E-Financial
IMF Tells Nigeria, Others to Devalue Currency, Hike Interest Rates
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has advised emerging economies including Nigeria to allow their currencies to depreciate in response to tighter funding conditions and an imminent policy tightening by the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States.
The Washington-based lender also counselled the Central Bank of Nigeria and the apex banks of emerging economies to raise their benchmark interest rate in preparation for the Fed policy tightening.
The IMF disclosed this in a blogpost titled, ‘Emerging Economies Must Prepare for Fed Policy Tightening,’ on Monday.
According to the fund, while changes in the global economic outlook appear positive, especially in the United States, these changes are uncertain for emerging markets.
It noted that emerging markets with high public and private debts, foreign exchange exposures, and lower current-account balances had been seeing larger movements of their currencies relative to the US dollar in recent months.
As a result, the IMF said the combination of slower growth and elevated vulnerabilities could create adverse feedback loops for the emerging economies.
It said, “Some emerging markets have already started to adjust monetary policy and are preparing to scale back fiscal support to address rising debt and inflation.
“In response to tighter funding conditions, emerging markets should tailor their response based on their circumstances and vulnerabilities. Those with policy credibility on containing inflation can tighten monetary policy more gradually, while others with stronger inflation pressures or weaker institutions must act swiftly and comprehensively.
“In either case, responses should include letting currencies depreciate and raising benchmark interest rates. If faced with disorderly conditions in foreign exchange markets, central banks with sufficient reserves can intervene provided this intervention does not substitute for warranted macroeconomic adjustment.
“Nevertheless, such actions can pose difficult choices for emerging markets as they trade off supporting a weak domestic economy with safeguarding price and external stability. Similarly, extending support to businesses beyond existing measures may increase credit risks and weaken the longer-term health of financial institutions by delaying the recognition of losses. And rolling back those measures could further tighten financial conditions, weakening the recovery.”
The IMF said that to manage the tradeoffs, emerging economies must take steps to strengthen policy frameworks and reduce vulnerabilities now.
It added that central banks needed to be clear and consistent in communicating its tightening measures to contain inflation pressures in order to enhance the public’s understanding of the need to pursue price stability.
According to it, countries with high levels of debt denominated in foreign currencies must try to reduce it and hedge its exposures where feasible, and while reducing rollover risks, the maturity of obligations should be extended even if it increases costs.
The IMF said heavily indebted countries might need to start fiscal adjustment sooner and faster.
It added that emerging economies were currently battling elevated inflation rates, and high public debt profiles.
It said, “Beyond these immediate measures, fiscal policy can help build resilience to shocks. Setting a credible commitment to a medium-term fiscal strategy would help boost investor confidence and regain room for fiscal support in a downturn.
“Such a strategy could include announcing a comprehensive plan to gradually increase tax revenues, improve spending efficiency, or implement structural fiscal reforms such as pension and subsidy overhauls.”
The Washington-based lender said the average gross government debt in emerging markets was up by almost 10 per cent since 2019, reaching an estimated 64 per cent of Gross Domestic Product by the end of 2021, with large variations across countries.
FDI into Telecoms Sector Plummet by 70 Per Cent
Foreign capital flows into the Nigerian telecommunications sector shrank by 70.5 per cent to $107.46m in nine months last year, compared to the same period of 2020.
Data obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics’(NBS) reports on capital importation showed that the foreign capital inflows stood at $364.3m from January to September 2020.
According to the NBS, capital importation data is obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria and is inclusive of imported physical capital, such as equipment, and financial capital importation.
It added that capital importation is divided into three main investment categories: foreign direct investment, portfolio investment, and other investments.
Capital importation into the telecoms sector fell from $157.48m in first quarter of 2020 to $105.64m in Q2 and $101.18m in Q3.
In Q1 2021, foreign capital flows into the sector plunged from $56.28m in Q1 2021 to $0.34m in Q2 but rose to $50.84m in Q3.
Isa Pantami,inister of Communications and Digital Economy recently described the Information Communication Technology sector as an important catalyst for the diversification and growth of the economy, according to Punch
Going by recent developments in the sector, capital inflow is expected to increase as investments are directed towards increasing broadband penetration in the country.
MTN recently committed to invest N640bn (about $1.5bn) over the next three years to expand broadband access in Nigeria.
The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) auctioned in December two of its available lots of 100 MHz TDD slots of 3.5 GHz band for the deployment of fifth-generation network for $547m.
According to the Global System for Mobile Communications Association, $500m and 6000 base stations will be needed for 5G rollout in 10 cities in Nigeria, driving the inflow of capital into the sector.
A source in the Association of Licensed Telecommunication Operators of Nigeria (ALTON) blamed the fall in capital inflows on the scarcity of foreign exchange, and government policy.
The source said, “Lack of forex has impacted on how we can import equipment into the country. This has reduced investments too. There is also the issue of end-user certificate. Because for us to import some equipment into the country, we need the certification of the security agencies, especially the National Security Adviser’s office.
The House of Representatives has launched an investigation into 25 insurance companies over alleged financial infractions that have reportedly led to the loss of hundreds of billions of naira in government revenue.
Chairman of the House Sub-Committee on Capital Market and Institutions, Hon. Kwamoti Laori, made the disclosure on Monday during a meeting with representatives of the affected companies at the National Assembly Complex in Abuja.
Laori said the probe was prompted by petitions accusing the companies of violating statutory provisions in their operations, thereby shortchanging the federal government.
“This committee is saddled with the responsibility of addressing a petition based on infractions by these insurance companies regarding their operations and non-compliance with certain statutory provisions,” he said.
“These infractions have led to the federal government losing hundreds of billions of naira in revenue. That is why the companies were invited—to either confirm or refute the liabilities ascribed to them.”
According to the lawmaker, each of the 25 companies had been formally notified of their respective liabilities and summoned to explain their financial dealings.
“The essence of this engagement is to ensure that what is due to the federal government from these private entities is fully remitted,” Laori added.
He emphasized that it is within the constitutional mandate of the National Assembly to track government revenue and block leakages, particularly in sectors involving private sector collaboration.
The committee also frowned at some of the companies’ attempt to stall the investigation by resorting to legal action.
“Some of the companies have gone to court and served the House with court processes. It is now up to us and the House leadership to examine those court papers,” Laori said. “If the court action does not affect the core of our mandate, we will proceed. If it does, we’ll await the court’s decision.”
He criticized what he described as a strategy aimed at obstructing parliamentary oversight.
“Going to court appears to be a deliberate attempt to throw a spanner in the works of the National Assembly,” he stated.
Laori also expressed dissatisfaction with the failure of some company heads to appear in person, instead sending representatives who were unable to respond to critical questions.
“We have insisted that Chief Operating Officers (COOs) must appear in person. One of the COOs sent someone who couldn’t answer any of the allegations—this is unacceptable,” he said. “It is the same people that will later accuse the National Assembly of not doing its job.”
The committee chairman did not spare the industry’s regulator—the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM)—which he accused of negligence.
“NAICOM has a supervisory role, and if they were doing their job effectively, we wouldn’t be here conducting this investigation. They need to sit up,” Laori said.
Meanwhile, 17 of the companies currently in court sent a legal representative, Mr. Abimbola Kayode, to the hearing on Monday.
The naira closed the past week weaker than the previous one, as it depreciated by 0.14 per cent week-on-week to settle at 1,532.34/$ at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market.
This weakening came despite the naira rebounding to a four-month high on the first trading day to close at 1,518.88/$. After that, it weakened to 1,530.25/$, then lower to 1,533.11/$ before gaining some strength to close the week at 1,532.34/$ at the official market.
During the past week, the highest amount that the naira traded for was 1,538/$, and the lowest was 1,515/$ on the NFEM.
At the parallel market, the currency closed trading within the band of 1,535.00/$ and 1,544.00/$1.
Analysts have maintained that the intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria and improvement in the foreign exchange liquidity were essential to stabilising the naira at the FX market.
Cowry Assets Management Limited, in its weekly market report, averred that the naira had recorded mixed trading across the markets as it appreciated slightly by 0.06 per cent week-on-week to close at 1,544.00/$1 at the parallel market while closing in the red zone at the official market.
“The divergent movements reflect ongoing supply-demand imbalances and the evolving FX liquidity landscape,” stated the analysts, who, however, maintained that the naira looks to record further gains as improved oil output and elevated prices drive higher dollar inflows, which could sustain the current pace of reserve accretion.
“The positive oil earnings outlook, combined with steady capital inflows, should offer continued support for the naira and enhance near-term FX market stability,” the report added.
Recent data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission shows that the average daily crude oil production (excluding condensates) rose by 3.6 per cent to 1.51 million barrels per day in June 2025 from 1.45 mbpd in May. This marks the first time in five months that Nigeria has met its OPEC production quota, reflecting improvements in operational efficiencies and security around key oil-producing assets.
AIICO Capital Limited, in its weekly report, noted that the CBN had intervened intermittently in the FX market in the past week.
It stated, “Dollar sales early and late in the week helped maintain relative stability. The naira closed at 1,532.34/$, down 13.6 bps w/w. Reserves rose by $422m to $37.85bn” as of Thursday from $37.43bn in the previous week.
It is expected that the naira will likely hold its current range amid better liquidity, while markets weigh potential FX impacts from the Monetary Policy Committee’s decision starting Monday (today).
Analysts are split on what the decision of the MPC should be regarding the benchmark. On one side, doves are calling for a modest rate cut, pointing to cooling inflation, a more stable naira, and signs of reform traction. On the other hand, hawks are warning that premature easing could undo all the gains of FX reforms and decelerating inflation, especially with food supply shocks and global risk still very much in the picture.
“For now, traders are positioning around the edges, but the real signal will come from the tone of the communique,” Comercio Partners asserted.
As part of its unwavering commitment to digitally transform Nigeria’s small and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs), leading financial institution Fidelity Bank is set to empower entrepreneurs across the country with cutting-edge digital tools designed to streamline operations, boost productivity, and drive sustainable growth.
Through the Fidelity SME Empowerment Program (FSEP), the bank will equip 100 growth-ready entrepreneurs with a comprehensive digital toolkit that includes: a POS desktop system, access to ERPRev software, receipt printer & barcode scanner; inventory & management tools. business training and support; free fidelity pos with branding and onboarding assistance
Interested entrepreneurs can apply via: https://bit.ly/SMEEmpowermentprogram2025
Commenting on the initiative, Osita Ede, Divisional Head, Product Development at Fidelity Bank Plc, stated:
“Studies have shown the exponential growth SMEs can achieve through digitalisation. As Nigeria’s leading SME partner, we are walking the talk by providing free digital toolkits to our customers. This aligns with our mission to help individuals grow, businesses thrive, and economies prosper.”
Fidelity Bank’s dedication to SME development is reflected in its broader vision of fostering economic inclusivity and building a resilient business ecosystem nationwide.
As part of its World SME Day 2025 celebrations, the bank granted free access to its renowned SME Hub in Gbagada, Lagos, and hosted a special mentoring session for female entrepreneurs led by CEO Dr. Nneka Onyeali-Ikpe. These efforts complement its regular masterclasses and ongoing support for small businesses and creatives.
Ranked among the best banks in Nigeria, Fidelity Bank Plc is a full-fledged Commercial Deposit Money Bank serving over 9.1 million customers through digital banking channels, its 255 business offices in Nigeria and United Kingdom subsidiary, FidBank UK Limited.
The Bank is the recipient of multiple local and international Awards, including the 2024 Excellence in Digital Transformation & MSME Banking Award by BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards; the 2024 Most Innovative Mobile Banking Application award for its Fidelity Mobile App by Global Business Outlook, and the 2024 Most Innovative Investment Banking Service Provider award by Global Brands Magazine. Additionally, the Bank was recognized as the Best Bank for SMEs in Nigeria by the Euromoney Awards for Excellence and as the Export Financing Bank of the Year by the BusinessDay Banks and Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards.
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