E-Financial
Gold – The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

Weak economies are more vulnerable to uncertainty, political extremes and populism, post-World-War Germany and Russia proved this beyond a doubt. The Gold price tracks economic uncertainty, and by that token, it also tracks the outer reaches of the populist pendulum.
The more uncertainty there is over the economy, the more extreme are the pendulum’s swings to the left or right, and the dollar-denominated Gold price reflects both these phenomena.
In 1973, the then-US president Nixon took the country off the Gold standard, and ever since, traders have seen the asset as a hedge against uncertainty (the good), as a clear signal of economic trouble (the bad) and as a benchmark for populism and political instability (the ugly).
An economy that can’t sustain jobs or its financial system risks heading towards mass unrest. Economic instability creates circumstances that are easily exploited by demagogues and populists, examples include men like Hitler or Stalin.
Political leaders on either side of the political spectrum can gain immensely strong, even authoritarian positions by fear mongering and seeming to offer the only way out of financial or political insecurity.
The realisation that populism can lead to extremism gave birth to the European Union, which is based on the concept that mutual economic interests lead to stronger economies and peaceful cooperation. In 2017, the EU will be 60 years old, but what are the dangers ahead? Much has been made of the recent rise of populism in the US, UK and EU, but we must be careful in choosing our comparisons because circumstances are very different to the first half of the 20th Century when war left these countries utterly devastated.
In addition, today’s mature economies are structured very differently to those in the first 50 years of the 20th Century when they were built mainly on monarchical systems and the value of physical assets.
Back to the recent present, the US narrowly avoided a serious depression after the sub-prime crisis by pumping billions of dollars into the financial system in 2007/8. In 2009, the Gold price hit a record high of $1000 per ounce, reflecting the trading market’s safe-haven buying instincts. That was just the beginning.
By September 2011, the Gold price had hit a record high of $1920 per ounce, and another record was set for the US government debt ceiling.
The US has spent the last two administrations stabilising the economy, but the Federal Reserve is still cautious about raising interest rates. The main sources of the central bank’s reservations are global and domestic growth, which are still slower than expected.
These economic circumstances favoured the more colourfully-populist candidate in the recent US elections, and Donald Trump won the election on a platform focused on popular dissatisfaction and fear over job losses, pinning his campaign on immigration control and protectionist economic policies.
Pre-election, the Gold price rose, but those who are pinning their hopes on US populism pushing the Gold price even higher may be disappointed. Since the US elections and the end of uncertainty around them, Gold has fallen to below $1190 per ounce, indicating that investors are partial to Trump’s economic policies – at least for the time being.
Meanwhile, the EU and UK are going through a period of relatively slow growth and still recovering from their own recessions. The ECB and Bank of England are spending heavily and pumping money into national assets like sovereign and corporate bonds while keeping interest rates low.
The low growth rates in the last eight years have led to higher unemployment and more social unrest in the UK which Brexit campaigners directed at the EU, blaming it for the immigrants seen as taking British jobs.
True to form, the Gold price spiked in July 2016 after the Brexit vote triggered risk-aversion and uncertainty amid the increasingly populist and nationalist campaigning from the Brexit camp.
The UK is not alone in this trend; in the Spring of 2017, France faces the choice of a far-right candidate or a national front candidate during presidential elections. Gold could heat up during this period, especially since UK Prime Minister Theresa May said she will trigger Article 50 in March 2017.
The expectations are rising that there will be a ‘hard’ Brexit, meaning that the UK would be left out of the Single Market and go back to the days of bilateral tax and visa treaties with individual EU states, restricting migration and trade.
In addition to the Brexit fears, Gold was driven higher in 2016 during the Federal Reserve’s monthly announcements and continuing hesitation over raising US interest rates. Investors have a love-hate relationship with Gold and the Federal Reserve, when they’re disappointed in the Fed, they love Gold and buy it passionately. The reverse is also true, when traders fall back in love with the Fed, Gold is spurned in favour of USD-denominated assets.
Have we reached the point of nationalism, economic devastation and populism that led to dictatorships in Europe and dragged the world into more war? By no means. The economic outlook is still far more stable than it was post-World War II, and provided the US economy keeps growing there is more chance of other mature economies following suit.
The Gold price can indicate what level populism reaches before it tips over into extremism, before slow growth tips into recession. What it’s telling us now is that economically-speaking, we’re not out of the woods yet.
The good scenario is Gold reaching pre-subprime crisis levels below $1000 per ounce. The bad scenario is a rise over $1300 per ounce, as seen during the Brexit shock. The ugly – at least in terms of uncertainty and instability – is a return to $1920 and over.
E-Financial
IMF Raises Concerns over N8.83 Trillion Unreported Spending in Nigeria’s Budgets

International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised concerns over Nigeria’s fiscal transparency, disclosing that about two per cent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), estimated at N8.83 trillion, was omitted from recent official budget documents.

Bola Tinubu
Unreported public spending—also known as off-budget expenditure—happens when a government spends money on public projects or services without including those costs in official budget documents.
This practice hides the true size of the government’s deficit, hides debt accumulation, and distorts overall economic data.
The IMF said the unreported expenditure has created a significant gap between Nigeria’s reported fiscal deficit and its actual financing requirements, making government borrowing appear lower than it truly is.
Speaking at an industry event in Lagos, Christian Ebeke, resident representative of IMF in Nigeria, said the expenditure should have been reflected in the country’s fiscal accounts to present a more accurate picture of public finances.
“So far we think that there are about two per cent of GDP of expenditure that were not reported that should be reported and should be recorded, so that this statistical discrepancy will disappear,” Ebeke said.
The estimate translates to approximately N8.83 trillion, based on the National Bureau of Statistics’ (NBS) latest nominal GDP figure of N441.5 trillion for 2025.
According to the NBS, Nigeria’s nominal GDP increased from N372.8 trillion in 2024 to N441.5 trillion in 2025 following improved performance across both the oil and non-oil sectors.
Using the Central Bank of Nigeria’s average exchange rate of N1,436 to the dollar for 2025, the omitted expenditure amounts to about $6.15 billion.
Ebeke attributed the discrepancy largely to capital projects executed outside the formal budget framework, noting that the omission had distorted assessments of Nigeria’s fiscal position and public investment profile.
He explained that some government spending was neither captured in approved budget documents nor reflected in budget implementation reports, resulting in an understatement of the country’s actual fiscal deficit.
According to him, the lack of comprehensive reporting also complicates coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities, as policymakers are left without a complete picture of government finances.
“The lack of full reporting can also complicate coordination between fiscal and monetary policy, as policymakers may not have a clear picture of the true deficit,” he said.
Ebeke warned that off-budget spending raises broader concerns about accountability, procurement processes and institutional oversight, stressing that improving fiscal transparency should remain a priority for the government.
“Improving transparency is critical,” he added, noting that expenditures outside the formal budget process undermine effective oversight and public accountability.
The IMF representative, however, acknowledged that the Federal Government has begun taking steps to address the problem through legislative reforms aimed at bringing previously unreported expenditures within the formal budget framework.
He said the authorities were working to amend existing budget laws to ensure greater disclosure of government spending but stressed that such reforms must be accompanied by timely and comprehensive budget implementation reports.
According to him, closing the reporting gap is essential to strengthening public financial management, improving transparency and restoring confidence in Nigeria’s fiscal framework.
The IMF’s latest observations come months after the National Bureau of Statistics rebased Nigeria’s economy, changing the GDP base year from 2010 to 2019, a revision that significantly increased the size of the country’s economy and, by implication, the value of expenditure estimates expressed as a percentage of GDP.
The concerns also follow the IMF’s recent Article IV Consultation on Nigeria, in which the Fund commended the Federal Government’s ongoing economic reforms for improving macroeconomic stability and boosting investor confidence, while cautioning that persistent structural weaknesses continue to limit the impact of the reforms on the broader population.
E-Financial
Visa Targets Nigeria, Others in Visa Pay Expansion Drive

Visa is expanding access to Visa Pay for additional issuers across Africa through a software development kit (SDK) that enables banks, mobile money operators, and fintechs embed Visa Pay capabilities into their existing mobile applications and to launch virtual cards and payment experiences quickly and securely.

According to a statement from the company, the solution is an interoperable and secure way for banked and unbanked consumers to transact and move money across participating banks, fintechs and mobile networks.
Issuers adopting Visa Pay’s SDK span multiple markets across the continent including Ghana, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Sudan, Comoros, Mauritius, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Tanzania, and Sierra Leone.
With integrated issuer processing capabilities, built-in customer experience, tokenisation readiness and Visa-certified security and compliance components, SDK helps accelerate and simplify the deployment of Visa Pay, particularly in markets where infrastructure constraints can slow digital transformation.
Looking ahead, Visa Pay will continue to evolve with new capabilities designed to further simplify everyday payments. Among the features expected to launch soon is Tap to Pay, which will enable consumers to make secure contactless payments by simply tapping their phone at a contactless-enabled checkout terminal, said the firm.
“Visa Pay is designed to help issuers meet a wide range of market needs, from secure e-commerce and remittances to mobile money-linked virtual cards, humanitarian disbursements, person-to-person payments and future contactless experiences,” said Godfrey Sullivan, senior vice president and head of products and solutions for Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa at Visa.
“The adoption of Visa Pay represents an important step in strengthening our digital payments capabilities and supporting our broader digital transformation agenda. At a time when Sudan’s current challenges have increased the need for resilient and accessible financial services, we believe digital payment solutions play a critical role in enhancing customer convenience, supporting business continuity, and promoting financial inclusion” commented Yousif Eltinay, CEO of United Capital Bank, Sudan.
According to Jesse Jackson, chief digital and innovation officer for Tanzania Commercial Bank, from a business perspective, Visa Pay will enable it accelerate digital adoption among both consumers and merchants, increase transaction activity within its ecosystem, expand merchant acceptance and strengthen customer engagement.
“It also supports our broader goal of driving financial inclusion by bringing more individuals and businesses into the digital economy.”
E-Financial
NDIC Warns Against Transactions with 46 Closed Microfinance Banks

Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has warned members of the public against carrying out any transactions with the 46 microfinance banks whose operating licences were revoked by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

NDIC
The corporation issued the warning on Thursday following the revocation of the licences by the CBN on July 1, 2026.
In a statement, the NDIC said it had been appointed the official liquidator of the failed banks pursuant to Section 12(2) of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2020 and Sections 55(1) and 55(2) of the NDIC Act 2023.
It stated that the affected microfinance banks were no longer authorised to carry out banking business in Nigeria following the withdrawal of their licences.
The corporation cautioned members of the public against engaging in any unauthorised transactions with the closed banks or attempting to tamper with their assets and records.
It warned that any attempt by individuals to remove, conceal, retain or interfere with the assets, records or properties of the failed institutions would constitute a violation of the law and could attract appropriate legal sanctions.
According to the NDIC, it has commenced the process of an orderly closure of the banks through their immediate takeover, verification of depositors and payment of insured deposits to eligible customers.
The corporation assured depositors that the liquidation process would be conducted in accordance with relevant laws and regulations.
It added that depositors and the general public would be kept informed on further steps regarding the liquidation exercise, including the verification process and payment of insured sums to eligible depositors.
The NDIC urged customers of the affected banks to remain calm, assuring them of its commitment to protecting insured deposits and ensuring an orderly resolution of the failed financial institutions.
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