General News
IMF Raises Nigeria’s 2025 GDP Growth Forecast to 3.4%
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected a 3.4 percent expansion in Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 2025, following the conclusion of its annual Article IV consultation with the country.
The IMF announced the forecast in a statement on Wednesday, highlighting progress in macroeconomic reforms while cautioning about persistent vulnerabilities.
The Article IV consultation is a regular assessment of a country’s economic performance and policy framework by the IMF’s executive board. The latest review reflects cautious optimism about Nigeria’s economic trajectory amid ongoing reform efforts.
According to the IMF, Nigeria’s growth in 2024 reached 3.4 percent, mainly driven by increased hydrocarbon production and a robust services sector. However, agricultural output remained subdued due to security challenges and falling productivity.
The IMF expects the positive momentum to continue into 2025, supported by the start of operations at a new domestic refinery, higher oil production, and sustained performance in services. It projected that medium-term growth would remain around 3.5 percent, buoyed by domestic reforms despite an uncertain global environment.
“The Nigerian authorities have implemented major reforms over the past two years which have improved macroeconomic stability and enhanced resilience,” the Fund stated. “The authorities have removed costly fuel subsidies, stopped monetary financing of the fiscal deficit, and improved the functioning of the foreign exchange market.”
The IMF said investor confidence has improved, noting Nigeria’s successful re-entry into the Eurobond market and the resumption of portfolio inflows. However, it acknowledged that poverty and food insecurity have worsened, pushing the government to prioritize inclusive growth.
The report also highlighted positive trends in external reserves, foreign exchange market stability, and inflation. It noted that inflation dropped to 23.7 percent year-on-year in April 2025 from an annual average of 31 percent in 2024, based on the rebased Consumer Price Index released by the National Bureau of Statistics.
“Naira stabilization and improvements in food production brought inflation to 23.7 percent… Inflation should decline further in the medium-term with continued tight macroeconomic policies and a projected easing of retail fuel prices,” the IMF said.
On the fiscal front, the Fund said revenue gains from currency depreciation, improved administration, and higher grants helped offset rising interest payments and administrative costs, leading to improved fiscal performance in 2024.
Despite the progress, the IMF warned of growing risks. It said falling global oil prices or rising financing costs could negatively impact Nigeria’s economic stability. “A further decline in oil prices or increase in financing costs would adversely affect growth, fiscal and external positions, undermine financial stability and exacerbate exchange rate pressures,” it said.
The IMF further cautioned that any deterioration in domestic security could derail growth and worsen food insecurity across the country.
Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has detained Tunde Ayeni, former chairman of defunct Skye Bank Plc, for alleged fraud involving N36.5 billion and $30 million.
Tunde Ayeni, former chairman of defunct Skye Bank Plc,
This follows the probe of alleged diversion of N36.5 billion and $30 million secured as loans from Polaris Bank Plc through companies linked to Ayeni.
He was arrested by EFCC operatives in Abuja on April 23, 2026, and is still been held in custody as at the time of filling the report.
Dele Oyewale, spokesperson, EFCC, confirmed the arrest on Friday but declined to provide further details.
Ayeni is under investigation for diverting funds obtained for marine security, electricity distribution, and real estate projects into other unknown projects.
Investigators allege the loans were instead channelled into telecom investments tied to NITEL/MTEL assets via a NATCOM account.
About 12 firms believed to be connected to Ayeni are also under investigation for their role in securing the loans.
The EFCC is expected to file charges once the investigation is concluded.
Summit Household Solutions Limited has opened its ultra-modern manufacturing facility in Ota, Ogun State, as part of its efforts to scale production of home and personal care products in Nigeria.
The plant, which started operations in April 2025, produces items such as dishwashing liquids, handwash, sanitisers and multipurpose liquid soaps, with an annual capacity estimated at 7,000 tonnes.
Commissioning the facility on behalf of Governor Dapo Abiodun, the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Investment, Mr Kehinde Akintomide, said the investment reflects growing confidence in Ogun State’s business environment.
He noted that the state hosts over 6,000 manufacturing firms and described the development as consistent with ongoing efforts to promote industrialisation, attract investment and reduce reliance on imports under the Federal Government’s Renewed Hope initiative.
Akintomide disclosed that the factory has already employed more than 50 Nigerians, with projections to exceed 250 jobs as operations expand.
In his remarks, the General Manager of the company, Mr Sadiq Ali, said the facility represents a major step in Summit’s growth plans, adding that its flagship brand, 2Sure, currently leads production at the plant.
He also revealed that the company is preparing to introduce new home and personal care products later this year.
Summit Household Solutions manufactures the 2Sure brand and has expanded into the personal care segment with Lewar, a premium beauty soap line positioned for quality and affordability.
Among dignitaries present were the Onikotun of Otun, Ota, Oba Abdulakeem Odunaro, representing the Olota of Ota, Prof. Adeyemi Abdulkabir Obalanlege; the Agba Akin of Ota, Chief Dada Olusola; Director of Investment, Ms Yemisi Folarin; Director of Industrial Promotion, Mr Femi Adeboye; former Managing Director of 7Up Bottling Company, Mr Ziad Maalouf; and the Chief Executive Officer of OmniRetail, Mr Deepanker Rustagi.
Speaking at the event, Maalouf, who conceived the 2Sure brand during his time at 7Up Bottling Company, expressed satisfaction with its growth and commended Summit Solutions Limited for advancing the brand.
The special guests were conducted around the facility, and the programme was concluded with a luncheon.
The administration of Donald Trump has frozen $344 million in cryptocurrency allegedly linked to Iran, marking a sharp escalation in financial pressure on Tehran.
The move comes amid stalled diplomatic efforts and a fragile ceasefire in the region.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that authorities are sanctioning multiple crypto wallets tied to Iran. “We will follow the money that Tehran is desperately attempting to move outside of the country and target all financial lifelines tied to the regime,” he said.
Tether, which facilitated the transactions, said it worked with U.S. authorities to freeze the funds across two wallet addresses after receiving intelligence linked to unlawful activity.
A U.S. official said blockchain analysis revealed “material links” to the Iranian regime, including transactions routed through intermediary addresses connected to wallets associated with the Central Bank of Iran.
Responding to the development, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the company does not tolerate illicit use of its stablecoin. “USD₮ is not a safe haven for illegal activity. When there is credible linkage to sanctioned entities or criminal networks, we act immediately,” he stated.
The crackdown underscores the growing reliance of sanctioned states on digital assets to bypass traditional banking restrictions. Data from Chainalysis shows Iran’s cryptocurrency holdings reached $7.8 billion in 2025, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reportedly controlling about half.
Analysts say while the freeze is significant, Iran has historically adapted to sanctions. Daniel Tannebaum of the Atlantic Council noted that targeting third-party actors enabling such transactions may be key to increasing pressure.
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