents prices from trading higher while fading expectations over OPEC agreeing on a production freeze should encourage bears to attack.

Although prices are currently pressing forcefully against $47, any signs of weakness could provide an opportunity for bears to send the commodity back towards $44. If the crude oil inventories report on Wednesday’s signals a rise in stockpiles then bears could utilize this catalyst to send prices lower.

Gold Bulls Challenge $1285
Gold prices rebounded from the daily 20 SMA during trading on Tuesday as the growing concerns over the health of the global economy provided a foundation for bullish investors to send the price higher.

This yellow metal continues to fight against the resurgence in Dollar strength and could be poised to break above $1285 if the FOMC meeting minutes have a dovish touch. Expectations have already diminished over the Fed taking action in Q2 and when Dollar weakness reclaims center stage, bulls could be offered an opportunity to install another heavy round of buying. From a technical standpoint, prices are trading above the daily 20 SMA while the MACD trades to the upside. If the daily 20 SMA defends, then Gold could rise towards $1285 and potentially higher.

Opinion by Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM

 

 

 


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E-Financial

FG Moves to End Double Taxation

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Federal government has started new efforts to improve tax collection in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and stop the problem of multiple taxation.

FG Moves to End Double Taxation

Mr. Taiwo Oyedele, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the economy, disclosed this after a meeting with Nyesom Wike, minister, FCT, on Sunday.

According to Oyedele, the meeting focused on strengthening cooperation between the Ministry of Finance and the FCT Administration to support development projects in Abuja.

A major part of the discussion was how to improve tax administration in the territory.

He explained that the proposed tax harmonisation would create a more coordinated tax system, reduce the burden of multiple taxes on residents and businesses, and improve government revenue collection.

Oyedele said the plan is in line with the new tax reform law and is expected to help accelerate development across the FCT.

“The two ministers also reviewed plans to harmonise tax administration within the FCT,” he said.

He added that the initiative would eliminate multiple taxation while ensuring that government revenue is collected more efficiently.

The meeting also examined ways to strengthen collaboration on infrastructure projects across Abuja.

According to Oyedele, discussions centred on supporting the FCT’s ongoing infrastructure renewal programme.

He commended Wike’s approach to development, noting that the minister has focused on completing long-abandoned projects rather than starting new ones.

Oyedele said this strategy is helping to unlock economic and social benefits for residents by bringing stalled public projects back into use.

The proposed tax harmonisation is expected to make tax administration easier for individuals and businesses operating in the FCT while aligning Abuja’s revenue system with the provisions of the new tax reform law.

 


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Standard Bank Targets $15.4b SME Growth in Nigeria, Others with Trade Expansion Drive

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Standard Bank Group has identified Nigeria and four other markets as strategic growth hubs as it seeks to tap into $15.4 billion revenue opportunity driven by expanding small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and rising intra-African trade.

The bank disclosed the plan through Bill Blackie, the Chief Executive Officer of its Business and Commercial Banking (Standard Bank Group) division, who outlined the lender’s growth strategy in an interview with Bloomberg.

Under the strategy, Standard Bank will deepen its presence in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania while consolidating its dominance in South Africa. The five markets account for about 85 per cent of the estimated revenue opportunity available to the group’s BCB operations.

The expansion forms part of the lender’s broader ambition to accelerate earnings growth through 2028, leveraging increasing demand for banking services among businesses across the continent.

According to Blackie, the BCB division has recorded robust growth over the past five years, supported by rising business activity and greater demand for financial services across Africa.

He said the division doubled both headline earnings and return on capital between 2020 and 2025, with return on capital increasing from 19 per cent to 38 per cent during the period.

Earnings from operations across the continent also expanded at an average annual rate of 30 per cent.

Building on this performance, the bank is targeting compound annual growth of between eight and nine per cent through 2028, although Blackie expressed confidence that growth could reach double-digit levels as the strategy gains traction.

A key pillar of Standard Bank’s growth strategy is expanding support for SMEs and mid-sized businesses, which account for most enterprises across Africa.

The bank is particularly positioning itself to benefit from opportunities created by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), which is expected to accelerate economic integration and cross-border commerce across the continent.

According to the International Trade Centre, nearly half of Africa’s small businesses export to other African countries, compared with only 14 per cent of larger firms, underscoring the critical role of SMEs in driving regional commerce.

The lender is also leveraging its extensive African footprint and strategic partnership with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to attract businesses seeking access to international markets, particularly China.


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NAICOM’s 18 Months Management Spill @ African Alliance Ends

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The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has handed over the management of African Alliance Insurance Plc to a newly constituted board nominated by shareholders.

‎The move ends a regulatory intervention that rescued the troubled insurer from the brink of collapse.

The development marks a major milestone in the insurance industry’s efforts to strengthen policyholders’ protection and restore confidence in the sector, following months of intensive regulatory oversight aimed at stabilising the company.

NAICOM had stepped into the affairs of African Alliance Insurance in October 2024 after the insurer was hit by severe liquidity constraints, mounting annuity payment arrears, unresolved claims obligations, regulatory infractions and reputational challenges that threatened its survival and eroded public trust.

‎Speaking at the handover ceremony, Commissioner for Insurance, Olusegun Omosehin, said the intervention had achieved its primary objectives of restoring operational stability, settling outstanding liabilities and protecting the interests of shareholders and annuitants.

Omosehin said a successful turnaround demonstrates the regulator’s commitment to safeguarding the insurance industry while ensuring that policyholders do not bear the consequences of corporate distress.

He also highlighted the significance of the newly enacted Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025, describing it as a game-changer for the sector.

The Commissioner observed that had the fund been in existence before the African Alliance’s crisis, it would have helped to cushion the impact on policyholders by facilitating the timely settlement of legitimate claims and annuity obligations.

He charged the new board to uphold high standards of corporate governance, transparency and regulatory compliance, while prioritising prompt claims settlement, sound solvency management and prudent business practices.

Industry stakeholders view the successful rehabilitation of African Alliance as a test case for regulatory intervention in Nigeria’s insurance sector, particularly at a time when operators are under pressure to strengthen their capital base, improve governance standards and rebuild public confidence.

During its tenure, the NAICOM appointed an interim board to restore liquidity through the recovery of trapped dividend funds and other inflows, settled a significant portion of annuity arrears and legacy claims, facilitated the transfer of the company’s annuity portfolio, completed forensic and actuarial reviews and addressed several regulatory and operational challenges. ‎


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